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Regional Population Projection Models
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Book Synopsis Regional Population Projection Models by : Andrei Rogers
Download or read book Regional Population Projection Models written by Andrei Rogers and published by SAGE Publications, Incorporated. This book was released on 1985-08 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Andrei Rogers, one of the world's leading authorities on population trends, offers a powerful technique for carrying out regional population projections. He gives a clear step-by-step analysis and demonstrations of actual projections of future populations at the regional level. The examples show how to calculate regional population growth rates, age compositions, and spatial distributions using data from several developed and less developed countries.
Book Synopsis Regional Population Projection Models by : Andrei Rogers
Download or read book Regional Population Projection Models written by Andrei Rogers and published by SAGE Publications, Incorporated. This book was released on 1985-08-01 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Andrei Rogers, one of the world's leading authorities on population trends, offers a powerful technique for carrying out regional population projections. He gives a clear step-by-step analysis and demonstrations of actual projections of future populations at the regional level. The examples show how to calculate regional population growth rates, age compositions, and spatial distributions using data from several developed and less developed countries.
Book Synopsis A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections by : Stanley K. Smith
Download or read book A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections written by Stanley K. Smith and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-12-16 with total page 411 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.
Book Synopsis Demographic Projection Techniques for Regions and Smaller Areas by : H. Craig Davis
Download or read book Demographic Projection Techniques for Regions and Smaller Areas written by H. Craig Davis and published by UBC Press. This book was released on 1995 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Chapter 3, the author outlines a four-step projection procedure which is used throughout the remainder of the book. Chapter 4 describes how to project population size by comparing the growth pattern of the population under study with that of another population. The next chapter covers one of the most commonly employed techniques of population projection - the cohort-survival model, which is used not only to project the size of a population but also its composition in terms of age and sex groupings. The final chapter focuses on migration, generally the most volatile component of the basic demographic equation. Primarily written for courses in planning, this book is also useful for anyone having to make decisions affected by population trends, whether they involve planning for future growth or alerting local decisionmakers to external uncertainties that could have a serious impact on the future of their community.
Book Synopsis State and Local Population Projections by : Stanley K. Smith
Download or read book State and Local Population Projections written by Stanley K. Smith and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-04-11 with total page 426 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics, we began talking about our current research projects. It so happened that all three of us had been entertaining the notion of writing a book on state and local population projections. Recognizing the enormity of the project for a single author, we quickly decided to collaborate. Had we not decided to work together, it is unlikely that this book ever would have been written. The last comprehensive treatment of state and local population projections was Don Pittenger’s excellent work Projecting State and Local Populations (1976). Many changes affecting the production of population projections have occurred since that time. Technological changes have led to vast increases in computing power, new data sources, the development of GIS, and the creation of the Internet. The procedures for applying a number of projection methods have changed considerably, and several completely new methods have been developed.
Book Synopsis Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations by : Ansley J. Coale
Download or read book Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations written by Ansley J. Coale and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations, Second Edition maintains the tradition of research on the analysis of fertility and mortality as related to population growth and composition. The tables presented are two principal forms: model life tables and model stable populations. The included models are models of mortality and age composition; "west" model life tables and stable populations; "north" model life tables and stable populations; "east" model life tables and stable populations; and "south" model life tables and stable populations. People involved in the study of population growth and composition will find the book useful.
Book Synopsis Regional Population Projections in the Countries of the Europea by : Evert Imhoff
Download or read book Regional Population Projections in the Countries of the Europea written by Evert Imhoff and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1994-06 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reviews and evaluates the compilation of regional (subnational) population projections. Focuses on the methodological aspects of projection and on the type of input data used.
Book Synopsis Applied Multiregional Demography: Migration and Population Redistribution by : Andrei Rogers
Download or read book Applied Multiregional Demography: Migration and Population Redistribution written by Andrei Rogers and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-09-04 with total page 114 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book shows the effectiveness of multiregional demography for studying the spatial dynamics of migration and population redistribution. It examines important questions in demographic analysis and shows how the techniques of multiregional analysis can lead to answers that sometimes contradict conventional wisdom. The book reconsiders conclusions reached in the literature regarding several fundamental common sense demographic questions in migration and population redistribution, including: Is it mostly migration or “aging-in-place” that has been driving Florida’s elderly population growth? Do the elderly return “home” after retirement more than the non-elderly do? Does longer life lead to longer ill-health? Do simple population projection models outperform complex ones? For each demographic question it reconsiders, the book begins with a simple empirical numerical example and with it illustrates how a uniregional specification can bias findings to favor a particular, and possibly incorrect, conclusion. It then goes on to show how a multiregional analysis can better illuminate the dynamics that underlie the observed population totals and lead to a more informed conclusion. Offering insights into the effectiveness of multiregional demography, this book serves as a valuable resource for students and researchers searching for a better way to answer questions in demographic analysis and population dynamics.
