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Parameters Estimation Of Holt Winter Smoothing Method Using Genetic Algorithm
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Book Synopsis Parameters Estimation of Holt-winter Smoothing Method Using Genetic Algorithm by : Nur Intan Liyana Mohd. Azmi
Download or read book Parameters Estimation of Holt-winter Smoothing Method Using Genetic Algorithm written by Nur Intan Liyana Mohd. Azmi and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Parameters Estimation in Double Exponential Smoothing Using Genetic Algorithm by : Fong Yeng Foo
Download or read book Parameters Estimation in Double Exponential Smoothing Using Genetic Algorithm written by Fong Yeng Foo and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 175 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Parameter Estimation by Genetic Algorithms by :
Download or read book Parameter Estimation by Genetic Algorithms written by and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 3 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Test/Analysis correlation, or structural identification, is a process of reconciling differences in the structural dynamic models constructed analytically (using the finite element (FE) method) and experimentally (from modal test). This is a methodology for assessing the reliability of the computational model, and is very important in building models of high integrity, which may be used as predictive tools in design. Both the analytic and experimental models evaluate the same quantities: the natural frequencies (or eigenvalues, ([omega]{sub i}), and the mode shapes (or eigenvectors, {var_phi}). In this paper, selected frequencies are reconciled in the two models by modifying physical parameters in the FE model. A variety of parameters may be modified such as the stiffness of a joint member or the thickness of a plate. Engineering judgement is required to identify important frequencies, and to characterize the uncertainty of the model design parameters.
Book Synopsis Smoothing, Filtering and Prediction by : Garry Einicke
Download or read book Smoothing, Filtering and Prediction written by Garry Einicke and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2012-02-24 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes the classical smoothing, filtering and prediction techniques together with some more recently developed embellishments for improving performance within applications. It aims to present the subject in an accessible way, so that it can serve as a practical guide for undergraduates and newcomers to the field. The material is organised as a ten-lecture course. The foundations are laid in Chapters 1 and 2, which explain minimum-mean-square-error solution construction and asymptotic behaviour. Chapters 3 and 4 introduce continuous-time and discrete-time minimum-variance filtering. Generalisations for missing data, deterministic inputs, correlated noises, direct feedthrough terms, output estimation and equalisation are described. Chapter 5 simplifies the minimum-variance filtering results for steady-state problems. Observability, Riccati equation solution convergence, asymptotic stability and Wiener filter equivalence are discussed. Chapters 6 and 7 cover the subject of continuous-time and discrete-time smoothing. The main fixed-lag, fixed-point and fixed-interval smoother results are derived. It is shown that the minimum-variance fixed-interval smoother attains the best performance. Chapter 8 attends to parameter estimation. As the above-mentioned approaches all rely on knowledge of the underlying model parameters, maximum-likelihood techniques within expectation-maximisation algorithms for joint state and parameter estimation are described. Chapter 9 is concerned with robust techniques that accommodate uncertainties within problem specifications. An extra term within Riccati equations enables designers to trade-off average error and peak error performance. Chapter 10 rounds off the course by applying the afore-mentioned linear techniques to nonlinear estimation problems. It is demonstrated that step-wise linearisations can be used within predictors, filters and smoothers, albeit by forsaking optimal performance guarantees.
Book Synopsis Proceedings of the 2022 Annual Technology, Applied Science and Engineering Conference (ATASEC 2022) by : Rosa Andrie Asmara
Download or read book Proceedings of the 2022 Annual Technology, Applied Science and Engineering Conference (ATASEC 2022) written by Rosa Andrie Asmara and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-01-13 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an open access book. The 4th Annual Technology, Applied Science and Engineering Conference (ATASEC 2022) is an annual, reputable event organized with a motivation to provide an excellent international platform for the academicians, researchers, engineers, industrial participants and research students around the world to share their research findings. ATASEC 2022 was performed online using Zoom platform on September 15th–16th, 2022. ATASEC 2022 theme is Science, Technology, Innovative Academic and Vocational Research Towards Product Development Through Industrial and Educational Cooperation. It addresses researchers and industries from all areas of advanced technology and science. It provides an international forum to present advances in the state of the art, identify emerging research topics, and together define the future of these exciting research domains. The conference will be enriched with renowned keynote speakers.
