Expert Political Judgment

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Author :
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400888816
Total Pages : 368 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Expert Political Judgment by : Philip E. Tetlock

Download or read book Expert Political Judgment written by Philip E. Tetlock and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-08-29 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat. Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.

Political Judgement

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 052176498X
Total Pages : 363 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (217 download)

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Book Synopsis Political Judgement by : Richard Bourke

Download or read book Political Judgement written by Richard Bourke and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-08-20 with total page 363 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Leading scholars re-examine political judgement, attempting to understand the relationship between political theory and political practice.

Political Judgement

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135026823
Total Pages : 219 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis Political Judgement by : Ronald Beiner

Download or read book Political Judgement written by Ronald Beiner and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-06-17 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1983. One of the basic capacities of man as a political being is his faculty of judgement. Yet for all the books on concepts like freedom, equality and authority, surprisingly little attention has been given to this topic in the tradition of Western political thought. What is the nature of political judgement? What endows us, as human beings, with the ability to make reasonable judgements about human affairs and to judge the common world we share with others? By what means to we secure validity for our judgements? What are the underlying conditions of this human capacity, and what implications does it have the understanding of politics? These questions, central as they are to any reflection on politics have rarely been addressed in a systematic way. This book examines Kant’s concept of taste and Aristotle’s concept of prudence, as well as recent works of political philosophy by Arendt, Gadamer and Habermas, all crucially influenced by Kant and Aristotle.

Affective Intelligence and Political Judgment

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 9780226504681
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (46 download)

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Book Synopsis Affective Intelligence and Political Judgment by : George E. Marcus

Download or read book Affective Intelligence and Political Judgment written by George E. Marcus and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2000-10 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work draws on research in neuroscience, physiology, and experimental psychology to conceptualize habit and reason as two mental states that interact in a delicate, highly functional balance controlled by emotion. It sheds light on a range of political behaviour, including party identification.

Power, Judgment and Political Evil

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 131707677X
Total Pages : 210 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Power, Judgment and Political Evil by : Danielle Celermajer

Download or read book Power, Judgment and Political Evil written by Danielle Celermajer and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-04-08 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In an interview with Günther Gaus for German television in 1964, Hannah Arendt insisted that she was not a philosopher but a political theorist. Disillusioned by the cooperation of German intellectuals with the Nazis, she said farewell to philosophy when she fled the country. This book examines Arendt's ideas about thinking, acting and political responsibility, investigating the relationship between the life of the mind and the life of action that preoccupied Arendt throughout her life. By joining in the conversation between Arendt and Gaus, each contributor probes her ideas about thinking and judging and their relation to responsibility, power and violence. An insightful and intelligent treatment of the work of Hannah Arendt, this volume will appeal to a wide number of fields beyond political theory and philosophy, including law, literary studies, social anthropology and cultural history.

Practical Judgement in International Political Theory

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0415653827
Total Pages : 330 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (156 download)

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Book Synopsis Practical Judgement in International Political Theory by : Chris Brown

Download or read book Practical Judgement in International Political Theory written by Chris Brown and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-11-14 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chris Brown has been one of the most influential figures within international relations scholarship in the UK and has made enormous contributions to debates on pluralism, rights, justice and human rights within the field of international political theory. This book collects together and revises many of his most important influential and groundbreaking articles.

The Concept of Political Judgment

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Author :
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 9780226771939
Total Pages : 328 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (719 download)

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Book Synopsis The Concept of Political Judgment by : Peter J. Steinberger

Download or read book The Concept of Political Judgment written by Peter J. Steinberger and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 1993-09-15 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Steinberger's conclusion--that a coherent political society must also be a judgmental one--flies in the face of much contemporary thinking.

Justice and Judgement

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Author :
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 1848609507
Total Pages : 271 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (486 download)

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Book Synopsis Justice and Judgement by : Alessandro Ferrara

Download or read book Justice and Judgement written by Alessandro Ferrara and published by SAGE. This book was released on 1999-07-28 with total page 271 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Justice and Judgement is a comprehensive introduction to theories of judgement in contemporary political and moral philosophy. The book offers a critical examination of judgement in the recent works of Rawls, Habermas, Ackerman, Michelman and Dworkin, including an historical overview of the judgement model in contemporary political philosophy; the function of the constitution; and deliberative democracy. The book concludes with a discussion of universalism and contemporary liberalism and the judgement view of justice.

