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Parameter Estimation For Nonlinear State Space Models
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Book Synopsis Parameter Estimation for Nonlinear State Space Models by : Jessica Wong
Download or read book Parameter Estimation for Nonlinear State Space Models written by Jessica Wong and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ABSTRACT: This thesis explores the methodology of state, and in particular, parameter estimation for time series datasets. Various approaches are investigated that are suitable for nonlinear models and non-Gaussian observations using state space models. The methodologies are applied to a dataset consisting of the historical lynx and hare populations, typically modeled by the Lotka- Volterra equations. With this model and the observed dataset, particle filtering and parameter estimation methods are implemented as a way to better predict the state of the system. Methods for parameter estimation considered include: maximum likelihood estimation, state augmented particle filtering, multiple iterative filtering and particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (PMCMC) methods. The specific advantages and disadvantages for each technique are discussed. However, in most cases, PMCMC is the preferred parameter estimation solution. It has the advantage over other approaches in that it can well approximate any posterior distribution from which inference can be made.
Download or read book State-Space Models written by Yong Zeng and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-08-15 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: State-space models as an important mathematical tool has been widely used in many different fields. This edited collection explores recent theoretical developments of the models and their applications in economics and finance. The book includes nonlinear and non-Gaussian time series models, regime-switching and hidden Markov models, continuous- or discrete-time state processes, and models of equally-spaced or irregularly-spaced (discrete or continuous) observations. The contributed chapters are divided into four parts. The first part is on Particle Filtering and Parameter Learning in Nonlinear State-Space Models. The second part focuses on the application of Linear State-Space Models in Macroeconomics and Finance. The third part deals with Hidden Markov Models, Regime Switching and Mathematical Finance and the fourth part is on Nonlinear State-Space Models for High Frequency Financial Data. The book will appeal to graduate students and researchers studying state-space modeling in economics, statistics, and mathematics, as well as to finance professionals.
Book Synopsis Identifiability of State Space Models by : E. Walter
Download or read book Identifiability of State Space Models written by E. Walter and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-07 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Advanced State Space Methods for Neural and Clinical Data by : Zhe Chen
Download or read book Advanced State Space Methods for Neural and Clinical Data written by Zhe Chen and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2015-10-15 with total page 397 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An authoritative and in-depth treatment of state space methods, with a range of applications in neural and clinical data.
Book Synopsis Estimation of Nonlinear State-space Models in the Presence of Censored Observations by : Craig Joseph Johns
Download or read book Estimation of Nonlinear State-space Models in the Presence of Censored Observations written by Craig Joseph Johns and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice by : Arnaud Doucet
Download or read book Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice written by Arnaud Doucet and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 590 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monte Carlo methods are revolutionizing the on-line analysis of data in many fileds. They have made it possible to solve numerically many complex, non-standard problems that were previously intractable. This book presents the first comprehensive treatment of these techniques.
Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis and Its Applications by : Robert H. Shumway
Download or read book Time Series Analysis and Its Applications written by Robert H. Shumway and published by . This book was released on 2014-01-15 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Kalman Filtering and Neural Networks by : Simon Haykin
Download or read book Kalman Filtering and Neural Networks written by Simon Haykin and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2004-03-24 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: State-of-the-art coverage of Kalman filter methods for the design of neural networks This self-contained book consists of seven chapters by expert contributors that discuss Kalman filtering as applied to the training and use of neural networks. Although the traditional approach to the subject is almost always linear, this book recognizes and deals with the fact that real problems are most often nonlinear. The first chapter offers an introductory treatment of Kalman filters with an emphasis on basic Kalman filter theory, Rauch-Tung-Striebel smoother, and the extended Kalman filter. Other chapters cover: An algorithm for the training of feedforward and recurrent multilayered perceptrons, based on the decoupled extended Kalman filter (DEKF) Applications of the DEKF learning algorithm to the study of image sequences and the dynamic reconstruction of chaotic processes The dual estimation problem Stochastic nonlinear dynamics: the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm and the extended Kalman smoothing (EKS) algorithm The unscented Kalman filter Each chapter, with the exception of the introduction, includes illustrative applications of the learning algorithms described here, some of which involve the use of simulated and real-life data. Kalman Filtering and Neural Networks serves as an expert resource for researchers in neural networks and nonlinear dynamical systems.
