Macrohistory and Globalization

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Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
ISBN 13 : 5705730071
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (57 download)

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Book Synopsis Macrohistory and Globalization by : Grinin, Leonid

Download or read book Macrohistory and Globalization written by Grinin, Leonid and published by ООО "Издательство "Учитель". This book was released on 2012-06-01 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The present monograph considers some macrohistorical trends along with the aspects of globalization. Macrohistory is history on the large scale that tells the story of the entire world or of some major dimensions of historical process. For the present study three aspects of macrohistory have been chosen. These are technological and political aspects, as well as the one of historical personality. Taken together they give a definite picture of unfolding historical process which is described from the beginning of human society formation to the present day and near future. The combination in the monograph title of the two terms – macrohistory and globalization – is in no way artificial. On the contrary, the connection of these terms is organic at least as the real goal of macrohistory is to find mean-ing in the past so as to create new possibilities of meaning for the future. The analysis of globalization also includes three aspects: political, economic and futurological as today the world may well be regarded as being at the start of a new global reconfiguration. The author presents his ideas of the world prospective political and in some respects social-economic development basing on the analysis of macrohistory and contemporary globalization processes. The monograph also considers some global scenarios of the World System's near future.

Globalistics and Globalization Studies: Theories, Research & Teaching

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Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
ISBN 13 : 5705736193
Total Pages : 400 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (57 download)

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Book Synopsis Globalistics and Globalization Studies: Theories, Research & Teaching by : Leonid Grinin

Download or read book Globalistics and Globalization Studies: Theories, Research & Teaching written by Leonid Grinin and published by ООО "Издательство "Учитель". This book was released on 2013-09-30 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the second issue of the new series titled Globalistics and Globalization Studies. Globalistics may be regarded as a sort of systemic and more or less integrated ‘core’ within Global Studies. At present Global Studies function in two main dimensions – in the research of global political, economic, cultural and social processes, on the one hand, and in the realm of teaching – manifesting themselves in the creation of various Global Studies programs and courses for university students who learn to see the world in its entirety and variety. The second dimension is immensely important as the contents of such programs and courses may determine how the world will be comprehended by those people who may decide its fate in a decade or two. This dualistic nature of Global Studies has determined the general direction of our anthology that comprises both the theoretical dimension of Global Studies and their application to the teaching process. The anthology consists of three parts presenting a wide range of views on the meaning of the contemporary epoch, the past and the future of some important global processes as well as the problems and successes in the teaching process of Global Studies. Part 1. Globalization in Historical Retrospective. Part 2. Globalistics, Global Studies, and Global Processes. Part 3. Teaching Global Studies. In the present anthology one can find perceptions of globalization by a number of famous scholars from different countries of the world (Ervin Laszlo, Christopher Chase-Dunn, and others), but one can also get to know rather peculiar visions of globalization by Russian scientists and educators.

A Big History of Globalization

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030057070
Total Pages : 291 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis A Big History of Globalization by : Julia Zinkina

Download or read book A Big History of Globalization written by Julia Zinkina and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-04-12 with total page 291 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the history of globalization as a network-based story in the context of Big History. Departing from the traditional historic discourse, in which communities, cities, and states serve as the main units of analysis, the authors instead trace the historical emergence, growth, interconnection, and merging of various types of networks that have gradually encompassed the globe. They also focus on the development of certain ideas, processes, institutions, and phenomena that spread through those networks to become truly global. The book specifies five macro-periods in the history of globalization and comprehensively covers the first four, from roughly the 9th – 7th millennia BC to World War I. For each period, it identifies the most important network-related developments that facilitated (or even spurred on) such transitions and had the greatest impacts on the history of globalization. By analyzing the world system's transition to new levels of complexity and connectivity, the book provides valuable insights into the course of Big History and the evolution of human societies.

Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319412620
Total Pages : 265 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (194 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery by : Leonid Grinin

Download or read book Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery written by Leonid Grinin and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-10-25 with total page 265 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thought-provoking monograph analyzes long- medium- and short-term global cycles of prosperity, recession, and depression, plotting them against centuries of important world events. Major research on economic and political cycles is integrated to clarify evolving relationships between the global center and its periphery as well as current worldwide economic upheavals and potential future developments. Central to this survey are successive waves of industrial and, later, technological and cybernetic progress, leading to the current era of globalization and the changes of the roles of both Western powers and former minors players, however that will lead to the formation of the world order without a hegemon. Additionally, the authors predict what they term the Great Convergence, the lessening of inequities between the global core and the rest of the world, including the wealth gap between First and Third World nations. Among the topics in this ambitious volume: · Why politics is often omitted from economic analysis. · Why economic cycles are crucial to understanding the modern geopolitical landscape. · How the aging of the developed world will affect world technological and economic future.“/p> · The evolving technological forecast for Global North and South. · Where the U.S. is likely to stand on the future world stage. Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery will inspire discussion and debate among sociologists, global economists, demographers, global historians, and futurologists. This expert knowledge is necessary for further research, proactive response, and preparedness for a new age of sociopolitical change.

