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Noise Trading And Exchange Rate Regimes
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Book Synopsis Noise Trading and Exchange Rate Regimes by : Olivier Jeanne
Download or read book Noise Trading and Exchange Rate Regimes written by Olivier Jeanne and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both the literature and new empirical evidence show that exchange rate regimes differ primarily by the noisiness of the exchange rate, not be measurable macroeconomic fundamentals. This motivates a theoretical analysis of exchange rate regimes with noise traders. The presence of noise traders can lead to multiple equilibria in the foreign exchange market. The entry of noise traders both create and share the risk associated with exchange rate volatility. In such circumstances, monetary policy can be used to lower exchange rate volatility without altering macroeconomic fundamentals.
Book Synopsis Noise Trading and Exchange Rate Regimes by : Andrew Kenan Rose
Download or read book Noise Trading and Exchange Rate Regimes written by Andrew Kenan Rose and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both the literature and new empirical evidence show that exchange rate regimes differ primarily by the noisiness of the exchange rate, not by measurable macroeconomic fundamentals. This motivates a theoretical analysis of exchange rate regimes with noise traders. The presence of noise traders can lead to multiple equilibria in the foreign exchange market. The entry of noise traders alters the composition of the market and generates excess exchange rate volatility, since noise traders both create and share the risk associated with exchange rate volatility. In such circumstances, monetary policy can be used to lower exchange rate volatility without altering macroeconomic fundamentals.
Author :Christian Pierdzioch Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :9783540427452 Total Pages :232 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (274 download)
Book Synopsis Noise Trading, Central Bank Interventions, and the Informational Content of Foreign Currency Options by : Christian Pierdzioch
Download or read book Noise Trading, Central Bank Interventions, and the Informational Content of Foreign Currency Options written by Christian Pierdzioch and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2001-12-06 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A flexible instrument to insure against adverse exchange rate movements are options on foreign currency. Often a relatively simple foreign currency option valuation model is used to address issues related to the pricing and hedging of such options. The results of many empirical studies document that real-world foreign currency option premia deviate from those predicted by the baseline model. In the first part of the book, it is shown that a noise trader model can help to explain the observed mispricing of the baseline foreign currency option pricing model. In the second part of the book, it is studied how policymakers can exploit the pricing errors of the baseline model. In particular, it is examined how option pricing theory can be applied to assess the effectiveness of central bank interventions in the foreign exchange market. To this end, a model is constructed to analyze the effectiveness of the interventions conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank during the Louvre period.
Book Synopsis Technical Trading, Monetary Policy, and Exchange Rate Regimes by : Bernhard Herz
Download or read book Technical Trading, Monetary Policy, and Exchange Rate Regimes written by Bernhard Herz and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper extends and empirically tests the noise trader exchange rate model of Jeanne and Rose (2002). We introduce technical trading in the exchange market as a source of noise and explicitly incorporate monetary and exchange rate policy. With these modifications it is possible to directly test the model's prediction of an U shaped relation between exchange trend and volatility. We find strong empirical evidence supporting the implications of the model. As a corollary we develop a measure of excess exchange rate volatility and categorize exchange rate regimes based on the de facto behavior of the exchange rates.The paper extends and empirically tests the noise trader exchange rate model of Jeanne and Rose (2002). We introduce technical trading in the exchange market as a source of noise and explicitly incorporate monetary and exchange rate policy. With these modifications it is possible to directly test the model's prediction of an U shaped relation between exchange trend and volatility. We find strong empirical evidence supporting the implications of the model. As a corollary we develop a measure of excess exchange rate volatility and categorize exchange rate regimes based on the de facto behavior of the exchange rates.
