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Scoring And Predicting Risk Preferences
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Book Synopsis Scoring and Predicting Risk Preferences by : Gurdal Ertek
Download or read book Scoring and Predicting Risk Preferences written by Gurdal Ertek and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study presents a methodology to determine risk scores of individuals, for a given financial risk preference survey. To this end, we use a regression based iterative algorithm to determine the weights for survey questions in the scoring process. Next, we generate classification models to classify individuals into risk-averse and risk-seeking categories, using a subset of survey questions. We illustrate the methodology through a sample survey with 656 respondents.We find that the demographic (indirect) questions can be almost as successful as risk-related (direct) questions in predicting risk preference classes of respondents. Using a decision-tree based classification model, we discuss how one can generate actionable business rules based on the findings.
Book Synopsis Behavior Computing by : Longbing Cao
Download or read book Behavior Computing written by Longbing Cao and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-04-12 with total page 371 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Behavior' is an increasingly important concept in the scientific, societal, economic, cultural, political, military, living and virtual worlds. Behavior computing, or behavior informatics, consists of methodologies, techniques and practical tools for examining and interpreting behaviours in these various worlds. Behavior computing contributes to the in-depth understanding, discovery, applications and management of behavior intelligence. With contributions from leading researchers in this emerging field Behavior Computing: Modeling, Analysis, Mining and Decision includes chapters on: representation and modeling behaviors; behavior ontology; behaviour analysis; behaviour pattern mining; clustering complex behaviors; classification of complex behaviors; behaviour impact analysis; social behaviour analysis; organizational behaviour analysis; and behaviour computing applications. Behavior Computing: Modeling, Analysis, Mining and Decision provides a dedicated source of reference for the theory and applications of behavior informatics and behavior computing. Researchers, research students and practitioners in behavior studies, including computer science, behavioral science, and social science communities will find this state of the art volume invaluable.
Book Synopsis The Role of Risk Aversion in Predicting Individual Behavior by : Luigi Guiso
Download or read book The Role of Risk Aversion in Predicting Individual Behavior written by Luigi Guiso and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Risk Profiling and Tolerance: Insights for the Private Wealth Manager by : Joachim Klement
Download or read book Risk Profiling and Tolerance: Insights for the Private Wealth Manager written by Joachim Klement and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2018-05-01 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: If risk aversion and willingness to take on risk are driven by emotions and we as humans are bad at correctly identifying them, the finance profession has a serious challenge at hand—how to reliably identify the individual risk profile of a retail investor or high-net-worth individual. In this series of CFA Institute Research Foundation briefs, we have asked academics and practitioners to summarize the current state of knowledge about risk profiling in different key areas.
Book Synopsis Medical Risk Prediction Models by : Thomas A. Gerds
Download or read book Medical Risk Prediction Models written by Thomas A. Gerds and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-02-01 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Medical Risk Prediction Models: With Ties to Machine Learning is a hands-on book for clinicians, epidemiologists, and professional statisticians who need to make or evaluate a statistical prediction model based on data. The subject of the book is the patient’s individualized probability of a medical event within a given time horizon. Gerds and Kattan describe the mathematical details of making and evaluating a statistical prediction model in a highly pedagogical manner while avoiding mathematical notation. Read this book when you are in doubt about whether a Cox regression model predicts better than a random survival forest. Features: All you need to know to correctly make an online risk calculator from scratch Discrimination, calibration, and predictive performance with censored data and competing risks R-code and illustrative examples Interpretation of prediction performance via benchmarks Comparison and combination of rival modeling strategies via cross-validation Thomas A. Gerds is a professor at the Biostatistics Unit at the University of Copenhagen and is affiliated with the Danish Heart Foundation. He is the author of several R-packages on CRAN and has taught statistics courses to non-statisticians for many years. Michael W. Kattan is a highly cited author and Chair of the Department of Quantitative Health Sciences at Cleveland Clinic. He is a Fellow of the American Statistical Association and has received two awards from the Society for Medical Decision Making: the Eugene L. Saenger Award for Distinguished Service, and the John M. Eisenberg Award for Practical Application of Medical Decision-Making Research.
