Return Dispersion, Size, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns - Evidence from the German Stock Market

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Return Dispersion, Size, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns - Evidence from the German Stock Market by : Antonina Waszczuk

Download or read book Return Dispersion, Size, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns - Evidence from the German Stock Market written by Antonina Waszczuk and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates whether return dispersion (RD), proxied by the cross-sectional standard deviation of stock returns, captures variation in returns across German stocks between 1989 and 2010. I address existing evidence based on U.S. equity data that RD may serve as a proxy economic state variable. In the out-of-sample test I confirm the countercyclical character of RD and show that it loads significantly negatively on future equal-weighted average market return. Sorting stocks by their absolute loadings on RD, I uncover the negative pattern in simple average portfolio returns. Further analysis indicates that the negative relationship between absolute loadings on RD and future returns is present only in micro stock subgroup. This finding casts doubt on the RD as proxy for state variable. Instead, it suggests its relation to mispricing and idiosyncratic risk components. As a secondary results I confirm the existence of reversed size effect in German stock market over the considered period.

The Cross-section of Stock Returns

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Cross-section of Stock Returns by : Stijn Claessens

Download or read book The Cross-section of Stock Returns written by Stijn Claessens and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1995 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Asymmetric Cross-sectional Dispersion in Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Asymmetric Cross-sectional Dispersion in Stock Returns by : Gregory R. Duffee

Download or read book Asymmetric Cross-sectional Dispersion in Stock Returns written by Gregory R. Duffee and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Has the Cross-Section of Average Returns Always Been the Same? Evidence from Germany, 1881-1913

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Has the Cross-Section of Average Returns Always Been the Same? Evidence from Germany, 1881-1913 by : Peter Bossaerts

Download or read book Has the Cross-Section of Average Returns Always Been the Same? Evidence from Germany, 1881-1913 written by Peter Bossaerts and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The cross-section of average annual returns on German common stock in the period of 1881-1913 exhibits several of the patterns that have been observed in more recent U.S. data. Market beta is hardly important, and its explanatory power is swamped by size and the ratio of book value to market value. A book-to-market risk measure (covariance with a portfolio long in high book-to-market firms and short in low book-to-market firms) has no effect on the explanatory power of the book-to-market characteristic. But the size effect appears to be caused by selection bias in the sample. And the book-to-market effect is opposite that of the recent U.S. experience (and, hence, can certainly not be attributed to selection bias). Finally, a momentum portfolio constructed on the basis of the error of the basic 3-characteristic model (market beta, size and book-to-market) does not generate significant returns. These findings highlight the variability in the power of certain characteristics in explaining the cross section of average returns.

Size and Book-to-Market Effects in the German Stock Market, 2005-2009

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3668445508
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (684 download)

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Book Synopsis Size and Book-to-Market Effects in the German Stock Market, 2005-2009 by : David Bosch

Download or read book Size and Book-to-Market Effects in the German Stock Market, 2005-2009 written by David Bosch and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2017-05-12 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Diploma Thesis from the year 2010 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 2,0, Humboldt-University of Berlin (Institut für Bank- und Börsenwesen), language: English, abstract: One important goal of this study is to find out, whether the most recent data also shows the same tendency as earlier studies of the German market: A very low relation between beta and average stock returns A higher relationship between size and average stock returns An even higher relation between B/M ratio and average stock returns. In many studies the methodology used to test for the relationship between beta, size, B/M ratio, and stock returns are cross-sectional regressions and two-sorted portfolios. In this study, more weight is put on the ability to predict stock returns by testing these characteristics alone. Usually researchers are interested in the statistical relationship between the characteristics and stock returns. In contrast to this approach, which is especially reasonable for long-term series, this study will focus on the problems with the data and methodology of “anomaly” studies, and will discuss the different economic reasons respective to beta, size, and B/M effects in stock returns. Most of the published studies use long-term series of longer than 30 years, where the stock market returns are quite stable and only small shocks are included. This thesis is organized as follows: In section 2, findings and economic interpretations in the literature about beta, size and B/M, are discussed. The first findings, especially about size and B/M, are briefly reconsidered and recent developments are presented and further discussed. Section 3 describes the data used for the empirical study and discusses the specialties of the data preparation used, when testing for size and B/M effects. The methodologies and results are then presented in section 4. Concluding remarks are found in section 5.

The Cross-Section of Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis The Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Stijn Claessens

Download or read book The Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Stijn Claessens and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Several factors besides m ...

On the Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (122 download)

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Book Synopsis On the Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns by :

Download or read book On the Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns written by and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Return of the Size Anomaly

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis The Return of the Size Anomaly by : Amir Amel-Zadeh

Download or read book The Return of the Size Anomaly written by Amir Amel-Zadeh and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the size-effect in the German stock market and intends to address several unanswered issues on this widely known anomaly. Unlike recent evidence of a reversal of the size anomaly we document a conditional relation between size and returns. We also detect strong momentum across size portfolios. Our results indicate that the marginal effect of firm size on stock returns is conditional on the firm's past performance. We use an instrumental variable estimation to address Berk's critique of a simultaneity bias in prior studies on the small firm effect and to investigate the economic rationale behind firm size as an explanatory variable for the variation in stock returns. The analysis in this paper indicates that firm size captures firm characteristic components in stock returns and that this regularity cannot be explained by differences in systematic risk.

