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Pavement Service Life Estimation And Condition Prediction
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Book Synopsis Pavement Service Life Estimation and Condition Prediction by : Jianxiong Yu
Download or read book Pavement Service Life Estimation and Condition Prediction written by Jianxiong Yu and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Remaining service life estimation and pavement condition prediction are two essential functions of Pavement Management Systems. Survival curves are often developed to obtain remaining life of a pavement family at network level. Regression equations are often developed to predict future pavement condition at project level. The two objectives of this study are: (1) To develop the Cox Proportional Hazard model to analyze the effects of influential factors on pavement remaining life; (2) To develop linear mixed effects prediction model to improve the condition prediction accuracy for individual pavements. In this study, by specifying pavement condition rating (PCR) of 70 as the terminal pavement status, survival curves were developed based on historical PCR data using Cox Proportional Hazards method. Further, the estimated service lives of pavements were obtained from these survival curves. As an example, the survival data of asphalt overlays on flexible pavements in Ohio were analyzed for this study. The effects of influential factors such as structure thickness, climate, traffic loading, and pavement conditions prior to repair on pavement service life, were assessed. The results show that the Cox Proportional Hazards model is applicable in estimating the effects of influential factors on pavement service life. The service life obtained from this study can be used to assist in pavement rehabilitation decision-making, overlay design, and budget allocation. Condition prediction of individual pavement is usually required in project-level management and is often based on adjusting corresponding pavement family deterioration trend. This study proposes using the Linear Mixed Effects Model (LMEM) method to predict future conditions of a specific pavement section by a weighted combination of the deterioration trends of the family average and that of the specific pavement. The weights are determined by the number of historical condition measurements available and the variations of the measured historical conditions of the specific pavement. The results of the LMEM showed significantly better accuracy in predicting specific pavement conditions compared with two commonly used adjustment methods, which use the latest condition measurement to adjust family model for individual pavement. The findings in this study show that the LMEM is useful for project level pavement condition prediction.
Book Synopsis A Combined Serviceability and Distress Pavement Performance Model for Estimating Remaining Service Life of Flexible Pavements by : Jack T. Allison
Download or read book A Combined Serviceability and Distress Pavement Performance Model for Estimating Remaining Service Life of Flexible Pavements written by Jack T. Allison and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Pavement Forecasting Models by : Eddie Chou
Download or read book Pavement Forecasting Models written by Eddie Chou and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The primary objectives of this study were to develop models to forecast future pavement conditions and to determine remaining service life of pavements based on the forecasted conditions. Based on available data in the ODOT pavement database, which contains the condition history of each pavement section, along with its location, year of construction, thickness, materials used, climate, and rehabilitation records, individual regression, family regression, and Markov probabilistic models were developed . For the latter two models, pavements were first grouped into "families" with similar characteristics, based on pavement type, priority, District location, and past performance. Forecasting models were then developed for each such "family." The developed models were evaluated by comparing the predicted conditions with the actual observed conditions for the five year period between 2001 and 2005. The Markov model was found to have the highest overall prediction accuracy among all the models evaluated, and it can also predict future distresses in addition to the PCR values. As a result of this study, ODOT can forecast future pavement conditions and estimate the remaining service life of pavements. Future rehabilitation needs can also be determined. Such capabilities will significantly benefit planning and management decision-makings at both project and network levels
Book Synopsis Developing Cost-effective Pavement Maintenance and Rehabilitation Schedules by : Gulfam Jannat
