Responses to NATO's Eastward Expansion by the Russian Federation

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Responses to NATO's Eastward Expansion by the Russian Federation by : Alexei Mouraviev

Download or read book Responses to NATO's Eastward Expansion by the Russian Federation written by Alexei Mouraviev and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Future of NATO - Russian Relations - Or How to Dance with a Bear and Not Get Mauled, Vladimir Putin, Former Soviet Union and Warsaw Pact States, OSCE, Response and Perspectives, Road to Rome

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781521184509
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (845 download)

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Book Synopsis The Future of NATO - Russian Relations - Or How to Dance with a Bear and Not Get Mauled, Vladimir Putin, Former Soviet Union and Warsaw Pact States, OSCE, Response and Perspectives, Road to Rome by : U. S. Military

Download or read book The Future of NATO - Russian Relations - Or How to Dance with a Bear and Not Get Mauled, Vladimir Putin, Former Soviet Union and Warsaw Pact States, OSCE, Response and Perspectives, Road to Rome written by U. S. Military and published by . This book was released on 2017-04-29 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the dissolution of the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact, NATO has enlarged its membership twice with countries formerly under Soviet influence and control and, as of this writing, is preparing to begin the process for a third expansion. Russia has watched the borders of NATO creep ever closer to its own but has generally been powerless to prevent it. Although NATO has taken pains to include and consult with Russia regarding its actions and future plans, former air attache to the US Embassy in Moscow Gordon Hendrickson contends the Kremlin cannot reasonably be expected to continue to watch NATO's eastward expansion without eventually pushing back hard. Without question, many significant issues and challenges must still be solved before enlarging the alliance once again. In light of this, the author says NATO must work rigorously to continue to keep Russia engaged in a productive and mutually beneficial relationship as both sides work through the future obstacles that inevitably will arise in the NATO-Russian relationship. Although the relationship is continuing to evolve, Hendrickson's research led him to the conclusion that, in order to keep Russia reassured and working productively with NATO, there are a number of concrete actions the alliance can and must take to avoid squandering the historic opportunity before it. NATO leaders continue to stress that the "door remains open" to even more new members, provided they are willing and able to meet NATO's entrance requirements. As NATO prepares for another likely round of enlargement within the next few years, its leaders must seriously consider the impact yet another growth eastward will have on the Russian Federation. Moscow has thus far accepted with relatively little protest NATO's last two expansion rounds, which encompassed countries formerly under Soviet influence. This was partly due to Russia's inability to effectively prevent the alliance from expanding, as well as the effort alliance leaders made to keep Russia engaged with and included in NATO affairs. However, in considering another round of new members, which undoubtedly will include countries directly bordering the Russian Federation, NATO leaders will have to redouble their efforts and creativity to allay Russian fears of Western encirclement or encroachment. This paper looks at several concrete actions the alliance can take in an effort to reach that goal. Chapters 2 and 3 provide a history and overview of the development of NATO-Russian relations over the past 15 years since the dissolution of the Soviet Union, along with a survey of Russian attitudes and responses. Chapter 4 examines some of the major contentious issues now facing the two sides, with a particular focus on the underlying sources of those problems that will continue to affect future NATO-Russian dealings. Chapter 5 focuses on many of the cooperative programs and successes the alliance and Russia have achieved in the past few years, and chapter 6 deals with the previously mentioned sources of conflict between NATO and Russia and then outlines several concrete actions NATO can take to continue engaging Russia productively and positively, even in light of another probable round of enlargement. The NATO-Russian relationship is without question one of the most important and pressing issues that affects overall Euro-Atlantic security. It is a relationship that can, and must, survive future tests of differences in policies, actions, and even sometimes values. However, it is a relationship worth fighting for, and leaders from both sides must find a way to work constructively through their differences. The future of Euro-Atlantic security depends on it.

NATO Enlargement and Russian Aggressive Posturing

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781653180233
Total Pages : 110 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (82 download)

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Book Synopsis NATO Enlargement and Russian Aggressive Posturing by : Brandon Halaychik

Download or read book NATO Enlargement and Russian Aggressive Posturing written by Brandon Halaychik and published by . This book was released on 2019-12-30 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991, the world has been engaged in a new dynamic of power politics as the newly formed Russian Federation attempts to establish its identity in Europe. As a regional power Russia is accused of forcing its will on former satellite states through military posturing and aggression as seen in Georgia, Crimea, and Ukraine. This study discusses issues directly related to NATO expansion into former Soviet-bloc states and the Russian Federation's response to these actions. A qualitative research model combined with a case study approach to thoroughly analysis all available relevant data related to the Russian Federations military and political movements was used. The findings are: (1) NATO offers of expansion into former Soviet-bloc states eroded the foundation of the NATO-Russian -Founding act of 1997, (2) United States and European military expansion into states surrounding the Russian Federation has caused a security dilemma and (3) Russian is reacting militarily to protect itself in line with Defensive Structural Realist principals. This study adds context to discussions regarding how to deal diplomatically with the Russian Federation regarding European security.

