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Probability Econometrics And Truth
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Book Synopsis Probability, Econometrics and Truth by : Hugo A. Keuzenkamp
Download or read book Probability, Econometrics and Truth written by Hugo A. Keuzenkamp and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000-11-02 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When John Maynard Keynes likened Jan Tinbergen's early work in econometrics to black magic and alchemy, he was expressing a widely held view of a new discipline. However, even after half a century of practical work and theorizing by some of the most accomplished social scientists, Keynes' comments are still repeated today. This book assesses the foundations and development of econometrics and sets out a basis for the reconstruction of the foundations of econometric inference by examining the various interpretations of probability theory which underlie econometrics. Keuzenkamp claims that the probabilistic foundations of econometrics are weak, and although econometric inferences may yield interesting knowledge, claims to be able to falsify or verify economic theories are unwarranted. Methodological falsificationism in econometrics is an illusion. Instead, it is argued, econometrics should locate itself in the tradition of positivism.
Book Synopsis Probability, econometrics and truth : a treatise on the foundations of econometric inference by : Hugo Albert Keuzenkamp
Download or read book Probability, econometrics and truth : a treatise on the foundations of econometric inference written by Hugo Albert Keuzenkamp and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 377 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Probability, Statistics, and Truth by : Richard Von Mises
Download or read book Probability, Statistics, and Truth written by Richard Von Mises and published by Courier Corporation. This book was released on 1981-01-01 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This comprehensive study of probability considers the approaches of Pascal, Laplace, Poisson, and others. It also discusses Laws of Large Numbers, the theory of errors, and other relevant topics.
Book Synopsis Truth, Possibility and Probability by : R. Chuaqui
Download or read book Truth, Possibility and Probability written by R. Chuaqui and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1991-06-20 with total page 505 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Anyone involved in the philosophy of science is naturally drawn into the study of the foundations of probability. Different interpretations of probability, based on competing philosophical ideas, lead to different statistical techniques, and frequently to mutually contradictory consequences.This unique book presents a new interpretation of probability, rooted in the traditional interpretation that was current in the 17th and 18th centuries. Mathematical models are constructed based on this interpretation, and statistical inference and decision theory are applied, including some examples in artificial intelligence, solving the main foundational problems. Nonstandard analysis is extensively developed for the construction of the models and in some of the proofs. Many nonstandard theorems are proved, some of them new, in particular, a representation theorem that asserts that any stochastic process can be approximated by a process defined over a space with equiprobable outcomes.
Book Synopsis Probability, Statistics, and Truth by : Richard Von Mises
Download or read book Probability, Statistics, and Truth written by Richard Von Mises and published by . This book was released on 1961 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Probability, Statistics and Econometrics by : Oliver Linton
Download or read book Probability, Statistics and Econometrics written by Oliver Linton and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2017-03-04 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probability, Statistics and Econometrics provides a concise, yet rigorous, treatment of the field that is suitable for graduate students studying econometrics, very advanced undergraduate students, and researchers seeking to extend their knowledge of the trinity of fields that use quantitative data in economic decision-making. The book covers much of the groundwork for probability and inference before proceeding to core topics in econometrics. Authored by one of the leading econometricians in the field, it is a unique and valuable addition to the current repertoire of econometrics textbooks and reference books. Synthesizes three substantial areas of research, ensuring success in a subject matter than can be challenging to newcomers Focused and modern coverage that provides relevant examples from economics and finance Contains some modern frontier material, including bootstrap and lasso methods not treated in similar-level books Collects the necessary material for first semester Economics PhD students into a single text
Book Synopsis Probability, Statistics and Truth by : Richard Mises (Elder von.)