Download or read book Developing Cost-effective Pavement Maintenance and Rehabilitation Schedules written by Gulfam Jannat and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 183 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pavement Maintenance and Rehabilitation (M&R) are the most critical and expensive components of infrastructure asset management. Increasing traffic load, climate change and resource limitations for road maintenance accelerate pavement deterioration and eventually increase the need for future maintenance treatments. Consequently, pavement management programs are increasingly complex. The complexities are attributed to the precise assessment process of the overall pavement condition, realistic distress prediction and identification of cost-effective M&R schedules. Cost-effective road M&R practices are only possible when the evaluation of pavement condition is precise, pavement deterioration models are accurate, and resources must also be available at the right time. In a Pavement Management System (PMS), feasible M&R treatments are identified at the end of each branch of the decision trees. The decision trees are based on empirical relationships of the pavement performance index. Moreover, the predicted improvements in pavement performance for any treatment are set based on engineering experiences. Furthermore, the remaining service life of the pavement is estimated from the predicted deterioration of the overall condition. The future deterioration of the overall condition is estimated based on the initial condition and by considering only the effect of age notwithstanding the effect of traffic or materials. In assessing the overall condition of the pavement, this research overcomes the limitations of engineering judgment by incorporating a Mechanistic-Empirical (M-E) approach and estimating the improvement in performance for specific treatment types. It also considers the effect of traffic and materials on pavement performance to precisely predict its future deterioration and subsequent remaining service life. The objective of this research is to develop cost-effective pavement M&R schedules by incorporating (a) the M-E approach into the overall condition index and (b) the estimate of performance indices by considering the factors affecting pavement performance. The research objective will be accomplished by (i) incorporating variability analysis of existing performance evaluation practices and maintenance decisions of pavement, (ii) investigating estimates of existing performance indices, (iii) incorporating the M-E approach: sensitivity analysis, prediction, comparison and verification, (iv) estimating the deterioration model based on traffic characteristics and material types, and (v) identifying cost-effective M&R treatment options through Life Cycle Cost Analysis (LCCA). This study uses the pavement performance data of Ontario highways recorded in the Ministry of Transportation (MTO) pavement database. Precise assessment of pavement condition is a significant part in achieving the research goal. In a PMS, an accurate location reference system is necessary for managing pavement evaluations and maintenance. The length of the pavement section selected for evaluation may have a significant impact on the assessment irrespective of the type of performance indices. In Ontario, the highway section lengths range from 50m to 50,000m. For this reason, a variability in performance evaluation is investigated due to changes in section length. This study considers rut depth, Pavement Condition Index (PCI), and International Roughness Index (IRI) as performance indices. The distributions of these indices are compared by the following groupings of section lengths: 50m, 500m, 1,000m and 10,000m. The variations of performance assessments due to changing section lengths are investigated based on their impact on maintenance decisions. A Monte Carlo simulation is carried out by varying section lengths to estimate probabilities of maintenance work requirements. Results of such empirical investigations reveal that most of the longer sections are evaluated with low rut depth and the shorter sections are evaluated with high rut depth. This Monte Carlo simulation also reveals that 50m sections have a higher probability of maintenance requirements than 500m sections. The method of estimating performance indices is also investigated to identify the requirement of improvement in estimation of the prediction models. Generally, in a PMS, the prediction models of Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) are estimated by using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) approach. However, the OLS approach can be inefficient if unobserved factors influencing individual KPIs are correlated with each other. For this reason, regression models for KPI predictions are estimated by using an approach called the 'Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR)' method. The M-E approach is used in this study to predict the future distresses by employing mechanistic-empirical models to analyze the impact of traffic, climate, materials and pavement structure. The Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide (MEPDG) software uses a three-level hierarchical input to predict performance in terms of IRI, permanent deformation (rut depth), total cracking (reflective and alligator), asphalt concrete (AC) thermal fracture, AC bottom-up fatigue cracking and AC top-down fatigue cracking. However, these inputs have different levels of accuracy, which may have a significant impact on performance prediction. It would be ineffective to put effort for obtaining accuracy at Level 1 for all inputs. For this reason, a sensitivity analysis is carried out based on an experimental design to identify