Modelling Daily Value-at-risk Using Realized Volatility and Arch Type Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (248 download)

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Book Synopsis Modelling Daily Value-at-risk Using Realized Volatility and Arch Type Models by : Pierre Giot

Download or read book Modelling Daily Value-at-risk Using Realized Volatility and Arch Type Models written by Pierre Giot and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118272056
Total Pages : 566 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (182 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications by : Luc Bauwens

Download or read book Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications written by Luc Bauwens and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-03-22 with total page 566 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A complete guide to the theory and practice of volatility models in financial engineering Volatility has become a hot topic in this era of instant communications, spawning a great deal of research in empirical finance and time series econometrics. Providing an overview of the most recent advances, Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications explores key concepts and topics essential for modeling the volatility of financial time series, both univariate and multivariate, parametric and non-parametric, high-frequency and low-frequency. Featuring contributions from international experts in the field, the book features numerous examples and applications from real-world projects and cutting-edge research, showing step by step how to use various methods accurately and efficiently when assessing volatility rates. Following a comprehensive introduction to the topic, readers are provided with three distinct sections that unify the statistical and practical aspects of volatility: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity and Stochastic Volatility presents ARCH and stochastic volatility models, with a focus on recent research topics including mean, volatility, and skewness spillovers in equity markets Other Models and Methods presents alternative approaches, such as multiplicative error models, nonparametric and semi-parametric models, and copula-based models of (co)volatilities Realized Volatility explores issues of the measurement of volatility by realized variances and covariances, guiding readers on how to successfully model and forecast these measures Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications is an essential reference for academics and practitioners in finance, business, and econometrics who work with volatility models in their everyday work. The book also serves as a supplement for courses on risk management and volatility at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.

Forecasting Realized Intra-Day Volatility and Value at Risk

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Realized Intra-Day Volatility and Value at Risk by : Stavros Antonios Degiannakis

Download or read book Forecasting Realized Intra-Day Volatility and Value at Risk written by Stavros Antonios Degiannakis and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Predicting the one-step-ahead volatility is of great importance in measuring and managing investment risk more accurately. Taking into consideration the main characteristics of the conditional volatility of asset returns, I estimate an asymmetric Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) model. The model is extended to also capture i) the skewness and excess kurtosis that the asset returns exhibit and ii) the fractional integration of the conditional variance. The model, which takes into consideration both the fractional integration of the conditional variance as well as the skewed and leptokurtic conditional distribution of innovations, produces the most accurate one-day-ahead volatility forecasts. The study recommends to portfolio managers and traders that extended ARCH models generate more accurate volatility forecasts of stock returns.

ARCH Models for Financial Applications

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9780470688021
Total Pages : 558 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (88 download)

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Book Synopsis ARCH Models for Financial Applications by : Evdokia Xekalaki

Download or read book ARCH Models for Financial Applications written by Evdokia Xekalaki and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-03-18 with total page 558 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (ARCH) processes are used in finance to model asset price volatility over time. This book introduces both the theory and applications of ARCH models and provides the basic theoretical and empirical background, before proceeding to more advanced issues and applications. The Authors provide coverage of the recent developments in ARCH modelling which can be implemented using econometric software, model construction, fitting and forecasting and model evaluation and selection. Key Features: Presents a comprehensive overview of both the theory and the practical applications of ARCH, an increasingly popular financial modelling technique. Assumes no prior knowledge of ARCH models; the basics such as model construction are introduced, before proceeding to more complex applications such as value-at-risk, option pricing and model evaluation. Uses empirical examples to demonstrate how the recent developments in ARCH can be implemented. Provides step-by-step instructive examples, using econometric software, such as Econometric Views and the G@RCH module for the Ox software package, used in Estimating and Forecasting ARCH Models. Accompanied by a CD-ROM containing links to the software as well as the datasets used in the examples. Aimed at readers wishing to gain an aptitude in the applications of financial econometric modelling with a focus on practical implementation, via applications to real data and via examples worked with econometrics packages.

