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Macroeconomic Cycles And The Stock Markets Reaction To Monetary Policy
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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Cycles and the Stock Market's Reaction to Monetary Policy by : Arabinda Basistha
Download or read book Macroeconomic Cycles and the Stock Market's Reaction to Monetary Policy written by Arabinda Basistha and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines cyclical variation in the effect of Fed policy on the stock market. We find a much stronger response of stock returns to unexpected changes in the Federal funds target rate in recession and in tight credit market conditions. Using firm-level data, we also show that firms that face financial constraints are more affected by monetary shocks in tight credit conditions than the relatively unconstrained firms. Overall, the results are consistent with the credit channel of monetary policy transmission.
Book Synopsis Stock Prices and Monetary Policy by : Paul De Grauwe
Download or read book Stock Prices and Monetary Policy written by Paul De Grauwe and published by CEPS. This book was released on 2008 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The question of whether central banks should target stock prices so as to prevent bubbles and crashes from occurring has been hotly debated. This paper analyses this question using a behavioural macroeconomic model. This model generates bubbles and crashes. It analyses how 'leaning against the wind' strategies, which aim to reduce the volatility of stock prices, can help in reducing volatility of output and inflation. We find that such policies can be effective in reducing macroeconomic volatility, thereby improving the trade-off between output and inflation variability. The strength of this result, however, depends on the degree of credibility of the inflation-targeting regime. In the absence of such credibility, policies aiming at stabilising stock prices do not stabilise output and inflation.
Book Synopsis The Stock Market's Reaction to Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Cyclical Variation by :
Download or read book The Stock Market's Reaction to Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Cyclical Variation written by and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The monetary policy can affect the economy through the monetary transmission mechanism. Two channels that the monetary policy can affect the economy via stock prices are through a credit channel in which the change in short term policy rate will affect the companies' cost of borrowings as well as abilities to access source of funds and a further result in companies' return and through an asset price channel in which the change in policy rate can affect demand for stocks and further the stock return. This study analyzes the impact of unanticipated changes in monetary policy in Thailand on the monthly SET index return and firm individual stock return during business cycles. I find that response of monthly SET index return to monetary surprise is not statistically significant; in contrast the reaction of most individual firms' returns give significant result. These findings prove that there are some firms that react strongly negative to monetary surprise. Reactions of these firms lead to significant response in firm-level data. I also find evidence supporting a credit channel of monetary policy transmission for overall stock price but I do not find significant cyclical variation in the impact of monetary policy on individual firm's returns. Notwithstanding, the behavior of countercyclical demand for credit can help to explain the result. However, both SET index returns and unexpected changes in policy rate have a negative relationship as stated in the asset price channel of monetary policy transmission. Moreover, I find a strong negative response of stock return of firms which are classified to be financially constrained firms but a little evidence which show that stock returns of those firms are more affected to monetary shocks compare to firms with non-financially constrained firms.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Shocks and Unconventional Monetary Policy by : Naoyuki Yoshino
Download or read book Macroeconomic Shocks and Unconventional Monetary Policy written by Naoyuki Yoshino and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2019 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Barely two decades after the Asian financial crisis Asia was suddenly confronted with multiple challenges originating outside the region: the 2008 global financial crisis, the European debt crisis, and finally developed economies' implementation of unconventional monetary policies. The implementation of quantitative easing, ultra-low interest rate policies, and negative interest rate policies by a number of large central banks has given rise to concerns over financial stability and international capital flows. Macroeconomic Shocks and Unconventional Monetary Policy: Impacts on Emerging Markets explains how shocks stemming from the global financial crisis have affected macroeconomic and financial stability in emerging Asia. Macroeconomic Shocks and Unconventional Monetary Policy: Impacts on Emerging Markets brings together the most up-to-date knowledge impacts of recent macroeconomic shocks on Asia's real economy; the spillover effects of macroeconomic shocks on financial markets and flows in Asia; and key challenges for monetary, exchange rate, trade and macro prudential policies of developing Asian economies. It is authored by experts in the field of international macroeconomics from leading academic institutions, central banks, and international organizations including the International Monetary Fund, the Bank for International Settlement, and the Asian Development Bank Institute.
