Labor Hiring, Investment, and Stock Return Predictability in the Cross Section

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (931 download)

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Book Synopsis Labor Hiring, Investment, and Stock Return Predictability in the Cross Section by : Santiago Bazdresch

Download or read book Labor Hiring, Investment, and Stock Return Predictability in the Cross Section written by Santiago Bazdresch and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Labor Income and Predictable Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 59 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Labor Income and Predictable Stock Returns by : Tano Santos

Download or read book Labor Income and Predictable Stock Returns written by Tano Santos and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose and test a novel economic mechanism that generates stock return predictability on both the time series and the cross section. In our model, investors' income has two sources, wages and dividends, that grow stochastically over time. As a consequence, the fraction of total income produced by wages changes over time depending on economic conditions. We show that as this fraction fluctuates, the risk premium that investors require to hold stocks varies as well.We test the main implications of the model and find substantial support for it. A regression of stock returns on lagged values of the labor income to consumption ratio produces statistically significant coefficients and adjusted R2?s that are larger than those generated when using the dividend price ratio. Tests of the cross sectional implication find considerable improvements on the performance of both the conditional CAPM and CCAPM when compared to their unconditional counterparts.

Labor Income and Predictable Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 51 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (248 download)

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Book Synopsis Labor Income and Predictable Stock Returns by : Tano Santos

Download or read book Labor Income and Predictable Stock Returns written by Tano Santos and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose and test a novel economic mechanism that generates stock return predictability on both the time series and the cross section. In our model, investors' income has two sources, wages and dividends, that grow stochastically over time. As a consequence, the fraction of total income produced by wages changes over time de-pending on economic conditions. We show that as this fraction fluctuates, the risk premium that investors require to hold stocks varies as well. We test the main implications of the model and find substantial support for it. A regression of stock returns on lagged values of the labor income to consumption ratio produces statistically significant coefficients and adjusted R2 's that are larger than those generated when using the dividend price ratio. Tests of the cross sectional implication find considerable improvements on the performance of both the conditional CAPM and CCAPM when compared to their unconditional counterparts

Empirical Asset Pricing

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262039370
Total Pages : 497 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Wayne Ferson

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

Sectoral Labor Reallocation and Return Predictability

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Sectoral Labor Reallocation and Return Predictability by : Esther Eiling

Download or read book Sectoral Labor Reallocation and Return Predictability written by Esther Eiling and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sectoral labor reallocation shocks change the optimal allocation of workers across industries. We find that a proxy for this type of labor market shocks has very strong and robust predictive power for future stock market returns. In predictive regressions, the one-year out-of-sample R2 is as high as 14.88%. We propose a production-based asset pricing model that links the return predictability to time-varying labor adjustment costs. When human capital is tied to the industry, hiring workers from other industries involves more search and training costs. Hence, sectoral reallocation shocks lead to lower returns to hiring and therefore lower future stock returns.

Etymologies and Genealogies

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226059820
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis Etymologies and Genealogies by : R. Howard Bloch

Download or read book Etymologies and Genealogies written by R. Howard Bloch and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 1986-07 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Mr. Bloch has attempted to establish what he calls a 'literary anthropology.' The project is important and ambitious. It seems to me that Mr. Bloch has completely achieved this ambition." –Michel Foucault "Bloch's Study is a genuinely interdisciplinary one, bringing together elements of history, ethnology, philology, philosophy, economics and literature, with the undoubted ambition of generating a new synthesis which will enable us to read the Middle Ages in a different light. Stated simply, and in terms which do justice neither to the density nor the subtlety of his argument, Bloch's thesis is this: that medieval society perceived itself in terms of a vertical mode of descent from origins. This model is articulated etymologically in medieval theories of grammar and language, and is consequently reflected in historical and theological writings; it is also latent in the genealogical structure of the aristocratic family as it began to be organized in France in the twelfth century, and is made manifest in such systems of signs as heraldry and the adoption of patronymns. . . . It is an ingenious and compelling synthesis which no medievalist, even on this side of the Atlantic, can afford to ignore." –Nicholas Mann, Times Literary Supplement

Empirical Asset Pricing

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118589475
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Turan G. Bali

