Political Instability and Economic Vulnerability

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451846533
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Political Instability and Economic Vulnerability by : Mr.Christian B. Mulder

Download or read book Political Instability and Economic Vulnerability written by Mr.Christian B. Mulder and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-04-01 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes and tests the influence of political instability on economic vulnerability in the context of the 1994 and 1997 crises episodes. It constructs four political variables that aim at quantifying political instability. The paper finds that for countries with weak economic fundamentals and low reserves, political instability has a strong impact on economic vulnerability. The estimation results suggest that including political variables in economic models does improve their power to explain and predict economic crises. The paper concludes that countries are more economically vulnerable during and especially following election periods, and when election results are less stable than at other times.

Political Instability and Economic Vulnerability

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Political Instability and Economic Vulnerability by : Matthieu Bussière

Download or read book Political Instability and Economic Vulnerability written by Matthieu Bussière and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes and tests the influence of political instability on economic vulnerability in the context of the 1994 and 1997 crises episodes. It constructs four political variables that aim at quantifying political instability. The paper finds that for countries with weak economic fundamentals and low reserves, political instability has a strong impact on economic vulnerability. The estimation results suggest that including political variables in economic models does improve their power to explain and predict economic crises. The paper concludes that countries are more economically vulnerable during and especially following election periods, and when election results are less stable than at other times.

Political instability as a source of growth

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Author :
Publisher : Hoover Press
ISBN 13 : 9780817943431
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (434 download)

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Book Synopsis Political instability as a source of growth by :

Download or read book Political instability as a source of growth written by and published by Hoover Press. This book was released on with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Paradox of Vulnerability

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691163251
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis The Paradox of Vulnerability by : John L. Campbell

Download or read book The Paradox of Vulnerability written by John L. Campbell and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-08-29 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why are small and culturally homogeneous nation-states in the advanced capitalist world so prosperous? Examining how Denmark, Ireland, and Switzerland managed the 2008 financial crisis, The Paradox of Vulnerability shows that this is not an accident. John Campbell and John Hall argue that a prolonged sense of vulnerability within both the state and the nation encourages the development of institutions that enable decision makers to act together quickly in order to survive, especially during a crisis. Blending insights from studies of comparative political economy and nationalism and drawing on both extensive interviews and secondary data, Campbell and Hall support their claim by focusing on the three states historically and, more important, in their different responses to the 2008 crisis. The authors also devote attention to the difficulties faced by Greece and Iceland. The implications of their argument are profound. First, they show that there is a positive side to nationalism: social solidarity can enhance national prosperity. Second, because globalization now requires all states to become more adaptable, there are lessons here for other states, large and small. Lastly, the formula for prosperity presented here is under threat: highly homogeneous societies face challenges in dealing with immigration, with some responding in ways that threaten their success. The Paradox of Vulnerability demonstrates how the size and culture of a nation contribute in significant ways to its ability to handle political and economic pressures and challenges.

Impacts of Political Instability on Economics in the MENA Region

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Publisher : Information Science Reference
ISBN 13 : 9781522595359
Total Pages : 328 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (953 download)

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Book Synopsis Impacts of Political Instability on Economics in the MENA Region by : Philippe Zgheib

Download or read book Impacts of Political Instability on Economics in the MENA Region written by Philippe Zgheib and published by Information Science Reference. This book was released on 2019-05 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book addresses the political Instability and its effects on the economics of the MENA countries. It also covers economic growth, brain drain, capital controls, corruption, economic reform, economic shocks, uncertainty, vulnerability, economics inequality, FDI flows, corruption, financial crises, terrorism, stock market crashes/crises, poverty, sustainability, and tourism"--

Economic Vulnerability of Least Developed Countries in Light of the Current Economic Crisis

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 364057897X
Total Pages : 69 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (45 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Vulnerability of Least Developed Countries in Light of the Current Economic Crisis by : Florentin Krämer

Download or read book Economic Vulnerability of Least Developed Countries in Light of the Current Economic Crisis written by Florentin Krämer and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2010-04 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bachelor Thesis from the year 2009 in the subject Business economics - Economic Policy, grade: 1,5, University of St. Gallen, language: English, abstract: As the economic crisis of the late 200os unfolds, the need for global political, regulatory and supervisory changes becomes apparent. This paper is intended to clarify the role that least developed countries play in this process. Different channels of vulnerability are identified and examined both in a dynamic and static framework, thereby contributing to an understanding of how and to which degree the world's poorest countries will be affected by the current global economic turmoil. It arrives at the conclusion that LDCs are likely to be negatively affected by numerous structural factors and identifies low and high vulnerability states by constructing a composite Economic Vulnerability Index.