Beyond NATO

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Publisher : Brookings Institution Press
ISBN 13 : 0815732589
Total Pages : 171 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (157 download)

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Book Synopsis Beyond NATO by : Michael E. O'Hanlon

Download or read book Beyond NATO written by Michael E. O'Hanlon and published by Brookings Institution Press. This book was released on 2017-08-15 with total page 171 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this new Brookings Marshall Paper, Michael O'Hanlon argues that now is the time for Western nations to negotiate a new security architecture for neutral countries in eastern Europe to stabilize the region and reduce the risks of war with Russia. He believes NATO expansion has gone far enough. The core concept of this new security architecture would be one of permanent neutrality. The countries in question collectively make a broken-up arc, from Europe's far north to its south: Finland and Sweden; Ukraine, Moldova, and Belarus; Georgia, Armenia, and Azerbaijan; and finally Cyprus plus Serbia, as well as possibly several other Balkan states. Discussion on the new framework should begin within NATO, followed by deliberation with the neutral countries themselves, and then formal negotiations with Russia. The new security architecture would require that Russia, like NATO, commit to help uphold the security of Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova, and other states in the region. Russia would have to withdraw its troops from those countries in a verifiable manner; after that, corresponding sanctions on Russia would be lifted. The neutral countries would retain their rights to participate in multilateral security operations on a scale comparable to what has been the case in the past, including even those operations that might be led by NATO. They could think of and describe themselves as Western states (or anything else, for that matter). If the European Union and they so wished in the future, they could join the EU. They would have complete sovereignty and self-determination in every sense of the word. But NATO would decide not to invite them into the alliance as members. Ideally, these nations would endorse and promote this concept themselves as a more practical way to ensure their security than the current situation or any other plausible alternative.

Duty

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Publisher : Vintage
ISBN 13 : 0307959481
Total Pages : 673 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (79 download)

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Book Synopsis Duty by : Robert M. Gates

Download or read book Duty written by Robert M. Gates and published by Vintage. This book was released on 2014-01-14 with total page 673 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the former secretary of defense, a strikingly candid, vivid account of serving Presidents George W. Bush and Barack Obama during the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. When Robert M. Gates received a call from the White House, he thought he’d long left Washington politics behind: After working for six presidents in both the CIA and the National Security Council, he was happily serving as president of Texas A&M University. But when he was asked to help a nation mired in two wars and to aid the troops doing the fighting, he answered what he felt was the call of duty.

NATO Enlargement and Russian Aggressive Posturing

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781654530501
Total Pages : 110 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis NATO Enlargement and Russian Aggressive Posturing by : Brandon C Halaychik Ma

Download or read book NATO Enlargement and Russian Aggressive Posturing written by Brandon C Halaychik Ma and published by . This book was released on 2020-01-02 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991, the world has been engaged in a new dynamic of power politics as the newly reforming Russian Federation attempted to establish its identity in Europe and as a world power. As a regional power Russia is accused of forcing its will on former satellite states through military posturing and aggression as seen in Georgia, Crimea, and the Ukraine. This study discusses issues directly related to NATO expansion into former Soviet-bloc states and the Russian Federation's response to these actions. . This study adds context to discussions regarding how to deal diplomatically with the Russian Federation regarding European security as a result of the mistrust that has developed.

