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Mexicos Exchange Rate Crisis Interpreted In Light Of The Non Trades Model
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Book Synopsis Mexico's 1994 Exchange Rate Crisis Interpreted in Light of the Non-traded Model by : Andrew M. Warner
Download or read book Mexico's 1994 Exchange Rate Crisis Interpreted in Light of the Non-traded Model written by Andrew M. Warner and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper attempts to make the case that a 2-sector model using the familiar traded non-traded distinction offers a reasonably successful empirical account of why Mexico needed to devalue its exchange rate in 1994. This model provides a way to define and measure disequilibrium in the exchange rate, and thus may be useful in assessing the likelihood of an exchange rate crisis in other developing countries. The results suggest that Mexico's exchange rate was about 25 percent overvalued on the eve of its 1994 crisis, but was much closer to equilibrium by the end of 1996. The approach in this paper is compared with other ways of assessing disequilibrium in the exchange rate, based on purchasing power parity or monetary models of the exchange rate.
Book Synopsis The 1994 Mexican Economic Crisis by : Mr.Eliot Kalter
Download or read book The 1994 Mexican Economic Crisis written by Mr.Eliot Kalter and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-12-01 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper discusses the role of a country’s fiscal stance in weakening the financial underpinnings of an open economy with a quasi-fixed nominal exchange rate, even where the overall fiscal deficit remains unchanged, or even narrows. The paper cites the role of expanding government operations in reducing the relative price of traded goods. A marked increase in government expenditure and taxation is associated with increased production costs, excess demand for nontraded goods, and a deterioration in the financial health of the traded goods sector. The paper demonstrates that, in contrast to the current economic situation in Mexico, the period leading to the 1994 crisis closely parallels these stylized facts.
Download or read book Currency Crises written by Paul Krugman and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 367 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is no universally accepted definition of a currency crisis, but most would agree that they all involve one key element: investors fleeing a currency en masse out of fear that it might be devalued, in turn fueling the very devaluation they anticipated. Although such crises—the Latin American debt crisis of the 1980s, the speculations on European currencies in the early 1990s, and the ensuing Mexican, South American, and Asian crises—have played a central role in world affairs and continue to occur at an alarming rate, many questions about their causes and effects remain to be answered. In this wide-ranging volume, some of the best minds in economics focus on the historical and theoretical aspects of currency crises to investigate three fundamental issues: What drives currency crises? How should government behavior be modeled? And what are the actual consequences to the real economy? Reflecting the latest thinking on the subject, this offering from the NBER will serve as a useful basis for further debate on the theory and practice of speculative attacks, as well as a valuable resource as new crises loom.
Book Synopsis The Mexican Peso Crisis by : Mr.Paul R. Masson
Download or read book The Mexican Peso Crisis written by Mr.Paul R. Masson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-01-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines credibility and reputational factors in explaining the December 1994 crisis of the Mexican peso. After reviewing events leading to the crisis, a model emphasizing the inflation-competitiveness trade-off is presented to explain the formation of devaluation expectations. Estimation results indicate that investors appear to have seriously underestimated the risk of devaluation, despite early warning signals. The collapse of confidence that followed the December 20 devaluation may have been the result of a shift in the perceived commitment of the authorities to exchange rate stability.
Book Synopsis Tango with the Gringo:The hard peg and real misalignment in Argentina by : Enrique Alberola
Download or read book Tango with the Gringo:The hard peg and real misalignment in Argentina written by Enrique Alberola and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2013 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Between 1990 and 2001 the Argentine peso appreciated by 80 percent in real terms, and its overvaluation has been singled out as one of the main suspects in the debate on the causes of the Argentina collapse of late 2001. This paper assesses the degree of real misalignment in Argentina over the Convertibility period using a model in which the equilibrium real exchange rate is defined as the value consistent with (i) a balance of payments position where any current account imbalance is financed by a sustainable flow of international capital (external equilibrium), and (ii) traded/nontraded sector productivity differentials (internal equilibrium). Empirical implementation of the model suggests that the initial real appreciation of the peso, between 1990 and 1993, was consistent with the productivity increases that Argentina enjoyed following the stabilization of the economy after the hyperinflation of the late 1980s. But after 1996 a widening gap opened between the observed real exchange rate and that consistent with a sustainable net foreign asset position. Our estimates indicate that in 2001 the peso was overvalued by over 50 percent. The model allows us to assess how much of the overvaluation resulted from Argentina's inadequate choice of anchor currency and how much from a divergence of fundamentals between the U.S. and Argentina, ultimately due to the maintenance of policies inconsistent with the peg. We find that both factors played a role in the overvaluation accumulated between 1977 and 2001 that preceded the collapse of the Convertibility regime.
