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Order Imbalance And Returns
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Book Synopsis Orderimbalance, Liquidity and Market Returns by : Tarun Chordia
Download or read book Orderimbalance, Liquidity and Market Returns written by Tarun Chordia and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We focus on an intuitive measure of trading activity: the aggregate daily order imbalance, buy orders less sell orders, on the NYSE. Order imbalance increases following market declines and vice versa, which reveals that investors are contrarians in aggregate. Order imbalances in either direction, excess buy or sell orders, reduce liquidity. Market-wide returns are strongly affected by contemporaneous and lagged order imbalances. Market returns reverse themselves after high negative imbalance, large negative return days. Even after controlling for aggregate volume and liquidity, market returns are affected by order imbalance.
Book Synopsis Order Imbalance and Returns by : Nikhil Rastogi
Download or read book Order Imbalance and Returns written by Nikhil Rastogi and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper explores the lead-lag relationship between the variables of order imbalance and return in futures and spot markets. Order imbalance is defined as the difference between buyer and seller initiated trades. Using tick test, the trades have been classified as buyer and seller initiated. The paper finds positive correlation between the variables of order imbalance in the futures market and the returns in the spot market. This relationship is further explored using a VAR framework for daily as well as a shorter interval of 120 min. The results reveal that even after controlling for lagged futures and spot returns, the futures market imbalance has a significant effect on spot market returns.
Book Synopsis Order Imbalance and Individual Stock Returns by : Tarun Chordia
Download or read book Order Imbalance and Individual Stock Returns written by Tarun Chordia and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the relation between order imbalances and daily returns of individual stocks. Our tests are motivated by a theoretical framework, whose distinguishing feature is that it explicitly considers how market makers with inventory concerns dynamically accommodate autocorrelated imbalances. Persistence in imbalances arises because agents split their orders over time to minimize expected trading costs. In equilibrium, continuing price pressures caused by autocorrelated imbalances cause a positive relation between lagged imbalances and returns over daily horizons. However, this positive relation reverses sign after controlling for the current imbalance. We find empirical evidence consistent with all of these implications of the model. We also find that imbalance-based trading strategies yield statistically significant returns, the magnitude of which is moderate enough to be consistent with an equilibrium wherein intermediaries with inventory concerns accommodate persistent trader demands.
Book Synopsis Cross Return, Volatility and Order Imbalance in International Cross Listings by : Yong-chern Su
Download or read book Cross Return, Volatility and Order Imbalance in International Cross Listings written by Yong-chern Su and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The globalization of financial markets motivates plenty of non-U.S. companies listing their shares on the U.S. exchanges. Following Eun and Sabherwal (2003), we investigate the extent to which the NYSE and the TSX contribute to price discovery of the Canadian Stocks listing on these exchanges. By examining the effect of contemporaneous order imbalances on cross-border stock returns, we find that contemporaneous imbalance on the NYSE is significant to the stock returns on the TSX. Since the U.S. exchanges are the most liquid and largest exchanges in the world, they play a leading role in capital markets. Our findings imply that the NYSE significantly contributes to price discovery.Besides, we apply GARCH (1, 1) model to test the effect of contemporaneous imbalance on the cross-listing returns and the effect of trading volume on foreign return variance. We find that there is a significant influence of trading volume in domestic/foreign markets on the volatility of the stock return in foreign/domestic markets in our empirical results. The evidence shows that cross-listing helps informed traders distribute their trading across the two markets to make use of private information between the markets. This activity results in the increasing generation of private information, and then causes an increase in the stock return variance. However, contemporaneous order imbalance on the TSX/NYSE does not have an important impact on the stock returns on the NYSE/TSX. It means that order is not a good indicator of information flow. The significance in GARCH (1, 1) model comes from trading volume to the return volatility, not to the stock return. The insignificance for effect of order imbalance on the cross-board return represents limited capital flow between countries. The view supports evidence of segmentation between Canadian and the U.S. markets suggested by Foerster and Karolyi (1993).
