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Report Of The Social Science Research Council Committee On Analysis Of Pre Election Polls And Forecasts
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Author :United States. Office of Management and Budget. Statistical Policy Division Publisher : ISBN 13 : Total Pages :662 pages Book Rating :4.F/5 ( download)
Book Synopsis Report to Federal Statistical Agencies by : United States. Office of Management and Budget. Statistical Policy Division
Download or read book Report to Federal Statistical Agencies written by United States. Office of Management and Budget. Statistical Policy Division and published by . This book was released on 1948 with total page 662 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :United States. Office of Management and Budget. Statistical Policy Division Publisher : ISBN 13 : Total Pages : pages Book Rating :4.:/5 (31 download)
Book Synopsis Statistical Reporter by : United States. Office of Management and Budget. Statistical Policy Division
Download or read book Statistical Reporter written by United States. Office of Management and Budget. Statistical Policy Division and published by . This book was released on 1948 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis A Crisis in Public Opinion Polling by : Amy Fried
Download or read book A Crisis in Public Opinion Polling written by Amy Fried and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-03 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pathways to Polling argues that early political pollsters, market researchers, and academic and government survey researchers were entrepreneurial figures who interacted through a broad network that was critical to the growth of public opinion enterprises.
Download or read book The Power of Polls? written by Jason Roy and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2021-10-07 with total page 137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Public opinion polls have become increasingly prominent during elections, but how they affect voting behaviour remains uncertain. In this work, we estimate the effects of poll exposure using an experimental design in which we randomly assign the availability of polls to participants in simulated election campaigns. We draw upon results from ten independent experiments conducted across six countries on four continents (Argentina, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and the United States) to examine how polls affect the amount of information individuals seek and the votes that they cast. We further assess how poll effects differ according to individual-level factors, such as partisanship and political sophistication, and the content included in polls and how it is presented. Our work provides a comprehensive assessment of the power of polls and the implications for poll reporting in contemporary elections.
Book Synopsis Polls and the Awareness of Public Opinion by : Leo Bogart
Download or read book Polls and the Awareness of Public Opinion written by Leo Bogart and published by Transaction Publishers. This book was released on with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How well can polls measure public opinion? Should government policies follow majority opinion? Do polls influence elections? Can there be polls under a dictatorship? Recent elections throughout the world have made these issues ever more crucial. "Polls and the Awareness of Public Opinion, "initially published under the title "Silent Politics, "is the first book to look upon polls and the awareness of poll results as forces that influence public opinion. It is a penetrating assessment of the uses of polls, their misuses, and the absurdities carried out in their name. Bogart argues that predictions based on polls can be misleading since they reflect a transient stage in a public opinion that is constantly and often rapidly changing.
Book Synopsis The Pre-election Polls of 1948 by : Frederick Mosteller
Download or read book The Pre-election Polls of 1948 written by Frederick Mosteller and published by . This book was released on 1949 with total page 424 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Survey Methods in Social Investigation by : C.A. Moser
Download or read book Survey Methods in Social Investigation written by C.A. Moser and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-03-02 with total page 509 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a comprehensive account of the methods used in social surveys. All the stages of a survey are covered, from the original planning to the drafting of the final report. Throughout, the emphasis is on the underlying principles, with particular attention being given to sampling - a subject which often troubles students and research workers. The book will be of great value to students in social sciences as well as research workers, and people concerned with social surveys in government and the business world.
Book Synopsis Annual Report - Social Science Research Council by : Social Science Research Council (U.S.)
Download or read book Annual Report - Social Science Research Council written by Social Science Research Council (U.S.) and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Lost in a Gallup by : W. Joseph Campbell
Download or read book Lost in a Gallup written by W. Joseph Campbell and published by Univ of California Press. This book was released on 2024-02-20 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This update of a lively, first-of-its-kind study of polling misfires and fiascoes in U.S. presidential campaigns takes up pollsters’ failure over the decades to offer accurate assessments of the most important of American elections. Lost in a Gallup tells the story of polling flops and failures in presidential elections since 1936. Polls do go bad, as outcomes in 2020, 2016, 2012, 2004, and 2000 all remind us. This updated edition includes a new chapter and conclusion that address the 2020 polling surprise and considers whether polls will get it right in 2024. As author W. Joseph Campbell discusses, polling misfires in presidential elections are not all alike. Pollsters have anticipated tight elections when landslides have occurred. They have pointed to the wrong winner in closer elections. Misleading state polls have thrown off expected national outcomes. Polling failure also can lead to media error. Journalists covering presidential races invariably take their lead from polls. When polls go bad, media narratives can be off-target as well. Lost in a Gallup encourages readers to treat election polls with healthy skepticism, recognizing that they could be wrong.
Book Synopsis Sampling Essentials by : Johnnie Daniel
Download or read book Sampling Essentials written by Johnnie Daniel and published by SAGE Publications. This book was released on 2011-04-25 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written for students taking research methods courses, this text provides a thorough overview of sampling principles. The author gives detailed, nontechnical descriptions and guidelines with limited presentation of formulas to help students reach basic research decisions, such as whether to choose a census or a sample, as well as how to select sample size and sample type. Intended for students and researchers in the social and behavioral sciences, public health research, marketing research, and related areas, the text provides nonstatisticians with the concepts and techniques they need to do quality work and make good sampling choices.
Book Synopsis The 2012 French Presidential Elections by : J. Evans
Download or read book The 2012 French Presidential Elections written by J. Evans and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-11-21 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Was the victory of François Hollande, the Socialist challenger to Nicolas Sarkozy, inevitable in the 2012 French Presidential elections? This book argues that a combination of economic downturn, policy choices and personal unpopularity meant that the Right-wing incumbent faced an almost impossible task in holding onto power for another five years.
