Modeling Aggregate Behavior and Fluctuations in Economics

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (83 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Aggregate Behavior and Fluctuations in Economics by : Masanao Aoki

Download or read book Modeling Aggregate Behavior and Fluctuations in Economics written by Masanao Aoki and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Modeling Aggregate Behavior and Fluctuations in Economics

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139431870
Total Pages : 283 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Aggregate Behavior and Fluctuations in Economics by : Masanao Aoki

Download or read book Modeling Aggregate Behavior and Fluctuations in Economics written by Masanao Aoki and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2001-12-20 with total page 283 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book has two components: stochastic dynamics and stochastic random combinatorial analysis. The first discusses evolving patterns of interactions of a large but finite number of agents of several types. Changes of agent types or their choices or decisions over time are formulated as jump Markov processes with suitably specified transition rates: optimisations by agents make these rates generally endogenous. Probabilistic equilibrium selection rules are also discussed, together with the distributions of relative sizes of the bases of attraction. As the number of agents approaches infinity, we recover deterministic macroeconomic relations of more conventional economic models. The second component analyses how agents form clusters of various sizes. This has applications for discussing sizes or shares of markets by various agents which involve some combinatorial analysis patterned after the population genetics literature. These are shown to be relevant to distributions of returns to assets, volatility of returns, and power laws.

Complexity, Heterogeneity, and the Methods of Statistical Physics in Economics

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811548064
Total Pages : 322 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (115 download)

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Book Synopsis Complexity, Heterogeneity, and the Methods of Statistical Physics in Economics by : Hideaki Aoyama

Download or read book Complexity, Heterogeneity, and the Methods of Statistical Physics in Economics written by Hideaki Aoyama and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-08-05 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book systematically provides a prospective integrated approach for complexity social science in its view of statistical physics and mathematics, with an impressive collection of the knowledge and expertise of leading researchers from all over the world. The book mainly covers both finitary methods of statistical equilibrium and data-driven analysis by econophysics. The late Professor Masanao Aoki of UCLA, who passed away at the end of July 2018, in his later years dedicated himself to the reconstruction of macroeconomics mainly in terms of statistical physics. Professor Aoki, who was already an IEEE fellow, was also named an Econometric Society Fellow in 1979. Until the early 1990s, however, his contributions were focused on the new developments of a novel algorithm for the time series model and their applications to economic data. Those contributions were undoubtedly equivalent to the Nobel Prize-winning work of Granger's "co-integration method". After the publications of his New Approaches to Macroeconomic Modeling and Modeling Aggregate Behavior and Fluctuations in Economics, both published by Cambridge University Press, in 1996 and 2002, respectively, his contributions rapidly became known and spread throughout the field. In short, these new works challenged econophysicists to develop evolutionary stochastic dynamics, multiple equilibria, and externalities as field effects and revolutionized the stochastic views of interacting agents. In particular, the publication of Reconstructing Macroeconomics, also by Cambridge University Press (2007), in cooperation with Hiroshi Yoshikawa, further sharpened the process of embodying “a perspective from statistical physics and combinatorial stochastic processes” in economic modeling. Interestingly, almost concurrently with Prof. Aoki’s newest development, similar approaches were appearing. Thus, those who were working in the same context around the world at that time came together, exchanging their results during the past decade. In memory of Prof. Aoki, this book has been planned by authors who followed him to present the most advanced outcomes of his heritage.

The Economics and Mathematics of Aggregation

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Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1601982887
Total Pages : 165 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economics and Mathematics of Aggregation by : Pierre-André Chiappori

Download or read book The Economics and Mathematics of Aggregation written by Pierre-André Chiappori and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2009 with total page 165 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Economics and Mathematics of Aggregation provides a general characterization of group behavior in a market environment. A crucial feature of the authors' approach is that they do not restrict the form of individual preferences or the nature of individual consumptions. The authors allow for public as well as private consumption, for intragroup production, and for any type of consumption externalities across group members. The main questions addressed are: what restrictions (if any) on the aggregate demand function characterize the efficient behavior of the group and when is it possible to recover the underlying structure - namely, individual preferences, the decision process and the resulting intragroup transfers - from the group's aggregate behavior? The Economics and Mathematics of Aggregation takes an alternative, axiomatic perspective -- the 'collective' approach -- and assumes that the group always reaches Pareto efficient decisions. The authors view efficiency as a natural assumption in many contexts and as a natural benchmark in all cases. Finally, even in the presence of asymmetric information, first best efficiency is a natural benchmark. However, it is important to note that no restriction is placed on the form of the decision process beyond efficiency.