Prioritization Theory and Defensive Foreign Policy

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319480189
Total Pages : 263 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (194 download)

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Book Synopsis Prioritization Theory and Defensive Foreign Policy by : Hanna Samir Kassab

Download or read book Prioritization Theory and Defensive Foreign Policy written by Hanna Samir Kassab and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-02-07 with total page 263 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book studies systemic vulnerabilities and their impact on states and individual survival. The author theorizes that the structure of the international system is a product of the distribution of capabilities and vulnerabilities across states. States function or behave in terms of these systemic threats. The author examines a number of specific case-studies focusing on military, economic, environmental, political and cyber vulnerabilities, and how different states are impacted by them. Arguing that current attempts to securitize these vulnerabilities through defensive foreign policies are largely failing, the books makes the case for prioritizing economic development and human security.

On a Hinge of History

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis On a Hinge of History by : Ivan L. Head

Download or read book On a Hinge of History written by Ivan L. Head and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Papers of the meeting held in Argonne, Ill. May, 1988. They cover theorem proving, logic programming, unification, deductive databases, term rewriting, ATP for non-standard logics, and program verification. No index. Long assuming themselves to be invulnerable to events in the developing countries, the industrialized countries are increasingly reaping the spillover of environmental deterioration, economic uncertainty, social turbulence, and political instability in the developing world. Head (retired president, the International Development Research Centre, Ottawa) explores the growing crisis of North-South inequities, and the breadth of its impact. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Why are Stabilizations Delayed?

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Publisher : London, Ont. : University of Western Ontario, Political Economy Research Group
ISBN 13 : 9780771412288
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (122 download)

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Book Synopsis Why are Stabilizations Delayed? by : Alesina, Alberto

Download or read book Why are Stabilizations Delayed? written by Alesina, Alberto and published by London, Ont. : University of Western Ontario, Political Economy Research Group. This book was released on 1990 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Cross-National Analysis of Political Instability and Economic Development

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (932 download)

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Book Synopsis A Cross-National Analysis of Political Instability and Economic Development by :

Download or read book A Cross-National Analysis of Political Instability and Economic Development written by and published by . This book was released on 1971 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Economic Security: Neglected Dimension of National Security ?

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Publisher : Government Printing Office
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Security: Neglected Dimension of National Security ? by : National Defense University (U S )

Download or read book Economic Security: Neglected Dimension of National Security ? written by National Defense University (U S ) and published by Government Printing Office. This book was released on 2011-12-27 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: On August 24-25, 2010, the National Defense University held a conference titled “Economic Security: Neglected Dimension of National Security?” to explore the economic element of national power. This special collection of selected papers from the conference represents the view of several keynote speakers and participants in six panel discussions. It explores the complexity surrounding this subject and examines the major elements that, interacting as a system, define the economic component of national security.

Human Security and Mutual Vulnerability

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Publisher : IDRC
ISBN 13 : 0889368791
Total Pages : 136 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (893 download)

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Book Synopsis Human Security and Mutual Vulnerability by : Jorge Nef

Download or read book Human Security and Mutual Vulnerability written by Jorge Nef and published by IDRC. This book was released on 1999 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Human Security and Mutual Vulnerability: The global political economy of development and underdevelopment (Second Edition)

Food Security and Sociopolitical Stability

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Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191668702
Total Pages : 510 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Food Security and Sociopolitical Stability by : Christopher B. Barrett

