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Scenarios Of The Future
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Book Synopsis Future Scenarios by : David Holmgren
Download or read book Future Scenarios written by David Holmgren and published by Chelsea Green Publishing. This book was released on 2012-04-04 with total page 138 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Future Scenarios, permaculture co-originator and leading sustainability innovator David Holmgren outlines four scenarios that bring to life the likely cultural, political, agricultural, and economic implications of peak oil and climate change, and the generations-long era of “energy descent” that faces us. “Scenario planning,” Holmgren explains, “allows us to use stories about the future as a reference point for imagining how particular strategies and structures might thrive, fail, or be transformed.” Future Scenarios depicts four very different futures. Each is a permutation of mild or destructive climate change, combined with either slow or severe energy declines. Probable futures, explains Holmgren, range from the relatively benign Green Tech scenario to the near catastrophic Lifeboats scenario. As Adam Grubb, founder of the influential Energy Bulletin website, says, “These aren’t two-dimensional nightmarish scenarios designed to scare people into environmental action. They are compellingly fleshed-out visions of quite plausible alternative futures, which delve into energy, politics, agriculture, social, and even spiritual trends. What they do help make clear are the best strategies for preparing for and adapting to these possible futures.” Future Scenarios provides brilliant and balanced consideration of the world’s options and will prove to be one of the most important books of the year.
Book Synopsis Learning from the Future by : Liam Fahey
Download or read book Learning from the Future written by Liam Fahey and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1997-11-10 with total page 478 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unter Szenarioplanung versteht man eine spezielle Methode der Vorhersage zukünftiger politischer, ökonomischer und demographischer Entwicklungen, die das Funktionieren eines Unternehmens beeinflussen können. Diese Technik wird hier von renommierten Vorreitern auf diesem Gebiet ausführlich beleuchtet - so lernt der Manager, verschiedene Implikationen plausibler Ereignisse und Einflüsse systematisch zu durchdenken. (11/97)
Book Synopsis Transformative Scenario Planning by : Adam Kahane
Download or read book Transformative Scenario Planning written by Adam Kahane and published by Berrett-Koehler Publishers. This book was released on 2012-10-15 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Transformative scenario planning is a way that people can work together with others to transform themselves and their relationships with one another and their systems. In this simple and practical book, Kahane explains this methodology and how to use it.
Book Synopsis Back to the Future of Education by : Oecd
Download or read book Back to the Future of Education written by Oecd and published by Org. for Economic Cooperation & Development. This book was released on 2020-09-08 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Engaging the Future by : Lewis D. Hopkins
Download or read book Engaging the Future written by Lewis D. Hopkins and published by Lincoln Inst of Land Policy. This book was released on 2007 with total page 374 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Engaging the future successfully will require the active participation of planners, community leaders, and many individuals, as well as the contributions of students and scholars of planning. To shape any number of possible futures, we must imagine them in advance and understand how they might emerge. Forecasts, scenarios, plans, and projects are four ways of representing, manipulating, and assessing ideas about the future. The chapters in this richly illustrated volume offer a variety of tools and examples to help planners advocate for a new kind of planning--one that allows communities to face uncertain and malleable futures with continuous and deliberative planning activities.
Book Synopsis Network Society and Future Scenarios for a Collaborative Economy by : V. Kostakis
Download or read book Network Society and Future Scenarios for a Collaborative Economy written by V. Kostakis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-08-22 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book builds on the idea that peer-to-peer infrastructures are gradually becoming the general conditions of work, economy, and society. Using a four-scenario approach, the authors seek to simplify possible outcomes and to explore relevant trajectories of the current techno-economic paradigm within and beyond capitalism.
Book Synopsis Development and the Information Age by : International Development Research Centre (Canada)
Download or read book Development and the Information Age written by International Development Research Centre (Canada) and published by IDRC. This book was released on 1997 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Development and the Information Age: Four global scenarios for the future of information and communication technology
Book Synopsis How to Use Exploratory Scenario Planning (Xsp) by : Jeremy Stapleton
Download or read book How to Use Exploratory Scenario Planning (Xsp) written by Jeremy Stapleton and published by . This book was released on 2020-08-15 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exploratory scenario planning (XSP) can help communities prepare for uncertainties posed by climate change, pandemics, automation, and other unprecedented twenty-first-century challenges. This manual is a comprehensive resource for anyone interested in using this emergent planning approach, which is effective at the local, regional, or organizational level. Through the XSP process, stakeholders envision and develop various potential futures (i.e., scenarios) and consider how to measure and prepare for each, rather than working toward a single shared vision for the future. Through instructive case studies, recommendations, sample workshop agendas, and more, this manual equips would-be practitioners with the background knowledge, procedural guidance, and practical strategies to implement this planning tool successfully. Readers will be prepared to facilitate--or even lead--an effective, impactful XSP process in their own settings.
Book Synopsis The Future of Mobility by : Liisa Ecola
Download or read book The Future of Mobility written by Liisa Ecola and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2015-07 with total page 119 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Researchers developed two scenarios to envision the future of mobility in China in 2030. Economic growth, the presence of constraints on vehicle ownership and driving, and environmental conditions differentiate the scenarios. By making potential long-term mobility futures more vivid, the team sought to help decisionmakers at different levels of government and in the private sector better anticipate and prepare for change.
