Modern Phillips Curve Dynamics and the Median Wage

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 71 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Modern Phillips Curve Dynamics and the Median Wage by : Kostas Kalevras

Download or read book Modern Phillips Curve Dynamics and the Median Wage written by Kostas Kalevras and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This research outlines the Phillips Curve history, examines recent developments in the unemployment - inflation research (especially since the Great Recession and its impact on price and wage inflation dynamics) and takes a fresh look at explaining median wage growth movements with a parsimonious non-linear wage Phillips Curve model. The model is evaluated through time and against the Great Recession shock and presents a fruitful line of research closer to the original Phillips specification.

Understanding U.S. Wage Dynamics

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148436208X
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding U.S. Wage Dynamics by : Mr.Yasser Abdih

Download or read book Understanding U.S. Wage Dynamics written by Mr.Yasser Abdih and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-06-15 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we undertake empirical analysis to understand U.S. wage behavior since the beginning of the new millennium. At the macroeconomic level, we find that a productivity-augmented Phillips curve model explains the data fairly well. The model reveals that the upward pressure on wage growth from recent tightening in the labor market has been dampened by a persistent decline in trend labor productivity growth and the share of income that accrues to labor. These themes are reinforced and complemented at the micro-economic level. Lower regional unemployment puts an upward pressure on wages of individuals, although this effect has become weaker since 2008. But there is downward pressure on wages for individuals with occupations that are exposed to automation and offshoring, and in industries with a higher concentration of large firms. All these factors appear to play a role illustrating why it is difficult to single out any one culprit for the observed wage growth moderation.

The Phillips Curve and Labor Markets

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Publisher : North-Holland
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 186 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis The Phillips Curve and Labor Markets by : Karl Brunner

Download or read book The Phillips Curve and Labor Markets written by Karl Brunner and published by North-Holland. This book was released on 1976 with total page 186 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Wage Curve

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262023757
Total Pages : 504 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (237 download)

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Book Synopsis The Wage Curve by : David G. Blanchflower

Download or read book The Wage Curve written by David G. Blanchflower and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1994 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Wage Curve casts doubt on some of the most important ideas in macroeconomics, labor economics, and regional economics. According to macroeconomic orthodoxy, there is a relationship between unemployment and the rate of change of wages. According to orthodoxy in labor economics and regional economics an area's wage is positively related to the amount of joblessness in the area. The Wage Curve suggests that both these beliefs are incorrect. Blanchflower and Oswald argue that the stable relationship is a downward-sloping convex curve linking local unemployment and the level of pay. Their study, one of the most intensive in the history of social science, is based on random samples that provide computerized information on nearly four million people from sixteen countries. Throughout, the authors systematically present evidence and possible explanations for their empirical law of economics.

A Phillips Curve Interpretation of Error-Correction Models of the Wage and Price Dynamics

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis A Phillips Curve Interpretation of Error-Correction Models of the Wage and Price Dynamics by : Søren Harck

Download or read book A Phillips Curve Interpretation of Error-Correction Models of the Wage and Price Dynamics written by Søren Harck and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a model of employment, distribution and inflation in which a modern error correction specification of the nominal wage and price dynamics (referring to claims on income by workers and firms) occupies a prominent role. It is brought out, explicitly, how this rather typical error-correction setting, which actually seems to capture the wage and price dynamics of many large-scale econometric models quite well, is fully compatible with the notion of an old-fashioned Phillips curve with finite slope. It is shown how the steady-state impact of various shocks to the model can be profitably conceived of and interpreted in terms of (and to some extent even calculated by means of) this long-run Phillips curve.

Real Wage Dynamics and the Phillips Curve

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (138 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Wage Dynamics and the Phillips Curve by : Karl Whelan

Download or read book Real Wage Dynamics and the Phillips Curve written by Karl Whelan and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

What's Up with U.S. Wage Growth and Job Mobility?

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498335233
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis What's Up with U.S. Wage Growth and Job Mobility? by : Mr.Stephan Danninger

Download or read book What's Up with U.S. Wage Growth and Job Mobility? written by Mr.Stephan Danninger and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-06-28 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the global financial crisis, US wage growth has been sluggish. Drawing on individual earnings data from the 2000–15 Current Population Survey, I find that the drawn-out cyclical labor market repair—likely owing to low entry wages of new workers—slowed down real wage growth. There are, however, also signs of structural changes in the labor market affecting wages: for full-time, full-employed workers, the Wage-Phillips curve—the empirical relationship between wage growth and the unemployment rate—has become horizontal after 2008. Similarly, job-turnover rates have continued to decline. Job-to-job transitions—associated with higher wage growth—have slowed across all skill and age groups and beyond what local labor market conditions would imply. This raises concerns about the allocative ability of the labor market to adjust to changing economic conditions.

Econometric Wage and Price Models: Assessing the Impact of the Economic Stabilization Program

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 190 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometric Wage and Price Models: Assessing the Impact of the Economic Stabilization Program by : A. Bradley Askin

Download or read book Econometric Wage and Price Models: Assessing the Impact of the Economic Stabilization Program written by A. Bradley Askin and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monograph on the use of econometric models for mathematical analysis of wages and prices in the USA - analyses the inflation process, etc., and includes an evaluation of the economic stabilization programme (incomes policy) based on extensions of three models. Graphs and references.

