Nonlinear Dynamics of Financial Crises

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128032766
Total Pages : 125 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (28 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinear Dynamics of Financial Crises by : Ionut Purica

Download or read book Nonlinear Dynamics of Financial Crises written by Ionut Purica and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2015-03-28 with total page 125 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When just a handful of economists predicted the 2008 financial crisis, people should wonder how so many well educated people with enormous datasets and computing power can be so wrong. In this short book Ionut Purica joins a growing number of economists who explore the failings of mainstream economics and propose solutions developed in other disciplines, such as sociology and evolutionary biology. While it might be premature to call for a revolution, Dr. Purica echoes John Maynard Keynes in believing that economic ideas are "dangerous for good or evil." In recent years evil seems to have had the upper hand. "Nonlinear Dynamics of Financial Crises" points to their ability to do good. Makes complex economics ideas accessible by carefully explaining technical terms and minimizing mathematics and equations Delivers easily-understood perspectives about the global economy by constructing broad assumptions and conclusions in the face of its infinitely complexity Challenges received economic ideas by focusing on human behavior and the roles it plays in easily-observable recent trends and events

Market Microstructure and Nonlinear Dynamics

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319052128
Total Pages : 322 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Microstructure and Nonlinear Dynamics by : Gilles Dufrénot

Download or read book Market Microstructure and Nonlinear Dynamics written by Gilles Dufrénot and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-07-14 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses market microstructure environment within the context of the global financial crisis. In the first part, the market microstructure theory is recalled and the main microstructure models and hypotheses are discussed. The second part focuses on the main effects of the financial downturn through an examination of market microstructure dynamics. In particular, the effects of market imperfections and the limitations associated with microstructure models are discussed. Finally, the new regulations and recent developments for financial markets that aim to improve the market microstructure are discussed. Well-known experts on the subject contribute to the chapters in the book. A must-read for academic researchers, students and quantitative practitioners.

Financial Crises, Nonlinear Dynamics and Macroeconomic Issues in Currency Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781124857602
Total Pages : 170 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (576 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises, Nonlinear Dynamics and Macroeconomic Issues in Currency Markets by : Dooyeon Cho

Download or read book Financial Crises, Nonlinear Dynamics and Macroeconomic Issues in Currency Markets written by Dooyeon Cho and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Chaos & Nonlinear Dynamics in the Financial Markets

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Author :
Publisher : Robert Trippi
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 546 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Chaos & Nonlinear Dynamics in the Financial Markets by : Robert R. Trippi

Download or read book Chaos & Nonlinear Dynamics in the Financial Markets written by Robert R. Trippi and published by Robert Trippi. This book was released on 1995 with total page 546 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Computer disk illustrates behavior of several of the chaotic processes discussed in text. Assists the user in viewing the change in a system from unstable to stable states.

Nonlinear Dynamics and Recurrence Plots for Detecting Financial Crisis

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (879 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinear Dynamics and Recurrence Plots for Detecting Financial Crisis by : Peter Martey Addo

Download or read book Nonlinear Dynamics and Recurrence Plots for Detecting Financial Crisis written by Peter Martey Addo and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Financial Dynamics and Business Cycles

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1315288796
Total Pages : 274 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (152 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Dynamics and Business Cycles by : Willi Semmler

Download or read book Financial Dynamics and Business Cycles written by Willi Semmler and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-08-08 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As the 55th anniversary of the bank holiday of March 1933 approached, financial instability was a main topic in the financial press. Daily reports appeared of international debt crises, of the covert bankruptcy of deposit insurance, and of the near bankruptcy of one great financial institution after another. The great stock market crash of October 19 and 20, 1987, demonstrated that extreme instability can happen. It is generally asserted that the consequences of October 19th and 20th would have been disastrous if the Federal Reserve and Treasury interventions had not set things right. In 1933, financial markets in the United States and throughout the capitalist world collapsed. In the light of historical experience, the past 55 years are the anomaly. The papers collected in this volume come from various backgrounds and research paradigms. A common theme runs through these papers that makes the collection both interesting and important: The authors take seriously the obvious evidence that capitalist economies progress through time by lurching. Whether a particular study starts from household utility maximization or from the processes by which productive structures are reproduced and expanded, the authors are united in accepting the evidence that financial instability is a significant characteristic of modern capitalism.

New Facets of Economic Complexity in Modern Financial Markets

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 042958394X
Total Pages : 273 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (295 download)

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Book Synopsis New Facets of Economic Complexity in Modern Financial Markets by : Catherine Kyrtsou

Download or read book New Facets of Economic Complexity in Modern Financial Markets written by Catherine Kyrtsou and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-06-04 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book is motivated by the disruptions introduced by the financial crisis and the many attempts that have followed to propose new ideas and remedies. Assembling contributions by authors from a variety of backgrounds, this collection illustrates the potentials resulting from the marriage of financial economics, complexity theory and an out-of-equilibrium view of the economic world. Challenging the traditional hypotheses that lie behind financial market functioning, new evidence is provided about the hidden factors fuelling bubbles, the impact of agents’ heterogeneity, the importance of endogeneity in the information transmission mechanism, the dynamics of herding, the sources of volatility, the portfolio optimization techniques, the financial innovation and the trend identification in a nonlinear time-series framework. Presenting the advances made in financial market analysis, and putting emphasis on nonlinear dynamics, this book suggests interdisciplinary methodologies for the study of well-known stylised facts and financial abnormalities. This book was originally published as a special issue of The European Journal of Finance.

