Pre-Election Polling

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Author :
Publisher : Russell Sage Foundation
ISBN 13 : 1610441443
Total Pages : 218 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (14 download)

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Book Synopsis Pre-Election Polling by : Irving Crespi

Download or read book Pre-Election Polling written by Irving Crespi and published by Russell Sage Foundation. This book was released on 1988-08-23 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since 1948, when pollsters unanimously forecast a Dewey victory over Truman, media-sponsored polls have proliferated, accompanied by a growing unease about their accuracy. Pre-Election Polling probes the results of over 430 recent polls and taps the professional "lore" of experienced pollsters to offer a major new assessment of polling practices in the 1980s. In a study of unusual scope and depth, Crespi examines the accuracy of polls conducted before a range of elections, from presidential to local. He incorporates the previously unpublished observations and reflections of pollsters representing national organizations (including Gallup, Roper, and the CBS/New York Times Poll) as well as pollsters from state, academic, and private organizations. Crespi finds potential sources of polling error in such areas as sampling, question wording, anticipating turnout, and accounting for last-minute changes in preference. To these methodological correlates of accuracy he adds important political considerations—is it a primary or general election; what office is being contested; how well known are the candidates; how crystallized are voter attitudes? Polls have become a vital feature of our political process; by exploring their strengths and weaknesses, Pre-Election Polling enhances our ability to predict and understand the complexities of voting behavior. "Combines intelligent empirical analysis with an informed insider's interpretation of the dynamics of the survey research process....Should be studied not only by all practitioners and students of opinion research but by anyone who makes use of polls." —Leo Bogart, Newspaper Advertising Bureau, Inc.

The SAGE Handbook of Public Opinion Research

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Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 1446206513
Total Pages : 641 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (462 download)

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Book Synopsis The SAGE Handbook of Public Opinion Research by : Wolfgang Donsbach

Download or read book The SAGE Handbook of Public Opinion Research written by Wolfgang Donsbach and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2007-12-18 with total page 641 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ′Some of the most experienced and thoughtful research experts in the world have contributed to this comprehensive Handbook, which should have a place on every serious survey researcher′s bookshelf′ - Sir Robert Worcester, Founder of MORI and President of WAPOR ′82-′84. ′This is the book I have been waiting for. It not only reflects the state of the art, but will most likely also shape public opinion on public opinion research′ - Olof Petersson, Professor of political science, SNS, Stockholm, Sweden ′The Handbook of Public Opinion Research is very authoritative, well organized, and sensitive to key issues in opinion research around the world. It will be my first choice as a general reference book for orienting users and training producers of opinion polls in Southeast Asia′ - Mahar K. Mangahas, Ph.D., President of Social Weather Stations, Philippines (www.sws.org.ph) ′This is the most comprehensive book on public opinion research to date′ - Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Secretary-Treasurer, World Association for Public Opinion Research (WAPOR); Director of Public Opinion Programme, The University of Hong Kong Public opinion theory and research are becoming increasingly significant in modern societies as people′s attitudes and behaviours become ever more volatile and opinion poll data becomes ever more readily available. This major new Handbook is the first to bring together into one volume the whole field of public opinion theory, research methodology, and the political and social embeddedness of polls in modern societies. It comprehensively maps out the state-of-the-art in contemporary scholarship on these topics. With over fifty chapters written by distinguished international researchers, both academic and from the commercial sector, this Handbook is designed to: - give the reader an overview of the most important concepts included in and surrounding the term ′public opinion′ and its application in modern social research - present the basic empirical concepts for assessing public opinion and opinion changes in society - provide an overview of the social, political and legal status of public opinion research, how it is perceived by the public and by journalists, and how it is used by governments - offer a review of the role and use of surveys for selected special fields of application, ranging from their use in legal cases to the use of polls in marketing and campaigns. The Handbook of Public Opinion Research provides an indispensable resource for both practitioners and students alike.