Reconciling the Wage Curve and the Phillips Curve

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Reconciling the Wage Curve and the Phillips Curve by : Víctor M. Montuenga-Gómez

Download or read book Reconciling the Wage Curve and the Phillips Curve written by Víctor M. Montuenga-Gómez and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The wage curve is the negative relationship that links wage to the unemployment rate. It fits accurately with modern non-competitive labour-market models, but goes against a Phillips-curve modelling, because the latter ties wage growth to the unemployment rate. In this article, we present a comprehensive review of these non-competitive models, highlighting recent contributions that try to eliminate the possible 'gap' that exists between the concepts of the wage curve, on the one hand, and the Phillips curve, on the other.

The Great Inflation

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226066959
Total Pages : 545 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Inflation by : Michael D. Bordo

Download or read book The Great Inflation written by Michael D. Bordo and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013-06-28 with total page 545 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Controlling inflation is among the most important objectives of economic policy. By maintaining price stability, policy makers are able to reduce uncertainty, improve price-monitoring mechanisms, and facilitate more efficient planning and allocation of resources, thereby raising productivity. This volume focuses on understanding the causes of the Great Inflation of the 1970s and ’80s, which saw rising inflation in many nations, and which propelled interest rates across the developing world into the double digits. In the decades since, the immediate cause of the period’s rise in inflation has been the subject of considerable debate. Among the areas of contention are the role of monetary policy in driving inflation and the implications this had both for policy design and for evaluating the performance of those who set the policy. Here, contributors map monetary policy from the 1960s to the present, shedding light on the ways in which the lessons of the Great Inflation were absorbed and applied to today’s global and increasingly complex economic environment.

Cyclical and Equilibrium Relations Among Variables in Dynamic Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (52 download)

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Book Synopsis Cyclical and Equilibrium Relations Among Variables in Dynamic Models by : Mark Gersovitz

Download or read book Cyclical and Equilibrium Relations Among Variables in Dynamic Models written by Mark Gersovitz and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The return of the wage Phillips curve

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (64 download)

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Book Synopsis The return of the wage Phillips curve by : Jordi Galí

Download or read book The return of the wage Phillips curve written by Jordi Galí and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The standard New Keynesian model with staggered wage setting is shown to imply a simple dynamic relation between wage inflation and unemployment. Under some assumptions, that relation takes a form similar to that found in empirical applications--starting with the original Phillips (1958) curve--and may thus be viewed as providing some theoretical foundations to the latter. The structural wage equation derived here is shown to account reasonably well for the comovement of wage inflation and the unemployment rate in the U.S. economy, even under the strong assumption of a constant natural rate of unemployment.

A Phillips Curve with Anchored Expectations and Short-Term Unemployment

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498321070
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis A Phillips Curve with Anchored Expectations and Short-Term Unemployment by : Laurence M. Ball

Download or read book A Phillips Curve with Anchored Expectations and Short-Term Unemployment written by Laurence M. Ball and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-02-25 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the recent behavior of core inflation in the United States. We specify a simple Phillips curve based on the assumptions that inflation expectations are fully anchored at the Federal Reserve’s target, and that labor-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good when we measure core inflation with the Cleveland Fed’s series on weighted median inflation. We also propose a more general Phillips curve in which core inflation depends on short-term unemployment and on expected inflation as measured by the Survey of Professional Forecasters. This specification fits U.S. inflation since 1985, including both the anchored-expectations period of the 2000s and the preceding period when expectations were determined by past levels of inflation.

Inflation Expectations

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135179778
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (351 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Expectations by : Peter J. N. Sinclair

Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

Hysteresis and Business Cycles

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513536990
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Hysteresis and Business Cycles by : Ms.Valerie Cerra

Download or read book Hysteresis and Business Cycles written by Ms.Valerie Cerra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-05-29 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

Inside a Modern Macroeconometric Model

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3662007711
Total Pages : 437 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Inside a Modern Macroeconometric Model by : Alan A. Powell

Download or read book Inside a Modern Macroeconometric Model written by Alan A. Powell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 437 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The main purpose of this monograph is to give a detailed account of a contemporary, state-of-the art, macroeconometric model that is regularly used for policy advising, and for forecasting in commerce and industry.

Aspects of Modern Monetary and Macroeconomic Policies

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 023062734X
Total Pages : 290 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (36 download)

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Book Synopsis Aspects of Modern Monetary and Macroeconomic Policies by : P. Arestis

Download or read book Aspects of Modern Monetary and Macroeconomic Policies written by P. Arestis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2007-06-07 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Within the New Consensus Macroeconomics, monetary policy is upgraded while fiscal policy is downgraded. This new monetary policy has been the main instrument of policy under the guise of inflation targeting, an approach pursued by a number of central banks worldwide. This book raises problems relating to this new monetary and macroeconomic policy.