Multi-agent Deep Reinforcement Learning and GAN-based Market Simulation for Derivatives Pricing and Dynamic Hedging

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (139 download)

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Book Synopsis Multi-agent Deep Reinforcement Learning and GAN-based Market Simulation for Derivatives Pricing and Dynamic Hedging by : Samson Qian

Download or read book Multi-agent Deep Reinforcement Learning and GAN-based Market Simulation for Derivatives Pricing and Dynamic Hedging written by Samson Qian and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advancements in computing capabilities have enabled machine learning algorithms to learn directly from large amounts of data. Deep reinforcement learning is a particularly powerful method that uses agents to learn by interacting with an environment of data. Although many traders and investment managers rely on traditional statistical and stochastic methods to price assets and develop trading and hedging strategies, deep reinforcement learning has proven to be an effective method to learn optimal policies for pricing and hedging. Machine learning removes the need for various parametric assumptions about underlying market dynamics by learning directly from data. This research examines the use of machine learning methods to develop a data-driven method of derivatives pricing and dynamic hedging. Nevertheless, machine learning methods like reinforcement learning require an abundance of data to learn. We explore the implementation of a generative adversarial network-based approach to generate realistic market data from past historical data. This data is used to train the reinforcement learning framework and evaluate its robustness. The results demonstrate the efficacy of deep reinforcement learning methods to price derivatives and hedge positions in the proposed systematic GAN-based market simulation framework.

Using Multi-Agent Simulation to Understand Trading Dynamics of a Derivatives Market

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Using Multi-Agent Simulation to Understand Trading Dynamics of a Derivatives Market by : Alan King

Download or read book Using Multi-Agent Simulation to Understand Trading Dynamics of a Derivatives Market written by Alan King and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A fundamental question that arises in derivative pricing is why investors trade at a fair price. A common opinion attributes trading to differences in the beliefs that market participants have about the future development of market prices. We develop a model that accounts for investors' pre-existing liability structures and enables us to show, through a series of experiments, that investors trade even when their belief structures are identical and accurate.More generally, we show that multi-agent simulation of a financial market provides a mechanism for conducting experiments that shed light on fundamental properties of the market. As all processes in financial markets (including decision making) become automated, it becomes crucial to have a mechanism by which we can observe the patterns that emerge from a variety of possible investor behaviors. Our simulator provides this mechanism.

Deep Reinforcement Learning for Option Pricing and Hedging Under Dynamic Expectile Risk Measures

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (134 download)

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Book Synopsis Deep Reinforcement Learning for Option Pricing and Hedging Under Dynamic Expectile Risk Measures by : Saeed Marzban

Download or read book Deep Reinforcement Learning for Option Pricing and Hedging Under Dynamic Expectile Risk Measures written by Saeed Marzban and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Pricing and Hedging Financial Derivatives with Reinforcement Learning Methods

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (139 download)

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Book Synopsis Pricing and Hedging Financial Derivatives with Reinforcement Learning Methods by : Alexandre Carbonneau

Download or read book Pricing and Hedging Financial Derivatives with Reinforcement Learning Methods written by Alexandre Carbonneau and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis studies the problem of pricing and hedging financial derivatives with reinforcement learning. Throughout all four papers, the underlying global hedging problems are solved using the deep hedging algorithm with the representation of global hedging policies as neural networks. The first paper, "Equal Risk Pricing of Derivatives with Deep Hedging'', shows how the deep hedging algorithm can be applied to solve the two underlying global hedging problems of the equal risk pricing framework for the valuation of European financial derivatives. The second paper, "Deep Hedging of Long-Term Financial Derivatives'', studies the problem of global hedging very long-term financial derivatives which are analogous, under some assumptions, to options embedded in guarantees of variable annuities. The third paper, "Deep Equal Risk Pricing of Financial Derivatives with Multiple Hedging Instruments'', studies derivative prices generated by the equal risk pricing framework for long-term options when shorter-term options are used as hedging instruments. The fourth paper, "Deep equal risk pricing of financial derivatives with non-translation invariant risk measures'', investigates the use of non-translation invariant risk measures within the equal risk pricing framework.

