Maximum Likelihood Estimation Of Exact Arma Models

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Stochastic Complexity In Statistical Inquiry

Author : Jorma Rissanen
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814507407
Total Pages : 191 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (145 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Complexity In Statistical Inquiry by : Jorma Rissanen

Download or read book Stochastic Complexity In Statistical Inquiry written by Jorma Rissanen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1998-10-07 with total page 191 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes how model selection and statistical inference can be founded on the shortest code length for the observed data, called the stochastic complexity. This generalization of the algorithmic complexity not only offers an objective view of statistics, where no prejudiced assumptions of 'true' data generating distributions are needed, but it also in one stroke leads to calculable expressions in a range of situations of practical interest and links very closely with mainstream statistical theory. The search for the smallest stochastic complexity extends the classical maximum likelihood technique to a new global one, in which models can be compared regardless of their numbers of parameters. The result is a natural and far reaching extension of the traditional theory of estimation, where the Fisher information is replaced by the stochastic complexity and the Cramer-Rao inequality by an extension of the Shannon-Kullback inequality. Ideas are illustrated with applications from parametric and non-parametric regression, density and spectrum estimation, time series, hypothesis testing, contingency tables, and data compression.

Computational Economics and Econometrics

Author : H. Amman
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401131627
Total Pages : 170 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis Computational Economics and Econometrics by : H. Amman

Download or read book Computational Economics and Econometrics written by H. Amman and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The field of Computational Economics is a fast growing area. Due to the limitations in analytical modeling, more and more researchers apply numerical methods as a means of problem solving. In tum these quantitative results can be used to make qualitative statements. This volume of the Advanced Series in Theoretical and Applied and Econometrics comprises a selected number of papers in the field of computational economics presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society Economic Dynamics and Control held in Minneapolis, June 1990. The volume covers ten papers dealing with computational issues in Econo metrics, Economics and Optimization. The first five papers in these proceedings are dedicated to numerical issues in econometric estimation. The following three papers are concerned with computational issues in model solving and optimization. The last two papers highlight some numerical techniques for solving micro models. We are sure that Computational Economics will become an important new trend in Economics in the coming decade. Hopefully this volume can be one of the first contributions highlighting this new trend. The Editors H.M. Amman et a1. (eds), Computational Economics and Econometrics, vii. © 1992 Kluwer Academic Publishers. PART ONE ECONOMETRICS LIKELIHOOD EVALUATION FOR DYNAMIC LATENT VARIABLES 1 MODELS DAVID F. HENDRY Nuffield College, Oxford, U.K. and JEAN-FRANc;mS RICHARD ISDS, Pittsburgh University, Pittsburgh, PA, U.S.A.

Elements of Multivariate Time Series Analysis

Author : Gregory C. Reinsel
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 146840198X
Total Pages : 278 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (684 download)

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Book Synopsis Elements of Multivariate Time Series Analysis by : Gregory C. Reinsel

Download or read book Elements of Multivariate Time Series Analysis written by Gregory C. Reinsel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 278 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The use of methods of time series analysis in the study of multivariate time series has become of increased interest in recent years. Although the methods are rather well developed and understood for univarjate time series analysis, the situation is not so complete for the multivariate case. This book is designed to introduce the basic concepts and methods that are useful in the analysis and modeling of multivariate time series, with illustrations of these basic ideas. The development includes both traditional topics such as autocovariance and auto correlation matrices of stationary processes, properties of vector ARMA models, forecasting ARMA processes, least squares and maximum likelihood estimation techniques for vector AR and ARMA models, and model checking diagnostics for residuals, as well as topics of more recent interest for vector ARMA models such as reduced rank structure, structural indices, scalar component models, canonical correlation analyses for vector time series, multivariate unit-root models and cointegration structure, and state-space models and Kalman filtering techniques and applications. This book concentrates on the time-domain analysis of multivariate time series, and the important subject of spectral analysis is not considered here. For that topic, the reader is referred to the excellent books by Jenkins and Watts (1968), Hannan (1970), Priestley (1981), and others.

