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Naive Investors Earnings Announcements And Stock Price Movements
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Book Synopsis Naive Investors, Earnings Announcements, and Stock Price Movements by : Richard R. Mendenhall
Download or read book Naive Investors, Earnings Announcements, and Stock Price Movements written by Richard R. Mendenhall and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper addresses the issue of whether investors with acirc;not;SnaAtilde;macr;veacirc;not;? earnings expectations (i.e., earnings forecasts that are systematically less accurate than other publicly available predictions) have sufficient market power to affect common stock prices. The results clearly indicate that when security analysts predict quarterly earnings increases (decreases), from the same fiscal quarter of the prior year, that the abnormal return around the upcoming earnings announcement tends to be positive. When the data are formed into 50 portfolios, about 66% of the abnormal return variation around earnings announcements is explained by the predicted earnings change. This is surprising since the forecasts used are dated from one to thirteen weeks before the earnings announcement.
Book Synopsis STOCK PRICE REACTIONS TO EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS: A by : VICTOR L. BERNARD
Download or read book STOCK PRICE REACTIONS TO EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS: A written by VICTOR L. BERNARD and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Trading on Corporate Earnings News by : John Shon
Download or read book Trading on Corporate Earnings News written by John Shon and published by Financial Times/Prentice Hall. This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Profit from earnings announcements, by taking targeted, short-term option positions explicitly timed to exploit them! Based on rigorous research and huge data sets, this book identifies the specific earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, and teaches how to make these trades--in plain English, with real examples! Trading on Corporate Earnings News is the first practical, hands-on guide to profiting from earnings announcements. Writing for investors and traders at all experience levels, the authors show how to take targeted, short-term option positions that are explicitly timed to exploit the information in companies' quarterly earnings announcements. They first present powerful findings of cutting-edge studies that have examined market reactions to quarterly earnings announcements, regularities of earnings surprises, and option trading around corporate events. Drawing on enormous data sets, they identify the types of earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, based on the predictable impacts of variables such as firm size, visibility, past performance, analyst coverage, forecast dispersion, volatility, and the impact of restructurings and acquisitions. Next, they provide real examples of individual stocks-and, in some cases, conduct large sample tests-to guide investors in taking advantage of these documented regularities. Finally, they discuss crucial nuances and pitfalls that can powerfully impact performance.
Book Synopsis The Informational Role of Individual Investors in Stock Pricing by : Hung-Ling Chen
Download or read book The Informational Role of Individual Investors in Stock Pricing written by Hung-Ling Chen and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a unique data set of complete trade records, we find that large individual investors are successful at picking stocks. Large individual investors' correlated trades not only can move synchronous stock prices but also can positively predict future returns. More importantly, large individual investors tend to trade before major earnings announcements and large price changes, suggesting that they are able to exploit value-relevant information. In contrast to large individual investors, small retail investors' correlated trades are inversely associated with synchronous and future stock returns, indicating that small retail investors are uninformed and naïve. The differential information content between large individual and small retail investors highlights the need to classify individual investors according to their investment amount when examining their role in stock pricing.
Book Synopsis Naïve Is As Naïve Does by : Pedro Piccoli
Download or read book Naïve Is As Naïve Does written by Pedro Piccoli and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Individual investors are believed to trade on noise. Based on this assumption, this paper investigates whether noisy variables, such as price trends and market sentiment, attract more attention from these investors than value-related information such as the price-earnings ratio. The results suggest that price-earnings dynamics are more important in explaining changes in attention than noisy variables. Moreover, the negative sign exhibited by the value-attention relationship indicates that individual investors are more (less) attentive to stocks when they become cheaper (more expensive). I also demonstrate that this association is more representative during down markets but absent during positive periods, contradicting the stylized fact that retail traders are a driving force of bubbles. Furthermore, I find that these patterns are observable in all G7 countries. Overall, the results do not show that individual investors are consistent proxies for noise traders.