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Turan G. Bali and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-02-26 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by every serious student of the field, academic and professional.” Eugene Fama, Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, University of Chicago and 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences “The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research. Both the established facts and the methods used to discover them have subtle complexities that can mislead casual observers and novice researchers. Bali, Engle, and Murray’s clear and careful guide to these issues provides a firm foundation for future discoveries.” John Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University “Bali, Engle, and Murray provide clear and accessible descriptions of many of the most important empirical techniques and results in asset pricing.” Kenneth R. French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College “This exciting new book presents a thorough review of what we know about the cross-section of stock returns. Given its comprehensive nature, systematic approach, and easy-to-understand language, the book is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.” Lubos Pastor, Charles P. McQuaid Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is a comprehensive overview of the most important findings of empirical asset pricing research. The book begins with thorough expositions of the most prevalent econometric techniques with in-depth discussions of the implementation and interpretation of results illustrated through detailed examples. The second half of the book applies these techniques to demonstrate the most salient patterns observed in stock returns. The phenomena documented form the basis for a range of investment strategies as well as the foundations of contemporary empirical asset pricing research. Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns also includes: Discussions on the driving forces behind the patterns observed in the stock market An extensive set of results that serve as a reference for practitioners and academics alike Numerous references to both contemporary and foundational research articles Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses in asset pricing and portfolio management. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in finance and economics. Turan G. Bali, PhD, is the Robert Parker Chair Professor of Finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. The recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize, he is the coauthor of Mathematical Methods for Finance: Tools for Asset and Risk Management, also published by Wiley. Robert F. Engle, PhD, is the Michael Armellino Professor of Finance in the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is the 2003 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Director of the New York University Stern Volatility Institute, and co-founding President of the Society for Financial Econometrics. Scott Murray, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Finance in the J. Mack Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University. He is the recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize.

Stock Return Predictability and the Drift Between the Outcomes of Portfolio Investment Strategies

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Stock Return Predictability and the Drift Between the Outcomes of Portfolio Investment Strategies by : Dirk P.M. De Wit

Download or read book Stock Return Predictability and the Drift Between the Outcomes of Portfolio Investment Strategies written by Dirk P.M. De Wit and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Anomalies found in tests of market efficiency do not necessarily imply that security prices do not reflect all available information, as the asset-pricing model used to describe the return generating process might also be false. In the present study, this joint hypothesis problem does not arise, because no use is made of an asset-pricing model. Instead, stock return predictability is tested by verifying whether the underlying variables of the drift between different types of indexes are correlated. This unambiguously tests for the sources of return predictability, which can be related to empirical anomalies, such as the "firm-size effect" and the "winner-loser effect". The drift between indexes is large if the (cross-sectional) variation of the underlying variables is large relative to their mean values, and vice versa. The size-related drift, for instance, is shown to be particularly large, but it also appears to be easily rendered statistically insignificant.

Financial Decisions and Markets

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400888220
Total Pages : 480 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Decisions and Markets by : John Y. Campbell

Download or read book Financial Decisions and Markets written by John Y. Campbell and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-10-31 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the field's leading authority, the most authoritative and comprehensive advanced-level textbook on asset pricing In Financial Decisions and Markets, John Campbell, one of the field’s most respected authorities, provides a broad graduate-level overview of asset pricing. He introduces students to leading theories of portfolio choice, their implications for asset prices, and empirical patterns of risk and return in financial markets. Campbell emphasizes the interplay of theory and evidence, as theorists respond to empirical puzzles by developing models with new testable implications. The book shows how models make predictions not only about asset prices but also about investors’ financial positions, and how they often draw on insights from behavioral economics. After a careful introduction to single-period models, Campbell develops multiperiod models with time-varying discount rates, reviews the leading approaches to consumption-based asset pricing, and integrates the study of equities and fixed-income securities. He discusses models with heterogeneous agents who use financial markets to share their risks, but also may speculate against one another on the basis of different beliefs or private information. Campbell takes a broad view of the field, linking asset pricing to related areas, including financial econometrics, household finance, and macroeconomics. The textbook works in discrete time throughout, and does not require stochastic calculus. Problems are provided at the end of each chapter to challenge students to develop their understanding of the main issues in financial economics. The most comprehensive and balanced textbook on asset pricing available, Financial Decisions and Markets is an essential resource for all graduate students and practitioners in finance and related fields. Integrated treatment of asset pricing theory and empirical evidence Emphasis on investors’ decisions Broad view linking the field to financial econometrics, household finance, and macroeconomics Topics treated in discrete time, with no requirement for stochastic calculus Forthcoming solutions manual for problems available to professors

Financial Markets and the Real Economy

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Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1933019158
Total Pages : 117 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Markets and the Real Economy by : John H. Cochrane

Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.

