Measuring Eu Inflation

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Measuring EU Inflation

Author : John Astin
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783030688073
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (88 download)

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Book Synopsis Measuring EU Inflation by : John Astin

Download or read book Measuring EU Inflation written by John Astin and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The HICP is a consumer price index which was designed to provide measures of inflation in EU member states calculated using similar methods and thus comparable one with another. The HICP now tracks the inflation rates covering over 500 million Europeans, including the UK, and is also produced by other countries such as the USA. John Astin was the EU statistician in charge of the initial development of this important index and he has the best knowledge of how it was developed in the 1990s. This book is a history of the main development period of the HICP, up to the year 2002 when Astin left the European Commission. It will be of interest to a wide range of readers, not only in the UK but globally. Types of readers are likely to include: economists, economic statisticians, national statistics offices, universities, libraries, government finance/economic ministries, international organizations such as UN, ILO, OECD, EU, Eurostat, ECB, and central banks, as well as individuals who are interested in the construction of consumer price indices. This book begins by explaining the background to the HICP project, both from an economic and a political viewpoint, and describes the specific needs for harmonized price indices resulting from the Maastricht treaty of 1992. It analyses the process of establishing the necessary procedures for taking this urgent work forward and gives details of the technical issues involved, and the critical issue of drafting legal acts which would be necessary to ensure full compliance with the new rules. It includes analysis of products, price collection issues, quality adjustment, timing, and a host of other issues, and discusses the arguments which had to be resolved, as well as some human aspects of the process too. It also looks at the funding aspects, the recruitment of specialist consultants, the legal processes and the organization of meetings, both in Luxembourg and in other countries.

Measuring EU Inflation

Author : John Astin
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030688062
Total Pages : 271 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (36 download)

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Book Synopsis Measuring EU Inflation by : John Astin

Download or read book Measuring EU Inflation written by John Astin and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-06-25 with total page 271 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The HICP is a consumer price index which was designed to provide measures of inflation in EU member states calculated using similar methods and thus comparable one with another. The HICP now tracks the inflation rates covering over 500 million Europeans, including the UK, and is also produced by other countries such as the USA. John Astin was the EU statistician in charge of the initial development of this important index and he has the best knowledge of how it was developed in the 1990s. This book is a history of the main development period of the HICP, up to the year 2002 when Astin left the European Commission. It will be of interest to a wide range of readers, not only in the UK but globally. Types of readers are likely to include: economists, economic statisticians, national statistics offices, universities, libraries, government finance/economic ministries, international organizations such as UN, ILO, OECD, EU, Eurostat, ECB, and central banks, as well as individuals who are interested in the construction of consumer price indices. This book begins by explaining the background to the HICP project, both from an economic and a political viewpoint, and describes the specific needs for harmonized price indices resulting from the Maastricht treaty of 1992. It analyses the process of establishing the necessary procedures for taking this urgent work forward and gives details of the technical issues involved, and the critical issue of drafting legal acts which would be necessary to ensure full compliance with the new rules. It includes analysis of products, price collection issues, quality adjustment, timing, and a host of other issues, and discusses the arguments which had to be resolved, as well as some human aspects of the process too. It also looks at the funding aspects, the recruitment of specialist consultants, the legal processes and the organization of meetings, both in Luxembourg and in other countries.

What Core Inflation Indicators Measure?

Author : Aleksandra Hałka
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (15 download)

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Book Synopsis What Core Inflation Indicators Measure? by : Aleksandra Hałka

Download or read book What Core Inflation Indicators Measure? written by Aleksandra Hałka and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Euro, Inflation and Consumers' Perceptions

Author : Paolo Giovane
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540783709
Total Pages : 245 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis The Euro, Inflation and Consumers' Perceptions by : Paolo Giovane

Download or read book The Euro, Inflation and Consumers' Perceptions written by Paolo Giovane and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-04-16 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: On 1 January 2002, euro banknotes and coins were introduced in twelve EU Member States. Three more countries joined in the following years, and over 300 million people now use the euro in their daily transactions. The currency changeover was a technical success. From the very start, however, the vast majority of euro area citizens held the single currency responsible for a sharp rise in prices and a subsequent decline in their personal economic fortunes. This book puts forward convincing empirical evidence, primarily drawn from Italy’s experience, to establish whether the introduction of the euro has had a major impact on prices, and if not, why so many people believe it has. Its significance lies not only in the documentation of a historic event, but also and more importantly, in the lessons it provides, which concern the public’s understanding of inflation, the correct assessment of the effects of the single currency, and the need for appropriate measures when other countries adopt the euro.