Book Synopsis An Empirical Analysis of the Effects of Online Trading on Stock Price and Trading Volume Reactions to Earnings Announcements by : Anwer S. Ahmed
Download or read book An Empirical Analysis of the Effects of Online Trading on Stock Price and Trading Volume Reactions to Earnings Announcements written by Anwer S. Ahmed and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study provides evidence on the effects of online trading on stock price and trading volume reactions to quarterly earnings announcements. We test for differences in stock price and volume reactions to quarterly earnings announcements between a period with a significant amount of online trading (1996-1999) and a period without online trading (1992-1995). We conjecture that online trading has increased the proportion of naive investors in the market. We predict that this will result in (i) a decrease in the average precision of investor information prior to earnings announcements implying higher ERCs, (ii) an increase in differential interpretation of earnings leading to higher trading volume reactions that are unrelated to price change, and (iii) a decrease in differential prior precision leading to a decrease in the association between trading volume and absolute price change. We find evidence consistent with all three predictions. Our findings are relevant for assessing the validity of concerns about online trading expressed by regulators and the validity of theoretical models of trade with asymmetrically informed investors.
Book Synopsis The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies by : Leonard Zacks
Download or read book The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies written by Leonard Zacks and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-08-24 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Investment pioneer Len Zacks presents the latest academic research on how to beat the market using equity anomalies The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies organizes and summarizes research carried out by hundreds of finance and accounting professors over the last twenty years to identify and measure equity market inefficiencies and provides self-directed individual investors with a framework for incorporating the results of this research into their own investment processes. Edited by Len Zacks, CEO of Zacks Investment Research, and written by leading professors who have performed groundbreaking research on specific anomalies, this book succinctly summarizes the most important anomalies that savvy investors have used for decades to beat the market. Some of the anomalies addressed include the accrual anomaly, net stock anomalies, fundamental anomalies, estimate revisions, changes in and levels of broker recommendations, earnings-per-share surprises, insider trading, price momentum and technical analysis, value and size anomalies, and several seasonal anomalies. This reliable resource also provides insights on how to best use the various anomalies in both market neutral and in long investor portfolios. A treasure trove of investment research and wisdom, the book will save you literally thousands of hours by distilling the essence of twenty years of academic research into eleven clear chapters and providing the framework and conviction to develop market-beating strategies. Strips the academic jargon from the research and highlights the actual returns generated by the anomalies, and documented in the academic literature Provides a theoretical framework within which to understand the concepts of risk adjusted returns and market inefficiencies Anomalies are selected by Len Zacks, a pioneer in the field of investing As the founder of Zacks Investment Research, Len Zacks pioneered the concept of the earnings-per-share surprise in 1982 and developed the Zacks Rank, one of the first anomaly-based stock selection tools. Today, his firm manages U.S. equities for individual and institutional investors and provides investment software and investment data to all types of investors. Now, with his new book, he shows you what it takes to build a quant process to outperform an index based on academically documented market inefficiencies and anomalies.
Book Synopsis Returns to Contrarian Investment by : Patricia Dechow
Download or read book Returns to Contrarian Investment written by Patricia Dechow and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the ability of hypotheses based on naive investor expectations to explain the higher returns to contrarian investment strategies. Inconsistent with Lakonishok, Shleifer and Vishny (1995), we find no systematic evidence that stock prices naively reflect extrapolation of past trends in earnings and sales growth. Consistent with Bauman and Dowen (1988) and La Porta (1994), we find that stock prices appear to naively reflect analysts' biased forecasts of future earnings growth. Further, we show that naive reliance on analysts' forecasts of future earnings growth can explain over half the higher returns to contrarian investment strategies.