Book Synopsis Introduction to Multiregional Mathematical Demography by : Andrei Rogers
Download or read book Introduction to Multiregional Mathematical Demography written by Andrei Rogers and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1975 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Beyond Six Billion by : National Research Council
Download or read book Beyond Six Billion written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2000-10-11 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is rapid world population growth actually coming to an end? As population growth and its consequences have become front-page issues, projections of slowing growth from such institutions as the United Nations and the World Bank have been called into question. Beyond Six Billion asks what such projections really say, why they say it, whether they can be trusted, and whether they can be improved. The book includes analysis of how well past U.N. and World Bank projections have panned out, what errors have occurred, and why they have happened. Focusing on fertility as one key to accurate projections, the committee examines the transition from high, constant fertility to low fertility levels and discusses whether developing countries will eventually attain the very low levels of births now observed in the industrialized world. Other keys to accurate projections, predictions of lengthening life span and of the impact of international migration on specific countries, are also explored in detail. How good are our methods of population forecasting? How can we cope with the inevitable uncertainty? What population trends can we anticipate? Beyond Six Billion illuminates not only the forces that shape population growth but also the accuracy of the methods we use to quantify these forces and the uncertainty surrounding projections. The Committee on Population was established by the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) in 1983 to bring the knowledge and methods of the population sciences to bear on major issues of science and public policy. The committee's work includes both basic studies of fertility, health and mortality, and migration; and applied studies aimed at improving programs for the public health and welfare in the United States and in developing countries. The committee also fosters communication among researchers in different disciplines and countries and policy makers in government, international agencies, and private organizations. The work of the committee is made possible by funding from several government agencies and private foundations.
Book Synopsis Population Structures and Models by : Robert Woods
Download or read book Population Structures and Models written by Robert Woods and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2023-10-02 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1986, this volume brings together geographical modelling of population change and demographic analysis of population structures and pattern. These 2 strands are interwoven in 3 key review chapters that summarize the study of spatial and temporal patterns of population, the modelling of spatial populations and the estimation of population processes. Findings reported include: An account of demographic transition; an exposé of the myth of ‘no fertility rises’ in the developing world in the 20th Century; a theory of population accounting; predicting migration flows for a system of regions; microsimulation methods to model population change; and demographic and economic processes integrated in an urban region model.
Book Synopsis Better Population Forecasting for Areas and Communities by : Henry Van Beuren Stanbery
Download or read book Better Population Forecasting for Areas and Communities written by Henry Van Beuren Stanbery and published by U.S. Government Printing Office. This book was released on 1952 with total page 98 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Population Dynamics and Projection Methods by : John Stillwell
Download or read book Population Dynamics and Projection Methods written by John Stillwell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-02-15 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although the human population growth rate of the world has been declining since peaking in the early 1960s, the populations of individual countries are changing at different rates. Population dynamics at national level are partly determined by levels of fertility and mortality, but the impact of international migration is playing an increasingly important role. Moreover, internal migration plays a major part in population change at the sub-national level. This fourth volume in the series “Understanding Population Trends and Processes” is a celebration of the work of Professor Philip Rees. It contains chapters by contributors who have collaborated with Phil Rees on research or consultancy projects or as postgraduate students. Several chapters demonstrate the technical nature of population projection modelling and simulation methods while others illustrate issues relating to data availability and estimation. This book demonstrates the application of theoretical and modelling methods and addresses key issues relating to contemporary demographic patterns and trends.
Book Synopsis Demographic Input to Regional Planning by : Abraham Akkerman
Download or read book Demographic Input to Regional Planning written by Abraham Akkerman and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Assessing Population Projections for States and Regions by : George S. Masnick
Download or read book Assessing Population Projections for States and Regions written by George S. Masnick and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :Andrew M. Isserman Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :9780898381405 Total Pages :298 pages Book Rating :4.3/5 (814 download)
Book Synopsis Population Change and the Economy: Social Science Theories and Models by : Andrew M. Isserman
Download or read book Population Change and the Economy: Social Science Theories and Models written by Andrew M. Isserman and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1985-11-30 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Population change and population forecasts are receiving considerable attention from governmental planners and policy-makers, as well as from the private sector. Old patterns of population redistribution, industrial location, labor-force participation, household formation, and fertility are changing. The resulting uncertainty has increased interest in forecasting because mere extrapolations of past trends are proving inadequate. In the United States of America popUlation forecasts received even more attention after federal agencies began distributing funds for capital infrastructure to state and local governments on the basis of projected future populations. If the national government had based those funding decisions on locally prepared projections, the optimism of local officials would have resulted in billions of dollars worth of excess capacity in sewage treatment plants alone. Cabinet-level inquiries concluded that the U. S. Department of Commerce should (1) assume the responsibility for developing a single set of projections for use whenever future population was a consideration in federal spending decisions and (2) develop methods which incorporate both economic and demographic factors causing population change. Neither the projections prepared by economists at the Bureau of Economic Analysis nor those prepared by demographers at the Bureau of the Census were considered satisfactory because neither method adequately recognized the intertwined nature of demographic and economic change. Against this background, the American Statistical Association (ASA) and the U. S.
Book Synopsis Microsimulation Population Projections with SAS by : Guillaume Marois
Download or read book Microsimulation Population Projections with SAS written by Guillaume Marois and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book provides a step-by-step overview on how to build a microsimulation model with SAS. It shows how to convert an already existing multistate projection by age, sex, education and region into a microsimulation model. Two new dimensions are then added, either the labor force participation and the sector of activity, and/or some examples of outputs and alternative scenarios that would not be possible with standard demographic methods. The book also describes how to adapt the model for other countries or other purposes. It also provides details on how to extend and adapt the model for other purposes as well as other use of microsimulation with SAS. The book suggests codes that are easy to understand, so they can be replicated or adapted for other purposes. As such, this book provides a great resource for people with beginner to intermediate knowledge in SAS.