Modeling Financial Time Series with S-PLUS

Author : Eric Zivot
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387217630
Total Pages : 632 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (872 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Financial Time Series with S-PLUS by : Eric Zivot

Download or read book Modeling Financial Time Series with S-PLUS written by Eric Zivot and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-11 with total page 632 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The field of financial econometrics has exploded over the last decade This book represents an integration of theory, methods, and examples using the S-PLUS statistical modeling language and the S+FinMetrics module to facilitate the practice of financial econometrics. This is the first book to show the power of S-PLUS for the analysis of time series data. It is written for researchers and practitioners in the finance industry, academic researchers in economics and finance, and advanced MBA and graduate students in economics and finance. Readers are assumed to have a basic knowledge of S-PLUS and a solid grounding in basic statistics and time series concepts. This Second Edition is updated to cover S+FinMetrics 2.0 and includes new chapters on copulas, nonlinear regime switching models, continuous-time financial models, generalized method of moments, semi-nonparametric conditional density models, and the efficient method of moments. Eric Zivot is an associate professor and Gary Waterman Distinguished Scholar in the Economics Department, and adjunct associate professor of finance in the Business School at the University of Washington. He regularly teaches courses on econometric theory, financial econometrics and time series econometrics, and is the recipient of the Henry T. Buechel Award for Outstanding Teaching. He is an associate editor of Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics. He has published papers in the leading econometrics journals, including Econometrica, Econometric Theory, the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Journal of Econometrics, and the Review of Economics and Statistics. Jiahui Wang is an employee of Ronin Capital LLC. He received a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Washington in 1997. He has published in leading econometrics journals such as Econometrica and Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, and is the Principal Investigator of National Science Foundation SBIR grants. In 2002 Dr. Wang was selected as one of the "2000 Outstanding Scholars of the 21st Century" by International Biographical Centre.

Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 538 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports by :

Download or read book Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 538 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Lists citations with abstracts for aerospace related reports obtained from world wide sources and announces documents that have recently been entered into the NASA Scientific and Technical Information Database.

Time Series Modelling of Water Resources and Environmental Systems

Author : K.W. Hipel
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080870368
Total Pages : 1053 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (88 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Modelling of Water Resources and Environmental Systems by : K.W. Hipel

Download or read book Time Series Modelling of Water Resources and Environmental Systems written by K.W. Hipel and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1994-04-07 with total page 1053 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a comprehensive presentation of the theory and practice of time series modelling of environmental systems. A variety of time series models are explained and illustrated, including ARMA (autoregressive-moving average), nonstationary, long memory, three families of seasonal, multiple input-single output, intervention and multivariate ARMA models. Other topics in environmetrics covered in this book include time series analysis in decision making, estimating missing observations, simulation, the Hurst phenomenon, forecasting experiments and causality. Professionals working in fields overlapping with environmetrics - such as water resources engineers, environmental scientists, hydrologists, geophysicists, geographers, earth scientists and planners - will find this book a valuable resource. Equally, environmetrics, systems scientists, economists, mechanical engineers, chemical engineers, and management scientists will find the time series methods presented in this book useful.

Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis

Author : Steven Durlauf
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230280838
Total Pages : 417 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis by : Steven Durlauf

Download or read book Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis written by Steven Durlauf and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-30 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Specially selected from The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 2nd edition, each article within this compendium covers the fundamental themes within the discipline and is written by a leading practitioner in the field. A handy reference tool.

Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting

Author : Peter J. Brockwell
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475725264
Total Pages : 429 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting by : Peter J. Brockwell

Download or read book Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting written by Peter J. Brockwell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-14 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Some of the key mathematical results are stated without proof in order to make the underlying theory acccessible to a wider audience. The book assumes a knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra, and elementary statistics. The emphasis is on methods and the analysis of data sets. The logic and tools of model-building for stationary and non-stationary time series are developed in detail and numerous exercises, many of which make use of the included computer package, provide the reader with ample opportunity to develop skills in this area. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include harmonic regression, the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, regression with ARMA errors, structural models, the EM algorithm, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introducitons are also given to cointegration and to non-linear, continuous-time and long-memory models. The time series package included in the back of the book is a slightly modified version of the package ITSM, published separately as ITSM for Windows, by Springer-Verlag, 1994. It does not handle such large data sets as ITSM for Windows, but like the latter, runs on IBM-PC compatible computers under either DOS or Windows (version 3.1 or later). The programs are all menu-driven so that the reader can immediately apply the techniques in the book to time series data, with a minimal investment of time in the computational and algorithmic aspects of the analysis.

