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Author : Richard H. Clarida
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (243 download)
Download or read book Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability written by Richard H. Clarida and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : John B. Taylor
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226791262
Total Pages : 460 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (267 download)
Download or read book Monetary Policy Rules written by John B. Taylor and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely volume presents the latest thinking on the monetary policy rules and seeks to determine just what types of rules and policy guidelines function best. A unique cooperative research effort that allowed contributors to evaluate different policy rules using their own specific approaches, this collection presents their striking findings on the potential response of interest rates to an array of variables, including alterations in the rates of inflation, unemployment, and exchange. Monetary Policy Rules illustrates that simple policy rules are more robust and more efficient than complex rules with multiple variables. A state-of-the-art appraisal of the fundamental issues facing the Federal Reserve Board and other central banks, Monetary Policy Rules is essential reading for economic analysts and policymakers alike.
Author : Athanasios Orphanides
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (138 download)
Download or read book Monetary Policy Rules, Macroeconomic Stability and Inflation written by Athanasios Orphanides and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : James Bullard
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (2 download)
Download or read book Worldwide Macroeconomic Stability and Monetary Policy Rules written by James Bullard and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "We study the interaction of multiple large economies in dynamic stochastic general equilibrium. Each economy has a monetary policymaker that attempts to control the economy through the use of a linear nominal interest rate feedback rule. We show how the determinacy of worldwide equilibrium depends on the joint behavior of policymakers worldwide. We also show how indeterminacy exposes all economies to endogenous volatility, even ones where monetary policy may be judged appropriate from a closed economy perspective. We construct and discuss two quantitative cases. In the 1970s, worldwide equilibrium was characterized by a two-dimensional indeterminacy, despite U.S. adherence to a version of the Taylor principle. In the last 15 years, worldwide equilibrium was still characterized by a one-dimensional indeterminacy, leaving all economies exposed to endogenous volatility. Our analysis provides a rationale for a type of international policy coordination, and the gains to coordination in the sense of avoiding indeterminacy may be large"--Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis web site.
Author : Mr.Pau Rabanal
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451873980
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)
Download or read book Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Rules in a Model with House Price Booms written by Mr.Pau Rabanal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-11-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We argue that a stronger emphasis on macrofinancial risk could provide stabilization benefits. Simulations results suggest that strong monetary reactions to accelerator mechanisms that push up credit growth and asset prices could help macroeconomic stability. In addition, using a macroprudential instrument designed specifically to dampen credit market cycles would also be useful. But invariant and rigid policy responses raise the risk of policy errors that could lower, not raise, macroeconomic stability. Hence, discretion would be required.
Author : Allen N. Berger
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (44 download)
Download or read book Monetary Policy Rules, Macroeconomic Stability and Inflation written by Allen N. Berger and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Ms.Silvia Sgherri
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451859945
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)
Download or read book Deconstructing the Art of Central Banking written by Ms.Silvia Sgherri and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-10-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes a markedly different transmission mechanism from monetary policy to the macroeconomy, focusing on how policy changes nominal inertia in the Phillips curve. Using recent theoretical developments, we examine the properties of a small, estimated U.S. monetary model distinguishing four monetary regimes employed since the late 1950s. We find that changes in monetary policy are linked to shifts in nominal inertia, and that these improvements in supply-side flexibility are indeed the main channel through which monetary policy lowers the volatility of inflation and, even more importantly, output.
Author : Edward P. Herbst
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691161089
Total Pages : 295 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)
Download or read book Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models written by Edward P. Herbst and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2015-12-29 with total page 295 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models have become one of the workhorses of modern macroeconomics and are extensively used for academic research as well as forecasting and policy analysis at central banks. This book introduces readers to state-of-the-art computational techniques used in the Bayesian analysis of DSGE models. The book covers Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques for linearized DSGE models, novel sequential Monte Carlo methods that can be used for parameter inference, and the estimation of nonlinear DSGE models based on particle filter approximations of the likelihood function. The theoretical foundations of the algorithms are discussed in depth, and detailed empirical applications and numerical illustrations are provided. The book also gives invaluable advice on how to tailor these algorithms to specific applications and assess the accuracy and reliability of the computations. Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models is essential reading for graduate students, academic researchers, and practitioners at policy institutions.
