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Author : David Forbes Hendry
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (143 download)
Download or read book Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Difference Equations with Moving Average Errors written by David Forbes Hendry and published by . This book was released on 1970 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Greg Reinsel
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (227 download)
Download or read book Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Stochastic Linear Difference Equations with Autoregressive Moving Average Errors written by Greg Reinsel and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A method is proposed for the estimation of a general class of scalar linear time series models. The model takes the form of a stochastic difference equation for the dependent variable with exogenous variable inputs, and the disturbances are autocorrelated through an autoregressive moving average process. In the present paper an asymptotically efficient yet computationally simple estimation procedure (in the time domain) is derived for this model. The resulting estimator is shown to be asymptotically equivalent to the maximum likelihood estimator and to possess a limiting multivariate normal distribution. (Author).
Author : Fereydoon Ahrabi
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Autoregressive Coefficients and Moving Average Covariances of Vector Autoregressive Moving Average Models written by Fereydoon Ahrabi and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this paper is to derive asymptotically efficient estimates for the autoregressive matrix coefficients and moving average covariance matrices of the vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) models in both time and frequency domains. To do this we shall apply the Newton-Raphson and scoring methods to the maximum likelihood equations derived from modified likelihood functions under the Gaussian Assumption.
Author : George G. Judge
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 047189530X
Total Pages : 1062 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (718 download)
Download or read book The Theory and Practice of Econometrics written by George G. Judge and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1991-01-16 with total page 1062 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This broadly based graduate-level textbook covers the major models and statistical tools currently used in the practice of econometrics. It examines the classical, the decision theory, and the Bayesian approaches, and contains material on single equation and simultaneous equation econometric models. Includes an extensive reference list for each topic.
Author : Arnold Zellner
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9781139453431
Total Pages : 736 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (534 download)
Download or read book The Structural Econometric Time Series Analysis Approach written by Arnold Zellner and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004-10-21 with total page 736 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bringing together a collection of previously published work, this book provides a discussion of major considerations relating to the construction of econometric models that work well to explain economic phenomena, predict future outcomes and be useful for policy-making. Analytical relations between dynamic econometric structural models and empirical time series MVARMA, VAR, transfer function, and univariate ARIMA models are established with important application for model-checking and model construction. The theory and applications of these procedures to a variety of econometric modeling and forecasting problems as well as Bayesian and non-Bayesian testing, shrinkage estimation and forecasting procedures are also presented and applied. Finally, attention is focused on the effects of disaggregation on forecasting precision and the Marshallian Macroeconomic Model that features demand, supply and entry equations for major sectors of economies is analysed and described. This volume will prove invaluable to professionals, academics and students alike.
Author : George E. P. Box
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118674928
Total Pages : 709 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (186 download)
Download or read book Time Series Analysis written by George E. P. Box and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-05-29 with total page 709 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for the Fourth Edition "The book follows faithfully the style of the original edition. The approach is heavily motivated by real-world time series, and by developing a complete approach to model building, estimation, forecasting and control." —Mathematical Reviews Bridging classical models and modern topics, the Fifth Edition of Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control maintains a balanced presentation of the tools for modeling and analyzing time series. Also describing the latest developments that have occurred in the field over the past decade through applications from areas such as business, finance, and engineering, the Fifth Edition continues to serve as one of the most influential and prominent works on the subject. Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, Fifth Edition provides a clearly written exploration of the key methods for building, classifying, testing, and analyzing stochastic models for time series and describes their use in five important areas of application: forecasting; determining the transfer function of a system; modeling the effects of intervention events; developing multivariate dynamic models; and designing simple control schemes. Along with these classical uses, the new edition covers modern topics with new features that include: A redesigned chapter on multivariate time series analysis with an expanded treatment of Vector Autoregressive, or VAR models, along with a discussion of the analytical tools needed for modeling vector time series An expanded chapter on special topics covering unit root testing, time-varying volatility models such as ARCH and GARCH, nonlinear time series models, and long memory models Numerous examples drawn from finance, economics, engineering, and other related fields The use of the publicly available R software for graphical illustrations and numerical calculations along with scripts that demonstrate the use of R for model building and forecasting Updates to literature references throughout and new end-of-chapter exercises Streamlined chapter introductions and revisions that update and enhance the exposition Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, Fifth Edition is a valuable real-world reference for researchers and practitioners in time series analysis, econometrics, finance, and related fields. The book is also an excellent textbook for beginning graduate-level courses in advanced statistics, mathematics, economics, finance, engineering, and physics.