Why Stock Markets Crash

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400885094
Total Pages : 449 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Why Stock Markets Crash by : Didier Sornette

Download or read book Why Stock Markets Crash written by Didier Sornette and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-03-21 with total page 449 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of materials. In this book, Didier Sornette boldly applies his varied experience in these areas to propose a simple, powerful, and general theory of how, why, and when stock markets crash. Most attempts to explain market failures seek to pinpoint triggering mechanisms that occur hours, days, or weeks before the collapse. Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a "bubble." Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions--among them, that the "end of the growth era" will occur around 2050. Sornette probes major historical precedents, from the decades-long "tulip mania" in the Netherlands that wilted suddenly in 1637 to the South Sea Bubble that ended with the first huge market crash in England in 1720, to the Great Crash of October 1929 and Black Monday in 1987, to cite just a few. He concludes that most explanations other than cooperative self-organization fail to account for the subtle bubbles by which the markets lay the groundwork for catastrophe. Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome Why Stock Markets Crash as a highly original "scientific tale," as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome--but no longer quite so unfathomable--world of stock markets.

Essays in Macroeconomics and Nonlinear Dynamics

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 189 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (126 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays in Macroeconomics and Nonlinear Dynamics by : Matthias Christian Rottner

Download or read book Essays in Macroeconomics and Nonlinear Dynamics written by Matthias Christian Rottner and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 189 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis investigates topics in macroeconomics with nonlinear dynamics as their inherent feature. It aims to further the understanding of the connection between the financial sector and economic fluctuations, challenges of monetary policy in a low interest rate environment and how to mitigate the macroeconomic consequences of a pandemic. The first chapter investigates the connection between the shadow banking sector and the vulnerability of the economy to a financial crisis. Motivated by the build-up of shadow bank leverage prior to the Great Recession, I develop a nonlinear macroeconomic model that features excessive leverage accumulation and show how this can cause a run. Introducing risk-shifting incentives to account for fluctuations in shadow bank leverage, I use the model to illustrate that extensive leverage makes the shadow banking system runnable, thereby raising the vulnerability of the economy to future financial crises. The model is taken to U.S. data with the objective of estimating the probability of a run in the years preceding the financial crisis of 2007-2008. The second chapter, joint with Francesco Bianchi and Leonardo Melosi, is motivated by the observation that the Federal Reserve Bank has been systematically undershooting its 2% inflation target in the past twenty years. This deflationary bias is a predictable consequence of the current symmetric monetary policy strategy that fails to recognize the risk of encountering the zero-lower-bound. An asymmetric rule according to which the central bank responds less aggressively to above-target inflation corrects the bias, improves welfare, and reduces the risk of deflationary spirals. The third chapter, joint with Matthieu Darracq Paries and Christoffer Kok, analyses the risk that an intended monetary policy accommodation might actually have contractionary effects in a low interest rate environment. We demonstrate that the risk of hitting the rate at which the effect reverses depends on the capitalization of the banking sector by using a nonlinear macroeconomic model. The framework suggests that the reversal interest rate is around −1% p.a. in the Euro Area. We show that the possibility of the reversal interest rate creates a novel motive for macroprudential policy. The fourth chapter, joint with Leonardo Melosi, studies contact tracing in a new macro-epidemiological model with asymptomatic spreaders. Contact tracing is a testing strategy that aims to reconstruct the infection chain of newly symptomatic agents. We show that contact tracing may be insufficient to stem the spread of infections because agents fail to internalize that their decisions increase the number of traceable contacts to be tested in the future. We provide theoretical underpinnings to the risk of becoming infected in macro-epidemiological models.

Advances in Non-linear Economic Modeling

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642420397
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (424 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Non-linear Economic Modeling by : Frauke Schleer-van Gellecom

Download or read book Advances in Non-linear Economic Modeling written by Frauke Schleer-van Gellecom and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-12-11 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years nonlinearities have gained increasing importance in economic and econometric research, particularly after the financial crisis and the economic downturn after 2007. This book contains theoretical, computational and empirical papers that incorporate nonlinearities in econometric models and apply them to real economic problems. It intends to serve as an inspiration for researchers to take potential nonlinearities in account. Researchers should be aware of applying linear model-types spuriously to problems which include non-linear features. It is indispensable to use the correct model type in order to avoid biased recommendations for economic policy.