Measuring Core Inflation in the Euro Area

Author : Claudio Morana
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 59 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (174 download)

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Book Synopsis Measuring Core Inflation in the Euro Area by : Claudio Morana

Download or read book Measuring Core Inflation in the Euro Area written by Claudio Morana and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Inflation Expectations

Author : Peter J. N. Sinclair
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135179778
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (351 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Expectations by : Peter J. N. Sinclair

Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

A First Assessment of Some Measures of Core Inflation for the Euro Area

Author : Juan-Luis Vega
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis A First Assessment of Some Measures of Core Inflation for the Euro Area by : Juan-Luis Vega

Download or read book A First Assessment of Some Measures of Core Inflation for the Euro Area written by Juan-Luis Vega and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Policy-sensible Core-inflation Measure for the Euro Area

Author : Stefano Siviero
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.X/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis A Policy-sensible Core-inflation Measure for the Euro Area by : Stefano Siviero

Download or read book A Policy-sensible Core-inflation Measure for the Euro Area written by Stefano Siviero and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

PCCI, Data-rich Measure of Underlying Inflation in the Euro Area

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789289944168
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (441 download)

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Book Synopsis PCCI, Data-rich Measure of Underlying Inflation in the Euro Area by :

Download or read book PCCI, Data-rich Measure of Underlying Inflation in the Euro Area written by and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper details the rationale and methodology behind the construction of the Persistent and Common Component of Inflation (PCCI), a measure of underlying inflation in the euro area. The PCCI reflects the view that underlying inflation captures widespread developments across the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) basket and that it is the persistent component of inflation. Methodologically, it relies on a generalised dynamic factor model estimated on a large set of disaggregated HICP inflation rates for 12 euro area countries. For each individual inflation rate, we estimate a low-frequency common component, i.e. a component driven by shocks or factors that are relevant for all inflation series and capturing cycles longer than three years. The PCCI is a weighted average of these common components. It is an alternative to the typical exclusion-based measures used to gauge underlying inflation (e.g. HICP excluding food and energy), as it does not a priori exclude any HICP items. It exhibits a set of desirable properties as a measure of underlying inflation, and it is a good tracker of more lasting inflationary developments (judging by smoothness and bias). Furthermore, it is timely and signals turning points with some lead, while acting as an attractor for headline inflation.

Measuring Core Inflation

Author : Danny Quah
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Measuring Core Inflation by : Danny Quah

Download or read book Measuring Core Inflation written by Danny Quah and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

PCCI, a Data-rich Measure of Underlying Inflation in the Euro Area

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789289944373
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (443 download)

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Book Synopsis PCCI, a Data-rich Measure of Underlying Inflation in the Euro Area by :

Download or read book PCCI, a Data-rich Measure of Underlying Inflation in the Euro Area written by and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper details the rationale and methodology behind the construction of the Persistent and Common Component of Inflation (PCCI), a measure of underlying inflation in the euro area. The PCCI reflects the view that underlying inflation captures widespread developments across the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) basket and that it is the persistent component of inflation. Methodologically, it relies on a generalised dynamic factor model estimated on a large set of disaggregated HICP inflation rates for 12 euro area countries. For each individual inflation rate, we estimate a low-frequency common component, i.e. a component driven by shocks or factors that are relevant for all inflation series and capturing cycles longer than three years. The PCCI is a weighted average of these common components. It is an alternative to the typical exclusion-based measures used to gauge underlying inflation (e.g. HICP excluding food and energy), as it does not a priori exclude any HICP items. It exhibits a set of desirable properties as a measure of underlying inflation, and it is a good tracker of more lasting inflationary developments (judging by smoothness and bias). Furthermore, it is timely and signals turning points with some lead, while acting as an attractor for headline inflation.

Measures of Underlying Inflation in the Euro Area

Author : Emil Stavrev
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Measures of Underlying Inflation in the Euro Area by : Emil Stavrev

Download or read book Measures of Underlying Inflation in the Euro Area written by Emil Stavrev and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-08 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper evaluates the 24-month ahead inflation forecasting performance of various indicators of underlying inflation and structural models. The inflation forecast errors resulting from model misspecification are larger than the errors resulting from forecasting of exogenous variables. Also, measures derived using the generalized dynamic factor model (GDFM) overperform other measures over the monetary policy horizon and are leading indicators of headline inflation. Trimmed means, although weaker than GDFM indicators, have good forecasting performance, while indicators by permanent exclusion underperform but provide useful information about short-term dynamics. The forecasting performance of theoretically-founded models that relate monetary aggregates, the output gap, and inflation improves with the time horizon but generally falls short of that of the GDFM. A composite measure of underlying inflation, derived by averaging the statistical indicators and the model-based estimates, improves forecast accuracy by eliminating bias and offers valuable insight about the distribution of risks.