Modelling and Forecasting High Frequency Financial Data

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137396490
Total Pages : 411 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (373 download)

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Book Synopsis Modelling and Forecasting High Frequency Financial Data by : Stavros Degiannakis

Download or read book Modelling and Forecasting High Frequency Financial Data written by Stavros Degiannakis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-29 with total page 411 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global financial crisis has reopened discussion surrounding the use of appropriate theoretical financial frameworks to reflect the current economic climate. There is a need for more sophisticated analytical concepts which take into account current quantitative changes and unprecedented turbulence in the financial markets. This book provides a comprehensive guide to the quantitative analysis of high frequency financial data in the light of current events and contemporary issues, using the latest empirical research and theory. It highlights and explains the shortcomings of theoretical frameworks and provides an explanation of high-frequency theory, emphasising ways in which to critically apply this knowledge within a financial context. Modelling and Forecasting High Frequency Financial Data combines traditional and updated theories and applies them to real-world financial market situations. It will be a valuable and accessible resource for anyone wishing to understand quantitative analysis and modelling in current financial markets.

New Econometric Modelling Research

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Publisher : Nova Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9781600215865
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (158 download)

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Book Synopsis New Econometric Modelling Research by : William N. Toggins

Download or read book New Econometric Modelling Research written by William N. Toggins and published by Nova Publishers. This book was released on 2008 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Econometric models are used by economists to find standard relationships among aspects of the macroeconomy and use those relationships to predict the effects of certain events (like government policies) on inflation, unemployment, growth, etc... Econometric models generally have a short-run aggregate supply component with fixed prices, and aggregate demand portion, and a potential output component. Two famous econometric models are the Federal Reserve Bank econometric model and the DRI-WEFA model. This book presents new and important research in this field.

Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470872519
Total Pages : 566 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (78 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications by : Luc Bauwens

Download or read book Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications written by Luc Bauwens and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-04-17 with total page 566 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A complete guide to the theory and practice of volatility models in financial engineering Volatility has become a hot topic in this era of instant communications, spawning a great deal of research in empirical finance and time series econometrics. Providing an overview of the most recent advances, Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications explores key concepts and topics essential for modeling the volatility of financial time series, both univariate and multivariate, parametric and non-parametric, high-frequency and low-frequency. Featuring contributions from international experts in the field, the book features numerous examples and applications from real-world projects and cutting-edge research, showing step by step how to use various methods accurately and efficiently when assessing volatility rates. Following a comprehensive introduction to the topic, readers are provided with three distinct sections that unify the statistical and practical aspects of volatility: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity and Stochastic Volatility presents ARCH and stochastic volatility models, with a focus on recent research topics including mean, volatility, and skewness spillovers in equity markets Other Models and Methods presents alternative approaches, such as multiplicative error models, nonparametric and semi-parametric models, and copula-based models of (co)volatilities Realized Volatility explores issues of the measurement of volatility by realized variances and covariances, guiding readers on how to successfully model and forecast these measures Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications is an essential reference for academics and practitioners in finance, business, and econometrics who work with volatility models in their everyday work. The book also serves as a supplement for courses on risk management and volatility at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.

Modelling and forecasting stock return volatility and the term structure of interest rates

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Publisher : Rozenberg Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9051709153
Total Pages : 286 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (517 download)

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Book Synopsis Modelling and forecasting stock return volatility and the term structure of interest rates by : Michiel de Pooter

Download or read book Modelling and forecasting stock return volatility and the term structure of interest rates written by Michiel de Pooter and published by Rozenberg Publishers. This book was released on 2007 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation consists of a collection of studies on two areas in quantitative finance: asset return volatility and the term structure of interest rates. The first part of this dissertation offers contributions to the literature on how to test for sudden changes in unconditional volatility, on modelling realized volatility and on the choice of optimal sampling frequencies for intraday returns. The emphasis in the second part of this dissertation is on the term structure of interest rates.

Econometric Modeling of Value-at-risk

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781607410409
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (14 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometric Modeling of Value-at-risk by : Timotheos Angelidis

Download or read book Econometric Modeling of Value-at-risk written by Timotheos Angelidis and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recently risk management has become a standard prerequisite for all financial institutions. Value-at-Risk is the main tool of reporting to the bank regulators the risk that the financial institutions face. This book provides a selective survey of the risk management techniques.