NATO Expansion

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (243 download)

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Book Synopsis NATO Expansion by : David L. Sims

Download or read book NATO Expansion written by David L. Sims and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The North Atlantic Treaty Organization's (NATO) Partnership for Peace (PFP) initiative was unveiled at the January 1994 NATO summit at Brussels, Belgium. PFP contained, in part, the Alliance's response to the challenge since the end of the Cold War whether, when, and how to expand eastwards. Twenty-seven countries, including Russia, have finally taken up NATO's open-ended offer of closer political and military cooperation. Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic have been the loudest in expressing their desire for full NATO membership. This paper proposes that NATO expansion into East Central Europe is ill advised at this pivotal period in Russian history, and should be delayed until the Russian economy and democratic government become more stable. It also argues that the prospects for long-term political and economic stability in East Central Europe rests not with NATO, but in the European Union (EU). Following an in-depth analysis of Russian and East Central European history in conjunction with a comprehensive review of the current literature on NATO expansion, this study concludes that admitting Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic is fraught with danger. It is likely to foster insecurity, and not the intended enhanced European security framework NATO seeks. NATO expansion in the region also might precipitate Russian's estrangement and the redivision of Europe into two competitive spheres, the same divisions it spent four decades trying to erase. Finally, the paper concludes with recommendations how the West should address the complex challenge of fostering democracy in Russia and aiding its emerging market economy without antagonizing its insecurities by a premature push towards NATO expansion.

The Debate on NATO Enlargement

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 564 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Debate on NATO Enlargement by : United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Foreign Relations

Download or read book The Debate on NATO Enlargement written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Foreign Relations and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 564 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The NATO-Russia Relationship

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Publisher : CSIS
ISBN 13 : 9780892065592
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (655 download)

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Book Synopsis The NATO-Russia Relationship by : Julianne Smith

Download or read book The NATO-Russia Relationship written by Julianne Smith and published by CSIS. This book was released on 2008 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

European-Russian Power Relations in Turbulent Times

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Publisher : University of Michigan Press
ISBN 13 : 0472132288
Total Pages : 311 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (721 download)

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Book Synopsis European-Russian Power Relations in Turbulent Times by : Mai'a Cross

Download or read book European-Russian Power Relations in Turbulent Times written by Mai'a Cross and published by University of Michigan Press. This book was released on 2021-04-13 with total page 311 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Russia-Europe relationship is deteriorating, signaling the darkest era yet in security on the continent since the end of the Cold War. In addition, the growing influence of the Trump administration has destabilized the transatlantic security community, compelling Europe—especially the European Union—to rethink its relations with Russia. The volume editors’ primary goal is to illuminate the nature of the deteriorating security relationship between Europe and Russia, and the key implications for its future. While the book is timely, the editors and contributors also draw out long-term lessons from this era of diplomatic degeneration to show how increasing cooperation between two regions can devolve into rapidly escalating conflict. While it is possible that the relationship between Russia and Europe can ultimately be restored, it is also necessary to understand why it was undermined in the first place. The fact that these transformations occur under the backdrop of an uncertain transatlantic relationship makes this investigation all the more pressing. Each chapter in this volume addresses three dimensions of the problem: first, how and why the power status quo that had existed since the end of the Cold War has changed in recent years, as evidenced by Russia’s newly aggressive posturing; second, the extent to which the EU’s power has been enabled or constrained in light of Russia’s actions; and third, the risks entailed in Europe’s reactive power—that is, the tendency to act after-the-fact instead of proactively toward Russia—in light of the transatlantic divide under Trump.

Conflict in Ukraine

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262536293
Total Pages : 245 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis Conflict in Ukraine by : Rajan Menon

Download or read book Conflict in Ukraine written by Rajan Menon and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2015-02-06 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of The New York Times’ “6 Books to Read for Context on Ukraine” “A short and insightful primer” to the crisis in Ukraine and its implications for both the Crimean Peninsula and Russia’s relations with the West (New York Review of Books) The current conflict in Ukraine has spawned the most serious crisis between Russia and the West since the end of the Cold War. It has undermined European security, raised questions about NATO's future, and put an end to one of the most ambitious projects of U.S. foreign policy—building a partnership with Russia. It also threatens to undermine U.S. diplomatic efforts on issues ranging from terrorism to nuclear proliferation. And in the absence of direct negotiations, each side is betting that political and economic pressure will force the other to blink first. Caught in this dangerous game of chicken, the West cannot afford to lose sight of the importance of stable relations with Russia. This book puts the conflict in historical perspective by examining the evolution of the crisis and assessing its implications both for the Crimean Peninsula and for Russia’s relations with the West more generally. Experts in the international relations of post-Soviet states, political scientists Rajan Menon and Eugene Rumer clearly show what is at stake in Ukraine, explaining the key economic, political, and security challenges and prospects for overcoming them. They also discuss historical precedents, sketch likely outcomes, and propose policies for safeguarding U.S.-Russia relations in the future. In doing so, they provide a comprehensive and accessible study of a conflict whose consequences will be felt for many years to come.

