On the Fundamentals of Self-fulfilling Speculative Attacks

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis On the Fundamentals of Self-fulfilling Speculative Attacks by : Craig Burnside

Download or read book On the Fundamentals of Self-fulfilling Speculative Attacks written by Craig Burnside and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes a theory of twin banking-currency crises in which both fundamentals and self-fulfilling beliefs play crucial roles. Fundamentals determine whether crises will occur. Self-fulfilling beliefs determine when they occur. The fundamental that causes twin crises' is government guarantees to domestic banks' foreign creditors. When these guarantees are in place twin crises inevitably occur, but their timing is a multiple equilibrium phenomenon that depends on agents' beliefs. So while self-fulfilling beliefs have an important role to play, twin crises do not happen just anywhere. They happen in countries where there are fundamental problems - problems such as guarantees to the financial sector.

Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451853548
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises by : Ms.Inci Ötker

Download or read book Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises written by Ms.Inci Ötker and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-11-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates a speculative attack model of currency crises in order to identify the role of economic fundamentals and any early warning signals of a potential currency crisis. The data from the Mexican economy was used to illustrate the model. Based on the results, a deterioration in fundamentals appears to have generated high one-step-ahead probabilities for the regime changes during the sample period 1982-1994. Particularly, increases in inflation differentials, appreciations of the real exchange rate, foreign reserve losses, expansionary monetary and fiscal policies, and increases in the share of short-term foreign currency debt appear to have contributed to the market pressures and regime changes in that period.

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475561008
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications by : Mr.Stijn Claessens

Download or read book Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-30 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

Self-Fulfilling Risk Predictions

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451854692
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Self-Fulfilling Risk Predictions by : Mr.Robert P. Flood

Download or read book Self-Fulfilling Risk Predictions written by Mr.Robert P. Flood and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-08-01 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper shows that changing market beliefs about currency risk can generate a self-fulfilling speculative attack on a fixed exchange rate. The attack does not require a later change in policies to make it profitable. This is illustrated by introducing an endogenous risk premium into a “first-generation model” of a speculative attack. The model is further modified to take account of sterilization, debt-financed fiscal deficits, and anticipatory price-setting behavior. The model is used to interpret the 1994 Mexican peso crisis.

Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226155420
Total Pages : 456 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (261 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets by : Michael P. Dooley

Download or read book Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets written by Michael P. Dooley and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 456 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The management of financial crises in emerging markets is a vital and high-stakes challenge in an increasingly global economy. For this reason, it's also a highly contentious issue in today's public policy circles. In this book, leading economists-many of whom have also participated in policy debates on these issues-consider how best to reduce the frequency and cost of such crises. The contributions here explore the management process from the beginning of a crisis to the long-term effects of the techniques used to minimize it. The first three chapters focus on the earliest responses and the immediate defense of a currency under attack, exploring whether unnecessary damage to economies can be avoided by adopting the right response within the first few days of a financial crisis. Next, contributors examine the adjustment programs that follow, considering how to design these programs so that they shorten the recovery phase, encourage economic growth, and minimize the probability of future difficulties. Finally, the last four papers analyze the actual effects of adjustment programs, asking whether they accomplish what they are designed to do-and whether, as many critics assert, they impose disproportionate costs on the poorest members of society. Recent high-profile currency crises have proven not only how harmful they can be to neighboring economies and trading partners, but also how important policy responses can be in determining their duration and severity. Economists and policymakers will welcome the insightful evaluations in this important volume, and those of its companion, Sebastian Edwards and Jeffrey A. Frankel's Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets.

Currency Crises

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Publisher : Princeton University International Finance Section, Department of Econmics
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Currency Crises by : Olivier Jeanne

Download or read book Currency Crises written by Olivier Jeanne and published by Princeton University International Finance Section, Department of Econmics. This book was released on 2000 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Three Branches of Theories of Financial Crises

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781680830842
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Branches of Theories of Financial Crises by : Itay Goldstein

Download or read book Three Branches of Theories of Financial Crises written by Itay Goldstein and published by . This book was released on 2015-12-15 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this monograph, we review three branches of theoretical literature on financial crises. The first deals with banking crises originating from coordination failures among bank creditors. The second deals with frictions in credit and interbank markets due to problems of moral hazard and adverse selection. The third deals with currency crises. We discuss the evolutions of these branches in the literature, and how they have been integrated recently to explain the turmoil in the world economy during the East Asian crises and in the last few years. We discuss the relation of the models to the empirical evidence and their ability to guide policies to avoid or mitigate future crises.