Book Synopsis Success in the Stock Market by : Dermod Joseph Sweeney
Download or read book Success in the Stock Market written by Dermod Joseph Sweeney and published by Djs Financial Publishing Limited. This book was released on 2016-05-20 with total page 500 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NB: with the Kindle version, some of the hyperlinked sites will work best on a larger device such as a Kindle Fire or tablet. Investing in the US and UK stock markets is the main focus. John Fitch, Chief Risk Officer, ICE Clear Europe, of Intercontinental Exchange Inc, writes: 'A private investor, typically operating alone, will inevitably face unfamiliar challenges in devising, implementing and refining their investment strategy. In the financial market jungle, a seasoned guide can help to eliminate naive errors and map alternative routes to a desired investment goal. "Success in the Stock Market" is such a guide, comprehensive in its content, yet transparent and accessible in style, the book provides a route map from the fundamental underpinnings of stock markets, building logically through funds, futures and share selection to disciplined portfolio management. Even a sophisticated operator will benefit from Dermod Sweeney's extensive experience as a successful private investor.' Stock markets around the world are involved with staggering amounts of money - around US$70tn - and so they attract the attentions of a great many clever and ambitious people. Combine this with the vagaries of geopolitics and the often rapidly changing fortunes of companies - resulting in severe volatility - and the stock market becomes a frightening place for many people. Share price movements of 30% or more in one day are not unusual. However, a good understanding of how markets behave and how to manage your investment risk should enable you to invest successfully. Stock markets have lost more than half their value twice in the last 20 years - in 2001 and in 2008 - so it is not surprising that the number of retail investors participating in the markets has declined substantially. Could the markets lose half their value again? It's unlikely but certainly not impossible. Important lessons are drawn from these crashes. The Internet has now empowered retail investors like never before. They can buy and sell shares cheaply online, supported by virtually unlimited and easily accessible information on companies and the environments in which they operate. Numerous informative websites are cited - providing investor tools, advice, and information flows which are invaluable if you know how to filter and interpret them. Fortunes of companies can change very rapidly and the 'long term hold' works less well than it used to. However, you should still think long term but be prepared to take profits and cut losses as you monitor your investments. Managing an individual share investment well is hard work and investing in a combinations of funds and shares will suit many retail investors. The fund management industry is aggressively promoting 'tracker funds' that simply reflect the constituents of a stock market index. The story is that active fund management is expensive and underperforms. Tracker funds are a great business model for the industry - it doesn't have to worry about performance or research. Also they pump money into the bad companies in an index as well as the good, creating a serious distortion of valuations. A strong case is made for active fund management and many outstanding funds are cited. Share valuation is covered using both a Discounted Cash Flow approach and an empirical approach based on Price to Earnings ratio. The major market participants are described together with numerous factors that influence share prices. Don't listen to the 'experts' who tell you that it is 'time in the market' and not 'timing the market' that matters - and that you should stay invested through thick and thin. Timing the markets is crucial for successful investing, not least when market indices are testing all-time highs - which they do much of the time! All the good market professionals buy on market pullbacks. A risk-based approach to developing an investment strategy and managing a portfolio of funds and shares"
Book Synopsis Expectations and the Structure of Share Prices by : John G. Cragg
Download or read book Expectations and the Structure of Share Prices written by John G. Cragg and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2009-05-15 with total page 185 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: John G. Cragg and Burton G. Malkiel collected detailed forecasts of professional investors concerning the growth of 175 companies and use this information to examine the impact of such forecasts on the market evaluations of the companies and to test and extend traditional models of how stock market values are determined.
Book Synopsis Data Science for Economics and Finance by : Sergio Consoli
Download or read book Data Science for Economics and Finance written by Sergio Consoli and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021 with total page 357 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book covers the use of data science, including advanced machine learning, big data analytics, Semantic Web technologies, natural language processing, social media analysis, time series analysis, among others, for applications in economics and finance. In addition, it shows some successful applications of advanced data science solutions used to extract new knowledge from data in order to improve economic forecasting models. The book starts with an introduction on the use of data science technologies in economics and finance and is followed by thirteen chapters showing success stories of the application of specific data science methodologies, touching on particular topics related to novel big data sources and technologies for economic analysis (e.g. social media and news); big data models leveraging on supervised/unsupervised (deep) machine learning; natural language processing to build economic and financial indicators; and forecasting and nowcasting of economic variables through time series analysis. This book is relevant to all stakeholders involved in digital and data-intensive research in economics and finance, helping them to understand the main opportunities and challenges, become familiar with the latest methodological findings, and learn how to use and evaluate the performances of novel tools and frameworks. It primarily targets data scientists and business analysts exploiting data science technologies, and it will also be a useful resource to research students in disciplines and courses related to these topics. Overall, readers will learn modern and effective data science solutions to create tangible innovations for economic and financial applications.
