Low Probability High Consequence Risk Analysis

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Low-Probability High-Consequence Risk Analysis

Author : Ray Waller
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475718187
Total Pages : 561 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Low-Probability High-Consequence Risk Analysis by : Ray Waller

Download or read book Low-Probability High-Consequence Risk Analysis written by Ray Waller and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-21 with total page 561 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years public attention has focused on an array of low-probability/high-consequence (LC/HC) events that pose a signif icant threat to human health, safety, and the environment. At the same time, public and private sector responsibilities for the assessment and management of such events have grown because of a perceived need to anticipate, prevent, or reduce the risks. In attempting to meet these responsibilities, legislative, judicial, regulatory, and private sector institutions have had to deal with the extraordinarily complex problem of assessing and balancing LP/ HC risks against the costs and ben if its of risk reduction. The need to help society cope with LP/HC events such as nuclear power plant accidents, toxic spills, chemical plant explosions, and transportation accidents has given rise to the development of a new intellectual endeavor: LP/HC risk analysis. The scope and complexity of these analyses require a high degree of cooperative effort on the part of specialists from many f~elds. Analyzing technical, social, and value issues requires the efforts of physicists, biologists, geneticists, statisticians, chemists, engineers, political scientists, sociologists, decision analysts, management scientists, economists, psychologists, ethicists, lawyers, and policy analysts. Included in this volume are papers by authors in each of these disciplines. The papers share in common a focus on one or more of the following questions that are generic to the analysis of LP/HC risks.

Low-Probability High-Consequence Risk Analysis

Author : Ray Waller
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781475718195
Total Pages : 584 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (181 download)

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Book Synopsis Low-Probability High-Consequence Risk Analysis by : Ray Waller

Download or read book Low-Probability High-Consequence Risk Analysis written by Ray Waller and published by . This book was released on 2014-09-01 with total page 584 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Risk Analysis and Control for Industrial Processes - Gas, Oil and Chemicals

Author : Hans J Pasman
Publisher : Butterworth-Heinemann
ISBN 13 : 0128009128
Total Pages : 493 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (28 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Analysis and Control for Industrial Processes - Gas, Oil and Chemicals by : Hans J Pasman

Download or read book Risk Analysis and Control for Industrial Processes - Gas, Oil and Chemicals written by Hans J Pasman and published by Butterworth-Heinemann. This book was released on 2015-06-14 with total page 493 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk Analysis and Control for Industrial Processes - Gas, Oil and Chemicals provides an analysis of current approaches for preventing disasters, and gives readers an overview on which methods to adopt. The book covers safety regulations, history and trends, industrial disasters, safety problems, safety tools, and capital and operational costs versus the benefits of safety, all supporting project decision processes. Tools covered include present day array of risk assessment, tools including HAZOP, LOPA and ORA, but also new approaches such as System-Theoretic Process Analysis (STPA), Blended HAZID, applications of Bayesian data analytics, Bayesian networks, and others. The text is supported by valuable examples to help the reader achieve a greater understanding on how to perform safety analysis, identify potential issues, and predict the likelihood they may appear. Presents new methods on how to identify hazards of low probability/high consequence events Contains information on how to develop and install safeguards against such events, with guidance on how to quantify risk and its uncertainty, and how to make economic and societal decisions about risk Demonstrates key concepts through the use of examples and relevant case studies

LOW-PROBABILITY HIGH-CONSEQUENCE RISK ANALYSIS : ISSUES, METHODS, AND STUDIES.

Author : Ray A. Waller
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (141 download)

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Book Synopsis LOW-PROBABILITY HIGH-CONSEQUENCE RISK ANALYSIS : ISSUES, METHODS, AND STUDIES. by : Ray A. Waller

Download or read book LOW-PROBABILITY HIGH-CONSEQUENCE RISK ANALYSIS : ISSUES, METHODS, AND STUDIES. written by Ray A. Waller and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Preparing for High-Impact, Low-Probability Events

Author : Bernice Lee
Publisher : Chatham House (Formerly Riia)
ISBN 13 : 9781862032538
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (325 download)

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Book Synopsis Preparing for High-Impact, Low-Probability Events by : Bernice Lee

Download or read book Preparing for High-Impact, Low-Probability Events written by Bernice Lee and published by Chatham House (Formerly Riia). This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The frequency of "high-impact, low-probability" (HILP) events in the last decade--such as Hurricane Katrina, the T hoku earthquake and tsunami, and major floods in Pakistan and Thailand--signals the emergence of a new "normal." In a world of globalized production and optimized supply chains, the impacts of HILP events spread rapidly and are felt on an international scale. This report examines the effects of the volcanic ash cloud that spread across Europe in April 2010 and draws lessons for other HILP events. It considers whether governments and the private sector are sufficiently prepared, how the global economy could be made more resilient, and the role of communications in a crisis."

Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 030904894X
Total Pages : 668 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment by : National Research Council

Download or read book Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1994-01-01 with total page 668 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The public depends on competent risk assessment from the federal government and the scientific community to grapple with the threat of pollution. When risk reports turn out to be overblownâ€"or when risks are overlookedâ€"public skepticism abounds. This comprehensive and readable book explores how the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) can improve its risk assessment practices, with a focus on implementation of the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments. With a wealth of detailed information, pertinent examples, and revealing analysis, the volume explores the "default option" and other basic concepts. It offers two views of EPA operations: The first examines how EPA currently assesses exposure to hazardous air pollutants, evaluates the toxicity of a substance, and characterizes the risk to the public. The second, more holistic, view explores how EPA can improve in several critical areas of risk assessment by focusing on cross-cutting themes and incorporating more scientific judgment. This comprehensive volume will be important to the EPA and other agencies, risk managers, environmental advocates, scientists, faculty, students, and concerned individuals.

Low Probability-high Consequence Considerations in a Multiobjective Approach to Risk Management

Author : Laora Dauberman Brizendine
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 126 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Low Probability-high Consequence Considerations in a Multiobjective Approach to Risk Management by : Laora Dauberman Brizendine

Download or read book Low Probability-high Consequence Considerations in a Multiobjective Approach to Risk Management written by Laora Dauberman Brizendine and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309161525
Total Pages : 161 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis by : National Research Council

Download or read book Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2010-09-10 with total page 161 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The events of September 11, 2001 changed perceptions, rearranged national priorities, and produced significant new government entities, including the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) created in 2003. While the principal mission of DHS is to lead efforts to secure the nation against those forces that wish to do harm, the department also has responsibilities in regard to preparation for and response to other hazards and disasters, such as floods, earthquakes, and other "natural" disasters. Whether in the context of preparedness, response or recovery from terrorism, illegal entry to the country, or natural disasters, DHS is committed to processes and methods that feature risk assessment as a critical component for making better-informed decisions. Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis explores how DHS is building its capabilities in risk analysis to inform decision making. The department uses risk analysis to inform decisions ranging from high-level policy choices to fine-scale protocols that guide the minute-by-minute actions of DHS employees. Although DHS is responsible for mitigating a range of threats, natural disasters, and pandemics, its risk analysis efforts are weighted heavily toward terrorism. In addition to assessing the capability of DHS risk analysis methods to support decision-making, the book evaluates the quality of the current approach to estimating risk and discusses how to improve current risk analysis procedures. Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis recommends that DHS continue to build its integrated risk management framework. It also suggests that the department improve the way models are developed and used and follow time-tested scientific practices, among other recommendations.

Analysis of Low-probability High-impact Risk-events

Author : Tal Avinadav
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 436 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (234 download)

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Book Synopsis Analysis of Low-probability High-impact Risk-events by : Tal Avinadav

Download or read book Analysis of Low-probability High-impact Risk-events written by Tal Avinadav and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 436 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Owner's Role in Project Risk Management

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309181615
Total Pages : 102 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis The Owner's Role in Project Risk Management by : National Research Council

Download or read book The Owner's Role in Project Risk Management written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2005-02-25 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Effective risk management is essential for the success of large projects built and operated by the Department of Energy (DOE), particularly for the one-of-a-kind projects that characterize much of its mission. To enhance DOE's risk management efforts, the department asked the NRC to prepare a summary of the most effective practices used by leading owner organizations. The study's primary objective was to provide DOE project managers with a basic understanding of both the project owner's risk management role and effective oversight of those risk management activities delegated to contractors.

Risk Analysis

Author : Terje Aven
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119057809
Total Pages : 216 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Analysis by : Terje Aven

Download or read book Risk Analysis written by Terje Aven and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-08-17 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A practical guide to the varied challenges presented in the ever-growing field of risk analysis. Risk Analysis presents an accessible and concise guide to performing risk analysis, in a wide variety of field, with minimal prior knowledge required. Forming an ideal companion volume to Aven's previous Wiley text Foundations of Risk Analysis, it provides clear recommendations and guidance in the planning, execution anduse of risk analysis. This new edition presents recent developments related to risk conceptualization, focusing on related issues on risk assessment and their application. New examples are also featured to clarify the reader's understanding in the application of risk analysis and the risk analysis process. Key features: Fully updated to include recent developments related to risk conceptualization and related issues on risk assessments and their applications. Emphasizes the decision making context of risk analysis rather than just computing probabilities Demonstrates how to carry out predictive risk analysis using a variety of case studies and examples. Written by an experienced expert in the field, in a style suitable for both industrial and academic audiences. This book is ideal for advanced undergraduates, graduates, analysts and researchers from statistics, engineering, finance, medicine and physical sciences. Managers facing decision making problems involving risk and uncertainty will also benefit from this book.