Expert Political Judgment

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Author :
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691175977
Total Pages : 367 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Expert Political Judgment by : Philip E. Tetlock

Download or read book Expert Political Judgment written by Philip E. Tetlock and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-08-29 with total page 367 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat. Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.

A Democratic Theory of Judgment

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Author :
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022639803X
Total Pages : 401 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (263 download)

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Book Synopsis A Democratic Theory of Judgment by : Linda M.G. Zerilli

Download or read book A Democratic Theory of Judgment written by Linda M.G. Zerilli and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2016-12-12 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this sweeping look at political and philosophical history, Linda M. G. Zerilli unpacks the tightly woven core of Hannah Arendt’s unfinished work on a tenacious modern problem: how to judge critically in the wake of the collapse of inherited criteria of judgment. Engaging a remarkable breadth of thinkers, including Ludwig Wittgenstein, Leo Strauss, Immanuel Kant, Frederick Douglass, John Rawls, Jürgen Habermas, Martha Nussbaum, and many others, Zerilli clears a hopeful path between an untenable universalism and a cultural relativism that forever defers the possibility of judging at all. Zerilli deftly outlines the limitations of existing debates, both those that concern themselves with the impossibility of judging across cultures and those that try to find transcendental, rational values to anchor judgment. Looking at Kant through the lens of Arendt, Zerilli develops the notion of a public conception of truth, and from there she explores relativism, historicism, and universalism as they shape feminist approaches to judgment. Following Arendt even further, Zerilli arrives at a hopeful new pathway—seeing the collapse of philosophical criteria for judgment not as a problem but a way to practice judgment anew as a world-building activity of democratic citizens. The result is an astonishing theoretical argument that travels through—and goes beyond—some of the most important political thought of the modern period.

Becoming Political

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022655550X
Total Pages : 189 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (265 download)

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Book Synopsis Becoming Political by : Christopher Skeaff

Download or read book Becoming Political written by Christopher Skeaff and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2018-06-25 with total page 189 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this pathbreaking work, Christopher Skeaff argues that a profoundly democratic conception of judgment is at the heart of Spinoza’s thought. Bridging Continental and Anglo-American scholarship, critical theory, and Spinoza studies, Becoming Political offers a historically sensitive, meticulous, and creative interpretation of Spinoza’s texts that reveals judgment as the communal element by which people generate power to resist domination and reconfigure the terms of their political association. If, for Spinoza, judging is the activity which makes a people powerful, it is because it enables them to contest the project of ruling and demonstrate the political possibility of being equally free to articulate the terms of their association. This proposition differs from a predominant contemporary line of argument that treats the people’s judgment as a vehicle of sovereignty—a means of defining and refining the common will. By recuperating in Spinoza’s thought a “vital republicanism,” Skeaff illuminates a line of political thinking that decouples democracy from the majoritarian aspiration to rule and aligns it instead with the project of becoming free and equal judges of common affairs. As such, this decoupling raises questions that ordinarily go unasked: what calls for political judgment, and who is to judge? In Spinoza’s vital republicanism, the political potential of life and law finds an affirmative relationship that signals the way toward a new constitutionalism and jurisprudence of the common.

Public Opinion

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 448 pages
Book Rating : 4.A/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Public Opinion by : Walter Lippmann

Download or read book Public Opinion written by Walter Lippmann and published by . This book was released on 1922 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In what is widely considered the most influential book ever written by Walter Lippmann, the late journalist and social critic provides a fundamental treatise on the nature of human information and communication. The work is divided into eight parts, covering such varied issues as stereotypes, image making, and organized intelligence. The study begins with an analysis of "the world outside and the pictures in our heads", a leitmotif that starts with issues of censorship and privacy, speed, words, and clarity, and ends with a careful survey of the modern newspaper. Lippmann's conclusions are as meaningful in a world of television and computers as in the earlier period when newspapers were dominant. Public Opinion is of enduring significance for communications scholars, historians, sociologists, and political scientists. Copyright © Libri GmbH. All rights reserved.