Author : Fabio Milani
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)
Download or read book Learning, Monetary Policy Rules, and Macroeconomic Stability written by Fabio Milani and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates a DSGE model with learning to reexamine the evidence on time variation in post-war U.S. monetary policy. Several papers document a regime switch, by showing that policy changed from 'passive' and destabilizing in the pre-1979 period to 'active' and stabilizing in the following decades. These papers typically work with DSGE models with rational expectations. This paper relaxes the assumption of rational expectations and it allows for learning instead. Economic agents form expectations from simple models and update the parameters through constant-gain learning. I estimate the model by Bayesian methods. The constant gain coefficient is jointly estimated with the structural and policy parameters of the system. I find that the feedback coefficient to inflation was well above 1 also in the 1960s and 1970s and therefore policy was not leading to macroeconomic instability. The results reconcile the evidence from DSGE models with what obtained by time-varying VAR studies, which typically find only modest changes in policy coefficients over the post-war sample.
Author : Claudia Kwapil
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (9 download)
Download or read book Interest Rate Pass-through, Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability written by Claudia Kwapil and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Ole Roste
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351504878
Total Pages : 198 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (515 download)
Download or read book Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Stabilization written by Ole Roste and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-09-08 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As a fundamental review and critique of activist economic policies, this book is a unique contribution to classical political economy. "Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Stabilization" is about macroeconomic stabilization policy, with emphasis on the value of a distinct national monetary policy to growth. Ole Bjorn Roste's argument is for public officials to restrain themselves in the pursuit of policy. As the author notes: when you know less, you should do less.The history of modern macroeconomics started in 1936 with the publication of Keynes' "General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money". The problems of the Great depression of the 1930s paved the way for a change of focus, from the long run to economic fluctuations in the short run, and from nominal to real variables, such as unemployment and aggregate output.Keynes offered clear policy implications in tune with the times. Because economic adjustment was slow, waiting for the economy to recover by itself was irresponsible. Particularly fiscal policy was essential to return to high employment. Monetary policy could affect aggregate demand through Interest rates, but was less important. Roste discusses the role of monetary policy, starting out with the implications of the theory of optimum currency areas (OCAs). This is followed by estimates of the output loss associated with disinflation policy (the sacrifice ratio) for six OECD economies. Further, Roste models the dynamic adjustment to negative, local labor-market shocks, with particular relevance to Scandinavia, in a final section.The idea that governments should pursue stabilizing fiscal or monetary policies with regard to real variables is often taken for granted by the public, if not by economists. Among the reasons for skepticism, is the presence of differing views on how economies really work, that the state of a given economy becomes known only after a time lag, and that economic agents react to policy and expectations of policy. For these reasons, the effects of policy are generally uncertain. This book explains why the role of history is critical to the study of macroeconomics.p>
Author : Robert Leeson
Publisher : Hoover Press
ISBN 13 : 0817914064
Total Pages : 368 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (179 download)
Download or read book The Taylor Rule and the Transformation of Monetary Policy written by Robert Leeson and published by Hoover Press. This book was released on 2013-09-01 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A contributors' "who's who" from the academic and policy communities explain and provide perspectives on John Taylor's revolutionary thinking about monetary policy. They explore some of the literature that Taylor inspired and help us understand how the new ways of thinking that he pioneered have influenced actual policy here and abroad.
Author : Martin Weale
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317379438
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (173 download)
Download or read book Macroeconomic Policy written by Martin Weale and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2015-10-05 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This analysis of macroeconomic policy, originally published in 1989, argues that key government objectives, such as reduced inflation, decreased unemployment and an adequate level of national saving can be achieved only by employing both monetary and fiscal policies, in conjunction with supply-side policies expressly designed to improve the workings of the labour market. Part 1 is a comparative analysis showing the effects of monetary and fiscal policy on the economy. Real-wage rigidity in the labour market is shown to have important consequences for the working of both types of policy, because it conditions the economy’s response to tax changes. Part 2 presents an econometric model which combines consistent stock-flow accounts with a full range of expectational effects. Part 3 presents an innovative technique for solving rational expectations models with the need for arbitary terminal conditions.