the effect of the accuracy level of inputs on the distresses. Following this, a local sensitivity analysis is carried out to identify the main effect of input variables. Interaction effects are also analyzed based on a random combination of the inputs. Since the deterioration of pavement is affected by site-specific traffic, local climate and properties of materials, these variables are carefully considered during the development of the pavement deterioration model to assess overall pavement conditions. The prediction model is developed by using a regression approach considering distresses of the M-E approach. In this study, the deterioration model is estimated for three groups of Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) to recognize their individual impact along with properties of materials. The time required for maintenance is also estimated for these categories. The investigations reveal that the expected time to maintenance for overlay with Dense Friction Course (DFC) and Superpave mixes is higher than other Hot Laid (HL) asphalt layers. This will help pavement designers and managers to make informed decisions. The probability of failure is also investigated by a probabilistic approach. With the increasing trend towards M&R of existing pavements, it is essential to make cost-effective use of the M&R budget. As such, identification of associated cost-effective M&R treatments is not always simple in most PMS. For this reason, a LCCA is carried out for alternate pavement treatments using the deterioration model based on traffic levels and material types. Comparing the Net Present Worth (NPW) value of alternative treatment options reveals that the overlay of pavement with DFC is the most cost-effective choice in the case of higher AADT. On the other hand, overlay with Hot Laid-1 (HL-1) is a cost-effective treatment option for highway sections with lower AADT. Although the results are related to the Ontario highway system, this can also be applied elsewhere with similar conditions. The outcome of the empirical investigations will result in the adoption of efficient road M&R programs for highways based on realistic performance predictions, which have significant impact on infrastructure asset management.
Book Synopsis Pavement Management for Airports, Roads, and Parking Lots by : M.Y. Shahin
Download or read book Pavement Management for Airports, Roads, and Parking Lots written by M.Y. Shahin and published by Springer. This book was released on 1994-08-31 with total page 450 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emphasizing sound, cost-effective management rather than emergency repairs, this comprehensive volume offers practical guidelines on evaluating and managing pavements for airports, roads, and parking lots. The author focuses on the implementation and maintenance of successful management strategies for both network and project levels, with repair techniques also described . Detailed chapters: 1) outline step-by-step procedures for project and network level pavement management 2) illustrate effective cost analysis and budget planning for pavement maintenance 3) guide the reader in the selection and use of non-destructive deflection, roughness measurement, and friction measurement equipment 4) present state-of-the-art pavement rehabilitation and condition prediction techniques 5) demonstrates the Pavement Condition Index (PCI) procedure for airfields and surfaced and unsurfaced roads. Extensive appendices serve as a field manual for identifying all types of pavement distress and their causes, and hundred of photographs facilitate accurate pavement evaluation. Civil and pavement engineers will find complete information on pavement inspection, evaluation, and management in this indispensable reference.
Book Synopsis Pavement, Roadway, and Bridge Life Cycle Assessment 2020 by : John Harvey
Download or read book Pavement, Roadway, and Bridge Life Cycle Assessment 2020 written by John Harvey and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2020-07-02 with total page 557 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An increasing number of agencies, academic institutes, and governmental and industrial bodies are embracing the principles of sustainability in managing their activities. Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) is an approach developed to provide decision support regarding the environmental impact of industrial processes and products. LCA is a field with ongoing research, development and improvement and is being implemented world-wide, particularly in the areas of pavement, roadways and bridges. Pavement, Roadway, and Bridge Life Cycle Assessment 2020 contains the contributions to the International Symposium on Pavement, Roadway, and Bridge Life Cycle Assessment 2020 (Davis, CA, USA, June 3-6, 2020) covering research and practical issues related to pavement, roadway and bridge LCA, including data and tools, asset management, environmental product declarations, procurement, planning, vehicle interaction, and impact of materials, structure, and construction. Pavement, Roadway, and Bridge Life Cycle Assessment 2020 will be of interest to researchers, professionals, and policymakers in academia, industry, and government who are interested in the sustainability of pavements, roadways and bridges.