NATO Expansion: Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic's Quest for Membership, and the Perceived Threat to Russia's National Security

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (946 download)

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Book Synopsis NATO Expansion: Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic's Quest for Membership, and the Perceived Threat to Russia's National Security by :

Download or read book NATO Expansion: Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic's Quest for Membership, and the Perceived Threat to Russia's National Security written by and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The North Atlantic Treaty Organization's (NATO) Partnership for Peace (PFP) initiative was unveiled at the January 1994 NATO summit at Brussels, Belgium. PFP contained, in part, the Alliance's response to the challenge since the end of the Cold War whether, when, and how to expand eastwards. Twenty-seven countries, including Russia, have finally taken up NATO's open-ended offer of closer political and military cooperation. Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic have been the loudest in expressing their desire for full NATO membership. This paper proposes that NATO expansion into East Central Europe is ill advised at this pivotal period in Russian history, and should be delayed until the Russian economy and democratic government become more stable. It also argues that the prospects for long-term political and economic stability in East Central Europe rests not with NATO, but in the European Union (EU). Following an in-depth analysis of Russian and East Central European history in conjunction with a comprehensive review of the current literature on NATO expansion, this study concludes that admitting Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic is fraught with danger. It is likely to foster insecurity, and not the intended enhanced European security framework NATO seeks. NATO expansion in the region also might precipitate Russian's estrangement and the redivision of Europe into two competitive spheres, the same divisions it spent four decades trying to erase. Finally, the paper concludes with recommendations how the West should address the complex challenge of fostering democracy in Russia and aiding its emerging market economy without antagonizing its insecurities by a premature push towards NATO expansion.

Russia's Hostile Measures

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781977401991
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Russia's Hostile Measures by : Ben Connable

Download or read book Russia's Hostile Measures written by Ben Connable and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Russia's conventional capabilities pose a serious threat to NATO that remains mostly untested. Where it has historically succeeded is in using various types of hostile measures to sow disorder, weaken democratic institutions, and undermine NATO cohesion and what Russia perceives as the eastward expansion of Western institutions. However, Russia also has a long track record of strategic shortfalls, and even some ineptitude. Formulating strategies for addressing these actions demands a clear understanding of how and why Russian leaders employ hostile measures-for example, economic embargoes, limited military incursions, cyberattacks, and information campaigns. A historical review of Soviet-era power dynamics and detailed case studies of Russian hostile measures in the post-Soviet era help clarify the conditions under which Russia employs hostile measures and the vulnerabilities it exploits in the countries it targets-as well as the messages these measures send to other key audiences, such as Russia's domestic public, the Russian diaspora, and Western powers that Russia perceives as encroaching on its sphere of influence. NATO and other Western powers will benefit from exploring opportunities to deter, prevent, and counter Russian hostile behavior in the so-called gray zone short of war, where daily adversarial competition occurs. Many of the behaviors that Russia exhibits in the gray zone will no doubt extend to conventional war.

Resurgent Russia

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Publisher : Skyhorse
ISBN 13 : 1510726225
Total Pages : 179 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Resurgent Russia by : R. Reed Anderson

Download or read book Resurgent Russia written by R. Reed Anderson and published by Skyhorse. This book was released on 2017-11-21 with total page 179 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Relations between the United States and Russia have recently escalated from strained to outright aggressive. From imperial expansion in Ukraine to intervention in Syria to Russian hacking during the US election in 2016, it is clear that the United States must be prepared to defend itself and its NATO allies against Russian aggression. Resurgent Russia, researched and written by six residents and internationally experienced officers at the US Army War College, analyzes the current threat of Russian acts of war—both conventional military attacks and unconventional cyber warfare or political attacks—against the United Stated and NATO. The officers detail how the America can use its international military resources and political influence to both prepare for and deter aggression ordered by Vladimir Putin, making it clear that such an attack would be unsuccessful and therefore keeping the peace. This study provides a clear assessment of how the United States and its allies must utilize their political and military power to deter Russian aggression and maintain the hierarchy of power in today’s world.

War with Russia?