Nonlinear Dynamics and Chaos in the Financial Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 127 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (464 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinear Dynamics and Chaos in the Financial Markets by : Dan Negoita

Download or read book Nonlinear Dynamics and Chaos in the Financial Markets written by Dan Negoita and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 127 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Linear and Non-Linear Dynamics between Exchange Rates and Stock Markets Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Linear and Non-Linear Dynamics between Exchange Rates and Stock Markets Returns by : Francisco J. Climent

Download or read book Linear and Non-Linear Dynamics between Exchange Rates and Stock Markets Returns written by Francisco J. Climent and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent crises of the nineties have made it clear that the links between exchange rates and stock market prices are relevant factors in the transmission of the crises. Using daily exchange rates and stock index prices of the last decade (1990-1999) the interactions between the stock market and exchange rates returns of twenty-three countries of two different geographical areas (Asia and Europe) are analysed. Our results suggest that: (i) short term relationships seem to be more relevant than long term ones, (ii) it is more relevant the presence of linear and nonlinear causality in the Asian countries, and (iii) the periods of crisis affect asymmetrically the relationship between exchange rates and stock market prices.

Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 110701929X
Total Pages : 273 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems by : Cars Hommes

Download or read book Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems written by Cars Hommes and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-24 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recognising that the economy is a complex system with boundedly rational interacting agents, applies complexity modelling to economics and finance.

Financial Crises and Recession in the Global Economy

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Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1803927577
Total Pages : 215 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (39 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises and Recession in the Global Economy by : Roy E. Allen

Download or read book Financial Crises and Recession in the Global Economy written by Roy E. Allen and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2023-11-03 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this incisive fifth edition of Financial Crises and Recession in the Global Economy, Roy E. Allen examines the major financial instabilities, crises, and evolutionary trends since the 1970s and through the recent Covid-19 pandemic.

Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540246967
Total Pages : 249 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions by : Willi Semmler

Download or read book Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions written by Willi Semmler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-03-21 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions" is a book on Financial Economics from a dynamic perspective. It focuses on the dynamic interaction of financial markets and economic activity. The financial markets to be studied here encompasses the money and bond market, credit market, stock market and foreign exchange market. Economic activity is described by the activity of firms, banks, households, governments and countries. The book shows how economic activity affects asset prices and the financial market and how asset prices and financial market volatility feed back to economic activity. The focus in this book is on theories, dynamic models and empirical evidence. Empirical applications relate to episodes of financial instability and financial crises of the U.S., Latin American, Asian as well as Euro-area countries. The current version of the book has moved to a more extensive coverage of the topics in financial economics by updating the literature in the appropriate chapters. Moreover it gives a more extensive treatment of new and more advanced topics in financial economics such as international portfolio theory, multi-agent and evolutionary approaches, capital asset pricing beyond consumption-based models and dynamic portfolio decisions. Overall, the book presents material that researchers and practitioners in financial engineering need to know about economic dynamics and that economists, practitioners and policy makers need to know about the financial market.

Econophysics Approaches to Large-Scale Business Data and Financial Crisis

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 4431538534
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Econophysics Approaches to Large-Scale Business Data and Financial Crisis by : Misako Takayasu

Download or read book Econophysics Approaches to Large-Scale Business Data and Financial Crisis written by Misako Takayasu and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-04-27 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, as part of the increasing “informationization” of industry and the economy, enterprises have been accumulating vast amounts of detailed data such as high-frequency transaction data in nancial markets and point-of-sale information onindividualitems in theretail sector. Similarly,vast amountsof data arenow ava- able on business networks based on inter rm transactions and shareholdings. In the past, these types of information were studied only by economists and management scholars. More recently, however, researchers from other elds, such as physics, mathematics, and information sciences, have become interested in this kind of data and, based on novel empirical approaches to searching for regularities and “laws” akin to those in the natural sciences, have produced intriguing results. This book is the proceedings of the international conference THICCAPFA7 that was titled “New Approaches to the Analysis of Large-Scale Business and E- nomic Data,” held in Tokyo, March 1–5, 2009. The letters THIC denote the Tokyo Tech (Tokyo Institute of Technology)–Hitotsubashi Interdisciplinary Conference. The conference series, titled APFA (Applications of Physics in Financial Analysis), focuses on the analysis of large-scale economic data. It has traditionally brought physicists and economists together to exchange viewpoints and experience (APFA1 in Dublin 1999, APFA2 in Liege ` 2000, APFA3 in London 2001, APFA4 in Warsaw 2003, APFA5 in Torino 2006, and APFA6 in Lisbon 2007). The aim of the conf- ence is to establish fundamental analytical techniques and data collection methods, taking into account the results from a variety of academic disciplines.

Anatomy of Global Stock Market Crashes

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 813220462X
Total Pages : 69 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (322 download)

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Book Synopsis Anatomy of Global Stock Market Crashes by : Gagari Chakrabarti

Download or read book Anatomy of Global Stock Market Crashes written by Gagari Chakrabarti and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-01-05 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work is an exploration of the global market dynamics, their intrinsic natures, common trends and dynamic interlinkages during the stock market crises over the last twelve years. The study isolates different phases of crisis and differentiates between any crisis that remains confined to the region and those that take up a global dimension. The latent structure of the global stock market, the inter-regional and intra-regional stock market dynamics around the crises are analyzed to get a complete picture of the structure of the global stock market. The study further probing into the inherent nature of the global stock market in generating crisis finds the global market to be chaotic thus making the system intrinsically unstable or at best to follow knife-edge stability. The findings have significant bearing at theoretical level and on policy decisions.