Download or read book Risky Curves written by Daniel Friedman and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-02-05 with total page 171 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For several decades, the orthodox economics approach to understanding choice under risk has been to assume that each individual person maximizes some sort of personal utility function defined over purchasing power. This new volume contests that even the best wisdom from the orthodox theory has not yet been able to do better than supposedly naïve models that use rules of thumb, or that focus on the consumption possibilities and economic constraints facing the individual. The authors assert this by first revisiting the origins of orthodox theory. They then recount decades of failed attempts to obtain meaningful empirical validation or calibration of the theory. Estimated shapes and parameters of the "curves" have varied erratically from domain to domain (e.g., individual choice versus aggregate behavior), from context to context, from one elicitation mechanism to another, and even from the same individual at different time periods, sometimes just minutes apart. This book proposes the return to a simpler sort of scientific theory of risky choice, one that focuses not upon unobservable curves but rather upon the potentially observable opportunities and constraints facing decision makers. It argues that such an opportunities-based model offers superior possibilities for scientific advancement. At the very least, linear utility – in the presence of constraints - is a useful bar for the "curved" alternatives to clear.
Book Synopsis The Handbook of Experimental Economics by : John H. Kagel
Download or read book The Handbook of Experimental Economics written by John H. Kagel and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2016-09-20 with total page 776 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An indispensable survey of new developments and results in experimental economics When The Handbook of Experimental Economics first came out in 1995, the notion of economists conducting lab experiments to generate data was relatively new. Since then, the field has exploded. This second volume of the Handbook covers some of the most exciting new growth areas in experimental economics, presents the latest results and experimental methods, and identifies promising new directions for future research. Featuring contributions by leading practitioners, the Handbook describes experiments in macroeconomics, charitable giving, neuroeconomics, other-regarding preferences, market design, political economy, subject population effects, gender effects, auctions, and learning and the economics of small decisions. Contributors focus on key developments and report on experiments, highlighting the dialogue between experimenters and theorists. While most of the experiments consist of laboratory studies, the book also includes several chapters that report extensively on field experiments related to the subject area studied. Covers exciting new growth areas in experimental economics Features contributions by leading experts Describes experiments in macroeconomics, charitable giving, neuroeconomics, market design, political economy, gender effects, auctions, and more Highlights the dialogue by experimenters with theorists and each other Includes several chapters covering field experiments related to the subject area studied
Book Synopsis Corporate Financial Distress, Restructuring, and Bankruptcy by : Edward I. Altman
Download or read book Corporate Financial Distress, Restructuring, and Bankruptcy written by Edward I. Altman and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-03-26 with total page 374 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive look at the enormous growth and evolution of distressed debt markets, corporate bankruptcy, and credit risk models This Fourth Edition of the most authoritative finance book on the topic updates and expands its discussion of financial distress and bankruptcy, as well as the related topics dealing with leveraged finance, high-yield, and distressed debt markets. It offers state-of-the-art analysis and research on U.S. and international restructurings, applications of distress prediction models in financial and managerial markets, bankruptcy costs, restructuring outcomes, and more.
Book Synopsis Risk And Uncertainty In Tribal And Peasant Economies by : Elizabeth Cashdan
Download or read book Risk And Uncertainty In Tribal And Peasant Economies written by Elizabeth Cashdan and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-09-05 with total page 342 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is concerned with how people respond to unpredictable variation in environmental and economic conditions (risk) and lack of information (uncertainty) about those risks. The papers focus on tribal and peasant societies. These societies lack many of the formal institutions that we, in the industrialized West, rely on to buffer us against unpredictable resource fluctuations. As the papers in this volume show, people in these societies are directly and profoundly affected by such risks. The contributors to this volume are primarily ecological and economic anthropologists who have in common a familiarity with both the formal theory of behavioral ecology and/or economics and the anthropological literature on tribal and peasant societies.
Book Synopsis Elicitation of Preferences by : Baruch Fischhoff
Download or read book Elicitation of Preferences written by Baruch Fischhoff and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-14 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists and psychologists have, on the whole, exhibited sharply different perspectives on the elicitation of preferences. Economists, who have made preference the central primitive in their thinking about human behavior, have for the most part rejected elicitation and have instead sought to infer preferences from observations of choice behavior. Psychologists, who have tended to think of preference as a context-determined subjective construct, have embraced elicitation as their dominant approach to measurement. This volume, based on a symposium organized by Daniel McFadden at the University of California at Berkeley, provides a provocative and constructive engagement between economists and psychologists on the elicitation of preferences.