Book Synopsis Foundations and American Political Science by : Emily Hauptmann
Download or read book Foundations and American Political Science written by Emily Hauptmann and published by University Press of Kansas. This book was released on 2022-11-01 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Foundations in the United States have long exerted considerable power over education and scholarly production. Although today’s titans of philanthropy proclaim more loudly their desire to transform schools and universities than did some of their predecessors, philanthropic programs designed to reshape educational institutions are at least a century old. In Foundations and American Political Science, Emily Hauptmann focuses on the postwar Carnegie, Ford, and Rockefeller programs that reshaped political science. She shows how significant changes in the methods and research interests of postwar political scientists began as responses to the priorities set by their philanthropic patrons. Informed by years of research in foundation and university archives, Foundations and American Political Science follows the course of several streams of private philanthropic money as they wended their way through public universities and political science departments in the postwar period. The programs launched by the Carnegie, Ford, and Rockefeller philanthropies as well as their reception at the universities of California and Michigan steered political scientists towards particular problems and particular ways of studying them. The rise of statistical analyses of survey data, the decline of public administration, and persistent conflicts over the discipline’s purpose and the best methods for understanding politics, Hauptmann argues, all had their roots in the ways that postwar universities responded to foundations’ programs. Additionally, the new emphasis universities placed on sponsored research sparked sharp disputes among political scientists over what should count as legitimate knowledge about politics and what the ultimate purpose of the discipline should be.
Book Synopsis A Companion to Survey Research by : Michael Ornstein
Download or read book A Companion to Survey Research written by Michael Ornstein and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2013-03-22 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Companion to Survey Research provides a critical overview and guide to survey methods. Rather than a set of formulas, survey design is understood as a craft where the translation of research questions into a questionnaire, sample design and data collection strategy is based on understanding how respondents answer questions and their willingness to complete a survey. Following an account of the invention of survey research in the 1930s, a synthesis of research on question design is followed by a practical guide to designing a questionnaire. Chapters on sampling, which deal with the statistical basis of survey sampling and practical design issues, are followed by extensive discussions of survey pretesting and data collection. The book concludes with a discussion of the extent and implications of falling response rates. This book is written for researchers, analysts and policy makers who want to understand the survey data they use, for researchers and students who want to conduct a survey, and for anyone who wants to understand contemporary survey research.
Book Synopsis Social Knowledge in the Making by : Charles Camic
Download or read book Social Knowledge in the Making written by Charles Camic and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2012-07-24 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past quarter century, researchers have successfully explored the inner workings of the physical and biological sciences using a variety of social and historical lenses. Inspired by these advances, the contributors to Social Knowledge in the Making turn their attention to the social sciences, broadly construed. The result is the first comprehensive effort to study and understand the day-to-day activities involved in the creation of social-scientific and related forms of knowledge about the social world. The essays collected here tackle a range of previously unexplored questions about the practices involved in the production, assessment, and use of diverse forms of social knowledge. A stellar cast of multidisciplinary scholars addresses topics such as the changing practices of historical research, anthropological data collection, library usage, peer review, and institutional review boards. Turning to the world beyond the academy, other essays focus on global banks, survey research organizations, and national security and economic policy makers. Social Knowledge in the Making is a landmark volume for a new field of inquiry, and the bold new research agenda it proposes will be welcomed in the social science, the humanities, and a broad range of nonacademic settings.
Download or read book Numbered Voices written by Susan Herbst and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 1995-08-15 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Quantifying the American mood through opinion polls appears to be an unbiased means for finding out what people want. But in Numbered Voices, Susan Herbst demonstrates that the way public opinion is measured affects the use that voters, legislators, and journalists make of it. Exploring the history of public opinion in the United States from the mid-nineteenth century to the present day, Herbst shows how numbers served both instrumental and symbolic functions, not only conveying neutral information but creating a basis authority. Addressing how the quantification of public opinion has affected contemporary politics and the democratic process, Herbst asks difficult but fundamental questions about the workings of American politics. "An original and thought-provoking analysis of why we have polls, what they accomplish, and how they affect the current political scene. Herbst's scholarship is impeccable, her writing is clear and crisp, and her findings are original. . . . Every reader will benefit by carefully weighing the issues she raises and the conclusions she draws."—Doris A. Graber, Political Science Quarterly "An intelligent, theoretically rich, and historically broad account of public opinion over several millennia. . . . The historical accounts are interesting and her interpretations are thought-provoking."—Paul Brace, Journal of American History
Download or read book Bit by Bit written by Matthew J. Salganik and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2019-08-06 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This essential guide to doing social research in this fast-evolving digital age explains how the digital revolution is transforming the way social scientists observe behavior, ask questions, run experiments, and engage in mass collaborations.
Book Synopsis The Crosswinds of Freedom, 1932–1988 by : James MacGregor Burns
Download or read book The Crosswinds of Freedom, 1932–1988 written by James MacGregor Burns and published by Open Road Media. This book was released on 2012-04-10 with total page 956 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Pulitzer Prize winner’s “immensely readable” history of the United States from FDR’s election to the final days of the Cold War (Publishers Weekly). The Crosswinds of Freedom is an articulate and incisive examination of the United States during its rise to become the world’s sole superpower. Here is a young democracy transformed by the Great Depression, the Second World War, the Cold War, the rapid pace of technological change, and the distinct visions of nine presidents. Spanning fifty-six years and touching on many corners of the nation’s complex cultural tapestry, Burns’s work is a remarkable look at the forces that gave rise to the “American Century.”