The Impact of Market Structure on Price Determination

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of Market Structure on Price Determination by : Buliao Shu

Download or read book The Impact of Market Structure on Price Determination written by Buliao Shu and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis proposes a simulation tool to study the question of how market structure and market players' behavior affect price movements. The adaptive market simulation system consists of multiple agents and a centralized exchange. By applying reinforcement learning techniques, agents evolve and become capable of making intelligent trading decisions while adapting to changing market conditions. Trading dynamics in the real world are complex yet compelling. The presence of the human element in trading makes studying it via repeatable scientific models, especially on a large scale, very difficult and almost unfeasible. By making it possible to conduct controlled experiments under various market scenarios, this simulation seeks to help researchers gain a better understanding of how different types of traders affect price formation under distinct market scenarios. The impact of trading frequency on prices is also explored as a test of the simulation tool. Results suggest that the market generates richer information when the frequency of trading is high, and when the market is more frequently accessed, short-term market prices demonstrate higher volatilities and move faster in respond to market sentiments.

Machine Learning and Data Science Blueprints for Finance

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Publisher : "O'Reilly Media, Inc."
ISBN 13 : 1492073008
Total Pages : 432 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis Machine Learning and Data Science Blueprints for Finance by : Hariom Tatsat

Download or read book Machine Learning and Data Science Blueprints for Finance written by Hariom Tatsat and published by "O'Reilly Media, Inc.". This book was released on 2020-10-01 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the next few decades, machine learning and data science will transform the finance industry. With this practical book, analysts, traders, researchers, and developers will learn how to build machine learning algorithms crucial to the industry. You’ll examine ML concepts and over 20 case studies in supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning, along with natural language processing (NLP). Ideal for professionals working at hedge funds, investment and retail banks, and fintech firms, this book also delves deep into portfolio management, algorithmic trading, derivative pricing, fraud detection, asset price prediction, sentiment analysis, and chatbot development. You’ll explore real-life problems faced by practitioners and learn scientifically sound solutions supported by code and examples. This book covers: Supervised learning regression-based models for trading strategies, derivative pricing, and portfolio management Supervised learning classification-based models for credit default risk prediction, fraud detection, and trading strategies Dimensionality reduction techniques with case studies in portfolio management, trading strategy, and yield curve construction Algorithms and clustering techniques for finding similar objects, with case studies in trading strategies and portfolio management Reinforcement learning models and techniques used for building trading strategies, derivatives hedging, and portfolio management NLP techniques using Python libraries such as NLTK and scikit-learn for transforming text into meaningful representations

A Multi-Agent Virtual Market Model for Generalization in Reinforcement Learning Based Trading Strategies

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis A Multi-Agent Virtual Market Model for Generalization in Reinforcement Learning Based Trading Strategies by : Fei-Fan He

Download or read book A Multi-Agent Virtual Market Model for Generalization in Reinforcement Learning Based Trading Strategies written by Fei-Fan He and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading

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Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
ISBN 13 : 1839216786
Total Pages : 822 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (392 download)

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Book Synopsis Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading by : Stefan Jansen

Download or read book Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading written by Stefan Jansen and published by Packt Publishing Ltd. This book was released on 2020-07-31 with total page 822 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Leverage machine learning to design and back-test automated trading strategies for real-world markets using pandas, TA-Lib, scikit-learn, LightGBM, SpaCy, Gensim, TensorFlow 2, Zipline, backtrader, Alphalens, and pyfolio. Purchase of the print or Kindle book includes a free eBook in the PDF format. Key FeaturesDesign, train, and evaluate machine learning algorithms that underpin automated trading strategiesCreate a research and strategy development process to apply predictive modeling to trading decisionsLeverage NLP and deep learning to extract tradeable signals from market and alternative dataBook Description The explosive growth of digital data has boosted the demand for expertise in trading strategies that use machine learning (ML). This revised and expanded second edition enables you to build and evaluate sophisticated supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning models. This book introduces end-to-end machine learning for the trading workflow, from the idea and feature engineering to model optimization, strategy design, and backtesting. It illustrates this by using examples ranging from linear models and tree-based ensembles to deep-learning techniques from cutting edge research. This edition shows how to work with market, fundamental, and alternative data, such as tick data, minute and daily bars, SEC filings, earnings call transcripts, financial news, or satellite images to generate tradeable signals. It illustrates how to engineer financial features or alpha factors that enable an ML model to predict returns from price data for US and international stocks and ETFs. It also shows how to assess the signal content of new features using Alphalens and SHAP values and includes a new appendix with over one hundred alpha factor examples. By the end, you will be proficient in translating ML model predictions into a trading strategy that operates at daily or intraday horizons, and in evaluating its performance. What you will learnLeverage market, fundamental, and alternative text and image dataResearch and evaluate alpha factors using statistics, Alphalens, and SHAP valuesImplement machine learning techniques to solve investment and trading problemsBacktest and evaluate trading strategies based on machine learning using Zipline and BacktraderOptimize portfolio risk and performance analysis using pandas, NumPy, and pyfolioCreate a pairs trading strategy based on cointegration for US equities and ETFsTrain a gradient boosting model to predict intraday returns using AlgoSeek's high-quality trades and quotes dataWho this book is for If you are a data analyst, data scientist, Python developer, investment analyst, or portfolio manager interested in getting hands-on machine learning knowledge for trading, this book is for you. This book is for you if you want to learn how to extract value from a diverse set of data sources using machine learning to design your own systematic trading strategies. Some understanding of Python and machine learning techniques is required.