Book Synopsis Human Interface and the Management of Information. Information and Knowledge Design and Evaluation by : Sakae Yamamoto
Download or read book Human Interface and the Management of Information. Information and Knowledge Design and Evaluation written by Sakae Yamamoto and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-06-07 with total page 712 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The two-volume set LNCS 8521 and 8522 constitutes the refereed proceedings of the Human Interface and the Management of Information thematic track, held as part of the 16th International Conference on Human-Computer Interaction, HCII 2014, held in Heraklion, Greece, in June 2014, jointly with 13 other thematically similar conferences. The total of 1476 papers and 220 posters presented at the HCII 2014 conferences were carefully reviewed and selected from 4766 submissions. These papers address the latest research and development efforts and highlight the human aspects of design and use of computing systems. The papers accepted for presentation thoroughly cover the entire field of human-computer interaction, addressing major advances in knowledge and effective use of computers in a variety of application areas. This volume contains papers addressing the following major topics: visualization methods and techniques; multimodal interaction; knowledge management; information search and retrieval; supporting collaboration; design and evaluation methods and studies.
Book Synopsis Goldman's Cecil Medicine,Expert Consult Premium Edition -- Enhanced Online Features and Print, Single Volume,24 by : Russell La Fayette Cecil
Download or read book Goldman's Cecil Medicine,Expert Consult Premium Edition -- Enhanced Online Features and Print, Single Volume,24 written by Russell La Fayette Cecil and published by Elsevier Health Sciences. This book was released on 2012-01-01 with total page 2848 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since 1927, Goldman-Cecil Medicine has been the world's most influential internal medicine resource. In the ground-breaking 25th edition, your original purchase ensures you will be up-to-date without the need for a subscription. Through the new, more powerful Expert Consult eBook platform, this "living text" provides continuous updates that will integrate the latest research, guidelines, and treatments into each chapter, ensuring that the content is as current as the day this edition was first published. Goldman-Cecil Medicine offers definitive, unbiased guidance on the evaluation and management of every medical condition, presented by a veritable "Who's Who" of modern medicine. A practical, straightforward style; templated organization; evidence-based references; and robust interactive content combine to make this dynamic resource quite simply the fastest and best place to find all of the authoritative, state-of-the-art clinical answers you need. "The content is superb, authoritative and not surprisingly very up to date." Reviewed by: Dr Harry Brown, on behalf of Glycosmedia Date: July 2015 Expert Consult eBook version included with print purchase: Access continuous updates from Editor Lee Goldman, MD, who thoroughly reviews internal medicine and specialty journals, updating online content to reflect the latest guidelines and translating that evidence into treatment. Interactive Q&A section features over 1,500 board-style questions and answers to aid in preparing for certification or recertification exams. Outstanding supplementary tools include figures, tables, videos, heart and lung sounds, treatment and management algorithms, fully integrated references, and thousands of illustrations and full-color photos. Search all of the text, figures, supplementary material, and references from the book on a variety of devices and at no additional cost - Expert Consult access is included with this title! Practical, bulleted, highly templated text with easy-to-use features including flow charts and treatment boxes. New chapters on global health, cancer biology and genetics, and the human microbiome in health and disease keep you on the cutting edge of medicine. Today's most current evidence-based medicine guidelines help you form a definitive diagnosis and create the best treatment plans possible. Focused coverage of the latest developments in biology includes the specifics of current diagnosis, therapy, and medication doses. The reference of choice for every stage of your career! Goldman-Cecil Medicine is an ideal learning tool for residents, physicians, and students as well as a valuable go-to resource for experienced healthcare professionals. Cecil - the best internal medicine resource available since 1927 - far exceeds the competition in versatility, ease-of-use and up-to-datedness.
Book Synopsis Psychology in the Courts by : Raymond R. Corrado
Download or read book Psychology in the Courts written by Raymond R. Corrado and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-01-11 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a useful overview of the latest research into the interaction between psychology and the courts. Leading scholars and practitioners review recent research and practice in a number of principal areas: * adolescents in the legal system * the role of juries * competency to stand trial * conditional release * eyewitness evidence and testimony * the role of the victims.
