Macroeconomic Stability In Resource Rich Countries

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Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries

Author : Ms.Elva Bova
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 149837722X
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries by : Ms.Elva Bova

Download or read book Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries written by Ms.Elva Bova and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-02-23 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Resource-rich countries face large and persistent shocks, especially coming from volatile commodity prices. Given the severity of the shocks, it would be expected that these countries adopt countercyclical fiscal policies to help shield the domestic economy. Taking advantage of a new dataset covering 48 non-renewable commodity exporters for the period 1970-2014, we investigate whether fiscal policy does indeed play a stabilizing role. Our analysis shows that fiscal policy tends to have a procyclical bias (mainly via expenditures) and, contrary to others, we do not find evidence that this bias has declined in recent years. Adoption of fiscal rules does not seem to reduce procyclicality in a significant way, but the quality of political institutions does matter. Finally, non-commodity revenues tend to respond only to persistent changes in commodity prices.

Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-rich Countries

Author : Elva Bova
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781498377508
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (775 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-rich Countries by : Elva Bova

Download or read book Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-rich Countries written by Elva Bova and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries - Background Paper 1

Author : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498339980
Total Pages : 75 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries - Background Paper 1 by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department

Download or read book Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries - Background Paper 1 written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-24 with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides deeper insights on a few themes with regard to the experience with macroeconomic management in resource-rich developing countries (RRDCs). First, some stylized facts on the performance of these economies relative to their non-resource peers are provided. Second, the experience of Fund engagement in these economies with respect to surveillance, programs, and technical assistance is assessed. Third, the experience of selected countries with good practices in the management of the natural resource wealth is presented. Fourth, the experience of IMF advice in helping RRDCs set up resource funds is discussed. Finally, the main themes and messages from the IMF staff consultation with external stakeholders (CSOs, policy makers, academics) are presented.

Natural Resources, Volatility, and Inclusive Growth

Author : Mr.Rabah Arezki
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475553625
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Natural Resources, Volatility, and Inclusive Growth by : Mr.Rabah Arezki

Download or read book Natural Resources, Volatility, and Inclusive Growth written by Mr.Rabah Arezki and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-05-01 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper takes stock of the economic performance of resource rich countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) over the past forty years. While those countries have maintained high levels of income per capita, they have performed poorly when going beyond the assessment based on standard income level measures. Resource rich countries in MENA have experienced relatively low and non inclusive economic growth as well as high levels of macroeconomic volatility. Important improvements in health and education have taken place but the quality of the provision of public goods and services remains an important source of concerns. Looking forward we argue that the success of economic reforms in MENA rests on the ability of those countries to invest boldly in building inclusive institutions as well as high levels of human capacity in public administrations.

Institutions and Macroeconomic Policies in Resource-Rich Arab Economies

Author : Kamiar Mohaddes
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0192555375
Total Pages : 400 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (925 download)

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Book Synopsis Institutions and Macroeconomic Policies in Resource-Rich Arab Economies by : Kamiar Mohaddes

Download or read book Institutions and Macroeconomic Policies in Resource-Rich Arab Economies written by Kamiar Mohaddes and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2019-05-22 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For over eighty years the Arab region has been deriving massive wealth from its natural resources. Nevertheless, its economic performance has been at the mercy of ebbs and flows of oil prices and its resources have been slowly depleting. The two critical questions are why and how Arab countries might escape the oil curse. Institutions and Macroeconomic Policies in Resource-Rich Arab Economies focuses on the unique features of the Arab world to explain the disappointing outcomes of macroeconomic policy. It explores the interaction between oil and institutions to draw policy recommendations on how Arab countries can best exploit their oil revenues to avoid the resource curse. Case studies and contributions from experts provide an understanding of macroeconomic institutions (including their underlying rules, procedures and institutional arrangements) in oil-rich Arab economies and of their political economy environment, which has largely been overlooked in previous research. Institutions and Macroeconomic Policies in Resource-Rich Arab Economies offers novel macroeconomic policy propositions for exchange rate regimes, fiscal policy and oil wealth distribution that is more consistent with macroeconomic stability and fiscal sustainability. These policy reforms, if implemented successfully, could go a long way in helping the resource-rich countries of the Arab region and elsewhere to avoid the oil curse.

