Nonlinear Relation Between Inflation and Growth – Panel Data Analysis

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3656523223
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (565 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinear Relation Between Inflation and Growth – Panel Data Analysis by : Anna Miller

Download or read book Nonlinear Relation Between Inflation and Growth – Panel Data Analysis written by Anna Miller and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2013-10-24 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2013 in the subject Economics - Economic Cycle and Growth, grade: 64%, University of Nottingham, language: English, abstract: This paper examines the inflation-growth interaction for different country groups with similar national incomes for the period 1970-2011. It could be confirmed that this relation is strictly nonlinear with a threshold level of inflation of 3% for high-income countries and 13% for low-income countries. Although this result is in line with previous empirical studies based on a similar data set, much smaller samples needed to be used to obtain these results. Inflation threshold levels are estimated using the iteration method and different panel-specific techniques. Strongly significant thresholds were yielded only when controlling for country-fixed effects. Policymakers can use the findings for high-income or industrialised countries as a guide for inflation targeting, however more precise analyses for less advanced countries are needed in order to be useful for monetary policy.

Nonlinear Relation Between Inflation and Growth - Panel Data Analysis

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783656532064
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinear Relation Between Inflation and Growth - Panel Data Analysis by : Anna Miller

Download or read book Nonlinear Relation Between Inflation and Growth - Panel Data Analysis written by Anna Miller and published by . This book was released on 2013-11 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2013 in the subject Economics - Economic Cycle and Growth, grade: 64%, University of Nottingham, language: English, abstract: This paper examines the inflation-growth interaction for different country groups with similar national incomes for the period 1970-2011. It could be confirmed that this relation is strictly nonlinear with a threshold level of inflation of 3% for high-income countries and 13% for low-income countries. Although this result is in line with previous empirical studies based on a similar data set, much smaller samples needed to be used to obtain these results. Inflation threshold levels are estimated using the iteration method and different panel-specific techniques. Strongly significant thresholds were yielded only when controlling for country-fixed effects. Policymakers can use the findings for high-income or industrialised countries as a guide for inflation targeting, however more precise analyses for less advanced countries are needed in order to be useful for monetary policy.

Non-linearity in the Inflation-Growth Relationship in Developing Economies

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (889 download)

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Book Synopsis Non-linearity in the Inflation-Growth Relationship in Developing Economies by : Deniz Baglan

Download or read book Non-linearity in the Inflation-Growth Relationship in Developing Economies written by Deniz Baglan and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Inflation, Disinflation, and Growth

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451961189
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation, Disinflation, and Growth by : Mr.Atish R. Ghosh

Download or read book Inflation, Disinflation, and Growth written by Mr.Atish R. Ghosh and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-05-01 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although few would doubt that very high inflation is bad for growth, there is much less agreement about moderate inflation’s effects. Using panel regressions and a nonlinear specification, this paper finds a statistically and economically significant negative relationship between inflation and growth. This relationship holds at all but the lowest inflation rates and is robust across various samples and specifications. The method of binary recursive trees identifies inflation as one the most important statistical determinants of growth. Finally, while there are short-run growth costs of disinflation, these are only relevant for the most severe disinflations, or when the initial inflation rate is well within the single-digit range.

Nonlinear Effects of Inflationon Economic Growth

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451968310
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinear Effects of Inflationon Economic Growth by : Mr.Michael Sarel

Download or read book Nonlinear Effects of Inflationon Economic Growth written by Mr.Michael Sarel and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-06-01 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the possibility of nonlinear effects of inflation on economic growth. It finds evidence of a significant structural break in the function that relates economic growth to inflation. The break is estimated to occur when the inflation rate is 8 percent. Below that rate, inflation does not have any effect on growth, or it may even have a slightly positive effect. When the inflation rate is above 8 percent, however, the estimated effect of inflation on growth rates is significant, robust and extremely powerful. The paper also demonstrates that when the existence of the structural break is ignored, the estimated effect of inflation on growth is biased by a factor of three.

Inflation and Growth

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783941240032
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation and Growth by : Stephanie Kremer

Download or read book Inflation and Growth written by Stephanie Kremer and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Estimating The Inflation–Growth Nexus—A Smooth Transition Model

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451982194
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating The Inflation–Growth Nexus—A Smooth Transition Model by : Mr.Raphael A. Espinoza

Download or read book Estimating The Inflation–Growth Nexus—A Smooth Transition Model written by Mr.Raphael A. Espinoza and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-03-01 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Motivated by the global inflation episode of 2007-08 and concern that high levels of inflation could undermine growth, this paper uses a panel of 165 countries and data for 1960-2007 to revisit the nexus between inflation and growth. We use a smooth transition model to investigate the speed at which inflation beyond a threshold becomes harmful to growth, an important consideration in the policy response to rising inflation as the world economy recovers. We estimate that for all country groups (except for advanced countries) inflation above a threshold of about 10 percent quickly becomes harmful to growth, suggesting the need for a prompt policy response to inflation at or above the relevant threshold. For the advanced economies, the threshold is much lower. For oil exporting countries, the estimates are less robust, possibly reflecting heterogeneity among oil producers, but the effect of higher inflation for oil producers is found to be stronger.

Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data, second edition

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262232588
Total Pages : 1095 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (622 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data, second edition by : Jeffrey M. Wooldridge

Download or read book Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data, second edition written by Jeffrey M. Wooldridge and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2010-10-01 with total page 1095 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The second edition of a comprehensive state-of-the-art graduate level text on microeconometric methods, substantially revised and updated. The second edition of this acclaimed graduate text provides a unified treatment of two methods used in contemporary econometric research, cross section and data panel methods. By focusing on assumptions that can be given behavioral content, the book maintains an appropriate level of rigor while emphasizing intuitive thinking. The analysis covers both linear and nonlinear models, including models with dynamics and/or individual heterogeneity. In addition to general estimation frameworks (particular methods of moments and maximum likelihood), specific linear and nonlinear methods are covered in detail, including probit and logit models and their multivariate, Tobit models, models for count data, censored and missing data schemes, causal (or treatment) effects, and duration analysis. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data was the first graduate econometrics text to focus on microeconomic data structures, allowing assumptions to be separated into population and sampling assumptions. This second edition has been substantially updated and revised. Improvements include a broader class of models for missing data problems; more detailed treatment of cluster problems, an important topic for empirical researchers; expanded discussion of "generalized instrumental variables" (GIV) estimation; new coverage (based on the author's own recent research) of inverse probability weighting; a more complete framework for estimating treatment effects with panel data, and a firmly established link between econometric approaches to nonlinear panel data and the "generalized estimating equation" literature popular in statistics and other fields. New attention is given to explaining when particular econometric methods can be applied; the goal is not only to tell readers what does work, but why certain "obvious" procedures do not. The numerous included exercises, both theoretical and computer-based, allow the reader to extend methods covered in the text and discover new insights.

Economic Growth and Financial Development

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030790037
Total Pages : 245 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Growth and Financial Development by : Muhammad Shahbaz

Download or read book Economic Growth and Financial Development written by Muhammad Shahbaz and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-09-21 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book looks into the relationship between financial development, economic growth, and the possibility of a potential capital flight in the transmission process. It also examines the important role that financial institutions, financial markets, and country-level institutional factors play in economic growth and their impact on capital flight in emerging economies. By presenting new theoretical insights and empirical country studies as well as econometric approaches, the authors focus on the relationship between financial development and economic growth with capital flight in the era of financial crisis. Therefore, this book is a must-read for researchers, scholars, and policy-makers, interested in a better understanding of economic growth and financial development of emerging economies alike.

Money Growth and Inflation

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Money Growth and Inflation by : Arusha Cooray

Download or read book Money Growth and Inflation written by Arusha Cooray and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The relationship between money growth and inflation is a topic of debate among macroeconomists. This paper contributes to the empirical literature on the money-inflation pass-through using a Nonlinear Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag model (NARDL) for three countries (the U.S., U.K. and Japan) over an estimation period spanning 1950Q1 to 2014Q4. This methodology allows for empirical tests of short- and long-run asymmetric responses of inflation to both positive and negative shocks affecting money growth of three monetary aggregates (M, M, M). The results reveal that inflation responds asymmetrically to monetary shocks in the long-run for all three countries. Robustness tests are also undertaken by carrying out the Hatemi-J (Empirical Economics, Vol. 43 (2012), pp. 447-456) causality test and splitting the sample period into two, before and after the financial crisis. The findings indicate the existence of a relation between money growth and inflation in the post-crisis period only in the case of the U.K. When we use different break points, we find that the symmetric relationship more likely occurs in the post-crisis period.

Exports, Inflation, and Growth

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451854137
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Exports, Inflation, and Growth by : Thorvaldur Gylfason

Download or read book Exports, Inflation, and Growth written by Thorvaldur Gylfason and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-09-01 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper identifies some of the main determinants of exports and economic growth in cross-sectional data from the World Bank, covering 160 countries in the period 1985-1994. First, the linkages between the propensity to export and population, per capita income, agriculture, primary exports, and inflation are studied by statistical methods. Then, the relationship between economic growth and some of the above-mentioned determinants of exports and investment are scrutinized the same way. The main conclusion is that, in the period under review, high inflation and an abundance of natural resources tended to be associated with low exports and slow growth.