Download or read book Probability, Statistics and Truth written by Richard Mises (Elder von.) and published by . This book was released on 1939 with total page 323 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Probability and Statistics for Economists by : Bruce Hansen
Download or read book Probability and Statistics for Economists written by Bruce Hansen and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2022-06-28 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive and up-to-date introduction to the mathematics that all economics students need to know Probability theory is the quantitative language used to handle uncertainty and is the foundation of modern statistics. Probability and Statistics for Economists provides graduate and PhD students with an essential introduction to mathematical probability and statistical theory, which are the basis of the methods used in econometrics. This incisive textbook teaches fundamental concepts, emphasizes modern, real-world applications, and gives students an intuitive understanding of the mathematics that every economist needs to know. Covers probability and statistics with mathematical rigor while emphasizing intuitive explanations that are accessible to economics students of all backgrounds Discusses random variables, parametric and multivariate distributions, sampling, the law of large numbers, central limit theory, maximum likelihood estimation, numerical optimization, hypothesis testing, and more Features hundreds of exercises that enable students to learn by doing Includes an in-depth appendix summarizing important mathematical results as well as a wealth of real-world examples Can serve as a core textbook for a first-semester PhD course in econometrics and as a companion book to Bruce E. Hansen’s Econometrics Also an invaluable reference for researchers and practitioners
Book Synopsis Probability in Economics by : Omar Hamouda
Download or read book Probability in Economics written by Omar Hamouda and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-04-15 with total page 195 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Notions of probability and uncertainty have been increasingly prominant in modern economics. This book considers the philosophical and practical difficulties inherent in integrating these concepts into realistic economic situations. It outlines and evaluates the major developments, indicating where further work is needed. This book addresses: * probability, utility and rationality within current economic thought and practice * concepts of ignorance and indeterminancy * experimental economics * econometrics, with particular reference inference and estimation.
Book Synopsis Probability And Statistics For Economists by : Yongmiao Hong
Download or read book Probability And Statistics For Economists written by Yongmiao Hong and published by World Scientific Publishing Company. This book was released on 2017-11-02 with total page 592 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probability and Statistics have been widely used in various fields of science, including economics. Like advanced calculus and linear algebra, probability and statistics are indispensable mathematical tools in economics. Statistical inference in economics, namely econometric analysis, plays a crucial methodological role in modern economics, particularly in empirical studies in economics.This textbook covers probability theory and statistical theory in a coherent framework that will be useful in graduate studies in economics, statistics and related fields. As a most important feature, this textbook emphasizes intuition, explanations and applications of probability and statistics from an economic perspective.
Book Synopsis Intermediate Statistics and Econometrics by : Dale J. Poirier
Download or read book Intermediate Statistics and Econometrics written by Dale J. Poirier and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1995 with total page 744 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The standard introductory texts to mathematical statistics leave the Bayesian approach to be taught later in advanced topics courses-giving students the impression that Bayesian statistics provide but a few techniques appropriate in only special circumstances. Nothing could be further from the truth, argues Dale Poirier, who has developed a course for teaching comparatively both the classical and the Bayesian approaches to econometrics. Poirier's text provides a thoroughly modern, self-contained, comprehensive, and accessible treatment of the probability and statistical foundations of econometrics with special emphasis on the linear regression model. Written primarily for advanced undergraduate and graduate students who are pursuing research careers in economics, Intermediate Statistics and Econometrics offers a broad perspective, bringing together a great deal of diverse material. Its comparative approach, emphasis on regression and prediction, and numerous exercises and references provide a solid foundation for subsequent courses in econometrics and will prove a valuable resource to many nonspecialists who want to update their quantitative skills. The introduction closes with an example of a real-world data set-the Challengerspace shuttle disaster-that motivates much of the text's theoretical discussion. The ten chapters that follow cover basic concepts, special distributions, distributions of functions of random variables, sampling theory, estimation, hypothesis testing, prediction, and the linear regression model. Appendixes contain a review of matrix algebra, computation, and statistical tables.
Book Synopsis Probability Foundations of Economic Theory by : Charles McCann
Download or read book Probability Foundations of Economic Theory written by Charles McCann and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2003-08-16 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First published in 1994. Concepts of probability are an integral component of economic theory. However there are a wide range of theories of probability and these are manifested in different approaches to economic theory itself. In this book Charles McCann, Jr provides a clear and informative survey of the area which serves to standardize terminology and so integrate probability into a discussion of the foundations of economic theory. This is illustrated by examples from Austrian, Keynesian and New Classical Economics.