Download or read book Food Security and Sociopolitical Stability written by Christopher B. Barrett and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2013-09-26 with total page 510 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global food price spikes in 2008 and again in 2011 coincided with a surge of political unrest in low- and middle-income countries. Angry consumers took to the streets in scores of nations. In some places, food riots turned violent, pressuring governments and in a few cases contributed to their overthrow. Foreign investors sparked a new global land rush, adding a different set of pressures. With scientists cautioning that the world has entered a new era of steadily rising food prices, perhaps aggravated by climate change, the specter of widespread food insecurity and sociopolitical instability weighs on policymakers worldwide. In the past few years, governments and philanthropic foundations began redoubling efforts to resuscitate agricultural research and technology transfer, as well as to accelerate the modernization of food value chains to deliver high quality food inexpensively, faster, and in greater volumes to urban consumers. But will these efforts suffice? This volume explores the complex relationship between food security and sociopolitical stability up to roughly 2025. Organized around a series of original essays by leading global technical experts, a key message of this volume is that actions taken in an effort to address food security stressors may have consequences for food security, stability, or both that ultimately matter far more than the direct impacts of biophysical drivers such as climate or land or water scarcity. The means by which governments, firms, and private philanthropies tackle the food security challenge of the coming decade will fundamentally shape the relationship between food security and sociopolitical stability.

Global Trends 2040

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Publisher : Cosimo Reports
ISBN 13 : 9781646794973
Total Pages : 158 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (949 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Trends 2040 by : National Intelligence Council

Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 2

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451974205
Total Pages : 148 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 2 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 2 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-01-01 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the predictability of currency crises. The paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. Two of the models failed to provide useful forecasts. One model provides forecasts that are somewhat informative though still not reliable. Plausible modifications to this model improve its performance, providing some hope that future models may do better. The study suggests, though, that although forecasting models may help indicate vulnerability to crises, the predictive power of even the best of them may be limited.

Global Financial Stability Report, October 2019

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498324029
Total Pages : 109 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Financial Stability Report, October 2019 by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report, October 2019 written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-10-16 with total page 109 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The October 2019 Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR) identifies the current key vulnerabilities in the global financial system as the rise in corporate debt burdens, increasing holdings of riskier and more illiquid assets by institutional investors, and growing reliance on external borrowing by emerging and frontier market economies. The report proposes that policymakers mitigate these risks through stricter supervisory and macroprudential oversight of firms, strengthened oversight and disclosure for institutional investors, and the implementation of prudent sovereign debt management practices and frameworks for emerging and frontier market economies.

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2021

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513569678
Total Pages : 92 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Financial Stability Report, April 2021 by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report, April 2021 written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-04-06 with total page 92 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Extraordinary policy measures have eased financial conditions and supported the economy, helping to contain financial stability risks. Chapter 1 warns that there is a pressing need to act to avoid a legacy of vulnerabilities while avoiding a broad tightening of financial conditions. Actions taken during the pandemic may have unintended consequences such as stretched valuations and rising financial vulnerabilities. The recovery is also expected to be asynchronous and divergent between advanced and emerging market economies. Given large external financing needs, several emerging markets face challenges, especially if a persistent rise in US rates brings about a repricing of risk and tighter financial conditions. The corporate sector in many countries is emerging from the pandemic overindebted, with notable differences depending on firm size and sector. Concerns about the credit quality of hard-hit borrowers and profitability are likely to weigh on the risk appetite of banks. Chapter 2 studies leverage in the nonfinancial private sector before and during the COVID-19 crisis, pointing out that policymakers face a trade-off between boosting growth in the short term by facilitating an easing of financial conditions and containing future downside risks. This trade-off may be amplified by the existing high and rapidly building leverage, increasing downside risks to future growth. The appropriate timing for deployment of macroprudential tools should be country-specific, depending on the pace of recovery, vulnerabilities, and policy tools available. Chapter 3 turns to the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the commercial real estate sector. While there is little evidence of large price misalignments at the onset of the pandemic, signs of overvaluation have now emerged in some economies. Misalignments in commercial real estate prices, especially if they interact with other vulnerabilities, increase downside risks to future growth due to the possibility of sharp price corrections.