CallCenter Management by the Numbers

Author : Jon Anton
Publisher : Purdue University Press
ISBN 13 : 9781557531124
Total Pages : 124 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (311 download)

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Book Synopsis CallCenter Management by the Numbers by : Jon Anton

Download or read book CallCenter Management by the Numbers written by Jon Anton and published by Purdue University Press. This book was released on 1997 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Annotation With the emergence of the callcenter as a mission-critical part of the corporate customer service strategy, management of the callcenter has moved from a reactive "fire-fighting" style to a more proactive tactical style of professional management. Measurements drive behavior, and "you get what you measure and reward." The primary purpose of this book is to provide new professional callcenter managers with a methodology for "managing their callcenter by the numbers."

Time Series Analysis of Irregularly Observed Data

Author : E. Parzen
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1468494031
Total Pages : 372 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (684 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis of Irregularly Observed Data by : E. Parzen

Download or read book Time Series Analysis of Irregularly Observed Data written by E. Parzen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 372 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the support of the Office of Naval Research Program on Statistics and Probability (Dr. Edward J. Wegman, Director), The Department of Statistics at Texas A&M University hosted a Symposium on Time Series Analysis of Irregularly Observed Data during the period February 10-13, 1983. The symposium aimed to provide a review of the state of the art, define outstanding problems for research by theoreticians, transmit to practitioners recently developed algorithms, and stimulate interaction between statisticians and researchers in subject matter fields. Attendance was limited to actively involved researchers. This volume contains refereed versions of the papers presented at the Symposium. We would like to express our appreciation to the many colleagues and staff members whose cheerful help made the Symposium a successful happening which was enjoyed socially and intellectually by all participants. I would like to especially thank Dr. Donald W. Marquardt whose interest led me to undertake to organize this Symposium. This volume is dedicated to the world wide community of researchers who develop and apply methods of statistical analysis of time series. r:;) \J Picture Caption Participants in Symposium on Time Series Analysis of Irregularly Observed Data at Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, February 10-13, 1983 First Row: Henry L. Gray, D. W. Marquardt, P. M. Robinson, Emanuel Parzen, Julia Abrahams, E. Masry, H. L. Weinert, R. H. Shumway.

Computer Techniques and Algorithms in Digital Signal Processing

Author :
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080529917
Total Pages : 425 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Computer Techniques and Algorithms in Digital Signal Processing by :

Download or read book Computer Techniques and Algorithms in Digital Signal Processing written by and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1996-03-18 with total page 425 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Covers advances in the field of computer techniques and algorithms in digital signal processing.

Journal of the American Statistical Association

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 1638 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Journal of the American Statistical Association by :

Download or read book Journal of the American Statistical Association written by and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 1638 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A scientific and educational journal not only for professional statisticians but also for economists, business executives, research directors, government officials, university professors, and others who are seriously interested in the application of statistical methods to practical problems, in the development of more useful methods, and in the improvement of basic statistical data.

A Guide to Modern Econometrics

Author : Marno Verbeek
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470517697
Total Pages : 489 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (75 download)

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Book Synopsis A Guide to Modern Econometrics by : Marno Verbeek

Download or read book A Guide to Modern Econometrics written by Marno Verbeek and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-05-27 with total page 489 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This revised and updated edition of A Guide to Modern Econometrics continues to explore a wide range of topics in modern econometrics by focusing on what is important for doing and understanding empirical work. It serves as a guide to alternative techniques with the emphasis on the intuition behind the approaches and their practical relevance. New material includes Monte Carlo studies, weak instruments, nonstationary panels, count data, duration models and the estimation of treatment effects. Features of this book include: Coverage of a wide range of topics, including time series analysis, cointegration, limited dependent variables, panel data analysis and the generalized method of moments Empirical examples drawn from a wide variety of fields including labour economics, finance, international economics, environmental economics and macroeconomics. End-of-chapter exercises review key concepts in light of empirical examples.