Financial Econometrics Modeling: Market Microstructure, Factor Models and Financial Risk Measures

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230298109
Total Pages : 277 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Econometrics Modeling: Market Microstructure, Factor Models and Financial Risk Measures by : G. Gregoriou

Download or read book Financial Econometrics Modeling: Market Microstructure, Factor Models and Financial Risk Measures written by G. Gregoriou and published by Springer. This book was released on 2010-12-13 with total page 277 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book proposes new methods to build optimal portfolios and to analyze market liquidity and volatility under market microstructure effects, as well as new financial risk measures using parametric and non-parametric techniques. In particular, it investigates the market microstructure of foreign exchange and futures markets.

A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470856157
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (78 download)

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Book Synopsis A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility by : Ser-Huang Poon

Download or read book A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility written by Ser-Huang Poon and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-08-19 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial market volatility forecasting is one of today's most important areas of expertise for professionals and academics in investment, option pricing, and financial market regulation. While many books address financial market modelling, no single book is devoted primarily to the exploration of volatility forecasting and the practical use of forecasting models. A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility provides practical guidance on this vital topic through an in-depth examination of a range of popular forecasting models. Details are provided on proven techniques for building volatility models, with guide-lines for actually using them in forecasting applications.

Volatility and Correlation

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470091401
Total Pages : 864 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility and Correlation by : Riccardo Rebonato

Download or read book Volatility and Correlation written by Riccardo Rebonato and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-07-08 with total page 864 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Volatility and Correlation 2nd edition: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox, Rebonato looks at derivatives pricing from the angle of volatility and correlation. With both practical and theoretical applications, this is a thorough update of the highly successful Volatility & Correlation – with over 80% new or fully reworked material and is a must have both for practitioners and for students. The new and updated material includes a critical examination of the ‘perfect-replication’ approach to derivatives pricing, with special attention given to exotic options; a thorough analysis of the role of quadratic variation in derivatives pricing and hedging; a discussion of the informational efficiency of markets in commonly-used calibration and hedging practices. Treatment of new models including Variance Gamma, displaced diffusion, stochastic volatility for interest-rate smiles and equity/FX options. The book is split into four parts. Part I deals with a Black world without smiles, sets out the author’s ‘philosophical’ approach and covers deterministic volatility. Part II looks at smiles in equity and FX worlds. It begins with a review of relevant empirical information about smiles, and provides coverage of local-stochastic-volatility, general-stochastic-volatility, jump-diffusion and Variance-Gamma processes. Part II concludes with an important chapter that discusses if and to what extent one can dispense with an explicit specification of a model, and can directly prescribe the dynamics of the smile surface. Part III focusses on interest rates when the volatility is deterministic. Part IV extends this setting in order to account for smiles in a financially motivated and computationally tractable manner. In this final part the author deals with CEV processes, with diffusive stochastic volatility and with Markov-chain processes. Praise for the First Edition: “In this book, Dr Rebonato brings his penetrating eye to bear on option pricing and hedging.... The book is a must-read for those who already know the basics of options and are looking for an edge in applying the more sophisticated approaches that have recently been developed.” —Professor Ian Cooper, London Business School “Volatility and correlation are at the very core of all option pricing and hedging. In this book, Riccardo Rebonato presents the subject in his characteristically elegant and simple fashion...A rare combination of intellectual insight and practical common sense.” —Anthony Neuberger, London Business School

Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9780471393139
Total Pages : 324 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (931 download)

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Book Synopsis Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk by : Pietro Penza

Download or read book Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk written by Pietro Penza and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2001 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book, Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk by Vipul Bansal and Pietro Penza, has three advantages over earlier works on the subject. First, it takes a decidedly global approach-an essential ingredient for any comprehensive work on market risk. Second, it ties the scientifically grounded, yet intuitively appealing, VaR measure to earlier, more idiosyncratic measures of market risk that are used in specific market environs (e.g., duration in fixed income). Finally, it encompasses all of the accepted approaches to calculating a VaR measure and presents them in a clearly explained fashion with supporting illustrations and completely worked-out examples." -from the Foreword by John F. Marshall, PhD, Principal, Marshall, Tucker & Associates, LLC "Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk offers a much-needed intellectual bridge, a translation from the esoteric realm of mathematical finance to the domain of financial managers who seek guidance in applying developments from this important field of research as well as that of MBA-level graduate instruction. I believe the authors have done a commendable job of providing a carefully crafted, highly readable, and most useful work, and intend to recommend it to all those involved in business risk management applications." -Anthony F. Herbst, PhD, Professor of Finance and C.R. and D.S. Carter Chair, The University of Texas, El Paso and Founding editor of The Journal of Financial Engineering (1991-1998) "Finally there's a book that strikes a balance between rigor and application in the area of risk management in the banking industry. This innovative book is a MUST for both novices and professionals alike." -Robert P. Yuyuenyongwatana, PhD, Associate Professor of Finance, Cameron University "Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk is one of the most complete discussions of this emerging topic in finance that I have seen. The authors develop a logical and rigorous framework for using VaR models, providing both historical references and analytical applications." -Kevin Wynne, PhD, Associate Professor of Finance, Lubin School of Business, Pace University