The Predictabilty of German Stock Returns

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3322813789
Total Pages : 137 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (228 download)

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Book Synopsis The Predictabilty of German Stock Returns by : Judith Klähn

Download or read book The Predictabilty of German Stock Returns written by Judith Klähn and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Judith Klähn proves that some of the most important variables in predicting U.S. equity returns are not significant for the German stock market. She shows that the composition of Germany's investor base plays an important role, and she outlines the variables crucial for the German stock market.

The Cross-Section of Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (14 download)

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Book Synopsis The Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Dasgupta

Download or read book The Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Dasgupta and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Asymetric Cross-sectional Dispersion in Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (485 download)

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Book Synopsis Asymetric Cross-sectional Dispersion in Stock Returns by : Gregory R. Duffee

Download or read book Asymetric Cross-sectional Dispersion in Stock Returns written by Gregory R. Duffee and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Cross-Section of Stock Returns: Evidence from Emerging Markets

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (919 download)

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Book Synopsis The Cross-Section of Stock Returns: Evidence from Emerging Markets by : Susmita Dasgupta

Download or read book The Cross-Section of Stock Returns: Evidence from Emerging Markets written by Susmita Dasgupta and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Cross-Section of German Stock Returns

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (838 download)

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Book Synopsis The Cross-Section of German Stock Returns by :

Download or read book The Cross-Section of German Stock Returns written by and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Stock Returns, Alpha and the Information Ratio

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis The Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Stock Returns, Alpha and the Information Ratio by : Larry R. Gorman

Download or read book The Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Stock Returns, Alpha and the Information Ratio written by Larry R. Gorman and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both the cross-sectional dispersion of U.S. stock returns and the VIX provide forecasts of alpha dispersion across high- and low-performing portfolios of stocks that are statistically and economically significant. These findings suggest that absolute return investors can use cross-sectional dispersion and time-series volatility as signals to improve the tactical timing of their alpha-focused strategies. Because active risk increases by a greater amount than alpha, however, high return dispersion/high VIX periods are followed by slightly lower information ratio dispersion. Therefore, relative return investors who keep score in an information ratio framework are unlikely to find return dispersion useful as a signal regarding when to increase or decrease the activeness of their portfolio strategies.

The Cross Section of Common Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis The Cross Section of Common Stock Returns by : Donald B. Keim

Download or read book The Cross Section of Common Stock Returns written by Donald B. Keim and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A growing number of empirical studies suggest that betas of common stocks do not adequately explain cross-sectional differences in stock returns. Instead, a number of other variables (e.g., size, ratio of book to market, earnings/price) that have no basis in extant theoretical models seem to have significantly predictive ability. Some interpret the findings as evidence of market efficiency. Others argue that the Capital Asset Pricing Model is an incomplete description of equilibrium price formation and these variables are proxies for additional risk factors. In this paper we review the evidence on the cross-sectional behavior of common stock returns on the U.S. and other equity markets around the world. We also report some new evidence on these cross-sectional relations using data from both U.S. and international stock markets. We find, among other results, that although the return premia associated with these ad hoc variables are significant in most international stock markets, the premia are uncorrelated across markets. The accumulating evidence prompts the following question: If these return premia occur primarily in January and are uncorrelated across major international equity markets, is it reasonable to characterize them as compensation for risk?

Semiparametric Modelling of the Cross-section of Expected Returns in the German Stock Market

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis Semiparametric Modelling of the Cross-section of Expected Returns in the German Stock Market by : Richard Stehle

Download or read book Semiparametric Modelling of the Cross-section of Expected Returns in the German Stock Market written by Richard Stehle and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: According to the Sharpe-Lintner capital asset pricing model, expected rates of return on individual stocks differ only because of their different levels of non-diversifiable risk (beta). However, Fama/French (1992) show that the two variables size and book-to-market ratio capture the cross-sectional variation of US stock returns better than other combinations of two variables. They report also that in the 1963-1990 period beta has virtually no explanatory power. This paper looks at a comparable data set for Germany for the time period 1968-1990. We analyze this data set in order to identify a "best" nonlinear model for the relationship between rates of return, beta, size and book-to-market. The model and corresponding regression estimates are chosen by "cross-validation" among a very rich class of parametric, semiparametric and nonparametric alternatives. The coefficients in the model are estimated each year. The major result is that the parametric model proposed by Fama/French for US stock returns is almost the best one in Germany. The book-to-market-ratio turns out to be the variable with highest partial correlation with the stock return. In most of the annual regressions the corresponding coefficients have the correct sign and are statistically significant. -- Model selection ; cross-validation ; capital asset pricing model ; German stock market ; time series of cross-sectional data

Cross-Sectional Return Dispersion and the Equity Premium

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Cross-Sectional Return Dispersion and the Equity Premium by : Paulo F. Maio

Download or read book Cross-Sectional Return Dispersion and the Equity Premium written by Paulo F. Maio and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, I examine whether stock return dispersion (RD) provides useful information about future stock returns. RD consistently forecasts a decline in the excess market return at multiple horizons, and compares favorably with alternative predictors used in the literature. The out-of-sample performance of RD tends to beat the alternative predictors, and is economically significant as indicated by the certainty equivalent gain associated with a trading investment strategy. RD has greater forecasting power for big and growth stocks compared to small and value stocks, respectively. I discuss a theoretical mechanism giving rise to the negative correlation between RD and the equity premium.