Protect Against Low Probability High Consequence Events

Author : Howard Kunreuther
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 20 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (351 download)

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Book Synopsis Protect Against Low Probability High Consequence Events by : Howard Kunreuther

Download or read book Protect Against Low Probability High Consequence Events written by Howard Kunreuther and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Risk Perception and the Value of Safety for Low Probability, High Consequence Risks

Author : Ozlem Ozdemir
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (486 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Perception and the Value of Safety for Low Probability, High Consequence Risks by : Ozlem Ozdemir

Download or read book Risk Perception and the Value of Safety for Low Probability, High Consequence Risks written by Ozlem Ozdemir and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Project Risk Quantification

Author : John K. Hollmann
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781941075029
Total Pages : 416 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (75 download)

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Book Synopsis Project Risk Quantification by : John K. Hollmann

Download or read book Project Risk Quantification written by John K. Hollmann and published by . This book was released on 2016-06-28 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Project Risk Quantification presents the most practical, realistic, and integrated approach to project cost and schedule Risk Quantification that is available today. It offers proven, empirically-valid methods and tools applicable to projects of all types and at all decision gates. The text is written for both the manager and the risk analysis practitioner. It will bring reliable accuracy and contingency determination to your capital project organization.

Health Risks from Exposure to Low Levels of Ionizing Radiation

Author : Committee to Assess Health Risks from Exposure to Low Levels of Ionizing Radiation
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309133343
Total Pages : 422 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Health Risks from Exposure to Low Levels of Ionizing Radiation by : Committee to Assess Health Risks from Exposure to Low Levels of Ionizing Radiation

Download or read book Health Risks from Exposure to Low Levels of Ionizing Radiation written by Committee to Assess Health Risks from Exposure to Low Levels of Ionizing Radiation and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2006-03-23 with total page 422 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is the seventh in a series of titles from the National Research Council that addresses the effects of exposure to low dose LET (Linear Energy Transfer) ionizing radiation and human health. Updating information previously presented in the 1990 publication, Health Effects of Exposure to Low Levels of Ionizing Radiation: BEIR V, this book draws upon new data in both epidemiologic and experimental research. Ionizing radiation arises from both natural and man-made sources and at very high doses can produce damaging effects in human tissue that can be evident within days after exposure. However, it is the low-dose exposures that are the focus of this book. So-called “late” effects, such as cancer, are produced many years after the initial exposure. This book is among the first of its kind to include detailed risk estimates for cancer incidence in addition to cancer mortality. BEIR VII offers a full review of the available biological, biophysical, and epidemiological literature since the last BEIR report on the subject and develops the most up-to-date and comprehensive risk estimates for cancer and other health effects from exposure to low-level ionizing radiation.

Myth and Geology

Author : Luigi Piccardi
Publisher : Geological Society of London
ISBN 13 : 9781862392168
Total Pages : 366 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (921 download)

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Book Synopsis Myth and Geology by : Luigi Piccardi

Download or read book Myth and Geology written by Luigi Piccardi and published by Geological Society of London. This book was released on 2007 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book is the first peer-reviewed collection of papers focusing on the potential of myth storylines to yield data and lessons that are of value to the geological sciences. Building on the nascent discipline of geomythology, scientists and scholars from a variety of disciplines have contributed to this volume. The geological hazards (such as earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions and cosmic impacts) that have given rise to myths are considered, as are the sacred and cultural values associated with rocks, fossils, geological formations and landscapes. There are also discussions about the historical and literary perspectives of geomythology. Regional coverage includes Europe and the Mediterranean, Afghanistan, Cameroon, India, Australia, Japan, Pacific islands, South America and North America. Myth and Geology challenges the widespread notion that myths are fictitious or otherwise lacking in value for the physical sciences." -- BOOK JACKET.

Foundations of Risk Analysis

Author : Terje Aven
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470871237
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (78 download)

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Book Synopsis Foundations of Risk Analysis by : Terje Aven

Download or read book Foundations of Risk Analysis written by Terje Aven and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2004-01-09 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Everyday we face decisions that carry an element of risk and uncertainty. The ability to analyse, communicate and control the level of risk entailed by these decisions remains one of the most pressing challenges to the analyst, scientist and manager. This book presents the foundational issues in risk analysis ? expressing risk, understanding what risk means, building risk models, addressing uncertainty, and applying probability models to real problems. The principal aim of the book is to give the reader the knowledge and basic thinking they require to approach risk and uncertainty to support decision making. Presents a statistical framework for dealing with risk and uncertainty. Includes detailed coverage of building and applying risk models and methods. Offers new perspectives on risk, risk assessment and the use of parametric probability models. Highlights a number of applications from business and industry. Adopts a conceptual approach based on elementary probability calculus and statistical theory. Foundations of Risk Analysis provides a framework for understanding, conducting and using risk analysis suitable for advanced undergraduates, graduates, analysts and researchers from statistics, engineering, finance, medicine and the physical sciences, as well as for managers facing decision making problems involving risk and uncertainty.