Advances in Markov-Switching Models

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642511821
Total Pages : 267 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Markov-Switching Models by : James D. Hamilton

Download or read book Advances in Markov-Switching Models written by James D. Hamilton and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 267 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a collection of state-of-the-art papers on the properties of business cycles and financial analysis. The individual contributions cover new advances in Markov-switching models with applications to business cycle research and finance. The introduction surveys the existing methods and new results of the last decade. Individual chapters study features of the U. S. and European business cycles with particular focus on the role of monetary policy, oil shocks and co movements among key variables. The short-run versus long-run consequences of an economic recession are also discussed. Another area that is featured is an extensive analysis of currency crises and the possibility of bubbles or fads in stock prices. A concluding chapter offers useful new results on testing for this kind of regime-switching behaviour. Overall, the book provides a state-of-the-art over view of new directions in methods and results for estimation and inference based on the use of Markov-switching time-series analysis. A special feature of the book is that it includes an illustration of a wide range of applications based on a common methodology. It is expected that the theme of the book will be of particular interest to the macroeconomics readers as well as econometrics professionals, scholars and graduate students. We wish to express our gratitude to the authors for their strong contributions and the reviewers for their assistance and careful attention to detail in their reports.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1996

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Publisher : MIT Press (MA)
ISBN 13 : 9780262024143
Total Pages : 407 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (241 download)

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Book Synopsis NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1996 by : Ben Bernanke

Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1996 written by Ben Bernanke and published by MIT Press (MA). This book was released on 1996 with total page 407 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the 11th volume in a series of annuals from the National Bureau of Economic Research that are designed to present, extend and apply work in macroeconomics, and to encourage and stimulate work by macroeconomists on policy issues. These contributions offer a sample of the issues and research directions in macroeconomics.

Knowledge, Innovation and Internationalisation

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135927200
Total Pages : 319 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (359 download)

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Book Synopsis Knowledge, Innovation and Internationalisation by : Piergiuseppe Morone

Download or read book Knowledge, Innovation and Internationalisation written by Piergiuseppe Morone and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 319 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As firms increasingly rely on knowledge as a key factor for innovation, the ability to innovate is increasingly perceived as a key asset for being competitive in international markets. This new volume argues that innovation, knowledge and internationalisation should be viewed as tightly related concepts. It provides a stimulating and comprehensive framework for understanding key tendencies in modern economics, as well as an overview of the state of the art in the three fields covered. The first section explores in detail the relationship between knowledge and the innovative capability of firms, focussing on key topics such as social capital, intentional knowledge diffusion and unintentional knowledge spillovers. Section two examines the drivers and the impact of innovation strategies, assessing the role of technological advantage, networking and R & D investments in innovation, as well as the impact on innovation on the labour market. The third and final section examines the ongoing internationalisation process faced by ‘global’ economies. The topics explored in each section are tightly linked, ensuring that a strong thematic thread runs through the collection.

The Macroeconomic Theory of Exchange Rate Crises

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199653127
Total Pages : 407 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (996 download)

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Book Synopsis The Macroeconomic Theory of Exchange Rate Crises by : Giovanni Piersanti

Download or read book The Macroeconomic Theory of Exchange Rate Crises written by Giovanni Piersanti and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2012-04-26 with total page 407 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An overview of the causes and consequences of speculative attacks on domestic currency and international financial turmoil. It provides a comprehensive treatment of the existing theories of exchange rate crises and of financial market runs.

Exchange Rate Targets and Currency Bands

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521435260
Total Pages : 274 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (352 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Targets and Currency Bands by : Paul Krugman

Download or read book Exchange Rate Targets and Currency Bands written by Paul Krugman and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1992-10-22 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume examines the intersection between a new analytical approach and a real economic problem.