Book Synopsis Stock Cycles by : Michael A. Alexander
Download or read book Stock Cycles written by Michael A. Alexander and published by iUniverse. This book was released on 2000-10-12 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Important reading for serious investors."-InvestorsInsight.com For most Americans, a 401k plan is their first exposure to investing. Many of us are relying on the stock market to provide for us in our retirement yet at the same time, most of us are afraid of the stock market. It's a valid concern. How can something so important to our financial future be so completely unpredictable? When Michael Alexander first started investing in the stock market, he noticed that few analysts seemed to have much knowledge of what the market has done in the past. While no one can give precise answers to questions about the future of the market and be right all the time, Alexander feels that it's possible to gain an understanding of the future of the stock market by studying its past. Analyzing years of historical data for patterns of behavior that might repeat in the future, Alexander provides strong statistical evidence for a cyclical pattern in the stock market. These Stock Cycles show that long periods of poor stock returns have always followed long periods of good returns. Are we in for good times or is the party over?
Book Synopsis Monetary Economics in Globalised Financial Markets by : Ansgar Belke
Download or read book Monetary Economics in Globalised Financial Markets written by Ansgar Belke and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-06-14 with total page 833 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book integrates the fundamentals of monetary theory, monetary policy theory and financial market theory, providing an accessible introduction to the workings and interactions of globalised financial markets. Includes examples and extensive data analyses.
Book Synopsis Booms, Bubbles and Busts in US Stock Markets by : David L. Western
Download or read book Booms, Bubbles and Busts in US Stock Markets written by David L. Western and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2004-08-12 with total page 278 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examining the current conditions before looking back to the events of the last century, this volume covers the Great Depression, the 1970s oil crisis, the party-for-the-rich atmosphere of the 1980's and the emergence of the new economy.
Book Synopsis Identifying the Interdependence Between US Monetary Policy and the Stock Market by : Hilde C. Bjørnland
Download or read book Identifying the Interdependence Between US Monetary Policy and the Stock Market written by Hilde C. Bjørnland and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate the interdependence between US monetary policy and the S&P 500 using structural VAR methodology. A solution is proposed to the simultaneity problem of identifying monetary and stock price shocks by using a combination of short-run and long-run restrictions that maintains the qualitative properties of a monetary policy shock found in the established literature (CEE 1999). We find great interdependence between interest rate setting and stock prices. Stock prices immediately fall by 1.5 per cent due to a monetary policy shock that raises the federal funds rate by ten basis points. A stock price shock increasing stock prices by one per cent leads to an increase in the interest rate of five basis points. Stock price shocks are orthogonal to the information set in the VAR model and can be interpreted as non-fundamental shocks. We attribute a major part of the surge in stock prices at the end of the 1990s to these non-fundamental shocks.
Book Synopsis Responses of the Stock Market to Macroeconomic Announcements Across Economic States by : Zuliu Hu
Download or read book Responses of the Stock Market to Macroeconomic Announcements Across Economic States written by Zuliu Hu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-05-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is the stock market responsive to macroeconomic news? This paper employs the daily returns of the Dow Jones Industrial Index, the S&P 500 index, the Russell 1000 index, and the Russell 2000 index to examine stock market reactions to a broad list of macroeconomic announcements, including money supply, inflation, employment, housing starts, and trade balances, etc. Several announcements concerning real economic activity that have received little attention in previous research are shown to have a significant impact on stock prices. The paper also presents preliminary evidence for the different reaction to macroeconomic news by small cap stocks and large cap stocks.
Book Synopsis The Era of Uncertainty by : Francois Trahan
Download or read book The Era of Uncertainty written by Francois Trahan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-07-13 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macroeconomic Investment Strategies for an Era of Economic Uncertainty “Over the years, François’ insightful analyses of the business cycle has led to market calls that have both benefitted investors on the upside and (more important to many) protected them from losses on the downside. François’ incredible track record in successfully interpreting the trends that can be found in leading indicators and other macroeconomic data have also led to his well deserved reputation as an expert in sector rotation - providing investors on both the long and short side of the market opportunities to profit from his ideas. In my opinion, his most important and influential macro prediction to date was his call in the middle of the last decade when he predicted that the worst housing crisis in American history would soon be upon us, and that it would have far-ranging implications for both the global economy and world financial markets.”
Book Synopsis Macroeconomics, Financial Markets, and the International Sector by : Martin Neil Baily
Download or read book Macroeconomics, Financial Markets, and the International Sector written by Martin Neil Baily and published by Irwin Professional Publishing. This book was released on 1995 with total page 616 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Cycles in China by : Mr.S. E. Oppers
Download or read book Macroeconomic Cycles in China written by Mr.S. E. Oppers and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-10-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the macroeconomic cycles China has experienced since the onset of reform in the late 1970s. It finds that the recurrent inflationary episodes that characterize the cycles are associated primarily with surges in the main components of aggregate demand. The most recent cycle stands out in achieving for the first time a reduction in inflation without a major slowdown in growth. The soft landing was facilitated by a number of factors, including increases in capacity as a result of the surge in investment spending early on in the cycle.