The Pre-election Polls of 1948

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 424 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis The Pre-election Polls of 1948 by : Frederick Mosteller

Download or read book The Pre-election Polls of 1948 written by Frederick Mosteller and published by . This book was released on 1949 with total page 424 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Lost in a Gallup

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Publisher : Univ of California Press
ISBN 13 : 0520397827
Total Pages : 366 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (23 download)

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Book Synopsis Lost in a Gallup by : W. Joseph Campbell

Download or read book Lost in a Gallup written by W. Joseph Campbell and published by Univ of California Press. This book was released on 2024-02-20 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This update of a lively, first-of-its-kind study of polling misfires and fiascoes in U.S. presidential campaigns takes up pollsters’ failure over the decades to offer accurate assessments of the most important of American elections. Lost in a Gallup tells the story of polling flops and failures in presidential elections since 1936. Polls do go bad, as outcomes in 2020, 2016, 2012, 2004, and 2000 all remind us. This updated edition includes a new chapter and conclusion that address the 2020 polling surprise and considers whether polls will get it right in 2024. As author W. Joseph Campbell discusses, polling misfires in presidential elections are not all alike. Pollsters have anticipated tight elections when landslides have occurred. They have pointed to the wrong winner in closer elections. Misleading state polls have thrown off expected national outcomes. Polling failure also can lead to media error. Journalists covering presidential races invariably take their lead from polls. When polls go bad, media narratives can be off-target as well. Lost in a Gallup encourages readers to treat election polls with healthy skepticism, recognizing that they could be wrong.

Who Gets Represented?

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Publisher : Russell Sage Foundation
ISBN 13 : 1610447220
Total Pages : 388 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (14 download)

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Book Synopsis Who Gets Represented? by : Peter K. Enns

Download or read book Who Gets Represented? written by Peter K. Enns and published by Russell Sage Foundation. This book was released on 2011-01-10 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An investigation of policy preferences in the U.S. and how group opinion affects political representation. While it is often assumed that policymakers favor the interests of some citizens at the expense of others, it is not always evident when and how groups' interests differ or what it means when they do. Who Gets Represented? challenges the usual assumption that the preferences of any one group—women, African Americans, or the middle class—are incompatible with the preferences of other groups. The book analyzes differences across income, education, racial, and partisan groups and investigates whether and how differences in group opinion matter with regard to political representation. Part I examines opinions among social and racial groups. Relying on an innovative matching technique, contributors Marisa Abrajano and Keith Poole link respondents in different surveys to show that racial and ethnic groups do not, as previously thought, predictably embrace similar attitudes about social welfare. Katherine Cramer Walsh finds that, although preferences on health care policy and government intervention are often surprisingly similar across class lines, different income groups can maintain the same policy preferences for different reasons. Part II turns to how group interests translate into policy outcomes, with a focus on differences in representation between income groups. James Druckman and Lawrence Jacobs analyze Ronald Reagan's response to private polling data during his presidency and show how different electorally significant groups—Republicans, the wealthy, religious conservatives—wielded disproportionate influence on Reagan's policy positions. Christopher Wlezien and Stuart Soroka show that politicians' responsiveness to the preferences of constituents within different income groups can be surprisingly even-handed. Analyzing data from 1876 to the present, Wesley Hussey and John Zaller focus on the important role of political parties, vis-à-vis constituents' preferences, for legislators' behavior. Who Gets Represented? upends several long-held assumptions, among them the growing conventional wisdom that income plays in American politics and the assumption that certain groups will always—or will never—have common interests. Similarities among group opinions are as significant as differences for understanding political representation. Who Gets Represented? offers important and surprising answers to the question it raises.

Forecasting Elections

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Elections by : Michael S. Lewis-Beck

Download or read book Forecasting Elections written by Michael S. Lewis-Beck and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: All political scientists aim to explain politics. In addition to this goal, Michael Lewis-Beck and Tom Rice aim to forecast political events, specifically election results. In "Forecasting Elections" the authors systematically develop easy-to-understand models based on national economic and political measures to forecast eleciton results for the U.S. presidency, House of Representatives, Senate, governorships, and state legislatures. For comparative purposes, the more complex French electoral system is studied. In the final chapter the authors instruct readers on how to use the models to make their own forecasts of future elections. -- From publisher's description.

Matrix of Deceit

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Author :
Publisher : Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
ISBN 13 : 9781480077034
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (77 download)

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Book Synopsis Matrix of Deceit by : Richard Charnin

Download or read book Matrix of Deceit written by Richard Charnin and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2012-10-27 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Without fair elections, there is no democracy. A thorough analysis of state and national exit polls has revealed discrepancies that are mathematically impossible. Informing the average voter of these anomalies is the goal of this book.