Book Synopsis Probability, Statistics and Truth ... Translated by J. Neyman, D. Sholl, and E. Rabinowitsch by : Richard von MISES
Download or read book Probability, Statistics and Truth ... Translated by J. Neyman, D. Sholl, and E. Rabinowitsch written by Richard von MISES and published by . This book was released on 1939 with total page 323 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis A Treatise on Probability by : John Maynard Keynes
Download or read book A Treatise on Probability written by John Maynard Keynes and published by . This book was released on 1921 with total page 494 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis A Treatise on Probability by : John Maynard Keynes
Download or read book A Treatise on Probability written by John Maynard Keynes and published by Theclassics.Us. This book was released on 2013-09 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This historic book may have numerous typos and missing text. Purchasers can usually download a free scanned copy of the original book (without typos) from the publisher. Not indexed. Not illustrated. 1921 edition. Excerpt: ... CHAPTER XXXIII OUTLINE OF A CONSTRUCTIVE THEORY 1. There is a great difference between the proposition "It is probable that every instance of this generalisation is true" and the proposition " It is probable of any instance of this generalisation taken at random that it is true." The latter proposition may remain valid, even if it is certain that some instances of the generalisation are false. It is more likely than not, for example, that any number will be divisible either by two or by three, but it is not more likely than not that all numbers are divisible either by two or by three. The first type of proposition has been discussed in Part III. under the name of Universal Induction. The latter belongs to Inductive Correlation or Statistical Induction, an attempt at the logical analysis of which must be my final task. 2. What advocates of the Frequency Theory of Probability wrongly believe to be characteristic of all probabilities, namely, that they are essentially concerned not with single instances but with series of instances, is, I think, a true characteristic of statistical induction. A statistical induction either asserts the probability of an instance selected at random from a series of propositions, or else it assigns the probability of the assertion, that the truth frequency of a series of propositions {i.e. the proportion of true propositions in the series) is in the neighbourhood of a given value. In either case it is asserting a characteristic of a series of propositions, rather than of a particular proposition. Whilst, therefore, our unit in the case of Universal Induction is a single instance which satisfies both the condition and the conclusion of our generalisation, our unit in the case of Statistical Induction is not a...
Book Synopsis Probability Theory and Statistical Inference by : Aris Spanos
Download or read book Probability Theory and Statistical Inference written by Aris Spanos and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1999-09-02 with total page 844 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This major new textbook is intended for students taking introductory courses in probability theory and statistical inference. The primary objective of this book is to establish the framework for the empirical modeling of observational (nonexperimental) data. The text is extremely student friendly, with pathways designed for semester usage, and although aimed primarily at students at second-year undergraduate level and above studying econometrics and economics, Probability Theory and Statistical Inference will also be useful for students in other disciplines that make extensive use of observational data, including finance, biology, sociology and psychology.
Book Synopsis A Treatise on Probability by : John Maynard Keynes
Download or read book A Treatise on Probability written by John Maynard Keynes and published by . This book was released on 1963 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With this treatise, an insightful exploration of the probabilistic connection between philosophy and the history of science, John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946) breathed new life into studies of both disciplines. Originally published in 1921, the famous economist's most important mathematical work represented a significant contribution to the theory regarding the logical probability of propositions. Keynes effectively dismantled the classical theory of probability, launching what has since been termed the "logical-relationist" theory. In so doing, he explored the logical relationships between classifying a proposition as "highly probable" and as a "justifiable induction." A Treatise on Probability argues that probability is a matter of logic, which renders it objective: a statement involving probability relations possesses a truth value independent of opinion. Keynes demonstrates that if a hypothesis has even the smallest finite probability, it can be transformed into certainty by a sufficient number of observations. This is his attempt to overcome Humean skepticism by asserting that theoretically grounded hypotheses need only exhibit finite probability to form the basis of science and rational action. Another key idea discussed in A Treatise on Probability is that probability relations constitute only a partially ordered set in the sense that two probabilities cannot necessarily always be compared. Keynes further maintains that probability is a basic concept that cannot be reduced to other concepts