Book Synopsis U.S. Monetary Shocks and Global Stock Prices by : Mr.Luc Laeven
Download or read book U.S. Monetary Shocks and Global Stock Prices written by Mr.Luc Laeven and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies how U.S. monetary policy affects global stock prices. We find that global stock prices respond strongly to changes in U.S. interest rate policy, with stock prices increasing (decreasing) following unexpected monetary loosening (tightening). This impact is more pronounced for sectors that depend on external financing, and for countries that are more integrated with the global financial market. These findings suggest that financial frictions play an important role in the transmission of monetary policy, and that U.S. monetary policy influences global capital allocation.
Book Synopsis Economics for Financial Markets by : Brian Kettell
Download or read book Economics for Financial Markets written by Brian Kettell and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2001-11-23 with total page 375 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Successful trading, speculating or simply making informed decisions about financial markets means it is essential to have a firm grasp of economics. Financial market behaviour revolves around economic concepts, however the majority of economic textbooks do not tell the full story.To fully understand the behaviour of financial markets it is essential to have a model that enables new information to be absorbed and analysed with some predictive implications. That model is provided by the business cycle. 'Economics for Financial Markets' takes the reader from the basics of financial market valuation to a more sophisticated understanding of the actions that traders take which ultimately drives the volatility in the financial markets. The author shows traders, investment managers, risk managers and finance professionals how to distil the flow of information and show what needs to be concentrated on, covering topics such as:* Why are financial markets subject to economic fashions?* How has the New Economy changed financial market behaviour? * Does the creation of the euro fundamentally change the behaviour of the currency markets?Shows how to distil the vast amount of information in financial markets and identify what is importantDemonstrates how the "New Economy" had changed financial market behaviourExplains how to follow the behaviour of central banks
Book Synopsis Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions by : Willi Semmler
Download or read book Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions written by Willi Semmler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-03-21 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions" is a book on Financial Economics from a dynamic perspective. It focuses on the dynamic interaction of financial markets and economic activity. The financial markets to be studied here encompasses the money and bond market, credit market, stock market and foreign exchange market. Economic activity is described by the activity of firms, banks, households, governments and countries. The book shows how economic activity affects asset prices and the financial market and how asset prices and financial market volatility feed back to economic activity. The focus in this book is on theories, dynamic models and empirical evidence. Empirical applications relate to episodes of financial instability and financial crises of the U.S., Latin American, Asian as well as Euro-area countries. The current version of the book has moved to a more extensive coverage of the topics in financial economics by updating the literature in the appropriate chapters. Moreover it gives a more extensive treatment of new and more advanced topics in financial economics such as international portfolio theory, multi-agent and evolutionary approaches, capital asset pricing beyond consumption-based models and dynamic portfolio decisions. Overall, the book presents material that researchers and practitioners in financial engineering need to know about economic dynamics and that economists, practitioners and policy makers need to know about the financial market.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Rules by : John B. Taylor
Download or read book Monetary Policy Rules written by John B. Taylor and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely volume presents the latest thinking on the monetary policy rules and seeks to determine just what types of rules and policy guidelines function best. A unique cooperative research effort that allowed contributors to evaluate different policy rules using their own specific approaches, this collection presents their striking findings on the potential response of interest rates to an array of variables, including alterations in the rates of inflation, unemployment, and exchange. Monetary Policy Rules illustrates that simple policy rules are more robust and more efficient than complex rules with multiple variables. A state-of-the-art appraisal of the fundamental issues facing the Federal Reserve Board and other central banks, Monetary Policy Rules is essential reading for economic analysts and policymakers alike.
Book Synopsis Applied Financial Macroeconomics and Investment Strategy by : Robert T. McGee
Download or read book Applied Financial Macroeconomics and Investment Strategy written by Robert T. McGee and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-01-12 with total page 265 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The absolute and relative performance of various asset classes is systematically related to macroeconomic trends. In this new book, Robert McGee provides a thorough guide to each stage of the business cycle and analyzes the investment implications using real-world examples linking economic dynamics to investment results.