Great Divergence and Great Convergence

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 331917780X
Total Pages : 261 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (191 download)

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Book Synopsis Great Divergence and Great Convergence by : Leonid Grinin

Download or read book Great Divergence and Great Convergence written by Leonid Grinin and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-05-09 with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This new monograph provides a stimulating new take on hotly contested topics in world modernization and the globalizing economy. It begins by situating what is called the Great Divergence--the social/technological revolution that led European nations to outpace the early dominance of Asia--in historical context over centuries. This is contrasted with an equally powerful Great Convergence, the recent economic and technological expansion taking place in Third World nations and characterized by narrowing inequity among nations. They are seen here as two phases of an inevitable global process, centuries in the making, with the potential for both positive and negative results. This sophisticated presentation examines: Why the developing world is growing more rapidly than the developed world. How this development began occurring under the Western world's radar. How former colonies of major powers grew to drive the world's economy. Why so many Western economists have been slow to recognize the Great Convergence. The increasing risk of geopolitical instability. Why the world is likely to find itself without an absolute leader after the end of the American hegemony A work of rare scope, Great Divergence and Great Convergence gives sociologists, global economists, demographers, and global historians a deeper understanding of the broader movement of social and economic history, combined with a long view of history as it is currently being made; it also offers some thrilling forecasts for global development in the forthcoming decades.

Global Studies Directory

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Publisher : BRILL
ISBN 13 : 9004353852
Total Pages : 734 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (43 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Studies Directory by :

Download or read book Global Studies Directory written by and published by BRILL. This book was released on 2017-10-02 with total page 734 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Global Studies Directory identifies people and institutions who have been key in the field of Global Studies or made an impact on the formation of a global world.

Islamism, Arab Spring, and the Future of Democracy

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319910779
Total Pages : 364 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Islamism, Arab Spring, and the Future of Democracy by : Leonid Grinin

Download or read book Islamism, Arab Spring, and the Future of Democracy written by Leonid Grinin and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-09-26 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an in-depth analysis of public opinion patterns among Muslims, particularly in the Arab world. On the basis of data from the World Values Survey, the Arab Barometer Project and the Arab Opinion Index, it compares the dynamics of Muslim opinion structures with global publics and arrives at social scientific predictions of value changes in the region. Using country factor scores from a variety of surveys, it also develops composite indices of support for democracy and a liberal society on a global level and in the Muslim world, and analyzes a multivariate model of opinion structures in the Arab world, based on over 40 variables from 12 countries in the Arab League and covering 67% of the total population of the Arab countries. While being optimistic about the general, long-term trend towards democracy and the resilience of Arab and Muslim civil society to Islamism, the book also highlights anti-Semitic trends in the region and discusses them in the larger context of xenophobia in traditional societies. In light of the current global confrontation with radical Islamism, this book provides vital material for policy planners, academics and think tanks alike.

Comparing Globalizations

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319682199
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Comparing Globalizations by : Thomas D. Hall

Download or read book Comparing Globalizations written by Thomas D. Hall and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-11-17 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work explores essential debates on globalization and world-systems analysis. It begins with a review of theoretical insights from world-systems analysis and explains the evolution of its terminology. The book subsequently seeks to answer several important questions: When did globalization begin and what insights into contemporary globalization may be gained from older forms? How does globalization differ in different places, and how can different instances of globalization be compared? Who is affected by globalization, how are they affected, and how do these effects vary, if at all, over time and space? As world-systems analysis and studies of globalization require interdisciplinary expertise, the contributing authors draw on many fields, including anthropology, economics, geography, philosophy, political science, sociology, and world history. The book’s overall goal is to facilitate the dialogue between approaches that, at times, seem to “talk at cross-purposes,” and to extend an invitation to scholars from many different areas to explore globalization.