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Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1510745823
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis War with Russia? by : Stephen F. Cohen

Download or read book War with Russia? written by Stephen F. Cohen and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2018-11-27 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is America in a new Cold War with Russia? How does a new Cold War affect the safety and security of the United States? Does Vladimir Putin really want to destabilize the West? What should Donald Trump and America’s allies do? America is in a new Cold War with Russia even more dangerous than the one the world barely survived in the twentieth century. The Soviet Union is gone, but the two nuclear superpowers are again locked in political and military confrontations, now from Ukraine to Syria. All of this is exacerbated by Washington’s war-like demonizing of the Kremlin leadership and by Russiagate’s unprecedented allegations. US mainstream media accounts are highly selective and seriously misleading. American “disinformation,” not only Russian, is a growing peril. In War With Russia?, Stephen F. Cohen—the widely acclaimed historian of Soviet and post-Soviet Russia—gives readers a very different, dissenting narrative of this more dangerous new Cold War from its origins in the 1990s, the actual role of Vladimir Putin, and the 2014 Ukrainian crisis to Donald Trump’s election and today’s unprecedented Russiagate allegations. Topics include: Distorting Russia US Follies and Media Malpractices 2016 The Obama Administration Escalates Military Confrontation With Russia Was Putin’s Syria Withdrawal Really A “Surprise”? Trump vs. Triumphalism Has Washington Gone Rogue? Blaming Brexit on Putin and Voters Washington Warmongers, Moscow Prepares Trump Could End the New Cold War The Real Enemies of US Security Kremlin-Baiting President Trump Neo-McCarthyism Is Now Politically Correct Terrorism and Russiagate Cold-War News Not “Fit to Print” Has NATO Expansion Made Anyone Safer? Why Russians Think America Is Attacking Them How Washington Provoked—and Perhaps Lost—a New Nuclear-Arms Race Russia Endorses Putin, The US and UK Condemn Him (Again) Russophobia Sanction Mania Cohen’s views have made him, it is said, “America’s most controversial Russia expert.” Some say this to denounce him, others to laud him as a bold, highly informed critic of US policies and the dangers they have helped to create. War With Russia? gives readers a chance to decide for themselves who is right: are we living, as Cohen argues, in a time of unprecedented perils at home and abroad?

Post Wall, Post Square

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Publisher : Yale University Press
ISBN 13 : 0300252366
Total Pages : 784 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Post Wall, Post Square by : Kristina Spohr

Download or read book Post Wall, Post Square written by Kristina Spohr and published by Yale University Press. This book was released on 2020-03-24 with total page 784 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A landmark global history that makes us rethink how the Cold War ended and our present era was born This book offers a bold new interpretation of the revolutions of 1989, showing how a new world order was forged—without major conflict. Based on extensive archival research, Kristina Spohr attributes this in large measure to determined diplomacy by a handful of international leaders, who engaged in tough but cooperative negotiation to reinvent the institutions of the Cold War. She offers a major reappraisal of George H. W. Bush and innovative assessments of Mikhail Gorbachev and Helmut Kohl, as well as Margaret Thatcher and François Mitterrand. But, she argues, Europe’s transformation must be understood in global context. By contrasting events in Berlin and Moscow with the brutal suppression of the pro-democracy movement in Beijing, the book reveals how Deng Xiaoping pushed through China’s very different Communist reinvention. Here is an authoritative yet highly readable exploration of the crucial hinge years of 1989–1992 and their consequences for today’s world.

The Last Superpower Summits

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Publisher : Central European University Press
ISBN 13 : 9633861713
Total Pages : 1080 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (338 download)

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Book Synopsis The Last Superpower Summits by : Svetlana Savranskaya

Download or read book The Last Superpower Summits written by Svetlana Savranskaya and published by Central European University Press. This book was released on 2016-11-01 with total page 1080 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book publishes for the first time in print every word the American and Soviet leaders – Ronald Reagan, Mikhail Gorbachev, and George H.W. Bush – said to each other in their superpower summits from 1985 to 1991. Obtained by the authors through the Freedom of Information Act in the U.S., from the Gorbachev Foundation and the State Archive of the Russian Federation in Moscow, and from the personal donation of Anatoly Chernyaev, these previously Top Secret verbatim transcripts combine with key declassified preparatory and after-action documents from both sides to create a unique interactive documentary record of these historic highest-level talks – the conversations that ended the Cold War. The summits fueled a process of learning on both sides, as the authors argue in contextual essays on each summit and detailed headnotes on each document. Geneva 1985 and Reykjavik 1986 reduced Moscow's sense of threat and unleashed Reagan's inner abolitionist. Malta 1989 and Washington 1990 helped dampen any superpower sparks that might have flown in a time of revolutionary change in Eastern Europe, set off by Gorbachev and by Eastern Europeans (Solidarity, dissidents, reform Communists). The high level and scope of the dialogue between these world leaders was unprecedented, and is likely never to be repeated.