Book Synopsis Prediction of Remaining Service Life of Pavements by : Chaitanya Kumar Balla
Download or read book Prediction of Remaining Service Life of Pavements written by Chaitanya Kumar Balla and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 81 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pavement management is a process that helps to maintain a pavement network in a safe and serviceable condition in a cost effective manner. A key component of an effective pavement management system is its ability to predict the remaining service life of pavements. Remaining service life of pavements can be predicted using the present pavement condition and the latest rehabilitation action performed on that particular pavement. Survival curves are often developed to obtain remaining service life of a pavement family. The objectives of this study are to determine the average service life of pavements and to predict their remaining service life. Remaining Service Life is defined as the projected number of years until rehabilitation is required. The pavement condition data in the form of Pavement Condition Rating (PCR) were used to develop Kaplan-Meier survival curves for different PCR thresholds. PCR 60 was considered as the terminal condition and the average service life of pavement network was calculated as the area under PCR 60 survival curve. Derived performance curves for all the survival probabilities were developed between pavement age and PCR using the Weibull approximation of the Kaplan-Meier survival curves. Derived performance curves were employed to determine the remaining service life of individual pavements based on current age and PCR. PCR curves were also developed for individual PCR thresholds between RSL and pavement age by using the Weibull approximation of the Kaplan-Meier survival curves to better understand the relationship between RSL, PCR and pavement age. Average service life of the pavement network and remaining service life of individual pavements obtained from this study can be used to assist in pavement rehabilitation decision making and budget allocation.
Download or read book הכנסיה העברית בברלין written by and published by . This book was released on 1932 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Common Airport Pavement Maintenance Practices by : Jaroslav J. Hajek
Download or read book Common Airport Pavement Maintenance Practices written by Jaroslav J. Hajek and published by Transportation Research Board. This book was released on 2011 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: TRB's Airport Cooperative Research Program (ACRP) Synthesis 22: Common Airport Pavement Maintenance Practices explores how airports implement a pavement maintenance management program, including inspecting and tracking pavement condition, scheduling maintenance, identifying necessary funds, and treating distresses in asphalt and concrete pavements.
Author :American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials Publisher :AASHTO ISBN 13 :1560510552 Total Pages :622 pages Book Rating :4.5/5 (65 download)
Book Synopsis AASHTO Guide for Design of Pavement Structures, 1993 by : American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials
Download or read book AASHTO Guide for Design of Pavement Structures, 1993 written by American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials and published by AASHTO. This book was released on 1993 with total page 622 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Design related project level pavement management - Economic evaluation of alternative pavement design strategies - Reliability / - Pavement design procedures for new construction or reconstruction : Design requirements - Highway pavement structural design - Low-volume road design / - Pavement design procedures for rehabilitation of existing pavements : Rehabilitation concepts - Guides for field data collection - Rehabilitation methods other than overlay - Rehabilitation methods with overlays / - Mechanistic-empirical design procedures.
Book Synopsis Prediction of In-Service Fatigue Life of Flexible Pavements Based on Accelerated Pavement Testing by : Runhua Guo
Download or read book Prediction of In-Service Fatigue Life of Flexible Pavements Based on Accelerated Pavement Testing written by Runhua Guo and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 5 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Full-scale accelerated pavement testing (APT) is a supplement to typical laboratory procedures. As such, it leads to significant advances in practice and economic savings for the evaluation of new pavement configurations, stress level related factors, new materials, and design improvements. This type of testing closely simulates field conditions; however, it does not capture actual pavement performance because of the limited ability to address long-term phenomena. Therefore, to fully utilize the benefits of APT, there is a need for a methodology to predict the long-term performance of in-service pavement structures based on the generated test results in order to account for such differences. The bias correction factor (BCF) or bias correction functions should account for the quantifiable differences between the fatigue life of the pavement site under APT and the in-service conditions. The BCF represents an improvement of the currently used "shift factors" since they are more general and are based on laboratory testing or computer simulations. By applying the proposed methodology, APT performance results from a structure similar to an in-service structure can be used to perform four-point bending beam tests and structural analysis to obtain an accurate estimate of the necessary BCF to estimate in-service performance.