How to Rig an Election

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Author :
Publisher : Yale University Press
ISBN 13 : 0300280831
Total Pages : 343 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis How to Rig an Election by : Nic Cheeseman

Download or read book How to Rig an Election written by Nic Cheeseman and published by Yale University Press. This book was released on 2024-07-23 with total page 343 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An engrossing analysis of the pseudo-democratic methods employed by despots around the world to retain control Contrary to what is commonly believed, authoritarian leaders who agree to hold elections are generally able to remain in power longer than autocrats who refuse to allow the populace to vote. In this engaging and provocative book, Nic Cheeseman and Brian Klaas expose the limitations of national elections as a means of promoting democratization, and reveal the six essential strategies that dictators use to undermine the electoral process in order to guarantee victory for themselves. Based on their firsthand experiences as election watchers and their hundreds of interviews with presidents, prime ministers, diplomats, election officials, and conspirators, Cheeseman and Klaas document instances of election rigging from Argentina to Zimbabwe, including notable examples from Brazil, India, Nigeria, Russia, and the United States—touching on the 2016 election. This eye-opening study offers a sobering overview of corrupted professional politics, while providing fertile intellectual ground for the development of new solutions for protecting democracy from authoritarian subversion.

Voting Experiments

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 331940573X
Total Pages : 330 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (194 download)

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Book Synopsis Voting Experiments by : André Blais

Download or read book Voting Experiments written by André Blais and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-10-03 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a collection of papers illustrating the variety of "experimental" methodologies used to study voting. Experimental methods include laboratory experiments in the tradition of political psychology, laboratory experiments with monetary incentives, in the economic tradition, survey experiments (varying survey, question wording, framing or content), as well as various kinds of field experimentation. Topics include the behavior of voters (in particular turnout, vote choice, and strategic voting), the behavior of parties and candidates, and the comparison of electoral rules.

The Motivation to Vote

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Author :
Publisher : UBC Press
ISBN 13 : 077486270X
Total Pages : 157 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (748 download)

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Book Synopsis The Motivation to Vote by : André Blais

Download or read book The Motivation to Vote written by André Blais and published by UBC Press. This book was released on 2020-02-01 with total page 157 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Elections are at the heart of our democracy. Understanding citizens’ decisions to vote or to abstain in elections is crucial, especially when turnout in so many democracies is declining. In The Motivation to Vote, André Blais and Jean-François Daoust provide an original and elegant model that explains why people vote. They argue that the decision to vote or abstain hinges on four factors: political interest, sense of civic duty, perceived importance of the election, and ease of voting. Their findings are strongly supported by empirical evidence from elections in five countries. The authors also test alternative explanations of voter turnout by looking at contextual factors and the role of habit, but find little evidence to support these hypotheses. This analysis is compelling and further demonstrates the power of their model to provide a provocative and parsimonious explanation of voter turnout in elections.

Where Did You Get This Number?

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Publisher : Simon & Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1501174851
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis Where Did You Get This Number? by : Anthony Salvanto

Download or read book Where Did You Get This Number? written by Anthony Salvanto and published by Simon & Schuster. This book was released on 2019-08-27 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: CBS News’ Elections and Surveys Director Anthony Salvanto takes you behind the scenes of polling to show you how to think about who we are and where we’re headed as a nation. As Elections and Surveys Director for CBS News, it’s Anthony Salvanto’s job to understand you—what you think and how you vote. He’s the person behind so many of the poll numbers you see today, making the winner calls on election nights and surveying thousands of Americans. In Where Did You Get This Number? A Pollster’s Guide to Making Sense of the World, Salvanto takes readers on a fast-paced, eye-opening tour through the world of polling and elections and what they really show about America today, beyond the who's-up-who’s-down headlines and horse races. Salvanto is just the person to bring much-needed clarity in a time when divisions seem to run so deep. The language of polling may be numbers, but the stories it tells are about people. In this engaging insider’s account, Salvanto demystifies jargon with plain language and answers readers’ biggest questions about polling and pollsters. How can they talk to 1,000 people and know the country? How do they know the winner so fast? How do they decide what questions to ask? Why didn't they call you? Salvanto offers data-driven perspective on how Americans see the biggest issues of our time, from the surprising 2016 election, to the shocks of the financial crisis, the response to terrorism and the backlash against big money. He doesn’t shy away from pointing out what’s worked and what hasn’t. Salvanto takes readers inside the CBS newsroom on Election Night 2016 and makes readers rethink conventional wisdom and punditry just in time for the 2018 midterms. He shows who really decides elections and why you should think about a poll differently from the forecasts popularized by Nate Silver and others. Where Did You Get This Number? is an essential resource for anyone interested in politics—and how to better measure and understand patterns of human behavior. For any American who wants to get a better read on what America is thinking, this book shows you how to make sense of it all.