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Regimes by : Ashima Goyal
Download or read book Exchange Rate Regimes written by Ashima Goyal and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The appropriate exchange rate regime, in the context of integration of currency markets with financial markets and of large international capital flows, continues to be a policy dilemma. We find that the majority of countries are moving towards somewhat higher exchange and lower interest rate volatility. Features of foreign exchange (forex) markets could be partly motivating these choices. A model with noise trading, non-traded goods and price rigidities shows that bounds on the volatility of the exchange rate can lower noise trading in forex markets; decrease fundamental variance and improve real fundamentals in an emerging market economy (EME); and give more monetary policy autonomy. Central banks prefer secret interventions where they have an information advantage or fear destabilizing speculation. But in our model, short-term pre-announced interventions can control exchange rate volatility, pre-empt deviations in prices and real exchange rates, and allow markets to help central banks achieve their targets. The long-term crawl need not be announced. In conclusion, the regime's applicability to an EME is explored.
Book Synopsis Noise Trading and the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Nominal and Real Exchange Rates by : Christian Pierdzioch
Download or read book Noise Trading and the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Nominal and Real Exchange Rates written by Christian Pierdzioch and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Regimes by : Atish R. Ghosh
Download or read book Exchange Rate Regimes written by Atish R. Ghosh and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2002 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An empirical study of exchange rate regimes based on data compiled from 150 member countries of the International Monetary Fund over the past thirty years. Few topics in international economics are as controversial as the choice of an exchange rate regime. Since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system in the early 1970s, countries have adopted a wide variety of regimes, ranging from pure floats at one extreme to currency boards and dollarization at the other. While a vast theoretical literature explores the choice and consequences of exchange rate regimes, the abundance of possible effects makes it difficult to establish clear relationships between regimes and common macroeconomic policy targets such as inflation and growth. This book takes a systematic look at the evidence on macroeconomic performance under alternative exchange rate regimes, drawing on the experience of some 150 member countries of the International Monetary Fund over the past thirty years. Among other questions, it asks whether pegging the exchange rate leads to lower inflation, whether floating exchange rates are associated with faster output growth, and whether pegged regimes are particularly prone to currency and other crises. The book draws on history and theory to delineate the debate and on standard statistical methods to assess the empirical evidence, and includes a CD-ROM containing the data set used.
Book Synopsis Noise Trading and Exchange Rate Regimes by : Olivier Jeanne
Download or read book Noise Trading and Exchange Rate Regimes written by Olivier Jeanne and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both the literature and new empirical evidence show that exchange rate regimes differ primarily by the noisiness of the exchange rate, not be measurable macroeconomic fundamentals. This motivates a theoretical analysis of exchange rate regimes with noise traders. The presence of noise traders can lead to multiple equilibria in the foreign exchange market. The entry of noise traders both create and share the risk associated with exchange rate volatility. In such circumstances, monetary policy can be used to lower exchange rate volatility without altering macroeconomic fundamentals.
Book Synopsis Noise Traders and Herding Behavior by : Lee Scott Redding
Download or read book Noise Traders and Herding Behavior written by Lee Scott Redding and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-09-01 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent developments in financial economics have included many explorations into market microstructure, that is, the internal functioning of markets and the ways in which they provide liquidity to traders. An important contribution of this literature is that prices can deviate from their fundamental values. This paper describes models of imperfect liquidity and improperly processed information in financial markets, focusing on the noise trader and investor herding literature. The motivations for this line of research are presented, followed by a description of some of the major contributions and tests of some of their empirical implications.
Author :International Monetary Fund Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498330282 Total Pages :132 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-05-19 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL
Book Synopsis Noise Trading and Exchange Regimes by : Olivier Jeanne
Download or read book Noise Trading and Exchange Regimes written by Olivier Jeanne and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis China’s Evolving Exchange Rate Regime by : Mr.Sonali Das
Download or read book China’s Evolving Exchange Rate Regime written by Mr.Sonali Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-03-07 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China’s exchange rate regime has undergone gradual reform since the move away from a fixed exchange rate in 2005. The renminbi has become more flexible over time but is still carefully managed, and depth and liquidity in the onshore FX market is relatively low compared to other countries with de jure floating currencies. Allowing a greater role for market forces within the existing regime, and greater two-way flexibility of the exchange rate, are important steps to build on the progress already made. This should be complemented by further steps to develop the FX market, improve FX risk management, and modernize the monetary policy framework.