Book Synopsis Quality Management of Pavement Condition Data Collection by : Gerardo W. Flintsch
Download or read book Quality Management of Pavement Condition Data Collection written by Gerardo W. Flintsch and published by Transportation Research Board. This book was released on 2009 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Data Analysis in Pavement Engineering by : Qiao Dong
Download or read book Data Analysis in Pavement Engineering written by Qiao Dong and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2023-11-06 with total page 378 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Data Analysis in Pavement Engineering: Theory and Methodology offers a complete introduction to the basis of the finite element method, covering fundamental theory and worked examples in the detail required for readers to apply the knowledge to their own engineering problems and understand more advanced applications. This edition sees the significant addition of content addressing coupling problems, including Finite element analysis formulations for coupled problems; Details of algorithms for solving coupled problems; and Examples showing how algorithms can be used to solve for piezoelectricity and poroelasticity problems. Focusing on the core knowledge, mathematical and analytical tools needed for successful application, this book represents the authoritative resource of choice for graduate-level students, researchers and professional engineers involved in finite element-based engineering analysis. This book is the first comprehensive resource to cover all potential scenarios of data analysis in pavement and transportation infrastructure research, including areas such as materials testing, performance modeling, distress detection, and pavement evaluation. It provides coverage of significance tests, design of experiments, data mining, data modeling, and supervised and unsupervised machine learning techniques. It summarizes the latest research in data analysis within pavement engineering, encompassing over 300 research papers. It delves into the fundamental concepts, elements, and parameters of data analysis, empowering pavement engineers to undertake tasks typically reserved for statisticians and data scientists. The book presents 21 step-by-step case studies, showcasing the application of the data analysis method to address various problems in pavement engineering and draw meaningful conclusions.
Book Synopsis Flexible Pavement Condition Prediction Models for Local Governments by : Adrain Reed Gibby
Download or read book Flexible Pavement Condition Prediction Models for Local Governments written by Adrain Reed Gibby and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Advances in Materials and Pavement Prediction by : Eyad Masad
Download or read book Advances in Materials and Pavement Prediction written by Eyad Masad and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-07-16 with total page 596 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advances in Materials and Pavement Performance Prediction contains the papers presented at the International Conference on Advances in Materials and Pavement Performance Prediction (AM3P, Doha, Qatar, 16- 18 April 2018). There has been an increasing emphasis internationally in the design and construction of sustainable pavement systems. Advances in Materials and Pavement Prediction reflects this development highlighting various approaches to predict pavement performance. The contributions discuss links and interactions between material characterization methods, empirical predictions, mechanistic modeling, and statistically-sound calibration and validation methods. There is also emphasis on comparisons between modeling results and observed performance. The topics of the book include (but are not limited to): • Experimental laboratory material characterization • Field measurements and in situ material characterization • Constitutive modeling and simulation • Innovative pavement materials and interface systems • Non-destructive measurement techniques • Surface characterization, tire-surface interaction, pavement noise • Pavement rehabilitation • Case studies Advances in Materials and Pavement Performance Prediction will be of interest to academics and engineers involved in pavement engineering.
Book Synopsis The Code of Federal Regulations of the United States of America by :
Download or read book The Code of Federal Regulations of the United States of America written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 582 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Code of Federal Regulations is the codification of the general and permanent rules published in the Federal Register by the executive departments and agencies of the Federal Government.
Author :Office of The Federal Register, Enhanced by IntraWEB, LLC Publisher :IntraWEB, LLC and Claitor's Law Publishing ISBN 13 :016091793X Total Pages :642 pages Book Rating :4.1/5 (69 download)
Book Synopsis Title 23 Highways (Revised as of April 1, 2014) by : Office of The Federal Register, Enhanced by IntraWEB, LLC
Download or read book Title 23 Highways (Revised as of April 1, 2014) written by Office of The Federal Register, Enhanced by IntraWEB, LLC and published by IntraWEB, LLC and Claitor's Law Publishing. This book was released on 2014-04-01 with total page 642 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Code of Federal Regulations Title 23 contains the codified Federal laws and regulations that are in effect as of the date of the publication pertaining to Federal highways, including national highway traffic safety.