Labor Income Risk and Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 67 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Labor Income Risk and Stock Returns by : Esther Eiling

Download or read book Labor Income Risk and Stock Returns written by Esther Eiling and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper shows that the impact of labor income risk on the cross-section of expected stock returns depends crucially on the horizon. Using a flexible empirical approach that allows us to include multiple horizons simultaneously, we find robust evidence that the two- to four-year horizon strongly dominates. Labor income risk at this medium term horizon carries a highly significant price of risk, while at other horizons it does not. A simple two-factor model that includes the equity market return and labor income risk at the medium term horizon can explain a striking 71% of the cross-sectional variation of 25 size book-to-market and 25 size-investment portfolios. This is a significant improvement over the standard human capital CAPM with quarterly labor income growth that has an R-squared of only 7%. Also, labor income risk generates significant adjustments to the composition of the optimal risky equity portfolio at the medium term horizon. These results are consistent with wage stickiness, where wages are reset every two to four years.

Profitable Predictability in the Cross Section of Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Profitable Predictability in the Cross Section of Stock Returns by : J. Douglas Hanna

Download or read book Profitable Predictability in the Cross Section of Stock Returns written by J. Douglas Hanna and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Haugen and Baker (1996) report that a long-short stock selection strategy based on more than 50 measures of accounting information and past return behavior would have generated excess returns of approximately 3% per month. We find that the Haugen and Baker strategies do not provide attractive returns after transaction costs if an investor already has access to strategy portfolios based on book-to-market and momentum. We also provide an extensive analysis of transaction costs over a long sample and we report results of independent interest to researchers in market microstructure.

Cross-sectional Labour Income Risk, the Equity Premium and Stock Return Predictability

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 329 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (119 download)

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Book Synopsis Cross-sectional Labour Income Risk, the Equity Premium and Stock Return Predictability by : Nisih Freeman

Download or read book Cross-sectional Labour Income Risk, the Equity Premium and Stock Return Predictability written by Nisih Freeman and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 329 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

On the Cyclical Allocation of Risk

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Publisher : London : Department of Economics, University of Western Ontario
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis On the Cyclical Allocation of Risk by : Paul Gomme

Download or read book On the Cyclical Allocation of Risk written by Paul Gomme and published by London : Department of Economics, University of Western Ontario. This book was released on 1992 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Price-Based Investment Strategies

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319915304
Total Pages : 325 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Price-Based Investment Strategies by : Adam Zaremba

Download or read book Price-Based Investment Strategies written by Adam Zaremba and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-07-25 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This compelling book examines the price-based revolution in investing, showing how research over recent decades has reinvented technical analysis. The authors discuss the major groups of price-based strategies, considering their theoretical motivation, individual and combined implementation, and back-tested results when applied to investment across country stock markets. Containing a comprehensive sample of performance data, taken from 24 major developed markets around the world and ranging over the last 25 years, the authors construct practical portfolios and display their performance—ensuring the book is not only academically rigorous, but practically applicable too. This is a highly useful volume that will be of relevance to researchers and students working in the field of price-based investing, as well as individual investors, fund pickers, market analysts, fund managers, pension fund consultants, hedge fund portfolio managers, endowment chief investment officers, futures traders, and family office investors.

Parallels between the Cross-Sectional Predictability of Stock and Country Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Parallels between the Cross-Sectional Predictability of Stock and Country Returns by : Clifford S. Asness

Download or read book Parallels between the Cross-Sectional Predictability of Stock and Country Returns written by Clifford S. Asness and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Book-to-market ratio (BE/ME), market equity (ME), and one- year past return (momentum) (MOM) help explain the cross- section of expected individual stock returns within the U.S. and within other countries. Examining equity markets as a whole, in contrast to individual stocks, we uncover strong parallels between the explanatory power of these variables for individual stocks and for countries. First, country versions of BE/ME, ME, and MOM help explain the cross-section of expected country returns. Second, the January seasonal in ME's explanatory power for stocks also appears for countries. Third, portfolios formed by sorting stocks and countries on these variables produce similar patterns in profitability before and after the portfolio formation date.

Labor Income, Relative Wealth Concerns, and the Cross-section of Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Labor Income, Relative Wealth Concerns, and the Cross-section of Stock Returns by : Juan-Pedro Gomez

Download or read book Labor Income, Relative Wealth Concerns, and the Cross-section of Stock Returns written by Juan-Pedro Gomez and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The finance literature documents a relation between labor income and the cross-section of stock returns. One possible explanation for this is the hedging decisions of investors with relative wealth concerns. This implies a negative risk premium associated with stock returns correlated with local undiversifiable wealth, since investors are willing to pay more for stocks that help their hedging goals. We find evidence that is consistent with these regularities. In addition, we show that the effect varies across geographic areas depending on the size and variability of undiversifiable wealth, proxied by labor income.