From Data to Model

Author : Jan C. Willems
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642750079
Total Pages : 254 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (427 download)

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Book Synopsis From Data to Model by : Jan C. Willems

Download or read book From Data to Model written by Jan C. Willems and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The problem of obtaining dynamical models directly from an observed time-series occurs in many fields of application. There are a number of possible approaches to this problem. In this volume a number of such points of view are exposed: the statistical time series approach, a theory of guaranted performance, and finally a deterministic approximation approach. This volume is an out-growth of a number of get-togethers sponsered by the Systems and Decision Sciences group of the International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Laxenburg, Austria. The hospitality and support of this organization is gratefully acknowledged. Jan Willems Groningen, the Netherlands May 1989 TABLE OF CONTENTS Linear System Identification- A Survey page 1 M. Deistler A Tutorial on Hankel-Norm Approximation 26 K. Glover A Deterministic Approach to Approximate Modelling 49 C. Heij and J. C. Willems Identification - a Theory of Guaranteed Estimates 135 A. B. Kurzhanski Statistical Aspects of Model Selection 215 R. Shibata Index 241 Addresses of Authors 246 LINEAR SYSTEM IDENTIFICATION· A SURVEY M. DEISTLER Abstract In this paper we give an introductory survey on the theory of identification of (in general MIMO) linear systems from (discrete) time series data. The main parts are: Structure theory for linear systems, asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood type estimators, estimation of the dynamic specification by methods based on information criteria and finally, extensions and alternative approaches such as identification of unstable systems and errors-in-variables. Keywords Linear systems, parametrization, maximum likelihood estimation, information criteria, errors-in-variables.

Time Series Analysis

Author : James D. Hamilton
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691218633
Total Pages : 820 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis by : James D. Hamilton

Download or read book Time Series Analysis written by James D. Hamilton and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2020-09-01 with total page 820 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An authoritative, self-contained overview of time series analysis for students and researchers The past decade has brought dramatic changes in the way that researchers analyze economic and financial time series. This textbook synthesizes these advances and makes them accessible to first-year graduate students. James Hamilton provides comprehensive treatments of important innovations such as vector autoregressions, generalized method of moments, the economic and statistical consequences of unit roots, time-varying variances, and nonlinear time series models. In addition, he presents basic tools for analyzing dynamic systems—including linear representations, autocovariance generating functions, spectral analysis, and the Kalman filter—in a way that integrates economic theory with the practical difficulties of analyzing and interpreting real-world data. Time Series Analysis fills an important need for a textbook that integrates economic theory, econometrics, and new results. This invaluable book starts from first principles and should be readily accessible to any beginning graduate student, while it is also intended to serve as a reference book for researchers.

ARMA Model Identification

Author : ByoungSeon Choi
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461397456
Total Pages : 211 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (613 download)

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Book Synopsis ARMA Model Identification by : ByoungSeon Choi

Download or read book ARMA Model Identification written by ByoungSeon Choi and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the last two decades, considerable progress has been made in statistical time series analysis. The aim of this book is to present a survey of one of the most active areas in this field: the identification of autoregressive moving-average models, i.e., determining their orders. Readers are assumed to have already taken one course on time series analysis as might be offered in a graduate course, but otherwise this account is self-contained. The main topics covered include: Box-Jenkins' method, inverse autocorrelation functions, penalty function identification such as AIC, BIC techniques and Hannan and Quinn's method, instrumental regression, and a range of pattern identification methods. Rather than cover all the methods in detail, the emphasis is on exploring the fundamental ideas underlying them. Extensive references are given to the research literature and as a result, all those engaged in research in this subject will find this an invaluable aid to their work.

Developments in Statistics

Author : Paruchuri R. Krishnaiah
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 148326422X
Total Pages : 302 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Developments in Statistics by : Paruchuri R. Krishnaiah

Download or read book Developments in Statistics written by Paruchuri R. Krishnaiah and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-06-28 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Developments in Statistics, Volume 4 reviews developments in the theory and applications of statistics, covering topics such as time series, identifiability and model selection, and missing data. The application of structured exploratory data analysis to human genetics, specifically, the mode of inheritance, is also considered. Comprised of four chapters, this volume begins with an introduction to spectrum parameter estimation in time series analysis, restricting the discussion to the simplest univariate (that is, scalar) real-valued time series X(t). An accurate formulation of the general problem is presented. The accuracy of different consistent estimates obtained for large but fixed values of T (maximum likelihood estimates, Whittle's estimates, and simplified asymptotically efficient estimates) is also compared. The next chapter deals with identifiability and modeling in econometrics, focusing on the theoretical framework relating realization theory, identification, and parametrization. The realization theory is illustrated on various levels of generality by means of examples related to econometrics, along with some advanced applications of system theory. The book also examines inference on parameters of multivariate normal populations when some data are missing before concluding with an evaluation of structured exploratory data as applied to the study of the mode of inheritance. This monograph will be of interest to students and practitioners of statistics.