EVOLUTION

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Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
ISBN 13 : 570575146X
Total Pages : 224 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (57 download)

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Book Synopsis EVOLUTION by : Leonid E. Grinin

Download or read book EVOLUTION written by Leonid E. Grinin and published by ООО "Издательство "Учитель". This book was released on with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The present volume is the fifth issue of the ‘Evolution’ Yearbook series. Our Yearbooks are designed to present to its readers the widest possible spectrum of subjects and issues: from universal evolutionism to the analysis of particular evolutionary regularities in the development of biological, abiotic, and social systems, culture, cognition, language, etc. The main objective of our Yearbook is the creation of a unified interdisciplinary field of research, within which scientists specializing in different disciplines could work within the framework of unified or similar paradigms, using common terminology and searching for common rules, tendencies and regularities. Global evolution (in connection with the Big History) becomes the main subject of our Yearbook. We strive to arrange each issue in such a way that the line from cosmic evolution to the human future is evident. What is the subject of the present issue of the Yearbook? Similar to the previous issues, it shows some aspects of the evolutionary advance from the earlier phases to the anticipated future of human society. But on the whole, this volume is devoted to different aspects and facts of megaevolution and some universal theories in an attempt to find common ground in the diversity of manifestation of evolution and its forms at different stages of development. So the title of this issue, ‘Evolution and Big History: Dimensions, Trends, and Forecasts’, is fully justified (besides, several papers contribute to the field of Big History). The volume consists of four sections: Dimensions, Trends, and Aspects; Big History's Manifestations; Trends and Forecasts; and Reviews and Information. This Yearbook will be useful both for those who study interdisciplinary macroproblems and for specialists working in focused directions, as well as for those who are interested in evolutionary issues of Cosmology, Biology, History, Anthropology, Economics and other areas of study. More than that, this edition will challenge and excite your vision of your own life and the new discoveries going on around us.

Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030864685
Total Pages : 1048 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century by : Jack A. Goldstone

Download or read book Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century written by Jack A. Goldstone and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-05-19 with total page 1048 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 21st century has witnessed a considerable and increasing number of political revolutions around the world. This contradicts the popular belief of many experts in the 1970s that revolutions occurred mainly in monarchies and empires. Instead, the revolutions of this century have several new characteristics, which call for a renewed analysis of the subject. This handbook offers a comparative perspective on the new wave of revolutions of the last decade. Presenting case studies on the color revolutions, the Arab revolutions of 2010–2011, and the global wave of revolutions in 2013–2018 that spanned regions ranging from Africa to the Caucasus, it offers a better understanding of the varied forms, features, and historical backgrounds of revolutions, as well as their causes. Accordingly, it highlights recent revolutions in their historical and world-systems contexts. The handbook is divided into seven parts, the first of which examines the history of views on revolution and important aspects of the theory of revolution. The second part analyzes revolutions within long-term historical trends and in their world-system contexts. In turn, the third part explores specific major revolutionary waves in history. The fourth part analyzes the first revolutionary wave of the 21st century (2000–2009), the so-called color revolutions, while the fifth discusses the second wave – the Arab Spring (2010–2013) – as an important turning point. The sixth part is dedicated to analyzing revolutions and revolutionary movements beyond the Arab Spring and some revolutionary events from the third wave that began in 2018. The seventh and final part offers forecasts on the future of revolutions. Given its scope, the book will appeal to scholars and students from various disciplines interested in historical trends, sociopolitical change, contentious politics, social movements, and revolutionary processes involving both nonviolent campaigns and political violence. ​"Once again, this volume demonstrates the kind of open-minded, systematic analysis that the field of revolutionary studies requires." (Prof. George Lawson, Department of International Relations, Australian National University Canberra)

Evolution: Development within Big History, Evolutionary and World-System Paradigms

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Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
ISBN 13 : 5705737424
Total Pages : 305 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (57 download)

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Book Synopsis Evolution: Development within Big History, Evolutionary and World-System Paradigms by : Leonid E. Grinin

Download or read book Evolution: Development within Big History, Evolutionary and World-System Paradigms written by Leonid E. Grinin and published by ООО "Издательство "Учитель". This book was released on 2013-09-30 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The application of the evolutionary approach to the history of nature and society has remained one of the most effective ways to conceptualize and integrate our growing knowledge of the Universe, life, society and human thought. The present volume demonstrates this in a rather convincing way. This is the third issue of the Almanac series titled ‘Evolution’. The first volume came out with the sub-heading ‘Cosmic, Biological, and Social’, the second was entitled ‘Evolution: A Big History Perspective’. The present volume is subtitled Development within Big History, Evolutionary and World-System Paradigms. In addition to the straightforward evolutionary approach, it also reflects such adjacent approaches as Big History, the world-system analysis, as well as globalization paradigm and long wave theory. The volume includes a number of the exciting works in these fields. The Almanac consists of five sections. The first section (Globalization as an Evolutionary Process: Yesterday and Today) contains articles demonstrating that the Evolutionary studies is capable of creating a common platform for the world-system approach, globalization studies, and the economic long-wave theory.The articles of the second section (Society, Energy, and Future) discuss the role of energy in the universal evolution, human history and the future of humankind. The third section (Aspects of Social Development) touches upon four aspects of social evolution – technological, environmental, cultural, and political. The fourth section (The Driving Forces and Patterns of Evolution) deals with various phases of megaevolution. There is also a final sectionwhichis devoted to discussions of contemporary evolutionism. This Almanac will be useful both for those who study interdisciplinary macroproblems and for specialists working in focused directions, as well as for those who are interested in evolutionary issues of Cosmology, Biology, History, Anthropology, Economics and other areas of study. More than that, this edition will challenge and excite your vision of your own life and the new discoveries going on around us!

HISTORY & MATHEMATICS

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Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
ISBN 13 : 570575910X
Total Pages : 248 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (57 download)

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Book Synopsis HISTORY & MATHEMATICS by : Leonid Grinin

Download or read book HISTORY & MATHEMATICS written by Leonid Grinin and published by ООО "Издательство "Учитель". This book was released on with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The present Yearbook (which is the eighth in the series) is subtitled Investigating Past and Future. It is devoted to three problems: the analysis of the aspects of past and present in the light of formal methods; singularity, i.e. forthcoming abrupt shift in development, the approach (or even presence) of which we already feel; the aspects of the cosmic future of human race. This issue consists of four sections: (I) History, Technologies, Politics, and Mathematics includes five articles on different directions of factual or theoretical content: history, technology, politics, and studies covering past, present, and future; (II) Singularity includes two contributions and is devoted to a rather interesting phenomenon of singularity. They suggest that indeed the hyperbolic planetary evolutionary trend observed since the origins of life on the Earth cannot continue beyond the forthcoming singularity, whereas the post-singular evolutionary trend should be qualitatively different from what has been observed before; (III) Beyond the Earth also consists of two very different articles, but they are united by their interest in the future of human race in terms of their interaction with the space; (IV) Reviews and Notes. We hope that this issue will be interesting and useful both for historians and mathematicians, as well as for all those dealing with various social and natural sciences.

KONDRATIEFF WAVES

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Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
ISBN 13 : 5705757409
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (57 download)

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Book Synopsis KONDRATIEFF WAVES by : Leonid E. Grinin

Download or read book KONDRATIEFF WAVES written by Leonid E. Grinin and published by ООО "Издательство "Учитель". This book was released on with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This fourth issue of the Yearbook ‘Kondratieff Waves’ has the subtitle ‘The Spectrum of Opinions’, as its papers cover a whole range of problems. The Yearbook consists of three sections. The Introduction of this issue is dedicated to Nikolai Kondratieff's ideas which still are important to an analysis of the world economic situation. The first section (Long Waves in the Context of World Economy and Politics) includes five contributions devoted to the study of different spheres from economy to jihadism. The speeches of Kondratieff medal laureates are published in the second section (Kondratieff Medal: Winners' Speeches). It presents a very impressive collection of different views of well-known and young researchers. The last section (Reviews and Notes) includes Antony Harper's re view of Leonid Grinin, Andrey Korotayev and Arno Tausch's monograph ‘Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery’ published by Springer International Publishing. This issue will be useful for economists, social scientists, as well as for a wide range of those interested in the problems of the past, present, and future of global economy and globalization.

Kondrarieff waves

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Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
ISBN 13 : 5705742827
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (57 download)

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Book Synopsis Kondrarieff waves by : Brian J. L. Berry

Download or read book Kondrarieff waves written by Brian J. L. Berry and published by ООО "Издательство "Учитель". This book was released on 2015-05-29 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the period from the 1920s to 1930s the theory of economic cycles underwent dramatic changes. Due to the research of such famous economists as Nikolay Kondratieff, Joseph Kitchin, Wesley Mitchell, Simon Kuznets, and Joseph Schumpeter the idea of a whole system of economic cycles (with characteristic periods between two and sixty years) was developed. The idea of a system of intertwined economic cycles is nowadays paramount to the school of evolutionary economics and its development promises rather interesting future outcomes. That is why this issue of our ‘Kondratieff Waves’ Yearbook is devoted to the interconnections between various economic cycles. As to the subtitle of this volume, one should note that many of the contributors refer to the system of cycles and the fact that real economic cycles make up a system, whereas among different types of cycles, the Juglar, Kuznets, and Kondratieff cycles are the most important ones for the present-day economic dynamics. Although Kondratieff himself considered long waves as above all an economic phenomenon, the theory of the long waves became, however, very actively developed in connection with their political and geopolitical aspects. In this Yearbook, the political aspect of Kondratieff waves is the subject of several articles in the second section. The last section of this Yearbook is devoted to the heritage of Kondratieff and other prominent economists. The year 2015 marks the 150th anniversary of the outstanding Russian economist, one of the most prominent researchers of medium-term economic cycles, Mikhail Tugan-Baranovsky, and the volume is concluded with Kondratieff's article about him. Concerning 2015, we should mention another anniversary, namely, 30 years since the death of Simon Kuznets (1901–1985). This edition will be useful for economists, social scientists, as well as for a wide range of those interested in the problems of the past, present, and future of global economy and globalization.