Multi-agent Market Modeling Based on Neural Networks

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (248 download)

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Book Synopsis Multi-agent Market Modeling Based on Neural Networks by : Ralph Grothmann

Download or read book Multi-agent Market Modeling Based on Neural Networks written by Ralph Grothmann and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Deep Hedging: Hedging Derivatives Under Generic Market Frictions Using Reinforcement Learning

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (118 download)

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Book Synopsis Deep Hedging: Hedging Derivatives Under Generic Market Frictions Using Reinforcement Learning by : Hans Buehler

Download or read book Deep Hedging: Hedging Derivatives Under Generic Market Frictions Using Reinforcement Learning written by Hans Buehler and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Deep Hedging

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Deep Hedging by : Hans Buehler

Download or read book Deep Hedging written by Hans Buehler and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present a framework for hedging a portfolio of derivatives in the presence of market frictions such as transaction costs, market impact, liquidity constraints or risk limits using modern deep reinforcement machine learning methods.We discuss how standard reinforcement learning methods can be applied to non-linear reward structures, i.e. in our case convex risk measures. As a general contribution to the use of deep learning for stochastic processes, we also show in section 4 that the set of constrained trading strategies used by our algorithm is large enough to ∈-approximate any optimal solution.Our algorithm can be implemented efficiently even in high-dimensional situations using modern machine learning tools. Its structure does not depend on specific market dynamics, and generalizes across hedging instruments including the use of liquid derivatives. Its computational performance is largely invariant in the size of the portfolio as it depends mainly on the number of hedging instruments available.We illustrate our approach by showing the effect on hedging under transaction costs in a synthetic market driven by the Heston model, where we outperform the standard “complete market” solution.This is the "stochastic analysis" version of the paper. A version in machine learning notation is available here "https://ssrn.com/abstract=3355706" https://ssrn.com/abstract=3355706.

Model Calibration for Financial Derivatives

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Publisher : Wiley
ISBN 13 : 9781119952244
Total Pages : 384 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (522 download)

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Book Synopsis Model Calibration for Financial Derivatives by : Frederic Abergel

Download or read book Model Calibration for Financial Derivatives written by Frederic Abergel and published by Wiley. This book was released on 2015-05-04 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Model calibration strategies and techniques for derivative products The calibration of derivatives has evolved significantly, covering new ground like implied volatility surface static and dynamics, first and higher-generation exotics calibration, local and stochastic volatility models, interest rates or multi-asset correlation modeling, default time modeling, credit derivatives, and more. This book introduces the fundamentals of model calibration by taking an intuitive approach to the Black, Scholes, and Merton and revisiting it in an incomplete markets setting, applying to a range of hedging strategies.

Equa-risk Pricing, Hedging, and Portfolio Management Using Dynamic Risk Measures and Deep Reinforcement Learning Methods

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 146 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (128 download)

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Book Synopsis Equa-risk Pricing, Hedging, and Portfolio Management Using Dynamic Risk Measures and Deep Reinforcement Learning Methods by : Saeed Marzban

Download or read book Equa-risk Pricing, Hedging, and Portfolio Management Using Dynamic Risk Measures and Deep Reinforcement Learning Methods written by Saeed Marzban and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management

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Publisher : CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN 13 : 195292703X
Total Pages : 95 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (529 download)

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Book Synopsis Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management by : Söhnke M. Bartram

Download or read book Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management written by Söhnke M. Bartram and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2020-08-28 with total page 95 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Artificial intelligence (AI) has grown in presence in asset management and has revolutionized the sector in many ways. It has improved portfolio management, trading, and risk management practices by increasing efficiency, accuracy, and compliance. In particular, AI techniques help construct portfolios based on more accurate risk and return forecasts and more complex constraints. Trading algorithms use AI to devise novel trading signals and execute trades with lower transaction costs. AI also improves risk modeling and forecasting by generating insights from new data sources. Finally, robo-advisors owe a large part of their success to AI techniques. Yet the use of AI can also create new risks and challenges, such as those resulting from model opacity, complexity, and reliance on data integrity.