Book Synopsis Parallel Problem Solving from Nature -- PPSN XIII by : Thomas Bartz-Beielstein
Download or read book Parallel Problem Solving from Nature -- PPSN XIII written by Thomas Bartz-Beielstein and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-09-11 with total page 977 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Parallel Problem Solving from Nature, PPSN 2013, held in Ljubljana, Slovenia, in September 2014. The total of 90 revised full papers were carefully reviewed and selected from 217 submissions. The meeting began with 7 workshops which offered an ideal opportunity to explore specific topics in evolutionary computation, bio-inspired computing and metaheuristics. PPSN XIII also included 9 tutorials. The papers are organized in topical sections on adaption, self-adaption and parameter tuning; classifier system, differential evolution and swarm intelligence; coevolution and artificial immune systems; constraint handling; dynamic and uncertain environments; estimation of distribution algorithms and metamodelling; genetic programming; multi-objective optimisation; parallel algorithms and hardware implementations; real world applications; and theory.
Book Synopsis Principles of Forecasting by : J.S. Armstrong
Download or read book Principles of Forecasting written by J.S. Armstrong and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2001 with total page 880 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This handbook summarises knowledge from experts and empirical studies. It provides guidelines that can be applied in fields such as economics, sociology, and psychology. Includes a comprehensive forecasting dictionary.
Book Synopsis Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting by : Peter J. Brockwell
Download or read book Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting written by Peter J. Brockwell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-14 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Some of the key mathematical results are stated without proof in order to make the underlying theory acccessible to a wider audience. The book assumes a knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra, and elementary statistics. The emphasis is on methods and the analysis of data sets. The logic and tools of model-building for stationary and non-stationary time series are developed in detail and numerous exercises, many of which make use of the included computer package, provide the reader with ample opportunity to develop skills in this area. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include harmonic regression, the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, regression with ARMA errors, structural models, the EM algorithm, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introducitons are also given to cointegration and to non-linear, continuous-time and long-memory models. The time series package included in the back of the book is a slightly modified version of the package ITSM, published separately as ITSM for Windows, by Springer-Verlag, 1994. It does not handle such large data sets as ITSM for Windows, but like the latter, runs on IBM-PC compatible computers under either DOS or Windows (version 3.1 or later). The programs are all menu-driven so that the reader can immediately apply the techniques in the book to time series data, with a minimal investment of time in the computational and algorithmic aspects of the analysis.
Book Synopsis Weibull Parameter Estimation Using Genetic Algorithms and a Heuristic Approach to Cut-set Analysis by : Gina M. Thomas
Download or read book Weibull Parameter Estimation Using Genetic Algorithms and a Heuristic Approach to Cut-set Analysis written by Gina M. Thomas and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Sales Forecasting Management by : John T. Mentzer
Download or read book Sales Forecasting Management written by John T. Mentzer and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2004-11-23 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Incorporating 25 years of sales forecasting management research with more than 400 companies, Sales Forecasting Management, Second Edition is the first text to truly integrate the theory and practice of sales forecasting management. This research includes the personal experiences of John T. Mentzer and Mark A. Moon in advising companies how to improve their sales forecasting management practices. Their program of research includes two major surveys of companies′ sales forecasting practices, a two-year, in-depth study of sales forecasting management practices of 20 major companies, and an ongoing study of how to apply the findings from the two-year study to conducting sales forecasting audits of additional companies. The book provides comprehensive coverage of the techniques and applications of sales forecasting analysis, combined with a managerial focus to give managers and users of the sales forecasting function a clear understanding of the forecasting needs of all business functions. New to This Edition: The author′s well-regarded Multicaster software system demo, previously available on cassette, has been updated and is now available for download from the authors′ Web site New insights on the critical area of qualitative forecasting are presented The results of additional surveys done since the publication of the first edition have been added The discussion of the four dimensions of forecasting management has been significantly enhanced Significant reorganization and updating has been done to strengthen and improve the material for the second edition. Sales Forecasting Management is an ideal text for graduate courses in sales forecasting management. Practitioners in marketing, sales, finance/accounting, production/purchasing, and logistics will also find this easy-to-understand volume essential.