Comparative Political and Economic Perspectives on the MENA Region

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Author :
Publisher : IGI Global
ISBN 13 : 1466696028
Total Pages : 386 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (666 download)

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Book Synopsis Comparative Political and Economic Perspectives on the MENA Region by : Erdo?du, M. Mustafa

Download or read book Comparative Political and Economic Perspectives on the MENA Region written by Erdo?du, M. Mustafa and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2015-12-22 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The region that includes the Middle East and Northern Africa (MENA) faces a diverse set of cultural, political, and economic issues. Exploring the countries that are considered to be a part of the MENA region as well as comparing this region to the rest of the developing and developed world provides essential insight into the current state of the region as well and its future outlook. Comparative Political and Economic Perspectives on the MENA Region takes a critical approach to analyzing the socio-economic development of the MENA Region and the role of politics and various social issues in this development. Highlighting research-based perspectives from global leaders on topics such as decentralization, international affairs, the Arab Spring, foreign direct investment, and education in the Middle East and Northern Africa, this publication is designed for library reference section inclusion and meets the research needs of government officials, professionals specializing in international business, economists, researchers, and graduate-level students in the areas of economics, international politics, African and Middle Eastern studies, and regional development.

History & Mathematics

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Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
ISBN 13 : 5705746709
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (57 download)

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Book Synopsis History & Mathematics by : Jack A. Goldstone

Download or read book History & Mathematics written by Jack A. Goldstone and published by ООО "Издательство "Учитель". This book was released on 2015-01-01 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Among different important issues, which are discussed in Political Demography the issue of global ageing becomes more and more pressing every year. It is sufficient to take into account the point that within two forthcoming decades a rapid global increase in the number of retirement-age persons will lead to its doubling within this fairly small historical period. The concerns about population ageing apply to both developed and many developing countries and it has turned into a global issue. In forthcoming decades the population ageing is likely to become one of the most important processes determining the future society characteristics and the direction of technological development. The present volume of the Yearbook (which is the fifth in the series) is subtitled ‘Political Demography & Global Ageing’. It brings together a number of interesting articles by scholars from Europe, Asia, and America. They examine global ageing from a variety of perspectives. This issue of the Yearbook consists of two main sections: (I) Aspects of Political Demography; (II) Facing Population Ageing. We hope that this issue will be interesting and useful both for historians and mathematicians, as well as for all those dealing with various social and natural sciences.

Reconsidering the Limits to Growth

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031349997
Total Pages : 540 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (313 download)

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Book Synopsis Reconsidering the Limits to Growth by : Viktor Sadovnichy

Download or read book Reconsidering the Limits to Growth written by Viktor Sadovnichy and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-09-25 with total page 540 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Echoing the famous "The Limits to Growth" report from 1972, this edited volume analyses the changes that the World System has undergone to the present, on the fiftieth anniversary of the original report. During the past fifty years, both the concept and understanding of these limits have significantly changed. This book highlights that the evolution of the World System has approached a new critical milestone, moving into a fundamentally new phase of historical development, when the old economic and social technologies no longer work as efficiently as before or even begin to function counterproductively, which leads the World System into a systemic crisis. The book discusses the transition of human society to a new phase state, the shape of which has not yet been determined. New approaches are needed for both, for the analysis of the global situation, and for forecasts. The book is based on an integrated approach including the world-systems, historical and evolutionary perspectives, as well as a systematic view of society, in which changes in one subsystem cause transformations in others. Through mathematical modeling, it defines the main vectors of transformations of the World System; makes a detailed forecast of the development of all the main subsystems of the society and the World System, while presenting horizons of changes from short-term to ultra-long-term; and presents different development scenarios as well as recommendations on how to achieve a transition to the most favorable scenario. The book will appeal to members and followers of the Club of Rome, policy-makers, as well as to scholars from various disciplines interested in a better understanding of the World System evolution, global futures, development studies, climate change, and future societies.