Book Synopsis Noise Traders' Trigger Rates, FX Options, and Smiles by : Christian Pierdzioch
Download or read book Noise Traders' Trigger Rates, FX Options, and Smiles written by Christian Pierdzioch and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Regimes by : Eliana Cardoso
Download or read book Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Regimes written by Eliana Cardoso and published by American Univ in Cairo Press. This book was released on 2006-02-15 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Regimes: Options for the Middle East examines some of the most pressing issues facing policymakers today. The authors offer answers to such questions as: Are the choices of exchange rate regime limited to hard fixing or fully floating? Are capital flight and banking crises avoidable? What is the best way to coordinate monetary and fiscal policies? The answers to these questions draw on the vast literature available on these topics as well as the lessons learned from recent crises, especially in East Asia and Latin America. Beside its broad coverage, this volume includes rich analyses on specific countries of the Middle East. It merits a wide readership, but policymakers seeking to achieve macroeconomic stability and growth will find it particularly useful.
Book Synopsis Noise Traiding and Exchange Rate Regimes by : O. Jeanne
Download or read book Noise Traiding and Exchange Rate Regimes written by O. Jeanne and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Central Bank Intervention and Exchange Rate Expectations by : Stefan Reitz
Download or read book Central Bank Intervention and Exchange Rate Expectations written by Stefan Reitz and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we propose a generalisation of the noise trader transmission mechanism to examine the impact of central bank intervention on exchange rates. Within a heterogeneous expectations exchange rate model intervention operations are supposed to provide support to either chartist or fundamentalist forecasts, which forces portfolio managers to adjust their foreign currency positions. The empirical examination of the hypothesis is done by applying a markov regime-switching approach to daily US-dollar/DEM forward rates and intervention data of the Deutsche Bundesbank and the Federal Reserve from 1979 to 1992. It is shown that the performance of simple chartist trading rules was strong whenever these central banks intervened on the foreign exchange market. A similar coincidence cannot be found within the more sophisticated fundamentalist approach.Die vorliegende Arbeit schlägt eine Verallgemeinerung des Noise-Trader-Transmissionsmechanismus vor. Damit sollen die Auswirkungen von Zentralbankinterventionen auf die Wechselkurse untersucht werden. Im Rahmen eines Wechselkursmodells mit heterogenen Erwartungen dürften Interventionen Prognosen stützen, die entweder auf der Chartanalyse oder der Analyse der Fundamentaldaten beruhen. Dies zwingt Portfoliomanager, ihre Fremdwährungspositionen anzupassen. Die empirische Untersuchung der Hypothese erfolgt durch Anwendung eines Markov-Switching-Ansatzes auf die täglichen USDollar/ DEM-Terminkurse und Interventionsdaten der Deutschen Bundesbank und der Federal Reserve von 1979 bis 1992. Es zeigt sich, dass sich einfache auf der Chartanalyse beruhende Regeln dann bewährt haben, wenn diese Zentralbanken am Devisenmarkt intervenierten. Ein ähnlicher Zusammenhang kann bei einem Ansatz, der sich auf Fundamentalüberlegungen stützt, nicht nachgewiesen werden.
Book Synopsis Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market in a Model with Noise Traders by : Paul De Grauwe
Download or read book Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market in a Model with Noise Traders written by Paul De Grauwe and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we analyze the effectiveness of sterilized interventions in the foreign exchange market. We use a model in which chartists and fundamentalists interact. This model produces speculative noise which leads to systematic deviations of the exchange rate from its fundamentals. In such an environment, interventions can be effective in reducing the noise. It does this by reducing the profitability of noise trading.