From Volatility to Stability in Expenditure

Author : Naotaka Sugawara
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484334566
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis From Volatility to Stability in Expenditure by : Naotaka Sugawara

Download or read book From Volatility to Stability in Expenditure written by Naotaka Sugawara and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-03-12 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the effect of stabilization funds on the volatility of government expenditure in resource-rich countries. Using a panel data set of 68 resource-rich countries over 1988–2012, the results find that the existence of stabilization funds contributes to smoothing government expenditure. The spending volatility in countries that have established such funds is found to be 13 percent lower in the main estimation, and similar impacts are found in robustness tests. The analysis also shows that political institutions and fiscal rules are significant factors in reducing the expenditure volatility, while highlighting the roles of the size of economy, diversified exports, real sector management, and financial markets.

Resource Windfalls, Macroeconomic Stability and Growth

Author : Mr.Rabah Arezki
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455266434
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Resource Windfalls, Macroeconomic Stability and Growth by : Mr.Rabah Arezki

Download or read book Resource Windfalls, Macroeconomic Stability and Growth written by Mr.Rabah Arezki and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-06-01 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use a new dataset on non-resource GDP to examine the performance of commodity-exporting countries in terms of macroeconomic stability and economic growth in a panel of up to 129 countries during the period 1970-2007. Our main findings are threefold. First, we find that overall government spending in commodity-exporting countries has been procyclical. Second, we find that resource windfalls initially crowd out non-resource GDP which then increases as a result of the fiscal expansion. Third, we find that in the long run resource windfalls have negative effects on non-resource sector GDP growth. Yet, the effects turn out to be statistically insignificant when controlling for government spending. Both the effects of resource windfalls on macroeconomic stability and economic growth are moderated by the quality of political institutions.

Fiscal Management in Resource-Rich Countries

Author : Rolando Ossowski
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464804966
Total Pages : 164 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Management in Resource-Rich Countries by : Rolando Ossowski

Download or read book Fiscal Management in Resource-Rich Countries written by Rolando Ossowski and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2016-06-28 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The extractive industries (EI) sector occupies an outsize space in the economies of many developing countries. Policy makers, economists, and public finance professionals working in such countries are frequently confronted with issues that require an in-depth understanding of the sector, its economics, governance, and policy challenges, as well as the implications of natural resource wealth for fiscal and public financial management. The objective of the two-volume Essentials for Economists, Public Finance Professionals, and Policy Makers, published in the World Bank Studies series, is to provide a concise overview of the EI-related topics these professionals are likely to encounter. This second volume, Fiscal Management in Resource-Rich Countries, addresses critical fiscal challenges typically associated with large revenue flows from the EI sector. The volume discusses fiscal policy across four related dimensions: short-run stabilization, the management of fiscal risks and vulnerabilities, the promotion of long-term sustainability, and the importance of good public financial management and public investment management systems. The volume subsequently examines several institutional mechanisms used to aid fiscal management, including medium-term expenditure frameworks, resource funds, fiscal rules, and fiscal councils. The volume also discusses the earmarking of revenue, resource revenue projections as applied to the government budget, and fiscal transparency, and outlines several fiscal indicators used to assess the fiscal stance of resource-rich countries. The authors hope that economists, public finance professionals, and policy makers working in resource-rich countries—including decision makers in ministries of finance, international organizations, and other relevant entities—will find the volume useful to their understanding and analysis of fiscal management in resource-rich countries.

Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries--Analytic Frameworks and Applications

Author : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498340008
Total Pages : 104 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries--Analytic Frameworks and Applications by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department

Download or read book Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries--Analytic Frameworks and Applications written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-24 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This supplement presents the analytical frameworks underlying the IMF’s staff’s enhanced policy analysis and advice to resource-rich developing countries (RRDCs). The proposed macro-fiscal models, which are applied to selected country or regional cases, are aimed at addressing questions regarding how to deal with resource revenue uncertainty and how to scale up spending within relevant frameworks that ensure fiscal and external sustainability while addressing absorptive capacity constraints. The country applications confirm the importance attached by both IMF staff and country authorities of using the appropriate macro-fiscal frameworks to address the specific challenges faced by RRDCs.

Fiscal Frameworks for Resource Rich Developing Countries

Author : Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475572085
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Frameworks for Resource Rich Developing Countries by : Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro

Download or read book Fiscal Frameworks for Resource Rich Developing Countries written by Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-05-16 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.

Financial Resource Curse in Resource-Rich Countries

Author : Mr.Montfort Mlachila
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484311698
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Resource Curse in Resource-Rich Countries by : Mr.Montfort Mlachila

Download or read book Financial Resource Curse in Resource-Rich Countries written by Mr.Montfort Mlachila and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-07-21 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why do commodity-dependent developing countries have typically lower levels of financial development than their peers? The literature has proposed many possible explanations, but it typically does not dwell on the deep mechanisms that drive such an outcome. In this paper, we argue that the main cause is the shocks in commodity prices. We test the hypothesis on 68 commodity-rich developing countries between 1980 and 2014, and we find strong evidence of the financial development resource curse through the channel of commodity price shocks, after controlling for other explanations found in the literature. The findings are robust to the different types of commodities, the nature of the shocks, and various indicators of financial development. We also show how the impact of these shocks can be mitigated through good quality of governance.

Direct Distribution of Resource Revenues

Author : Mr.Sanjeev Gupta
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 149832617X
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Direct Distribution of Resource Revenues by : Mr.Sanjeev Gupta

Download or read book Direct Distribution of Resource Revenues written by Mr.Sanjeev Gupta and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-06-10 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Some scholars have argued that direct distribution of natural resource revenues to the population would help resource-rich countries escape the “resource curse.” This discussion note analyzes whether this proposal is a viable policy alternative for resource-rich countries. The first priority for policymakers is to establish fiscal policy objectives to support macroeconomic stability and development objectives. In this regard, the establishment of an adequate fiscal framework that informs decisions on how much to save and invest, or how to smooth out revenue volatility, and deal with exhaustibility issues should precede any discussion of direct distribution of resource wealth to the population.

Resource Abundance and Economic Development

Author : Richard M. Auty
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 82 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Resource Abundance and Economic Development by : Richard M. Auty

Download or read book Resource Abundance and Economic Development written by Richard M. Auty and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies

Author : Juliana Dutra Araujo
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484396030
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies by : Juliana Dutra Araujo

Download or read book Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies written by Juliana Dutra Araujo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-03-27 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The permanent income hypothesis implies that frictionless open economies with exhaustible natural resources should save abroad most of their resource windfalls and, therefore, feature current account surpluses. Resource-rich developing countries (RRDCs), on the other hand, face substantial development needs and tight external borrowing constraints. By relaxing these constraints and providing a key financing source for public investment in RRDCs, temporary resource revenues might then be associated with current account deficits, or at least low surpluses. This paper develops a neoclassical model with private and public investment and several frictions that capture pervasive features in RRDCs, including absorptive capacity constraints, inefficiencies in investment, and borrowing constraints that can be relaxed when natural resources lower the country risk premium. The model is used to study the role of investment and these frictions in shaping the current account dynamics under windfalls. Since consumption and investment decisions are optimal, the model also serves to provide current account benchmarks (norms). We apply the model to the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa and discuss how our results can be used to inform the current account norm analysis pursued at the International Monetary Fund.