Book Synopsis The 1994 Mexican Economic Crisis by : Eliot Kalter
Download or read book The 1994 Mexican Economic Crisis written by Eliot Kalter and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Economic Policy Reform by : Anne O. Krueger
Download or read book Economic Policy Reform written by Anne O. Krueger and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2000-11-15 with total page 614 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The papers and commentary collected here constitute a vital discussion of contemporary thinking on economic policy reform, in particular the difficulties that leave so much of the world seemingly mired in poverty.
Download or read book Working Paper Series written by and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 612 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Collapsing Controlled Exchange Rates by : Valentijn van Nieuwenhuijzen
Download or read book Collapsing Controlled Exchange Rates written by Valentijn van Nieuwenhuijzen and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis NBER Reporter by : National Bureau of Economic Research
Download or read book NBER Reporter written by National Bureau of Economic Research and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Exchange Rates in Emerging Economies by : Sebastian Edwards
Download or read book Exchange Rates in Emerging Economies written by Sebastian Edwards and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exchange rates have been at the center of economic debates in emerging economies. Issues related to the feasibility of flexible exchange rates, the relationship between exchange rate volatility and growth, and the role of exchange rate overvaluation in recent crises, among other, have been extensively discussed during the last few years. In this paper we address some of the most important exchange rate-related issues in emerging economies. In particular, we deal with: (a) the merits of alternative exchange rate regimes: (b) the extent to which purchasing power parity holds in the long run in these countries; and (c) models to assess real exchange rate overvaluation. We also discuss future areas for research on exchange rates in the emerging nations.
Book Synopsis Immigrants and Natives in General Equilibrium Trade Models by : Daniel Trefler
Download or read book Immigrants and Natives in General Equilibrium Trade Models written by Daniel Trefler and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper makes three observations about international trade and immigration. (i)" Borjas has argued that immigration may yield a net social benefit even though it hurts those less-skilled workers who directly compete with immigrants. I show that this closed-economy" argument unravels when imbedded in the Ricardian or Heckscher-Ohlin models of international" trade. (ii) Following Wood and Feenstra-Hanson, I argue that within an industry those goods" produced abroad use more unskilled labor than those goods produced in the United States. How" much more depends on whether the good is produced in a developed or developing country." After transparently incorporating this into a new factor content study I find that changes in U.S." trade patterns almost certainly battered wages of those at the very bottom of the skill ladder. (iii)" Despite globalization pressures, I find little evidence of earnings convergence for a sample of 75" countries over the 1963-92 period. This holds true even after controlling for education and workers' industry of affiliation
Book Synopsis Contents of Recent Economics Journals by :
Download or read book Contents of Recent Economics Journals written by and published by . This book was released on 1997-12-19 with total page 644 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rate Misalignments and Growth by : Ofair Razin
Download or read book Real Exchange Rate Misalignments and Growth written by Ofair Razin and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Real exchange rate (RER) misalignment is now a standard concept in international macroeconomic theory and policy. However, there is neither a consensus indicator of misalignment, nor an agreed upon methodology for constructing such an indicator. This paper constructs an indicator of RER misalignment for a large sample of developed and developing countries. This indicator is based on a well-structured but simple extension of an IS-LM model of an open economy. The paper then uses regression analysis to explore whether RER misalignments are related to country growth experiences. Interestingly the work finds that there are important non-linearities in the relationship. Only very high over-valuations" appear to be associated with slower economic growth, while moderate to high (but not very high) under-valuations appear to be associated with more rapid economic growth.
Book Synopsis Tango with the Gringo by : Enrique Alberola Ila
Download or read book Tango with the Gringo written by Enrique Alberola Ila and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Morning After by : Sebastian Edwards
Download or read book The Morning After written by Sebastian Edwards and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 98 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Mexican peso crisis of December 1994 shocked politicians, analysits, and pundits. Shock was followed by panic, as investors flew the country. It took a massive bail-out package put together by the IMF and the US Treasury to generate some tranquility in the markets in mid to late 1995. From early on the Mexican authorities stated that stabilizing the value of the peso, within the context of a freely floating exchange rate regime, was one of their most important objectives. During most of 1995 this objective seemed to be highly elusive. Starting in 1996, however, the peso began to exhibit an impressive degree of stability. So much so that a number of analysts began to wonder whether this stability was consistent with a freely floating regime. Some even argued that it was d'j ... vu' all over again, and that the Bank of Mexico was manipulating monetary policy in order to artificially maintain a strong peso. In this paper we try to explain the relative stability exhibited by the peso/dollar nominal exchange rate since late 1995. Specifically, we approach this issue from two main angles: First, we ask whether the behavior of the peso/dollar rate since 1995 is broadly comparable or consistent with the behavior of a 'typical' floating exchange rate. Our answer to this question was a qualified yes. Second, we explore whether during 1996-97 the Bank of Mexico followed some sort of feedback rule from the exchange rate to monetary policy. Our answer to this question was another qualified yes, but perhaps more strongly qualified than the first one.
Download or read book Economics Letters written by and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 896 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