Book Synopsis Implied Volatility Functions by : Bernard Dumas
Download or read book Implied Volatility Functions written by Bernard Dumas and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Black and Scholes (1973) implied volatilities tend to be systematically related to the option's exercise price and time to expiration. Derman and Kani (1994), Dupire (1994), and Rubinstein (1994) attribute this behavior to the fact that the Black-Scholes constant volatility assumption is violated in practice. These authors hypothesize that the volatility of the underlying asset's return is a deterministic function of the asset price and time and develop the deterministic volatility function (DVF) option valuation model, which has the potential of fitting the observed cross-section of option prices exactly. Using a sample of S & P 500 index options during the period June 1988 through December 1993, we evaluate the economic significance of the implied deterministic volatility function by examining the predictive and hedging performance of the DV option valuation model. We find that its performance is worse than that of an ad hoc Black-Scholes model with variable implied volatilities.
Book Synopsis Financial Market History: Reflections on the Past for Investors Today by : David Chambers
Download or read book Financial Market History: Reflections on the Past for Investors Today written by David Chambers and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the 2008 financial crisis, a resurgence of interest in economic and financial history has occurred among investment professionals. This book discusses some of the lessons drawn from the past that may help practitioners when thinking about their portfolios. The book’s editors, David Chambers and Elroy Dimson, are the academic leaders of the Newton Centre for Endowment Asset Management at the University of Cambridge in the United Kingdom.
Book Synopsis The Current State of Quantitative Equity Investing by : Ying L. Becker
Download or read book The Current State of Quantitative Equity Investing written by Ying L. Becker and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2018-05-10 with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Quantitative equity management techniques are helping investors achieve more risk efficient and appropriate investment outcomes. Factor investing, vetted by decades of prior and current research, is growing quickly, particularly in in the form of smart-beta and ETF strategies. Dynamic factor-timing approaches, incorporating macroeconomic and investment conditions, are in the early stages but will likely thrive. A new generation of big data approaches are rendering quantitative equity analysis even more powerful and encompassing.
Book Synopsis A Random Walk Down Wall Street: The Time-Tested Strategy for Successful Investing (Ninth Edition) by : Burton G. Malkiel
Download or read book A Random Walk Down Wall Street: The Time-Tested Strategy for Successful Investing (Ninth Edition) written by Burton G. Malkiel and published by W. W. Norton & Company. This book was released on 2007-12-17 with total page 454 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Updated with a new chapter that draws on behavioral finance, the field that studies the psychology of investment decisions, the bestselling guide to investing evaluates the full range of financial opportunities.
Book Synopsis Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets by : Wing-Keung Wong
Download or read book Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets written by Wing-Keung Wong and published by Mdpi AG. This book was released on 2022-02-17 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Efficient Market Hypothesis believes that it is impossible for an investor to outperform the market because all available information is already built into stock prices. However, some anomalies could persist in stock markets while some other anomalies could appear, disappear and re-appear again without any warning. A Special Issue on "Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets" will be devoted to advancements in the theoretical development of market efficiency and anomaly in the Stock Market, as well as applications in Stock Market efficiency and anomalies.
Book Synopsis The Efficient Market Theory and Evidence by : Andrew Ang
Download or read book The Efficient Market Theory and Evidence written by Andrew Ang and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2011 with total page 99 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) asserts that, at all times, the price of a security reflects all available information about its fundamental value. The implication of the EMH for investors is that, to the extent that speculative trading is costly, speculation must be a loser's game. Hence, under the EMH, a passive strategy is bound eventually to beat a strategy that uses active management, where active management is characterized as trading that seeks to exploit mispriced assets relative to a risk-adjusted benchmark. The EMH has been refined over the past several decades to reflect the realism of the marketplace, including costly information, transactions costs, financing, agency costs, and other real-world frictions. The most recent expressions of the EMH thus allow a role for arbitrageurs in the market who may profit from their comparative advantages. These advantages may include specialized knowledge, lower trading costs, low management fees or agency costs, and a financing structure that allows the arbitrageur to undertake trades with long verification periods. The actions of these arbitrageurs cause liquid securities markets to be generally fairly efficient with respect to information, despite some notable anomalies.