Author : Fabio Massimo Natalucci
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (954 download)
Download or read book Fiscal policy and macroeconomic stability: forward looking vs. backward looking monetary policy rules written by Fabio Massimo Natalucci and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Ms.Elva Bova
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 149837722X
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)
Download or read book Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries written by Ms.Elva Bova and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-02-23 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Resource-rich countries face large and persistent shocks, especially coming from volatile commodity prices. Given the severity of the shocks, it would be expected that these countries adopt countercyclical fiscal policies to help shield the domestic economy. Taking advantage of a new dataset covering 48 non-renewable commodity exporters for the period 1970-2014, we investigate whether fiscal policy does indeed play a stabilizing role. Our analysis shows that fiscal policy tends to have a procyclical bias (mainly via expenditures) and, contrary to others, we do not find evidence that this bias has declined in recent years. Adoption of fiscal rules does not seem to reduce procyclicality in a significant way, but the quality of political institutions does matter. Finally, non-commodity revenues tend to respond only to persistent changes in commodity prices.
Author : Gerard Caprio
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book Banking Policy and Macroeconomic Stability written by Gerard Caprio and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Sora Chon
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 69 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (933 download)
Download or read book Estimation and Identification Issues in Monetary Policy Rules written by Sora Chon and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The dissertation explores the links between macroeconomic phenomena and monetary policy and to develop new econometric methods. In the first chapter, "Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability Revisited: Limited Information Approach under Identifying Restrictions, provides a new approach to limited information estimation consistent with the forward-looking monetary policy rule. Recently, the weak identification in the conventional estimation method has drawn attention to the estimation of a forward-looking monetary policy rule. This paper identified a particular range for the value of the concentration parameter, for which the generalized method of moments (GMM) suffers from the weak identification problem, while the proposed method does not. This implies that GMM estimation generates spurious weak identification in the estimation of a forward-looking monetary policy rule. The proposed approach allows us to provide stronger messages to the estimation of a forward-looking monetary policy rule. The estimation results confirm a change of monetary policy in the U.S. In the 1960-1979 sample, the policy was inactive and it did not react sufficiently to the expected deviation of inflation from its target. In contrast, under the 1979-1997 sample monetary policy actively responses to the inflation with a high degree of interest smoothing. The second chapter of the dissertation is the extension of the first chapter, "Estimation of a Time-varying Forward-looking Monetary Policy Rule: Limited Information Approach. In this chapter, I estimate a time-varying forward-looking monetary policy rule by considering a time-varying structural vector auto-regression (VAR) model for the monetary transition mechanism. Assuming that the time variation comes from the coefficients and the variance covariance matrix, I illustrate this via modeling multivariate stochastic volatility. In a foundational paper, Primiceri (2005) estimated a time-varying structural VAR with stochastic volatility after assuming monetary policy shocks to be independent of any other innovations without forward-looking variables. Because agents are assumed to be rational, monetary policy changes can be incorporated into future forecasts. Kim and Nelson (2006) used a single equation to investigate the estimation of a forward-looking monetary policy rule in relation to the forward-looking behavior of agents. To account for the endogeneity, they suggested a two-step estimation technique based on the control function approach. However, as Chon and Kim (2014) argued, the error term in instrumenting equations for forward-looking variables follows moving-average (MA) dynamics, resulting in additional information loss. Consequently, this paper illustrates that one can recover this MA structure after considering the reduced-form of the time-varying VAR; the procedure suggested in this paper resolves the possible weak identification issues. The third chapter of the dissertation is "Stock Market Reaction to Monetary Policy Changes: Identification through Heteroskedasticity with Markov-switching." This paper investigates the estimation issues surrounding the response of asset prices to monetary policy changes. Because of the simultaneous relationship between stock prices and policy decisions, and because both react to numerous other variables, estimation of the impact of stock price to monetary policy action is difficult. In this paper, I use the heteroskedastic structure of monetary policy shocks to identify stock market reactions to monetary policy changes following Rigobon and Sack (2004). Especially, in order to consider all possible sources which affect shifts in monetary policy shocks, such as the alteration of expectations about the future path of the monetary policy and a change in the timing of policy moves, I incorporate the Markov-switching framework to detect different state endogenously. The procedure proposed in this paper can reduce the potential bias caused by mis-specified timings in the shifts of monetary policy shocks and produce more precise estimate of the monetary policy actions on the stock market. Since the stock market is forward-looking, I focus on the surprised part of the policy actions within the conventional event-study framework. The empirical finding tells us that the heteroskedasticity on event day may well be a consequence of the asymmetric effects on the different types of policy actions: expansionary policy vs. contractionary policy. Also, we found that the unanticipated 25-basis point increase would decrease 1.91 percent in the S & P 500 returns.