Book Synopsis Human preferences and risky choices by : Petko Kusev
Download or read book Human preferences and risky choices written by Petko Kusev and published by Frontiers E-books. This book was released on 2012 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "There are different views on what preferences for risks are and whether they are indicators of stable, underlying generic cognitive systems. Preferences could be conceived as an attitude towards a set of properties of context, memory and affect - a gauge of how much uncertainty one is willing to tolerate. This Research Topic aims to initiate a discussion on the stability of preferences for risks - as research has shown that different decision domains, response modes, and framing facilitate preference reversals. A consistent claim from behavioural decision researchers is that, contrary to the assumptions of classical economics, preferences are not stable and inherent constructs in individuals but are modified by levels of accessibility in memory, context, decision complexity, and type of psychological processing (e.g., sampling or computational "trade-offs" in processing). For example, in a sampling-based decision-making paradigm it is argued that preferences are not essential for making risky decisions. The existing theoretical and empirical evidence reveals that human preferences are relative and unstable, undermining the predictions of normative theory. Recent theoretical accounts in psychology have expanded the debate further by offering evolutionary models of decision-making under risk. While most of the researcher has explored optimisation goals (traditionally assumed in economics), evolutionary psychology has promoted adaptation-driven processes for risky choices. Moreover, we have witnessed a renaissance of preferences as affect rather than as a construct with psycho-economical properties. Although behavioural decision research is still engaged in challenging the foundation of economic theory, at present, opinions seem less unified as to whether preferences reflect common psychological constructs. The Research Topic will focus on human preferences and risky choices. Topics include: Normative, descriptive and experience-based decision making, Preference reversals, Accessibility in memory, Context dependence, Psychological processing (including i) probabilities, utilities, computations and 'trade-offs', and ii) sampling), Affect, and Evolutionary accounts." -- Provided by publisher.
Book Synopsis PRIMA 2015: Principles and Practice of Multi-Agent Systems by : Qingliang Chen
Download or read book PRIMA 2015: Principles and Practice of Multi-Agent Systems written by Qingliang Chen and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-10-20 with total page 725 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the proceedings of the 18th International Conference on Principles and Practice of Multi-Agent Systems, PRIMA 2015, held in Bertinoro, Italy, in October 2015. The 29 full papers and 24 short papers presented in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from 94 submissions. The conference brings together active researchers, developers and practitioners from both academia and industry to showcase, share and promote research in several domains, ranging from foundations of agent theory and engineering aspects of agent systems, to emerging interdisciplinary areas of agent-based research.
Book Synopsis Pleasure, Reward, Preference by : D. E. Berlyne
Download or read book Pleasure, Reward, Preference written by D. E. Berlyne and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 333 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pleasure, Reward, Preference: Their Nature, Determinants, and Role in Behavior covers the proceedings of a symposium by the same title, held at the Klarskovgaard Training Institute, near Korsør, Denmark, on June 5-9 1972, organized under the auspices of the Advisory Group on Human Factors of the Scientific Affairs Division of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. This book is composed of 11 chapters, and starts with a historical perspective and review of the principal problems related to understanding the principles of pleasure, reward, and preference. The next chapters explore neurophysiological research with animals and the human cognitive phenomena. These topics are followed by discussions of the concept of exploratory choice, verbal judgment, the law of effects and an adaptation-level model for affectivity and perception. The concluding chapters provide examples of behavioristic theories and describe a process model of motivation to understand the complexity of cognition and predictability of behavior. These chapters also tackle the role of pleasure and reward in human motivation and learning, as well as present a metascientific frame of motivation. This text will prove useful to psychologists, behaviorist, and researchers.
Book Synopsis People, Preferences and Prices by : Eugene Galanter
Download or read book People, Preferences and Prices written by Eugene Galanter and published by Bentham Science Publishers. This book was released on 2011 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores a variety of topics that fall in the realm of psychological and behavioral economics. It demonstrates to the reader how to perform straightforward experiments in order to understand how people think about the economic aspects of their daily lives. Behavioral economics is a 'hot new area' of economics and consumer psychology. This book provides a comprehensive guide on consumer research and the types of results required. These approaches are spreading further around the globe, thanks to the work of Dr. Howard Moskowitz, one of the authors of this book, and the incredible succ.