Trades, Quotes and Prices

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108639062
Total Pages : 464 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (86 download)

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Book Synopsis Trades, Quotes and Prices by : Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Download or read book Trades, Quotes and Prices written by Jean-Philippe Bouchaud and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-03-22 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The widespread availability of high-quality, high-frequency data has revolutionised the study of financial markets. By describing not only asset prices, but also market participants' actions and interactions, this wealth of information offers a new window into the inner workings of the financial ecosystem. In this original text, the authors discuss empirical facts of financial markets and introduce a wide range of models, from the micro-scale mechanics of individual order arrivals to the emergent, macro-scale issues of market stability. Throughout this journey, data is king. All discussions are firmly rooted in the empirical behaviour of real stocks, and all models are calibrated and evaluated using recent data from Nasdaq. By confronting theory with empirical facts, this book for practitioners, researchers and advanced students provides a fresh, new, and often surprising perspective on topics as diverse as optimal trading, price impact, the fragile nature of liquidity, and even the reasons why people trade at all.

Reinforcement Learning, second edition

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262352702
Total Pages : 549 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Reinforcement Learning, second edition by : Richard S. Sutton

Download or read book Reinforcement Learning, second edition written by Richard S. Sutton and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2018-11-13 with total page 549 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The significantly expanded and updated new edition of a widely used text on reinforcement learning, one of the most active research areas in artificial intelligence. Reinforcement learning, one of the most active research areas in artificial intelligence, is a computational approach to learning whereby an agent tries to maximize the total amount of reward it receives while interacting with a complex, uncertain environment. In Reinforcement Learning, Richard Sutton and Andrew Barto provide a clear and simple account of the field's key ideas and algorithms. This second edition has been significantly expanded and updated, presenting new topics and updating coverage of other topics. Like the first edition, this second edition focuses on core online learning algorithms, with the more mathematical material set off in shaded boxes. Part I covers as much of reinforcement learning as possible without going beyond the tabular case for which exact solutions can be found. Many algorithms presented in this part are new to the second edition, including UCB, Expected Sarsa, and Double Learning. Part II extends these ideas to function approximation, with new sections on such topics as artificial neural networks and the Fourier basis, and offers expanded treatment of off-policy learning and policy-gradient methods. Part III has new chapters on reinforcement learning's relationships to psychology and neuroscience, as well as an updated case-studies chapter including AlphaGo and AlphaGo Zero, Atari game playing, and IBM Watson's wagering strategy. The final chapter discusses the future societal impacts of reinforcement learning.

An Engine, Not a Camera

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262250047
Total Pages : 782 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (622 download)

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Book Synopsis An Engine, Not a Camera by : Donald MacKenzie

Download or read book An Engine, Not a Camera written by Donald MacKenzie and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2008-08-29 with total page 782 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In An Engine, Not a Camera, Donald MacKenzie argues that the emergence of modern economic theories of finance affected financial markets in fundamental ways. These new, Nobel Prize-winning theories, based on elegant mathematical models of markets, were not simply external analyses but intrinsic parts of economic processes. Paraphrasing Milton Friedman, MacKenzie says that economic models are an engine of inquiry rather than a camera to reproduce empirical facts. More than that, the emergence of an authoritative theory of financial markets altered those markets fundamentally. For example, in 1970, there was almost no trading in financial derivatives such as "futures." By June of 2004, derivatives contracts totaling $273 trillion were outstanding worldwide. MacKenzie suggests that this growth could never have happened without the development of theories that gave derivatives legitimacy and explained their complexities. MacKenzie examines the role played by finance theory in the two most serious crises to hit the world's financial markets in recent years: the stock market crash of 1987 and the market turmoil that engulfed the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management in 1998. He also looks at finance theory that is somewhat beyond the mainstream—chaos theorist Benoit Mandelbrot's model of "wild" randomness. MacKenzie's pioneering work in the social studies of finance will interest anyone who wants to understand how America's financial markets have grown into their current form.