The Costs and Benefits of Price Stability

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226241769
Total Pages : 374 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis The Costs and Benefits of Price Stability by : Martin Feldstein

Download or read book The Costs and Benefits of Price Stability written by Martin Feldstein and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 374 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, the Federal Reserve and central banks worldwide have enjoyed remarkable success in their battle against inflation. The challenge now confronting the Fed and its counterparts is how to proceed in this newly benign economic environment: Should monetary policy seek to maintain a rate of low-level inflation or eliminate inflation altogether in an effort to attain full price stability? In a seminal article published in 1997, Martin Feldstein developed a framework for calculating the gains in economic welfare that might result from a move from a low level of inflation to full price stability. The present volume extends that analysis, focusing on the likely costs and benefits of achieving price stability not only in the United States, but in Germany, Spain, and the United Kingdom as well. The results show that even small changes in already low inflation rates can have a substantial impact on the economic performance of different countries, and that variations in national tax rules can affect the level of gain from disinflation.

Fiscal Deficits and Inflation

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451848706
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Deficits and Inflation by : Mr.Luis Catão

Download or read book Fiscal Deficits and Inflation written by Mr.Luis Catão and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-04-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macroeconomic theory postulates that fiscal deficits cause inflation. Yet empirical research has had limited success in uncovering this relationship. This paper reexamines the issue in light of broader data and a new modeling approach that incorporates two key features of the theory. Unlike previous studies, we model inflation as nonlinearly related to fiscal deficits through the inflation tax base and estimate this relationship as intrinsically dynamic, using panel techniques that explicitly distinguish between short- and long-run effects of fiscal deficits. Results spanning 107 countries over 1960-2001 show a strong positive association between deficits and inflation among high-inflation and developing country groups, but not among low-inflation advanced economies.

Inflation and Financial Depth

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Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN 13 : 9781451846416
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (464 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation and Financial Depth by : Mr.Bruce D. Smith

Download or read book Inflation and Financial Depth written by Mr.Bruce D. Smith and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2001-04-01 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is now a substantial theoretical literature arguing that inflation impedes financial deepening. Furthermore, it has been hypothesized that the relationship is a nonlinear one, in that there is a threshold level of inflation below which inflation has a positive effect on financial depth, but above which the effect turns negative. Using a large cross-country sample, empirical support is found for the existence of such a threshold. The estimates indicate that the threshold level of inflation is generally between 3 and 6 percent a year, depending on the specific measure of financial depth that is used.

International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319790757
Total Pages : 298 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis by : Laurent Ferrara

Download or read book International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis written by Laurent Ferrara and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-06-13 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book collects selected articles addressing several currently debated issues in the field of international macroeconomics. They focus on the role of the central banks in the debate on how to come to terms with the long-term decline in productivity growth, insufficient aggregate demand, high economic uncertainty and growing inequalities following the global financial crisis. Central banks are of considerable importance in this debate since understanding the sluggishness of the recovery process as well as its implications for the natural interest rate are key to assessing output gaps and the monetary policy stance. The authors argue that a more dynamic domestic and external aggregate demand helps to raise the inflation rate, easing the constraint deriving from the zero lower bound and allowing monetary policy to depart from its current ultra-accommodative position. Beyond macroeconomic factors, the book also discusses a supportive financial environment as a precondition for the rebound of global economic activity, stressing that understanding capital flows is a prerequisite for economic-policy decisions.

Microeconometrics

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139444867
Total Pages : 1058 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Microeconometrics by : A. Colin Cameron

Download or read book Microeconometrics written by A. Colin Cameron and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2005-05-09 with total page 1058 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides the most comprehensive treatment to date of microeconometrics, the analysis of individual-level data on the economic behavior of individuals or firms using regression methods for cross section and panel data. The book is oriented to the practitioner. A basic understanding of the linear regression model with matrix algebra is assumed. The text can be used for a microeconometrics course, typically a second-year economics PhD course; for data-oriented applied microeconometrics field courses; and as a reference work for graduate students and applied researchers who wish to fill in gaps in their toolkit. Distinguishing features of the book include emphasis on nonlinear models and robust inference, simulation-based estimation, and problems of complex survey data. The book makes frequent use of numerical examples based on generated data to illustrate the key models and methods. More substantially, it systematically integrates into the text empirical illustrations based on seven large and exceptionally rich data sets.

IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 4

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451972776
Total Pages : 180 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 4 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 4 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-01-01 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper describes the issue of corruption around the world. The paper surveys and discusses issues related to the causes, consequences, and scope of corruption, and possible corrective actions. It emphasizes the costs of corruption in terms of economic growth. It also emphasizes that the fight against corruption may not be cheap and cannot be independent from the reform of the state. If certain reforms are not made, corruption is likely to continue to be a problem regardless of actions directly aimed at curtailing it.