Book Synopsis Forecasting Principles and Applications by : Stephen A. DeLurgio
Download or read book Forecasting Principles and Applications written by Stephen A. DeLurgio and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 802 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Time-Series Forecasting by : Chris Chatfield
Download or read book Time-Series Forecasting written by Chris Chatfield and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2000-10-25 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the author of the bestselling "Analysis of Time Series," Time-Series Forecasting offers a comprehensive, up-to-date review of forecasting methods. It provides a summary of time-series modelling procedures, followed by a brief catalogue of many different time-series forecasting methods, ranging from ad-hoc methods through ARIMA and state-space
Book Synopsis Intermittent Demand Forecasting by : John E. Boylan
Download or read book Intermittent Demand Forecasting written by John E. Boylan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-06-02 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: INTERMITTENT DEMAND FORECASTING The first text to focus on the methods and approaches of intermittent, rather than fast, demand forecasting Intermittent Demand Forecasting is for anyone who is interested in improving forecasts of intermittent demand products, and enhancing the management of inventories. Whether you are a practitioner, at the sharp end of demand planning, a software designer, a student, an academic teaching operational research or operations management courses, or a researcher in this field, we hope that the book will inspire you to rethink demand forecasting. If you do so, then you can contribute towards significant economic and environmental benefits. No prior knowledge of intermittent demand forecasting or inventory management is assumed in this book. The key formulae are accompanied by worked examples to show how they can be implemented in practice. For those wishing to understand the theory in more depth, technical notes are provided at the end of each chapter, as well as an extensive and up-to-date collection of references for further study. Software developments are reviewed, to give an appreciation of the current state of the art in commercial and open source software. “Intermittent demand forecasting may seem like a specialized area but actually is at the center of sustainability efforts to consume less and to waste less. Boylan and Syntetos have done a superb job in showing how improvements in inventory management are pivotal in achieving this. Their book covers both the theory and practice of intermittent demand forecasting and my prediction is that it will fast become the bible of the field.” —Spyros Makridakis, Professor, University of Nicosia, and Director, Institute for the Future and the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center (MOFC). “We have been able to support our clients by adopting many of the ideas discussed in this excellent book, and implementing them in our software. I am sure that these ideas will be equally helpful for other supply chain software vendors and for companies wanting to update and upgrade their capabilities in forecasting and inventory management.” —Suresh Acharya, VP, Research and Development, Blue Yonder. “As product variants proliferate and the pace of business quickens, more and more items have intermittent demand. Boylan and Syntetos have long been leaders in extending forecasting and inventory methods to accommodate this new reality. Their book gathers and clarifies decades of research in this area, and explains how practitioners can exploit this knowledge to make their operations more efficient and effective.” —Thomas R. Willemain, Professor Emeritus, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute.
Book Synopsis Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting by : Haiyan Song
Download or read book Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting written by Haiyan Song and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2000 with total page 183 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A textbook for a graduate or final-year undergraduate course in tourism studies that might also find interest among researchers and practitioners who want to apply recent developments in econometric modeling and forecasting to tourism demand analysis. Song and Witt (both management in the service sector, U. of Surrey, Britain) begin with the fundamentals of tourism demand analysis, and the problems of traditional modeling and forecasting. Then they explore the general- to-specific approach, the time-varying parameter model, and the panel- data approach. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR
Book Synopsis Application of Genetic Algorithms in Parameters (d, r) Estimation of Threshold Autoregressions by :
Download or read book Application of Genetic Algorithms in Parameters (d, r) Estimation of Threshold Autoregressions written by and published by . This book was released on with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices by : Rafal Weron
Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices written by Rafal Weron and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-01-30 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers an in-depth and up-to-date review of different statistical tools that can be used to analyze and forecast the dynamics of two crucial for every energy company processes—electricity prices and loads. It provides coverage of seasonal decomposition, mean reversion, heavy-tailed distributions, exponential smoothing, spike preprocessing, autoregressive time series including models with exogenous variables and heteroskedastic (GARCH) components, regime-switching models, interval forecasts, jump-diffusion models, derivatives pricing and the market price of risk. Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices is packaged with a CD containing both the data and detailed examples of implementation of different techniques in Matlab, with additional examples in SAS. A reader can retrace all the intermediate steps of a practical implementation of a model and test his understanding of the method and correctness of the computer code using the same input data. The book will be of particular interest to the quants employed by the utilities, independent power generators and marketers, energy trading desks of the hedge funds and financial institutions, and the executives attending courses designed to help them to brush up on their technical skills. The text will be also of use to graduate students in electrical engineering, econometrics and finance wanting to get a grip on advanced statistical tools applied in this hot area. In fact, there are sixteen Case Studies in the book making it a self-contained tutorial to electricity load and price modeling and forecasting.
Book Synopsis Intelligent Computing Techniques for Smart Energy Systems by : Akhtar Kalam
Download or read book Intelligent Computing Techniques for Smart Energy Systems written by Akhtar Kalam and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-12-16 with total page 1011 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book compiles the research works related to smart solutions concept in context to smart energy systems, maintaining electrical grid discipline and resiliency, computational collective intelligence consisted of interaction between smart devices, smart environments and smart interactions, as well as information technology support for such areas. It includes high-quality papers presented in the International Conference on Intelligent Computing Techniques for Smart Energy Systems organized by Manipal University Jaipur. This book will motivate scholars to work in these areas. The book also prophesies their approach to be used for the business and the humanitarian technology development as research proposal to various government organizations for funding approval.