Inflation

Author : Robert O'Neill
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319641255
Total Pages : 390 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation by : Robert O'Neill

Download or read book Inflation written by Robert O'Neill and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-11-06 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is an introduction to the history of – and current measurement practice of – inflation for the United Kingdom. The authors describe the historical development of inflation measures in a global context, and do so without using formal mathematical language and related jargon that relates only to a few specialist scholars. Although inflation is a widely used and quoted statistic, and despite the important role inflation plays in real people’s lives – through pension uprating, train tickets, interest rates and the work of economists – few people understand how it is created. O’Neill, Ralph and Smith mix historical data with a description of practices inside the UK statistical system and abroad, which will aid understanding of how this important economic statistic is produced, and the important and controversial choices that statisticians have made over time.

A Persistence-weighted Measure of Core Inflation in the Euro Area

Author : Laurent Bilke
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis A Persistence-weighted Measure of Core Inflation in the Euro Area by : Laurent Bilke

Download or read book A Persistence-weighted Measure of Core Inflation in the Euro Area written by Laurent Bilke and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

How Far from the Euro Area?

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (836 download)

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Book Synopsis How Far from the Euro Area? by :

Download or read book How Far from the Euro Area? written by and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Inflation Measurement and Its Assessment in the ECB's Monetary Policy Strategy Review

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789289944724
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (447 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Measurement and Its Assessment in the ECB's Monetary Policy Strategy Review by :

Download or read book Inflation Measurement and Its Assessment in the ECB's Monetary Policy Strategy Review written by and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper - which takes into consideration overall experience with the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) as well as the improvements made to this measure of inflation since 2003 - finds that the HICP continues to fulfil the prerequisites for the index underlying the ECB's definition of price stability. Nonetheless, there is scope for enhancing the HICP, especially by including owner-occupied housing (OOH) using the net acquisitions approach. Filling this long-standing gap is of utmost importance to increase the coverage and cross-country comparability of the HICP. In addition to integrating OOH into the HICP, further improvements would be welcome in harmonisation, especially regarding the treatment of product replacement and quality adjustment. Such measures may also help reduce the measurement bias that still exists in the HICP. Overall, a knowledge gap concerning the exact size of the measurement bias of the HICP remains, which calls for further research. More generally, the paper also finds that auxiliary inflation measures can play an important role in the ECB's economic and monetary analyses. This applies not only to analytical series including OOH, but also to measures of underlying inflation or a cost of living index.

Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies

Author : Jongrim Ha
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464813760
Total Pages : 513 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies by : Jongrim Ha

Download or read book Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies written by Jongrim Ha and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2019-02-24 with total page 513 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first comprehensive study in the context of EMDEs that covers, in one consistent framework, the evolution and global and domestic drivers of inflation, the role of expectations, exchange rate pass-through and policy implications. In addition, the report analyzes inflation and monetary policy related challenges in LICs. The report documents three major findings: In First, EMDE disinflation over the past four decades was to a significant degree a result of favorable external developments, pointing to the risk of rising EMDE inflation if global inflation were to increase. In particular, the decline in EMDE inflation has been supported by broad-based global disinflation amid rapid international trade and financial integration and the disruption caused by the global financial crisis. While domestic factors continue to be the main drivers of short-term movements in EMDE inflation, the role of global factors has risen by one-half between the 1970s and the 2000s. On average, global shocks, especially oil price swings and global demand shocks have accounted for more than one-quarter of domestic inflation variatio--and more in countries with stronger global linkages and greater reliance on commodity imports. In LICs, global food and energy price shocks accounted for another 12 percent of core inflation variatio--half more than in advanced economies and one-fifth more than in non-LIC EMDEs. Second, inflation expectations continue to be less well-anchored in EMDEs than in advanced economies, although a move to inflation targeting and better fiscal frameworks has helped strengthen monetary policy credibility. Lower monetary policy credibility and exchange rate flexibility have also been associated with higher pass-through of exchange rate shocks into domestic inflation in the event of global shocks, which have accounted for half of EMDE exchange rate variation. Third, in part because of poorly anchored inflation expectations, the transmission of global commodity price shocks to domestic LIC inflation (combined with unintended consequences of other government policies) can have material implications for poverty: the global food price spikes in 2010-11 tipped roughly 8 million people into poverty.