Book Synopsis High-Frequency Trading by : Irene Aldridge
Download or read book High-Frequency Trading written by Irene Aldridge and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-04-22 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A fully revised second edition of the best guide to high-frequency trading High-frequency trading is a difficult, but profitable, endeavor that can generate stable profits in various market conditions. But solid footing in both the theory and practice of this discipline are essential to success. Whether you're an institutional investor seeking a better understanding of high-frequency operations or an individual investor looking for a new way to trade, this book has what you need to make the most of your time in today's dynamic markets. Building on the success of the original edition, the Second Edition of High-Frequency Trading incorporates the latest research and questions that have come to light since the publication of the first edition. It skillfully covers everything from new portfolio management techniques for high-frequency trading and the latest technological developments enabling HFT to updated risk management strategies and how to safeguard information and order flow in both dark and light markets. Includes numerous quantitative trading strategies and tools for building a high-frequency trading system Address the most essential aspects of high-frequency trading, from formulation of ideas to performance evaluation The book also includes a companion Website where selected sample trading strategies can be downloaded and tested Written by respected industry expert Irene Aldridge While interest in high-frequency trading continues to grow, little has been published to help investors understand and implement this approach—until now. This book has everything you need to gain a firm grip on how high-frequency trading works and what it takes to apply it to your everyday trading endeavors.
Book Synopsis Order Flow Imbalance Effects on the German Stock Market by : Michael Hanke
Download or read book Order Flow Imbalance Effects on the German Stock Market written by Michael Hanke and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Order flow imbalance refers to the difference between market buy and sell orders during a given period. This paper analyzes effects of order flow imbalance on returns of stocks traded on the German Xetra trading system on a daily basis. It is the first study examining this relation for the German stock market. In contrast to previous studies on other markets, we control for unobserved effects by using a fixed effects panel regression. For the concurrent (or conditional) relation between order imbalance and returns, our results confirm those of the literature. For the question of return predictability from past order imbalances (unconditional relation), our results are partly confirmatory. As a new contribution, we provide evidence for size and liquidity effects for the unconditional relation between order imbalance and returns.
Book Synopsis Trade Size, Order Imbalance, and the Volatility-Volume Relation by : Wai Ming Fong
Download or read book Trade Size, Order Imbalance, and the Volatility-Volume Relation written by Wai Ming Fong and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the roles of the number of trades, trade size, and order imbalance (buyer- versus seller- initiated trades) in explaining the volatility-volume relation for a sample of NYSE and NASDAQ stocks. Contrary to some previous studies, our results reconfirm the significance of trade size, beyond that of the number of trades, in the volatility-volume relation in both markets. After controlling for the return impact of order imbalance, the volatility-volume relation becomes much weaker. This suggests that one major driving force for the volatility-volume relation stems from order imbalance. Furthermore, on the NYSE, the return impact of order imbalance increases monotonically with the trade size of order imbalance, whereas on NASDAQ, there is no such monotonic relation and the largest return impact comes from the order imbalance in maximum-sized Small Order Execution System (SOES) trades.
Book Synopsis Order Imbalance and Abcdrmal Return Around Seasoned Equity Offerings in TSE-Listed Firms by :
Download or read book Order Imbalance and Abcdrmal Return Around Seasoned Equity Offerings in TSE-Listed Firms written by and published by . This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally, volume has provided the link between trading activity and returns. This study attempts to not only investigate the trading behavior of all aspects of investors by daily order imbalances, the better index than dollar volume, around firm-specific news releases, but also explore the relation between order imbalances and daily returns. This study contributes to the shot-run market reactions and trading behaviours from different three or five kinds of investors around seasoned equity offerings announcement in Taiwan. We have examined 306 SEOs listed on Taiwan stock exchanges from 1995 to 1998, and test five subsequent SEO-related signaling dates, such as the shareholders conventions date, the formal announcement date, the ex-right date and the listed date. Our findings indicated the anomalies on returns and order imbalance did exist with the publication of SEO news in Taiwan. The negative information effect is significant on the shareholders convention date. Further we find a strong relation between order imbalance from individuals and daily return in the five day window. We infer that individual investors are extreme sensitivity to any news released and that the majority of traders in TSE are comprised by individual can explain the phenomenon. Finally, we also find not only correlation among different type of traders but also that returns, cash per share and the interest rate influence trading decision deeply.