Regional and Global Capital Flows

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226387011
Total Pages : 404 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (263 download)

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Book Synopsis Regional and Global Capital Flows by : Takatoshi Ito

Download or read book Regional and Global Capital Flows written by Takatoshi Ito and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2009-02-15 with total page 404 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The volume of capital flows between industrial and developing countries has grown dramatically in the past decade and has become a major issue in a world that is increasingly "globalized." Here Takatoshi Ito and Anne O. Krueger, two leading experts on this topic, have assembled a group of scholars who address different types of capital flows—bank lending, bonds, direct foreign investment—and the implications they hold for economic performance. With its particular focus on the Asian financial crises, this work presents a new model for policy makers everywhere in thinking about the role of private capital flows.

The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349588024
Total Pages : 7493 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (495 download)

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Book Synopsis The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics by :

Download or read book The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics written by and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-05-18 with total page 7493 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The award-winning The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd edition is now available as a dynamic online resource. Consisting of over 1,900 articles written by leading figures in the field including Nobel prize winners, this is the definitive scholarly reference work for a new generation of economists. Regularly updated! This product is a subscription based product.

IMF Staff papers, Volume 42 No. 3

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145197339X
Total Pages : 280 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers, Volume 42 No. 3 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers, Volume 42 No. 3 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-01-01 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes long-term exchange rate modeling. The paper reviews the literature that tests for a unit root in real exchange rates and the closely related work on testing for a unit root in the residual from a regression of the nominal exchange rate on relative prices. It argues that the balance of evidence is supportive of the existence of some form of long-term exchange rate relationship. The paper highlights that the form of this relationship, however, does not accord exactly with a traditional representation of the long-term exchange rate.

Emerging Business Theories for Educators and Practitioners

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Publisher : Cambridge Scholars Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1443806366
Total Pages : 370 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (438 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Business Theories for Educators and Practitioners by : Maureen L. Mackenzie

Download or read book Emerging Business Theories for Educators and Practitioners written by Maureen L. Mackenzie and published by Cambridge Scholars Publishing. This book was released on 2009-03-26 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We believe that this book provides an excellent starting point for students to gain a greater appreciation of the range of issues that managers contend with in the business world. Each individual chapter offers valuable insight into a particular topic, yet in the aggregate, the book serves as a compendium for many of the emerging business theories. It is our hope that educators will find this book a valued tool as they help their students embrace the theoretical and to develop the applied.

Financial reforms, stabilization and development in 21st-century Turkey

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Publisher : Vernon Press
ISBN 13 : 1622736532
Total Pages : 484 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (227 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial reforms, stabilization and development in 21st-century Turkey by : Haluk Haksal

Download or read book Financial reforms, stabilization and development in 21st-century Turkey written by Haluk Haksal and published by Vernon Press. This book was released on 2019-03-28 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The central argument of this book is that while central bank independence can contribute to stabilization, inflation-targeting monetary policy is quite powerless in promoting economic development. The basic message is simple: Policy makers should not strive to achieve price stability at any cost, as stability in product markets does not necessarily translate into economic development. The recent experience of Turkey is illuminating and other developing countries, in particular those using inflation targeting monetary policy framework, can draw useful lessons from this experience. Early chapters summarize the deregulation process from 1980 to 2001. The Turkish Central Bank is placed at the center of the analysis as monetary policies have a significant impact both on stability and development. Although the 1994 and 2001 financial crises have been extensively studied elsewhere, they are nevertheless summarized to underscore the importance of central bank independence. Later chapters investigate the impact of an independent central bank on stabilization and development from 2001 onwards. Upon visiting the Turkish Central Bank's website, readers are greeted with the following statement: "The primary objective of the Bank is to achieve and maintain price stability." By the end of this book the reader should be able to assess the relative merits of a monetary policy that focuses on price stability, versus an alternative where price stability is accompanied by other objectives targeting development, for instance, monitoring also unemployment rates, which would undermine its independence to some degree. The study aims to provide a perspective on the need for such an alternative in line also with the vision of some international agencies on development, such as the UNCTAD and the ILO. This is the first book-length study examining the financial reforms Turkey undertook in its path towards EU accession. This unique work will be of interest to economists and other experts in financial history, (de)regulation, institutional economics and economic development, as well as a broad range of scholars interested in the dramatic transformation of Turkey's economy and society in the 21st century.