Author : Alban William Housego Phillips
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521571359
Total Pages : 535 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (215 download)
Download or read book A. W. H. Phillips: Collected Works in Contemporary Perspective written by Alban William Housego Phillips and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000-08-03 with total page 535 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Virtually all of contemporary macroeconomics is underpinned by a Phillips curve of one variety or another; yet most of this literature displays a curious neglect of the theoretical dynamic stabilisation perspective provided by A. W. H. Phillips. This 2000 volume collected for the first time the major work of one of the great economists, integrating Phillips's empirical work with his theoretical contribution. In addition to twelve substantive chapters, twenty-nine economists including Lawrence Klein, James Meade, Thomas Sargent, Peter Phillips, David Hendry, William Baumol, Richard Lipsey and Geoffrey Harcourt highlight and interpret Phillips's ongoing influence. This volume also contains six of Phillips's previously unpublished essays, four of which were thought to have been lost. The fifth such essay (Phillips's second empirical Phillips curve) was previously an informal working paper of which few copies circulated, and the sixth essay is a forerunner of the Lucas Critique written by Phillips shortly before his death.
Author : Michael Clements
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521634809
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (348 download)
Download or read book Forecasting Economic Time Series written by Michael Clements and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1998-10-08 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a formal analysis of the models, procedures, and measures of economic forecasting with a view to improving forecasting practice. David Hendry and Michael Clements base the analyses on assumptions pertinent to the economies to be forecast, viz. a non-constant, evolving economic system, and econometric models whose form and structure are unknown a priori. The authors find that conclusions which can be established formally for constant-parameter stationary processes and correctly-specified models often do not hold when unrealistic assumptions are relaxed. Despite the difficulty of proceeding formally when models are mis-specified in unknown ways for non-stationary processes that are subject to structural breaks, Hendry and Clements show that significant insights can be gleaned. For example, a formal taxonomy of forecasting errors can be developed, the role of causal information clarified, intercept corrections re-established as a method for achieving robustness against forms of structural change, and measures of forecast accuracy re-interpreted.
Author : David F. Hendry
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0198293542
Total Pages : 561 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (982 download)
Download or read book Econometrics: Alchemy Or Science? written by David F. Hendry and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2000-10-26 with total page 561 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Econometrics: Alchemy or Science?" analyses the effectiveness and validity of applying econometric methods to economic time series. The methodological dispute is long-standing, and no claim can be made for a single valid method, but recent results on the theory and practice of model selection bid fair to resolve many of the contentious issues.The book presents criticisms and evaluations of competing approaches, based on theoretical economic and econometric analyses, empirical applications, and Monte Carlo simulations, which interact to determine best practice. It explains the evolution of an approach to econometric modelling founded in careful statistical analyses of the available data, using economic theory to guide the general model specification. From a strong foundation in the theory of reduction, via a range of applied andsimulation studies, it demonstrates that general-to-specific procedures have excellent properties.The book is divided into four Parts: Routes and Route Maps; Empirical Modelling Strategies; Formalization; and Retrospect and Prospect. A short preamble to each chapter sketches the salient themes, links to earlier and later developments, and the lessons learnt or missed at the time. A sequence of detailed empirical studies of consumers' expenditure and money demand illustrate most facets of the approach. Material new to this revised edition describes recent major advances in computer-automatedmodel selection, embodied in the powerful new software program PcGets, which establish the operational success of the modelling strategy.
Author : Baldev Raj
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317850661
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (178 download)
Download or read book Econometrics (Routledge Revivals) written by Baldev Raj and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-12-16 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1981, this book considers one particular area of econometrics- the linear model- where significant recent advances have been made. It considers both single and multiequation models with varying co-efficients, explains the various theories and techniques connected with these and goes on to describe the various applications of the models. Whilst the detailed explanation of the models will interest primarily econometrics specialists, the implications of the advances outlined and the applications of the models will intrest a wide range of economists.