Opinion Polls and the Media

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230374956
Total Pages : 368 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Opinion Polls and the Media by : C. Holtz-Bacha

Download or read book Opinion Polls and the Media written by C. Holtz-Bacha and published by Springer. This book was released on 2012-04-05 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Opinion Polls and the Media provides the most comprehensive analysis to date on the relationship between the media, opinion polls, and public opinion. Looking at the extent to which the media, through their use of opinion polls, both reflect and shape public opinion, it brings together a team of leading scholars and analyzes theoretical and methodological approaches to the media and their use of opinion polls. The contributors explore how the media use opinion polls in a range of countries across the world, and analyze the effects and uses of opinion polls by the public as well as political actors.

Pre-Election Polling

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Author :
Publisher : Russell Sage Foundation
ISBN 13 : 9780871542083
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Pre-Election Polling by : Irving Crespi

Download or read book Pre-Election Polling written by Irving Crespi and published by Russell Sage Foundation. This book was released on 1988-08-23 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This major assessment of current polling practices probes the results of hundreds of recent polls and taps the professional "lore" of experienced pollsters. Polls have become a vital feature of our political process; by exploring their strengths and weaknesses, this study enhances our ability to predict and understands the complexities of voting behavior.

Exit Polls: Surveying the American Electorate, 1927-2010

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Author :
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 1608717410
Total Pages : 329 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (87 download)

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Book Synopsis Exit Polls: Surveying the American Electorate, 1927-2010 by : Samuel J. Best

Download or read book Exit Polls: Surveying the American Electorate, 1927-2010 written by Samuel J. Best and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2012-02-14 with total page 329 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explores the trends in longitudinal variables asked in the national Election Day exit polls from their beginning in 1972 to the present. The book documents comparable survey items that have appeared in multiple exit polls over time. --from publisher description.

Parties in Transition

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Publisher : Russell Sage Foundation
ISBN 13 : 1610443977
Total Pages : 311 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (14 download)

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Book Synopsis Parties in Transition by : Warren Miller

Download or read book Parties in Transition written by Warren Miller and published by Russell Sage Foundation. This book was released on 1986-12-07 with total page 311 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Every four years, the drama of presidential selection inspires a reassessment of our political parties. Central to this assessment are the delegates who gather at Democratic and Republican national conventions. Parties in Transition presents a richly modulated body of data of the changing attitudes and behaviors of these delegates—their ideologies and loyalties, their recruitment into presidential politics, their persistence in or disengagement from it. Covering three recent sets of conventions and involving over five thousand delegates, this comprehensive study makes an essential contribution to our understanding of American party politics. "Richer and more authoritative than most of the best works in the field." —Election Politics "A most important study of change in the American political scene....Richly deserves to be read." —John H. Kessel, Ohio State University "[A] shrewd and sophisticated analysis....Both scholars and practitioners should read this book and ponder it." —Austin Ranney, University of California, Berkeley

Election Inspector

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Author :
Publisher : Career Examination
ISBN 13 : 9780837312651
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (126 download)

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Book Synopsis Election Inspector by : National Learning Corporation

Download or read book Election Inspector written by National Learning Corporation and published by Career Examination. This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Election Inspector Passbook(R) prepares you for your test by allowing you to take practice exams in the subjects you need to study. It provides hundreds of questions and answers in the areas that will likely be covered on your upcoming exam, including but not limited to: American government and civics; inspection procedures; understand and interpreting written materials; name and number checking; and more.

Biden Vs. Trump

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781618461254
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

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Book Synopsis Biden Vs. Trump by : Wake Forest University

Download or read book Biden Vs. Trump written by Wake Forest University and published by . This book was released on 2021-07-14 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: