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Macroeconomic Fluctuations In Sub Saharan Africa
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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Mr.Alexander W. Hoffmaister
Download or read book Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Mr.Alexander W. Hoffmaister and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-07-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The sources of macroeconomic fluctuations in sub–Saharan African are examined by comparing the CFA franc countries with the non–CFA franc countries. External shocks, especially terms of trade shocks, appear to have a greater influence on fluctuations of output and the real exchange rate in CFA franc countries. This result does not appear to be associated with differences in the economic structure but may reflect the fixed exchange rate regime, which does not (partially) buffer these countries from external shocks. Macroeconomic fluctuations in non–CFA franc countries are similar to those in other developing countries, particularly in Latin America.
Book Synopsis Economic Fluctuations in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Mr.Giovanni Melina
Download or read book Economic Fluctuations in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Mr.Giovanni Melina and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-01-22 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We compare business cycle fluctuations in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries vis-à-vis the rest of the world. Our main results are as follows: (i) African economies stand out by their macroeconomic volatility, which is is reflected in the volatility of output and other macro variables; (ii) inflation and output tend to be negatively correlated; (iii) unlike advanced economies and emerging markets (EMs), trade balances and current accounts are acyclical in SSA; (iv) the volatility of consumption and investment relative to GDP is larger than in other countries; (v) the cyclicality of consumption and investment is smaller than in advanced economies and EMs; (vi) there is little comovement between consumption and investment; (vii) consumption and investment are strongly positively correlated with imports.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Shocks and Trade Flows within Sub-Saharan Africa by : Mr.Tamim Bayoumi
Download or read book Macroeconomic Shocks and Trade Flows within Sub-Saharan Africa written by Mr.Tamim Bayoumi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-12-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Africa has more countries than any other continent, and hence the largest number of potential monetary and exchange rate arrangements. This paper looks at whether the existing highly fractured monetary arrangements in Sub-Saharan Africa correspond to what might be expected from the theory of optimum currency areas. This is done by analyzing both the size and correlation of real disturbances across countries and the level of intra-regional trade. The results indicate little evidence that Sub-Saharan African countries would benefit in the near future from larger currency unions.
Book Synopsis Post-Stabilization Economics in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Mr.Shanaka J. Peiris
Download or read book Post-Stabilization Economics in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Mr.Shanaka J. Peiris and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-05-01 with total page 407 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mozambique is an economic success story in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Its remarkable achievements offer valuable lessons to other low-income countries in a post-stabilization economic phase, including how they can efficiently manage a scaling up of foreign aid aimed at poverty reduction. Of special interest to other sub-Saharan countries are the book's discussions of Mozambique's progress toward consolidating macroeconomic and financial stability, and the challenges it faces in ensuring long-term sustainability, creating a virtuous cycle of natural resource use, and implementing second-generation structural reforms to sustain its growth. This book also provides a summary of the most recent research on issues related to post-stabilization economics in SSA.
Book Synopsis On the Drivers of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Anh D. M. Nguyen
Download or read book On the Drivers of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Anh D. M. Nguyen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-08-05 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The perception that inflation dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are driven by supply shocks implies a limited role for monetary policy in influencing inflation in the short run. SSA’s rapid growth, its integration with the global economy, changes in the policy frameworks, among others, in the last decade suggest that the drivers of inflation may have changed. We quantitatively analyze inflation dynamics in SSA using a Global VAR model, which incorporates trade and financial linkages among economies, as well as the role of regional and global demand and inflationary spillovers. We find that in the past 25 years, the main drivers of inflation have been domestic supply shocks and shocks to exchange rate and monetary variables; but that, in recent years, the contribution of these shocks to inflation has fallen. Domestic demand pressures as well as global shocks, and particularly shocks to output, however, have played a larger role in driving inflation over the last decade. We also show that country characteristics matter—the extent of oil and food imports, vulnerability to weather shocks, economic importance of agriculture, trade openness and policy regime, among others, help in explaining the role of shocks.
Book Synopsis Stabilization and Structural Adjustment by : Finn Tarp
Download or read book Stabilization and Structural Adjustment written by Finn Tarp and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2002-09-11 with total page 233 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book reveals and examines the relevance of the macroeconomic theory and models behind recommendations for stabilization and structual adjustment. Alternaive analytical approaches are discusses. This is done on the basis of an up-to-date review of developments in sub-saharan Africa during the 1980's and within a common analytical framework.
Book Synopsis Remittances and Macroeconomic Volatility in African Countries by : Ahmat Jidoud
Download or read book Remittances and Macroeconomic Volatility in African Countries written by Ahmat Jidoud and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-03-02 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the channels through which remittances affect macroeconomic volatility in African countries using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model augmented with financial frictions. Empirical results indicate that remittances—as a share of GDP—have a significant smoothing impact on output volatility but their impact on consumption volatility is somewhat small. Furthermore, remittances are found to absorb a substantial amount of GDP shocks in these countries. An investigation of the theoretical channels shows that the stabilization impact of remittances essentially hinges on two channels: (i) the size of the negative wealth effect on labor supply induced by remittances and, (ii) the strength of financial frictions and the ability of remittances to alleviate these frictions.
Book Synopsis Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Mr.Dhaneshwar Ghura
Download or read book Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Mr.Dhaneshwar Ghura and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-12-01 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper investigates empirically the determinants of economic growth for a large sample of sub-Saharan African countries during 1981-92. The results indicate that (i) an increase in private investment has a relatively large positive impact on per capita growth; (ii) growth is stimulated by public policies that lower the budget deficit in relation to GDP (without reducing government investment), reduce the rate of inflation, maintain external competitiveness, promote structural reforms, encourage human capital development, and slow population growth; and (iii) convergence of per capita income occurs after controlling for human capital development and public policies.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Andrew Berg
Download or read book Monetary Policy in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Andrew Berg and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018-04-27 with total page 474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Low-income countries in sub-Saharan Africa present unique monetary policy challenges, from the high share of volatile food in consumption to underdeveloped financial markets; however most academic and policy work on monetary policy is aimed at much richer countries. Can economic models and methods invented for rich countries even be adapted and applied here? How does and should monetary policy work in sub-Saharan African? Monetary Policy in Sub-Saharan Africa answers these questions and provides practical tools and policy guidance to respond to the complex challenges of this region. Most countries in sub-Saharan Africa have made great progress in stabilizing inflation over the past two decades. As they have achieved a degree of basic macroeconomic stability, policymakers are looking to avoid policy misalignments and respond appropriately to shocks in order to achieve stability and growth. Officially, they often have adopted "money targeting" frameworks, a regime that has long disappeared from almost all advanced and even emerging-market discussions. In practice, though, they are in many cases finding current regimes lacking, with opaque and sometimes inconsistent objectives, inadequate transmission of policy to the economy, and difficulties in responding to supply shocks. Monetary Policy in Sub-Saharan Africa takes a new approach by applying dynamic general equilibrium models suitably adapted to reflect key features of low-income countries for the analysis of monetary policy in sub-Saharan African countries. Using a progressive approach derived from the International Monetary Fund's extensive practice and research, Monetary Policy in Sub-Saharan Africa seeks to address what we know about the empirics of monetary transmission in low-income countries, how monetary policy can work in countries characterized by underdeveloped financial markets and opaque policy regimes, and how we can use empirical and theoretical methods largely derived in advanced countries to answer these questions. It then uses these key topics to guide policymakers as they attempt to adjust food price, terms of trade, aid shocks, and the effects of the global financial crisis.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Shocks and Trade Flows within Sub-Saharan Africa by : Tamim Bayoumi
Download or read book Macroeconomic Shocks and Trade Flows within Sub-Saharan Africa written by Tamim Bayoumi and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Africa has more countries than any other continent, and hence the largest number of potential monetary and exchange rate arrangements. This paper looks at whether the existing highly fractured monetary arrangements in Sub-Saharan Africa correspond to what might be expected from the theory of optimum currency areas. This is done by analyzing both the size and correlation of real disturbances across countries and the level of intra-regional trade. The results indicate little evidence that Sub-Saharan African countries would benefit in the near future from larger currency unions.
Book Synopsis Determinants and Macroeconomic Impact of Remittances in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Kyung-woo Lee
Download or read book Determinants and Macroeconomic Impact of Remittances in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Kyung-woo Lee and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-10-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper investigates the determinants and the macroeconomic role of remittances in sub-Saharan Africa, assembling the most comprehensive dataset available so far on remittances in the region and incorporating data on the diaspora. It finds that remittances are larger for countries with a larger diaspora or when the diaspora is located in wealthier countries, and that they behave countercyclically, consistent with a role as a shock absorber. Although the effect of remittances in growth regressions is negative, countries with well functioning domestic institutions seem nevertheless to be better at unlocking the potential for remittances to contribute to faster economic growth.
Book Synopsis Regional Economic Outlook, April 2017, Sub-Saharan Africa by : Céline Allard
Download or read book Regional Economic Outlook, April 2017, Sub-Saharan Africa written by Céline Allard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-05-09 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Growth momentum in sub-Saharan Africa remains fragile, marking a break from the rapid expansion witnessed since the turn of the millennium. 2016 was a difficult year for many countries, with regional growth dipping to 1.4 percent—the lowest level of growth in more than two decades. Most oil exporters were in recession, and conditions in other resource-intensive countries remained difficult. Other nonresource-intensive countries however, continued to grow robustly. A modest recovery in growth of about 2.6 percent is expected in 2017, but this falls short of past trends and is too low to put sub-Saharan Africa back on a path of rising living standards. While sub-Saharan Africa remains a region with tremendous growth potential, the deterioration in the overall outlook partly reflects insufficient policy adjustment. In that context, and to reap this potential, strong and sound domestic policy measures are needed to restart the growth engine.
Book Synopsis Rising BRICs and Changes in Sub-Saharan Africa’s Business Cycle Patterns by : Oumar Diallo
Download or read book Rising BRICs and Changes in Sub-Saharan Africa’s Business Cycle Patterns written by Oumar Diallo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-02-14 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper assesses the extent to which Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)’s business cycle is synchronized with that of the rest of the world (RoW). Findings suggest that SSA’s business cycle has not only moved in the same direction as that of the RoW, but has also gradually drifted away from the G7 in favour of the BRICs. Trade with the BRICs turns out to be the strongest driver of this shift. Much of this impact unfolds through aggregate demand impulse from trade. As fiscal policy stances in SSA and the BRICs are not synchronized, they have not caused cyclical output correlation between these two groups of countries. Also, financial openness, which is at a very early stage across most SSA countries, has acted as a neutral force.
Book Synopsis Africa at a Turning Point? by : Delfin Sia Go
Download or read book Africa at a Turning Point? written by Delfin Sia Go and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2008-04-14 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the mid-1990s, sub-Saharan Africa has experienced an acceleration of economic growth that has produced rising incomes and faster human development. However, this growth contrasts with the continent's experience between 1975 and 1995, when it largely missed out on two decades of economic progress. This disparity between Africa's current experience and its history raises questions about the continent's development. Is there a turnaround in Africa s economy? Will growth persist? 'Africa at a Turning Point?' is a collection of essays that analyzes three interrelated aspects of Africa's recent revival. The first set of essays examines Africa's recent growth in the context of its history of growth accelerations and collapses. It seeks to answer such questions as, is Africa at a turning point? Are the economic fundamentals finally pointing toward more sustainable growth? The second set of essays looks at donor flows, which play a large role in Africa's growth. These essays focus on such issues as the management and delivery of increased aid, and the history and volatility of donor flows to Africa. The third set of essays considers the recent impact of one persistent threat to sustained growth in Africa: commodity price shocks, particularly those resulting from fluctuations in oil prices.
Book Synopsis Growth Breaks and Growth Spells in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Francisco Arizala
Download or read book Growth Breaks and Growth Spells in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Francisco Arizala and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-09-08 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the growth performance of sub-Saharan African countries since 1960 through the lens of growth turning points (accelerations and decelerations) and periods of sustained growth (growth spells). Growth accelerations are generally associated with improved external conditions, increased investment and trade openness, declines in inflation, better fiscal balances, and improvements in the institutional environment. Transitioning from growth accelerations to growth spells often requires additional efforts beyond what is needed to trigger an acceleration. Growth spells are sustained by fiscal policy that prevents excessive public debt accumulation, monetary policy geared toward low inflation, outward-oriented trade policies, and structural policies that reduce market distortions, as well as supportive external environment and improvements in democratic institutions. Overall, determinants of growth spells in sub-Saharan Africa are different from those in the rest of the emerging and developing countries.
Book Synopsis Patterns of Long Term Growth in Sub-saharan Africa by : Jorge Saba Arbache
Download or read book Patterns of Long Term Growth in Sub-saharan Africa written by Jorge Saba Arbache and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2007 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Using the most recent purchasing power parity data for 44 sub-Saharan African countries, this paper examines the characteristics of long run growth in Africa between 1975 and 2005. The authors investigate the following issues: cross-country income structure, income convergence, the country level distribution of income, growth and income persistence, and formation of convergence clubs.
Book Synopsis Drivers of Growth by : Mr.Manuk Ghazanchyan
Download or read book Drivers of Growth written by Mr.Manuk Ghazanchyan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-11-22 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the drivers of growth in Sub-Saharan African countries, using aggregate data, from the past decade. We correlate recent growth experience to key determinants of growth, including private and public investment, government consumption, the exchange regime and real exchange rate, and current account liberalization, using various econometric methodologies, including fixed and random effects models, with cluster-robust standard errors. We find that, depending on the specification, higher private and public investments boost growth. Some evidence is found that government consumption exerts a drag on growth and that more flexible exchange regimes are beneficial to growth. The real exchange rate and liberalization variables are not significant.