On the Judgment of History

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Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 0231551908
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis On the Judgment of History by : Joan Wallach Scott

Download or read book On the Judgment of History written by Joan Wallach Scott and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2020-09-22 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the face of conflict and despair, we often console ourselves by saying that history will be the judge. Today’s oppressors may escape being held responsible for their crimes, but the future will condemn them. Those who stand up for progressive values are on the right side of history. As ideas once condemned to the dustbin of history—white supremacy, hypernationalism, even fascism—return to the world, threatening democratic institutions and values, can we still hold out hope that history will render its verdict? Joan Wallach Scott critically examines the belief that history will redeem us, revealing the implicit politics of appeals to the judgment of history. She argues that the notion of a linear, ever-improving direction of history hides the persistence of power structures and hinders the pursuit of alternative futures. This vision of necessary progress perpetuates the assumption that the nation-state is the culmination of history and the ultimate source for rectifying injustice. Scott considers the Nuremberg Tribunal and South Africa’s Truth and Reconciliation Commission, which claimed to carry out history’s judgment on Nazism and apartheid, and contrasts them with the movement for reparations for slavery in the United States. Advocates for reparations call into question a national history that has long ignored enslavement and its racist legacies. Only by this kind of critical questioning of the place of the nation-state as the final source of history’s judgment, this book shows, can we open up room for radically different conceptions of justice.

Enquiry Concerning Political Justice, and Its Influence on Morals and Happiness

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 526 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Enquiry Concerning Political Justice, and Its Influence on Morals and Happiness by : William Godwin

Download or read book Enquiry Concerning Political Justice, and Its Influence on Morals and Happiness written by William Godwin and published by . This book was released on 1798 with total page 526 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Politics of Sincerity

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Publisher : Penn State Press
ISBN 13 : 0271046112
Total Pages : 246 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis The Politics of Sincerity by : Elizabeth Markovits

Download or read book The Politics of Sincerity written by Elizabeth Markovits and published by Penn State Press. This book was released on 2010-11 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A growing frustration with “spin doctors,” doublespeak, and outright lying by public officials has resulted in a deep public cynicism regarding politics today. It has also led many voters to seek out politicians who engage in “straight talk,” out of a hope that sincerity signifies a dedication to the truth. While this is an understandable reaction to the degradation of public discourse inflicted by political hype, Elizabeth Markovits argues that the search for sincerity in the public arena actually constitutes a dangerous distraction from more important concerns, including factual truth and the ethical import of political statements. Her argument takes her back to an examination of the Greek notion of parrhesia (frank speech), and she draws from her study of the Platonic dialogues a nuanced understanding of this ancient analogue of “straight talk.” She shows Plato to have an appreciation for rhetoric rather than a desire to purge it from public life, providing insights into the ways it can contribute to a fruitful form of deliberative democracy today.

On War

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 388 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis On War by : Carl von Clausewitz

Download or read book On War written by Carl von Clausewitz and published by . This book was released on 1908 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Cambridge Rawls Lexicon

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1316193985
Total Pages : 1112 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (161 download)

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Book Synopsis The Cambridge Rawls Lexicon by : Jon Mandle

Download or read book The Cambridge Rawls Lexicon written by Jon Mandle and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2014-12-11 with total page 1112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: John Rawls is widely regarded as one of the most influential philosophers of the twentieth century, and his work has permanently shaped the nature and terms of moral and political philosophy, deploying a robust and specialized vocabulary that reaches beyond philosophy to political science, economics, sociology, and law. This volume is a complete and accessible guide to Rawls' vocabulary, with over 200 alphabetical encyclopaedic entries written by the world's leading Rawls scholars. From 'basic structure' to 'burdened society', from 'Sidgwick' to 'strains of commitment', and from 'Nash point' to 'natural duties', the volume covers the entirety of Rawls' central ideas and terminology, with illuminating detail and careful cross-referencing. It will be an essential resource for students and scholars of Rawls, as well as for other readers in political philosophy, ethics, political science, sociology, international relations and law.