Book Synopsis Computational Methods for Parameter Estimation in Nonlinear Models by : Bryan Andrew Toth
Download or read book Computational Methods for Parameter Estimation in Nonlinear Models written by Bryan Andrew Toth and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 167 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation expands on existing work to develop a dynamical state and parameter estimation methodology in non-linear systems. The field of parameter and state estimation, also known as inverse problem theory, is a mature discipline concerned with determining unmeasured states and parameters in experimental systems. This is important since measurement of some of the parameters and states may not be possible, yet knowledge of these unmeasured quantities is necessary for predictions of the future state of the system. This field has importance across a broad range of scientific disciplines, including geosciences, biosciences, nanoscience, and many others. he work presented here describes a state and parameter estimation method that relies on the idea of synchronization of nonlinear systems to control the conditional Lyapunov exponents of the model system. This method is generalized to address any dynamic system that can be described by a set of ordinary first-order differential equations. The Python programming language is used to develop scripts that take a simple text-file representation of the model vector field and output correctly formatted files for use with readily available optimization software. With the use of these Python scripts, examples of the dynamic state and parameter estimation method are shown for a range of neurobiological models, ranging from simple to highly complicated, using simulated data. In this way, the strengths and weaknesses of this methodology are explored, in order to expand the applicability to complex experimental systems.
Book Synopsis Inference in Hidden Markov Models by : Olivier Cappé
Download or read book Inference in Hidden Markov Models written by Olivier Cappé and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-04-12 with total page 656 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a comprehensive treatment of inference for hidden Markov models, including both algorithms and statistical theory. Topics range from filtering and smoothing of the hidden Markov chain to parameter estimation, Bayesian methods and estimation of the number of states. In a unified way the book covers both models with finite state spaces and models with continuous state spaces (also called state-space models) requiring approximate simulation-based algorithms that are also described in detail. Many examples illustrate the algorithms and theory. This book builds on recent developments to present a self-contained view.
Book Synopsis Algorithms of Estimation for Nonlinear Systems by : Rafael Martínez-Guerra
Download or read book Algorithms of Estimation for Nonlinear Systems written by Rafael Martínez-Guerra and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-04-04 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book acquaints readers with recent developments in dynamical systems theory and its applications, with a strong focus on the control and estimation of nonlinear systems. Several algorithms are proposed and worked out for a set of model systems, in particular so-called input-affine or bilinear systems, which can serve to approximate a wide class of nonlinear control systems. These can either take the form of state space models or be represented by an input-output equation. The approach taken here further highlights the role of modern mathematical and conceptual tools, including differential algebraic theory, observer design for nonlinear systems and generalized canonical forms.
Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods by : James Durbin
Download or read book Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods written by James Durbin and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2001-06-21 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: State space time series analysis emerged in the 1960s in engineering, but its applications have spread to other fields. Durbin (statistics, London School of Economics and Political Science) and Koopman (econometrics, Free U., Amsterdam) extol the virtues of such models over the main analytical system currently used for time series data, Box-Jenkins' ARIMA. What distinguishes state space time models is that they separately model components such as trend, seasonal, regression elements and disturbance terms. Part I focuses on traditional and new techniques based on the linear Gaussian model. Part II presents new material extending the state space model to non-Gaussian observations. c. Book News Inc.
Book Synopsis Nonlinear State and Parameter Estimation of Spatially Distributed Systems by : Felix Sawo
Download or read book Nonlinear State and Parameter Estimation of Spatially Distributed Systems written by Felix Sawo and published by Karlsruher Institut Fur Technologie. This book was released on 2009 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this thesis two probabilistic model-based estimators are introduced that allow the reconstruction and identification of space-time continuous physical systems. The Sliced Gaussian Mixture Filter (SGMF) exploits linear substructures in mixed linear/nonlinear systems, and thus is well-suited for identifying various model parameters. The Covariance Bounds Filter (CBF) allows the efficient estimation of widely distributed systems in a decentralized fashion.
Book Synopsis Spatio-Temporal Modeling of Nonlinear Distributed Parameter Systems by : Han-Xiong Li
Download or read book Spatio-Temporal Modeling of Nonlinear Distributed Parameter Systems written by Han-Xiong Li and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-02-24 with total page 175 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this volume is to provide a brief review of the previous work on model reduction and identifi cation of distributed parameter systems (DPS), and develop new spatio-temporal models and their relevant identifi cation approaches. In this book, a systematic overview and classifi cation on the modeling of DPS is presented fi rst, which includes model reduction, parameter estimation and system identifi cation. Next, a class of block-oriented nonlinear systems in traditional lumped parameter systems (LPS) is extended to DPS, which results in the spatio-temporal Wiener and Hammerstein systems and their identifi cation methods. Then, the traditional Volterra model is extended to DPS, which results in the spatio-temporal Volterra model and its identification algorithm. All these methods are based on linear time/space separation. Sometimes, the nonlinear time/space separation can play a better role in modeling of very complex processes. Thus, a nonlinear time/space separation based neural modeling is also presented for a class of DPS with more complicated dynamics. Finally, all these modeling approaches are successfully applied to industrial thermal processes, including a catalytic rod, a packed-bed reactor and a snap curing oven. The work is presented giving a unifi ed view from time/space separation. The book also illustrates applications to thermal processes in the electronics packaging and chemical industry. This volume assumes a basic knowledge about distributed parameter systems, system modeling and identifi cation. It is intended for researchers, graduate students and engineers interested in distributed parameter systems, nonlinear systems, and process modeling and control.
Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods by : James Durbin
Download or read book Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods written by James Durbin and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2012-05-03 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This new edition updates Durbin & Koopman's important text on the state space approach to time series analysis. The distinguishing feature of state space time series models is that observations are regarded as made up of distinct components such as trend, seasonal, regression elements and disturbance terms, each of which is modelled separately. The techniques that emerge from this approach are very flexible and are capable of handling a much wider range of problems than the main analytical system currently in use for time series analysis, the Box-Jenkins ARIMA system. Additions to this second edition include the filtering of nonlinear and non-Gaussian series. Part I of the book obtains the mean and variance of the state, of a variable intended to measure the effect of an interaction and of regression coefficients, in terms of the observations. Part II extends the treatment to nonlinear and non-normal models. For these, analytical solutions are not available so methods are based on simulation.
Book Synopsis The Koopman Operator in Systems and Control by : Alexandre Mauroy
Download or read book The Koopman Operator in Systems and Control written by Alexandre Mauroy and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-02-22 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a broad overview of state-of-the-art research at the intersection of the Koopman operator theory and control theory. It also reviews novel theoretical results obtained and efficient numerical methods developed within the framework of Koopman operator theory. The contributions discuss the latest findings and techniques in several areas of control theory, including model predictive control, optimal control, observer design, systems identification and structural analysis of controlled systems, addressing both theoretical and numerical aspects and presenting open research directions, as well as detailed numerical schemes and data-driven methods. Each contribution addresses a specific problem. After a brief introduction of the Koopman operator framework, including basic notions and definitions, the book explores numerical methods, such as the dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) algorithm and Arnoldi-based methods, which are used to represent the operator in a finite-dimensional basis and to compute its spectral properties from data. The main body of the book is divided into three parts: theoretical results and numerical techniques for observer design, synthesis analysis, stability analysis, parameter estimation, and identification; data-driven techniques based on DMD, which extract the spectral properties of the Koopman operator from data for the structural analysis of controlled systems; and Koopman operator techniques with specific applications in systems and control, which range from heat transfer analysis to robot control. A useful reference resource on the Koopman operator theory for control theorists and practitioners, the book is also of interest to graduate students, researchers, and engineers looking for an introduction to a novel and comprehensive approach to systems and control, from pure theory to data-driven methods.
Book Synopsis Bayesian Inference of State Space Models by : Kostas Triantafyllopoulos
Download or read book Bayesian Inference of State Space Models written by Kostas Triantafyllopoulos and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-11-12 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian Inference of State Space Models: Kalman Filtering and Beyond offers a comprehensive introduction to Bayesian estimation and forecasting for state space models. The celebrated Kalman filter, with its numerous extensions, takes centre stage in the book. Univariate and multivariate models, linear Gaussian, non-linear and non-Gaussian models are discussed with applications to signal processing, environmetrics, economics and systems engineering. Over the past years there has been a growing literature on Bayesian inference of state space models, focusing on multivariate models as well as on non-linear and non-Gaussian models. The availability of time series data in many fields of science and industry on the one hand, and the development of low-cost computational capabilities on the other, have resulted in a wealth of statistical methods aimed at parameter estimation and forecasting. This book brings together many of these methods, presenting an accessible and comprehensive introduction to state space models. A number of data sets from different disciplines are used to illustrate the methods and show how they are applied in practice. The R package BTSA, created for the book, includes many of the algorithms and examples presented. The book is essentially self-contained and includes a chapter summarising the prerequisites in undergraduate linear algebra, probability and statistics. An up-to-date and complete account of state space methods, illustrated by real-life data sets and R code, this textbook will appeal to a wide range of students and scientists, notably in the disciplines of statistics, systems engineering, signal processing, data science, finance and econometrics. With numerous exercises in each chapter, and prerequisite knowledge conveniently recalled, it is suitable for upper undergraduate and graduate courses.