Book Synopsis Limit Order Books by : Frédéric Abergel
Download or read book Limit Order Books written by Frédéric Abergel and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016-05-09 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A limit order book is essentially a file on a computer that contains all orders sent to the market, along with their characteristics such as the sign of the order, price, quantity and a timestamp. The majority of organized electronic markets rely on limit order books to store the list of interests of market participants on their central computer. A limit order book contains all the information available on a specific market and it reflects the way the market moves under the influence of its participants. This book discusses several models of limit order books. It begins by discussing the data to assess their empirical properties, and then moves on to mathematical models in order to reproduce the observed properties. Finally, the book presents a framework for numerical simulations. It also covers important modelling techniques including agent-based modelling, and advanced modelling of limit order books based on Hawkes processes. The book also provides in-depth coverage of simulation techniques and introduces general, flexible, open source library concepts useful to readers studying trading strategies in order-driven markets.
Book Synopsis Limit Order Imbalances and Return Predictability by : Clive Gaunt
Download or read book Limit Order Imbalances and Return Predictability written by Clive Gaunt and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An event study methodology is employed to examine the size and predictability of stock price movements subsequent to the occurrence of a limit order imbalance. Whilst existing studies have examined the association between price pressure and stock prices, there has been no research that has directly examined whether information regarding outstanding limit order imbalances at the end of the trading day can be used to predict subsequent stock price movements. The results indicate that a statistically significant mean positive (negative) abnormal return of 0.63 percent (0.64 percent) is experienced on the day subsequent to a buyside (sell-side) order imbalance. Also statistically significant is the finding that 60.00 percent of abnormal returns for firms experiencing buy-side imbalances are positive and 62.15 percent of abnormal returns for firms experiencing sell-side imbalances are negative, suggesting some degree of predictability. It should be noted however, that whilst the size of the abnormal returns and the ratio of positive-to-negative abnormal returns are statistically significant, they are possibly not economically significant in terms of implementing a profitable trading strategy.
Book Synopsis Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models by : Mike West
Download or read book Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models written by Mike West and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 720 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book we are concerned with Bayesian learning and forecast ing in dynamic environments. We describe the structure and theory of classes of dynamic models, and their uses in Bayesian forecasting. The principles, models and methods of Bayesian forecasting have been developed extensively during the last twenty years. This devel opment has involved thorough investigation of mathematical and sta tistical aspects of forecasting models and related techniques. With this has come experience with application in a variety of areas in commercial and industrial, scientific and socio-economic fields. In deed much of the technical development has been driven by the needs of forecasting practitioners. As a result, there now exists a relatively complete statistical and mathematical framework, although much of this is either not properly documented or not easily accessible. Our primary goals in writing this book have been to present our view of this approach to modelling and forecasting, and to provide a rea sonably complete text for advanced university students and research workers. The text is primarily intended for advanced undergraduate and postgraduate students in statistics and mathematics. In line with this objective we present thorough discussion of mathematical and statistical features of Bayesian analyses of dynamic models, with illustrations, examples and exercises in each Chapter.
Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods by : James Durbin
Download or read book Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods written by James Durbin and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2012-05-03 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This new edition updates Durbin & Koopman's important text on the state space approach to time series analysis. The distinguishing feature of state space time series models is that observations are regarded as made up of distinct components such as trend, seasonal, regression elements and disturbance terms, each of which is modelled separately. The techniques that emerge from this approach are very flexible and are capable of handling a much wider range of problems than the main analytical system currently in use for time series analysis, the Box-Jenkins ARIMA system. Additions to this second edition include the filtering of nonlinear and non-Gaussian series. Part I of the book obtains the mean and variance of the state, of a variable intended to measure the effect of an interaction and of regression coefficients, in terms of the observations. Part II extends the treatment to nonlinear and non-normal models. For these, analytical solutions are not available so methods are based on simulation.