Network Theory and Agent-Based Modeling in Economics and Finance

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811383197
Total Pages : 458 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (113 download)

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Book Synopsis Network Theory and Agent-Based Modeling in Economics and Finance by : Anindya S. Chakrabarti

Download or read book Network Theory and Agent-Based Modeling in Economics and Finance written by Anindya S. Chakrabarti and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-10-23 with total page 458 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the latest findings on network theory and agent-based modeling of economic and financial phenomena. In this context, the economy is depicted as a complex system consisting of heterogeneous agents that interact through evolving networks; the aggregate behavior of the economy arises out of billions of small-scale interactions that take place via countless economic agents. The book focuses on analytical modeling, and on the econometric and statistical analysis of the properties emerging from microscopic interactions. In particular, it highlights the latest empirical and theoretical advances, helping readers understand economic and financial networks, as well as new work on modeling behavior using rich, agent-based frameworks. Innovatively, the book combines observational and theoretical insights in the form of networks and agent-based models, both of which have proved to be extremely valuable in understanding non-linear and evolving complex systems. Given its scope, the book will capture the interest of graduate students and researchers from various disciplines (e.g. economics, computer science, physics, and applied mathematics) whose work involves the domain of complexity theory.

Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451875657
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations by : Mr.Pau Rabanal

Download or read book Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations written by Mr.Pau Rabanal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-12-01 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our answer: Not so well. We reached that conclusion after reviewing recent research on the role of technology as a source of economic fluctuations. The bulk of the evidence suggests a limited role for aggregate technology shocks, pointing instead to demand factors as the main force behind the strong positive comovement between output and labor input measures.

Understanding Macroeconomic Theory

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 113599059X
Total Pages : 241 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (359 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Macroeconomic Theory by : Bradley T. Ewing

Download or read book Understanding Macroeconomic Theory written by Bradley T. Ewing and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2006-09-27 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book fills the gap between intermediate and advanced graduate level books Contains more pedagogy than is customary for an advanced undergraduate text Explores contemporary theory in macroeconomics including new and endogenous growth theory, real business cycles, New Classical and New Keynesian Macroeconomics as well as the role of exchange rates

Emergent Macroeconomics

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 8847007259
Total Pages : 120 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Emergent Macroeconomics by : Domenico Gatti

Download or read book Emergent Macroeconomics written by Domenico Gatti and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-12-05 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This valuable book contributes substantively to the current state-of-the-art of macroeconomics. It provides a method for building models in which business cycles and economic growth emerge from the interactions of a large number of heterogeneous agents. Drawing from recent advances in agent-based computational modeling, the authors show how insights from dispersed fields can be fruitfully combined to improve our understanding of macroeconomic dynamics.

Handbook of Computational Economics

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080459870
Total Pages : 904 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Computational Economics by : Leigh Tesfatsion

Download or read book Handbook of Computational Economics written by Leigh Tesfatsion and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2006-05-15 with total page 904 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The explosive growth in computational power over the past several decades offers new tools and opportunities for economists. This handbook volume surveys recent research on Agent-based Computational Economics (ACE), the computational study of economic processes modeled as dynamic systems of interacting agents. Empirical referents for "agents" in ACE models can range from individuals or social groups with learning capabilities to physical world features with no cognitive function. Topics covered include: learning; empirical validation; network economics; social dynamics; financial markets; innovation and technological change; organizations; market design; automated markets and trading agents; political economy; social-ecological systems; computational laboratory development; and general methodological issues. *Every volume contains contributions from leading researchers *Each Handbook presents an accurate, self-contained survey of a particular topic *The series provides comprehensive and accessible surveys

Complexity Hints for Economic Policy

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 8847005345
Total Pages : 321 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Complexity Hints for Economic Policy by : Massimo Salzano

Download or read book Complexity Hints for Economic Policy written by Massimo Salzano and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-05-15 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book considers the benefits of complexity, suggesting that economists should become a bit less certain in their policy conclusions. A broader range of models would include agent-based models, which use computational power to deal with specification of models that are far beyond analytic solution; and non-linear dynamic stochastic models, many of which are beyond analytic solution, but whose nature can be discovered by a combination of analytics and computer simulations.

Nonlinear Economic Dynamics and Financial Modelling

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319074709
Total Pages : 389 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinear Economic Dynamics and Financial Modelling by : Roberto Dieci

Download or read book Nonlinear Economic Dynamics and Financial Modelling written by Roberto Dieci and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-07-26 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book reflects the state of the art on nonlinear economic dynamics, financial market modelling and quantitative finance. It contains eighteen papers with topics ranging from disequilibrium macroeconomics, monetary dynamics, monopoly, financial market and limit order market models with boundedly rational heterogeneous agents to estimation, time series modelling and empirical analysis and from risk management of interest-rate products, futures price volatility and American option pricing with stochastic volatility to evaluation of risk and derivatives of electricity market. The book illustrates some of the most recent research tools in these areas and will be of interest to economists working in economic dynamics and financial market modelling, to mathematicians who are interested in applying complexity theory to economics and finance and to market practitioners and researchers in quantitative finance interested in limit order, futures and electricity market modelling, derivative pricing and risk management.

Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 110701929X
Total Pages : 273 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems by : Cars Hommes

Download or read book Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems written by Cars Hommes and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-24 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recognising that the economy is a complex system with boundedly rational interacting agents, applies complexity modelling to economics and finance.

Heterogenous Agents, Interactions and Economic Performance

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642556515
Total Pages : 341 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis Heterogenous Agents, Interactions and Economic Performance by : Robin Cowan

Download or read book Heterogenous Agents, Interactions and Economic Performance written by Robin Cowan and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 341 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In traditional economics models of perfect competition agent's interactions are all mediated through the market. Interactions are anonymous, global and indirect. This is a powerful model, but we see many instances in which one, and sometimes all, of the previous characteristics fail to hold true. The type of agent you are, or your identity, can affect the type of interaction we have, and most surely the relationship between micro-behaviour and macro-phenomena in non-trivial ways. This book contains a selection of papers presented at the 6th Workshop on Economics with Heterogenous Interacting Agents (WEHIA). The contributions show that work done in other fields like evolutionary biology, statistical mechanics, social network theory and others help us to understand the way in which economic systems operate. Virtually all of the papers presented in this volume draw on some aspect or other of these varied approaches to related problems.

Real Business Cycle Models in Economics

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317934032
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (179 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Business Cycle Models in Economics by : Warren Young

Download or read book Real Business Cycle Models in Economics written by Warren Young and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-01-10 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this book is to describe the intellectual process by which Real Business Cycle models were developed. The approach taken focuses on the core elements in the development of RBC models: (i) building blocks, (ii) catalysts, and (iii) meta-syntheses. This is done by detailed examination of all available unpublished variorum drafts of the key papers in the RBC story, so as to determine the origins of the ideas. The analysis of the process their discovery is then set out followed by explanations of the evolution and dissemination of the models, from first generation papers through full blown research programs. This is supplemented by interviews and correspondence with the individuals who were at the center of the development of RBC models, such as Kydland, Prescott, Long, Plosser, King, Lucas and Barro, among others. This book gets stright to the heart of the debates surrounding RBC models and as such contributes to a real assessment of their impact on modern macroeconomics. The volume, therefore, will interest all scholars looking at macroeconomics as well as historians of economic thought more generally.

Reconstructing Macroeconomics

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107634202
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (76 download)

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Book Synopsis Reconstructing Macroeconomics by : Masanao Aoki

Download or read book Reconstructing Macroeconomics written by Masanao Aoki and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2011-08-29 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book, the authors reconceptualize existing macroeconomics by treating equilibria as statistical distributions, not as fixed points.

Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139619780
Total Pages : 273 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (396 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems by : Cars Hommes

Download or read book Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems written by Cars Hommes and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-24 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recognising that the economy is a complex system with boundedly rational interacting agents, the book presents a theory of behavioral rationality and heterogeneous expectations in complex economic systems and confronts the nonlinear dynamic models with empirical stylized facts and laboratory experiments. The complexity modeling paradigm has been strongly advocated since the late 1980s by some economists and by multidisciplinary scientists from various fields, such as physics, computer science and biology. More recently the complexity view has also drawn the attention of policy makers, who are faced with complex phenomena, irregular fluctuations and sudden, unpredictable market transitions. The complexity tools - bifurcations, chaos, multiple equilibria - discussed in this book will help students, researchers and policy makers to build more realistic behavioral models with heterogeneous expectations to describe financial market movements and macro-economic fluctuations, in order to better manage crises in a complex global economy.

The Business Cycle: Theories and Evidence

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9780792392392
Total Pages : 248 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (923 download)

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Book Synopsis The Business Cycle: Theories and Evidence by : M.T. Belongia

Download or read book The Business Cycle: Theories and Evidence written by M.T. Belongia and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1992-10-31 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These proceedings, from a conference held at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis on October 17-18, 1991, attempted to layout what we currently know about aggregate economic fluctuations. Identifying what we know inevitably reveals what we do not know about such fluctuations as well. From the vantage point of where the conference's participants view our current understanding to be, these proceedings can be seen as suggesting an agenda for further research. The conference was divided into five sections. It began with the formu lation of an empirical definition of the "business cycle" and a recitation of the stylized facts that must be explained by any theory that purports to capture the business cycle's essence. After outlining the historical develop ment and key features of the current "theories" of business cycles, the conference evaluated these theories on the basis of their ability to explain the facts. Included in this evaluation was a discussion of whether (and how) the competing theories could be distinguished empirically. The conference then examined the implications for policy of what is known and not known about business cycles. A panel discussion closed the conference, high lighting important unresolved theoretical and empirical issues that should be taken up in future business cycle research. What Is a Business Cycle? Before gaining a genuine understanding of business cycles, economists must agree and be clear about what they mean when they refer to the cycle.