Book Synopsis Energy to 2050 by : Maria Rosa Virdis
Download or read book Energy to 2050 written by Maria Rosa Virdis and published by OECD. This book was released on 2003 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Analysing the interaction between energy and climate change mitigation issues requires the adoption of a long-term perspective - looking up to fifty years ahead. The future cannot be predicted, particularly over longer periods. However, strategic planning and political decisions demand that we explore options for the future - and these are best developed through scenarios (conjectures as to what might happen in the future based on our past and present experience of the world and on plausible speculation about how these trends may further evolve). This volume looks at different types of scenarios, evaluating how they can be used to analyse specific aspects of the interaction between energy and environment over the longer term. It examines "exploratory scenarios" (based on different expectations of technical and/or policy developments over the next 50 years) and "normative scenarios" (based on a set of desirable features or "norms" that the future world should possess). These long-term scenarios complement the IEA's World Energy Outlook, which presents a mid-term business-as-usual scenario with some variants.
Download or read book Scenario Planning written by Woody Wade and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-03-14 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is your business ready for the future? Scenario planning is a fascinating, yet still underutilized, business tool that can be of immense value to a company's strategic planning process. It allows companies to visualize the impact that a portfolio of possible futures could have on their competitiveness. It helps decision-makers see opportunities and threats that could emerge beyond their normal planning horizon. Scenario Planning serves as a guide to taking a long-term look at your business, your industry, and the world, posing thoughtful questions about the possible consequences of some current (and possible future) trends. This book will help you: Outline (and help you prepare for) any trends that could play out in the future that could change the political, social, and economic landscapes and significantly impact your business Explore the impact of technological advances and the emergence of new competitors to your business Examine challenges that are only dimly recognizable as potential problems today This visual book will help you answer this question: Is my organization ready for every possibility?
Author :Heiko A. von der Gracht Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :3834997641 Total Pages :325 pages Book Rating :4.8/5 (349 download)
Book Synopsis The Future of Logistics by : Heiko A. von der Gracht
Download or read book The Future of Logistics written by Heiko A. von der Gracht and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-07-22 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on 51 interviews with logistics CEOs, strategists, and scenario experts, Heiko A. von der Gracht shows that the logistics service industry draws a backward picture of scenario planning practices as compared to other industries.
Book Synopsis Strategic Reframing by : Rafael Ramírez
Download or read book Strategic Reframing written by Rafael Ramírez and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2016 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides clear information and guidance on how to do scenario planning to support strategy and public policy. The book describes the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA), an intellectually rigorous and practical methodolgy.
Book Synopsis Scenario Planning by : Gill Ringland
Download or read book Scenario Planning written by Gill Ringland and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-03-16 with total page 506 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text provides a straightforward account of scenario planning making this important area accessible to business decision makers, as well as corporate planners.
Book Synopsis The Future of Business by : Rohit Talwar
Download or read book The Future of Business written by Rohit Talwar and published by Fast Future Publishing Ltd . This book was released on 2015-03-15 with total page 591 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Future of Business explores how the commercial world is being transformed by the complex interplay between social, economic and political shifts, disruptive ideas, bold strategies and breakthroughs in science and technology. Over 60 contributors from 21 countries explore how the business landscape will be reshaped by factors as diverse as the modification of the human brain and body, 3D printing, alternative energy sources, the reinvention of government, new business models, artificial intelligence, blockchain technology, and the potential emergence of the Star Trek economy.
Book Synopsis Scenario Thinking by : George Cairns
Download or read book Scenario Thinking written by George Cairns and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-10-13 with total page 287 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Develops scenario planning methods in ways that link scenario analysis to improved decision making, engage time-poor senior decision makers, attenuate decision makers’ tendency to deflect responsibility for bleak, negative scenario outcomes, and enhance causal analysis within scenario-storyline development. What if? Two of the most powerful – and frightening – words in business. Almost as bad as “I didn’t see that coming.” Some things that transform the marketplace overnight come from nowhere. Some things that create potentially critical under-performance are genuinely unforeseeable. Sometimes it is impossible to predict how a change in an organizational strategy will play out. Some things and sometimes – but not many and not often. Decision makers in organizations face more-and-more complex and ambiguous problems that need to be addressed under time pressure - and the need for practical decision support has become essential. The range of methods in this book will enable you to be prepared, proactive and resilient no matter what the future brings. Based on up-to-date academic research and years of application and iteration in the real world, this book, illustrated with examples of the value delivered in Europe, Australia and the Middle East, will transfer practical skills in scenario thinking using step-by-step instructions. This thoroughly revised and expanded second edition introduces these new approaches in detail, with clear guidelines and examples to enable the reader to select and implement the most appropriate scenario method to suit the issue at hand – considering the timeframe for its investigation, the resources available and the outcomes expected.
Download or read book Scenario Thinking written by G. Wright and published by Springer. This book was released on 2011-05-03 with total page 111 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents new methods in scenario thinking, based on a mix of high-level research and top-level consultancy experience. The authors describe the logical bases of a range of scenario methods and provide detailed 'road maps' on how to implement them - together with practical examples of their application.