Book Synopsis Dynamic Return-Order Imbalance Relationship Response to Leveraged Buyout Announcements by : Han-Ching Huang
Download or read book Dynamic Return-Order Imbalance Relationship Response to Leveraged Buyout Announcements written by Han-Ching Huang and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 9 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many researches indicate informed trading during Leveraged buy-out (LBO) processes. In this study, we examine intraday dynamic relations between order imbalance, volatility and stock returns. The dynamic relation between volatility and order imbalances by a time-varying GARCH model is insignificant, suggesting that market makers have a good ability to mitigate volatility of LBO firms on event dates. Our imbalance-based trading strategy earns a positive profit but cannot beat a buy-and-hold return.
Book Synopsis Algorithmic and High-Frequency Trading by : Álvaro Cartea
Download or read book Algorithmic and High-Frequency Trading written by Álvaro Cartea and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2015-08-06 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The design of trading algorithms requires sophisticated mathematical models backed up by reliable data. In this textbook, the authors develop models for algorithmic trading in contexts such as executing large orders, market making, targeting VWAP and other schedules, trading pairs or collection of assets, and executing in dark pools. These models are grounded on how the exchanges work, whether the algorithm is trading with better informed traders (adverse selection), and the type of information available to market participants at both ultra-high and low frequency. Algorithmic and High-Frequency Trading is the first book that combines sophisticated mathematical modelling, empirical facts and financial economics, taking the reader from basic ideas to cutting-edge research and practice. If you need to understand how modern electronic markets operate, what information provides a trading edge, and how other market participants may affect the profitability of the algorithms, then this is the book for you.
Book Synopsis Market Microstructure In Practice (Second Edition) by : Charles-albert Lehalle
Download or read book Market Microstructure In Practice (Second Edition) written by Charles-albert Lehalle and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2018-01-18 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book exposes and comments on the consequences of Reg NMS and MiFID on market microstructure. It covers changes in market design, electronic trading, and investor and trader behaviors. The emergence of high frequency trading and critical events like the'Flash Crash' of 2010 are also analyzed in depth.Using a quantitative viewpoint, this book explains how an attrition of liquidity and regulatory changes can impact the whole microstructure of financial markets. A mathematical Appendix details the quantitative tools and indicators used through the book, allowing the reader to go further independently.This book is written by practitioners and theoretical experts and covers practical aspects (like the optimal infrastructure needed to trade electronically in modern markets) and abstract analyses (like the use on entropy measurements to understand the progress of market fragmentation).As market microstructure is a recent academic field, students will benefit from the book's overview of the current state of microstructure and will use the Appendix to understand important methodologies. Policy makers and regulators will use this book to access theoretical analyses on real cases. For readers who are practitioners, this book delivers data analysis and basic processes like the designs of Smart Order Routing and trade scheduling algorithms.In this second edition, the authors have added a large section on orderbook dynamics, showing how liquidity can predict future price moves, and how High Frequency Traders can profit from it. The section on market impact has also been updated to show how buying or selling pressure moves prices not only for a few hours, but even for days, and how prices relax (or not) after a period of intense pressure.Further, this edition includes pages on Dark Pools, Circuit Breakers and added information outside of Equity Trading, because MiFID 2 is likely to push fixed income markets towards more electronification. The authors explore what is to be expected from this change in microstructure. The appendix has also been augmented to include the propagator models (for intraday price impact), a simple version of Kyle's model (1985) for daily market impact, and a more sophisticated optimal trading framework, to support the design of trading algorithms.
Book Synopsis Forecasting: principles and practice by : Rob J Hyndman
Download or read book Forecasting: principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Book Synopsis Liquidity, Markets and Trading in Action by : Deniz Ozenbas
Download or read book Liquidity, Markets and Trading in Action written by Deniz Ozenbas and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022 with total page 111 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book addresses four standard business school subjects: microeconomics, macroeconomics, finance and information systems as they relate to trading, liquidity, and market structure. It provides a detailed examination of the impact of trading costs and other impediments of trading that the authors call rictions It also presents an interactive simulation model of equity market trading, TraderEx, that enables students to implement trading decisions in different market scenarios and structures. Addressing these topics shines a bright light on how a real-world financial market operates, and the simulation provides students with an experiential learning opportunity that is informative and fun. Each of the chapters is designed so that it can be used as a stand-alone module in an existing economics, finance, or information science course. Instructor resources such as discussion questions, Powerpoint slides and TraderEx exercises are available online.