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 300 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (3 download)
Download or read book Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Wayne A. Fuller
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470317752
Total Pages : 734 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (73 download)
Download or read book Introduction to Statistical Time Series written by Wayne A. Fuller and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-09-25 with total page 734 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The subject of time series is of considerable interest, especiallyamong researchers in econometrics, engineering, and the naturalsciences. As part of the prestigious Wiley Series in Probabilityand Statistics, this book provides a lucid introduction to thefield and, in this new Second Edition, covers the importantadvances of recent years, including nonstationary models, nonlinearestimation, multivariate models, state space representations, andempirical model identification. New sections have also been addedon the Wold decomposition, partial autocorrelation, long memoryprocesses, and the Kalman filter. Major topics include: * Moving average and autoregressive processes * Introduction to Fourier analysis * Spectral theory and filtering * Large sample theory * Estimation of the mean and autocorrelations * Estimation of the spectrum * Parameter estimation * Regression, trend, and seasonality * Unit root and explosive time series To accommodate a wide variety of readers, review material,especially on elementary results in Fourier analysis, large samplestatistics, and difference equations, has been included.
Author : James D. Hamilton
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691218633
Total Pages : 820 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)
Download or read book Time Series Analysis written by James D. Hamilton and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2020-09-01 with total page 820 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An authoritative, self-contained overview of time series analysis for students and researchers The past decade has brought dramatic changes in the way that researchers analyze economic and financial time series. This textbook synthesizes these advances and makes them accessible to first-year graduate students. James Hamilton provides comprehensive treatments of important innovations such as vector autoregressions, generalized method of moments, the economic and statistical consequences of unit roots, time-varying variances, and nonlinear time series models. In addition, he presents basic tools for analyzing dynamic systems—including linear representations, autocovariance generating functions, spectral analysis, and the Kalman filter—in a way that integrates economic theory with the practical difficulties of analyzing and interpreting real-world data. Time Series Analysis fills an important need for a textbook that integrates economic theory, econometrics, and new results. This invaluable book starts from first principles and should be readily accessible to any beginning graduate student, while it is also intended to serve as a reference book for researchers.
Author : David F. Hendry
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book The Influence of A.W.H. Phillips on Econometrics written by David F. Hendry and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Svend Hylleberg
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 1483277747
Total Pages : 284 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)
Download or read book Seasonality in Regression written by Svend Hylleberg and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-10 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seasonality in Regression presents the problems of seasonality in economic regression models. This book discusses the procedures that may have application in practical econometric work. Organized into eight chapters, this book begins with an overview of the tremendous increase in the computational capabilities made by the development of the electronic computer that has profound implications for the way seasonality is handled by economists. This text then examines some seasonal models and their characteristics. Other chapters consider the most frequently applied evaluation criteria and appraise the values in the applications. This book discusses as well the frequency domain estimators and provides insight into problems of estimating the disturbance–covariance matrix through the use of the disturbance spectrum. The final chapter deals with the main objective of the treatment of personality to formulate and estimate econometric models. This book is a valuable resource for economists and econometricians who have knowledge of econometrics at an advanced undergraduate or graduate level.
Author : David F. Hendry
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780198283164
Total Pages : 918 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (831 download)
Download or read book Dynamic Econometrics written by David F. Hendry and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 918 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The main problem in econometric modelling of time series is discovering sustainable and interpretable relationships between observed economic variables. The primary aim of this book is to develop an operational econometric approach which allows constructive modelling. Professor Hendry deals with methodological issues (model discovery, data mining, and progressive research strategies); with major tools for modelling (recursive methods, encompassing, super exogeneity, invariance tests); and with practical problems (collinearity, heteroscedasticity, and measurement errors). He also includes an extensive study of US money demand. The book is self-contained, with the technical background covered in appendices. It is thus suitable for first year graduate students, and includes solved examples and exercises to facilitate its use in teaching. About the Series Advanced Texts in Econometrics is a distinguished and rapidly expanding series in which leading econometricians assess recent developments in such areas as stochastic probability, panel and time series data analysis, modeling, and cointegration. In both hardback and affordable paperback, each volume explains the nature and applicability of a topic in greater depth than possible in introductory textbooks or single journal articles. Each definitive work is formatted to be as accessible and convenient for those who are not familiar with the detailed primary literature.
Author : D. S. G. Pollock
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0125609906
Total Pages : 755 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (256 download)
Download or read book A Handbook of Time-series Analysis, Signal Processing and Dynamics written by D. S. G. Pollock and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 1999 with total page 755 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: CD-ROM contains: Pascal and C code and programs -- bibliography of the book -- text of book -- tutorials.