Introductory Econometrics

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136586105
Total Pages : 391 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (365 download)

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Book Synopsis Introductory Econometrics by : Hamid Seddighi

Download or read book Introductory Econometrics written by Hamid Seddighi and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-03-01 with total page 391 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the first serious attempt to explain the basics of econometrics and its applications in the clearest and simplest manner possible. Recognising the fact that a good level of mathematics is no longer a necessary prerequisite for economics/financial economics undergraduate and postgraduate programmes, it introduces this key subdivision of economics to an audience who might otherwise have been deterred by its complex nature.

Prediction and Causality in Econometrics and Related Topics

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 303077094X
Total Pages : 691 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis Prediction and Causality in Econometrics and Related Topics by : Nguyen Ngoc Thach

Download or read book Prediction and Causality in Econometrics and Related Topics written by Nguyen Ngoc Thach and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-07-26 with total page 691 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides the ultimate goal of economic studies to predict how the economy develops—and what will happen if we implement different policies. To be able to do that, we need to have a good understanding of what causes what in economics. Prediction and causality in economics are the main topics of this book's chapters; they use both more traditional and more innovative techniques—including quantum ideas -- to make predictions about the world economy (international trade, exchange rates), about a country's economy (gross domestic product, stock index, inflation rate), and about individual enterprises, banks, and micro-finance institutions: their future performance (including the risk of bankruptcy), their stock prices, and their liquidity. Several papers study how COVID-19 has influenced the world economy. This book helps practitioners and researchers to learn more about prediction and causality in economics -- and to further develop this important research direction.

Handbook of Financial Econometrics and Statistics

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9781461477495
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (774 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Financial Econometrics and Statistics by : Cheng-Few Lee

Download or read book Handbook of Financial Econometrics and Statistics written by Cheng-Few Lee and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-09-28 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ​The Handbook of Financial Econometrics and Statistics provides, in four volumes and over 100 chapters, a comprehensive overview of the primary methodologies in econometrics and statistics as applied to financial research. Including overviews of key concepts by the editors and in-depth contributions from leading scholars around the world, the Handbook is the definitive resource for both classic and cutting-edge theories, policies, and analytical techniques in the field. Volume 1 (Parts I and II) covers all of the essential theoretical and empirical approaches. Volumes 2, 3, and 4 feature contributed entries that showcase the application of financial econometrics and statistics to such topics as asset pricing, investment and portfolio research, option pricing, mutual funds, and financial accounting research. Throughout, the Handbook offers illustrative case examples and applications, worked equations, and extensive references, and includes both subject and author indices.​

VaR and Intra-Day Volatility Forecasting

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 12 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis VaR and Intra-Day Volatility Forecasting by : Timotheos Angelidis

Download or read book VaR and Intra-Day Volatility Forecasting written by Timotheos Angelidis and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We evaluate the performance of symmetric and asymmetric ARCH models in forecasting one-day-ahead Value-at-Risk (VaR) and realized intra-day volatility of two equity indices in the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE). Under the framework of three distributional assumptions, we find out that the most appropriate method for the Bank index in forecasting the one-day-ahead VaR is the symmetric model with normally distributed innovations, while the asymmetric model with asymmetric conditional distribution applies for the General index. On the other hand, the asymmetric model tracks closer the one-step-ahead intra-day realized volatility with conditional normally distributed innovations for the Bank index but with asymmetric and leptokurtic distributed innovations for the General index. Therefore, as concerns the Greek stock market, there are adequate methods for predicting market risk but it does not seem to be a specific model that is the most accurate for all the forecasting tasks.