From Natural Resource Boom to Sustainable Economic Growth

Author : Pranav Gupta
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 147552112X
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis From Natural Resource Boom to Sustainable Economic Growth by : Pranav Gupta

Download or read book From Natural Resource Boom to Sustainable Economic Growth written by Pranav Gupta and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-04-30 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Some resource-rich developing countries are in the process of harnessing immense mining resources towards inclusive growth and prosperity. Nevertheless, tapping into natural resources could be challenging given the large front-loaded investment, volatile capital flows and exposure to global commodity markets. Public investment is needed to remove the often-large infrastructure gap and unlock the economic potential. However, too rapid fiscal outlays could push the economy to its limit of absorptive capacity and increase macro-financial vulnerabilities. This paper utilizes a structural model-based approach to analyze macroeconomic impacts of different public investment strategies on key fiscal and non-fiscal variables such as debt, consumption, sovereign wealth fund, and real exchange rates. We apply the model to Mongolia and draw policy recommendations from the analysis. We find that fiscal policy adjustment, particularly moderating infrastructure investment and optimizing investment efficiency is needed to maintain macroeconomic and external stability, as well as to boost the long-term sustainable growth for Mongolia.

Mongolia's Economic Prospects

Author : Matthias Helble
Publisher : Asian Development Bank
ISBN 13 : 9292622498
Total Pages : 293 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (926 download)

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Book Synopsis Mongolia's Economic Prospects by : Matthias Helble

Download or read book Mongolia's Economic Prospects written by Matthias Helble and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2020-06-01 with total page 293 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication examines Mongolia’s recent economic development and outlines reforms that would help the country take advantage of its many opportunities. Mongolia is rich in natural resources and, although landlocked, is well-placed to boost trade with its two giant neighbors. The country needs to diversify its economy beyond mining, enhance economic stability, and increase employment. To maximize Mongolia’s potential the government can improve macroeconomic management, enhance the skill base, and provide hard and soft infrastructure to promote trade and efficient logistics. Governance and institutional reforms are also crucial. The government will need to continue to drive reforms so that they are well implemented and deliver the intended change.

Resource Abundance and Economic Development

Author : R. M. Auty
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199246882
Total Pages : 357 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (992 download)

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Book Synopsis Resource Abundance and Economic Development by : R. M. Auty

Download or read book Resource Abundance and Economic Development written by R. M. Auty and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2001-06-28 with total page 357 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the 1960s the per capita incomes of the resource-poor countries have grown significantly faster than those of the resource-abundant countries. In fact, in recent years economic growth has been inversely proportional to the share of natural resource rents in GDP, so that the small mineral-driven economies have performed least well and the oil-driven economies worst of all. Yet the mineral-driven resource-rich economies have high growth potential because the mineral exportsboost their capacity to invest and to import."Resource Abundance and Economic Development" explains the disappointing performance of resource-abundant countries by extending the growth accounting framework to include natural and social capital. The resulting synthesis identifies two contrasting development trajectories: the competitive industrialization of the resource-poor countries and the staple trap of many resource-abundant countries. The resource-poor countries are less prone to policy failure than the resource-abundant countriesbecause social pressures force the political state to align its interests with the majority poor and follow relatively prudent policies. Resource-abundant countries are more likely to engender political states in which vested interests vie to capture resource surpluses (rents) at the expense of policycoherence. A longer dependence on primary product exports also delays industrialization, heightens income inequality, and retards skill accumulation. Fears of 'Dutch disease' encourage efforts to force industrialization through trade policy to protect infant industry. The resulting slow-maturing manufacturing sector demands transfers from the primary sector that outstrip the natural resource rents and sap the competitiveness of the economy.The chapters in this collection draw upon historical analysis and models to show that a growth collapse is not the inevitable outcome of resource abundance and that policy counts. Malaysia, a rare example of successful resource-abundant development, is contrasted with Ghana, Bolivia, Saudi Arabia, Mexico, and Argentina, which all experienced a growth collapse. The book also explores policies for reviving collapsed economies with reference to Costa Rica, South Africa, Russia and Central Asia. Itdemonstrates the importance of initial conditions to successful economic reform.