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Irrational Exuberance Reconsidered
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Book Synopsis Irrational Exuberance Reconsidered by : Mathias Külpmann
Download or read book Irrational Exuberance Reconsidered written by Mathias Külpmann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-20 with total page 233 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathias Külpmann presents a framework to evaluate whether the stock market is in line with underlying fundamentals. The new and revised edition offers an up to date introduction to the controversy between rational asset pricing and behavioural finance. Empirical evidence of stock market overreaction are investigated within the paradigms of rational asset pricing and behavioural finance. Although this monograph will not promise the reader to become a millionaire, it offers a road to obtain a deeper understanding of the forces which drive stock returns. It should be of interest to anyone interested in what drives performance in the stock market.
Book Synopsis Irrational Exuberance by : Robert J. Shiller
Download or read book Irrational Exuberance written by Robert J. Shiller and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2016-08-16 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why the irrational exuberance of investors hasn't disappeared since the financial crisis In this revised, updated, and expanded edition of his New York Times bestseller, Nobel Prize–winning economist Robert Shiller, who warned of both the tech and housing bubbles, cautions that signs of irrational exuberance among investors have only increased since the 2008–9 financial crisis. With high stock and bond prices and the rising cost of housing, the post-subprime boom may well turn out to be another illustration of Shiller's influential argument that psychologically driven volatility is an inherent characteristic of all asset markets. In other words, Irrational Exuberance is as relevant as ever. Previous editions covered the stock and housing markets—and famously predicted their crashes. This edition expands its coverage to include the bond market, so that the book now addresses all of the major investment markets. It also includes updated data throughout, as well as Shiller's 2013 Nobel Prize lecture, which places the book in broader context. In addition to diagnosing the causes of asset bubbles, Irrational Exuberance recommends urgent policy changes to lessen their likelihood and severity—and suggests ways that individuals can decrease their risk before the next bubble bursts. No one whose future depends on a retirement account, a house, or other investments can afford not to read this book.
Book Synopsis Irrational Exuberance by : Robert J. Shiller
Download or read book Irrational Exuberance written by Robert J. Shiller and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2005-03-14 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This first edition of this book was a broad study, drawing on a wide range of published research and historical evidence, of the enormous stock market boom that started around 1982 and picked up incredible speed after 1995. Although it took as its specific starting point this ongoing boom, it placed it in the context of stock market booms generally, and it also made concrete suggestions regarding policy changes that should be initiated in response to this and other such booms. The book argued that the boom represents a speculative bubble, not grounded in sensible economic fundamentals. Part one of the book considered structural factors behind the boom. A list of twelve precipitating factors that appear to be its ultimate causes was given. Amplification mechanisms, naturally-occurring Ponzi processes, that enlarge the effects of these precipitating factors, were described. Part Two discussed cultural factors, the effects of the news media, and of "new era" economic thinking. Part Three discussed psychological factors, psychological anchors for the market and herd behavior. Part Four discussed attempts to rationalize exuberance: efficient markets theory and theories that investors are learning. Part Five presented policy options and actions that should be taken. The second edition, 2005, added an analysis of the real estate bubble as similar to the stock market bubble that preceded it, and warned that "Significant further rises in these markets could lead, eventually, to even more significant declines. The bad outcome could be that eventual declines would result in a substantial increase in the rate of personal bankruptcies, which could lead to a secondary string of bankruptcies of financial institutions as well. Another long-run consequence could be a decline in consumer and business confidence, and another, possibly worldwide, recession." Thus, the second edition of this book was among the first to warn of the global financial crisis that began with the subprime mortgage debacle in 2007.
Book Synopsis Summary by : Book Summary Publishing
Download or read book Summary written by Book Summary Publishing and published by . This book was released on 2020-03-05 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Summary of: Irrational Exuberance by Robert Shiller "Irrational exuberance" is a catchphrase made famous by former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan during the notorious dot.com bubble of the 1990s. After repeat disasters, like the housing bubble of the early 2000s and speculative bubbles that heralded the 2007-2009 world financial crisis, are investors any wiser? Worse, is it even possible to know when a market is in a bubble? Nobel Prize-winning economist and Yale University professor Robert Shiller puts this speculative behavior into perspective. On the one hand, price volatility-which leads to substantial profit-is a powerful motivator in a free market. On the other, instability-which exacts a terrible toll on unwary investors-is a risk that the Fed might well do to rein in. A survey of ways and means provides you with vital lessons learned...or perhaps sadly unlearned? But you'll get one surefire reward: you'll know how you too can lower your exposure to the agony of the next economic bubble. Why read this summary: Save time Understand the key concepts Notice: This is a IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE Book Summary. NOT THE ORIGINAL BOOK.
Book Synopsis Irrational Exuberance (eGalley) by : Robert J. Shiller
Download or read book Irrational Exuberance (eGalley) written by Robert J. Shiller and published by . This book was released on with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Financial Crisis Reconsidered by : Daniel Aronoff
Download or read book The Financial Crisis Reconsidered written by Daniel Aronoff and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-08 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In The Financial Crisis Reconsidered, Aronoff challenges the conventional view that reckless credit produced the US housing boom and the financial crisis, explaining how the large current account deficit, and its mercantilist origin, was a more fundamental cause. He also demonstrates that the decision to provide relief for bank creditors rather than underwater homeowners was responsible for the prolonged recession that followed the crisis. Aronoff proposes a novel theory to account for the ultimate origins of secular stagnation and economic volatility. He shows how accumulation, which occurs when a person or country earns more than it ever plans to spend, generates both an excess of saving and a deficiency in demand. While savings provide the funds to promote booms, under-consumption ensures that these booms will turn bust and that the economy will fall short of its potential growth rate. Aronoff argues that mercantilists and top income earners engage in accumulation, and that the influence of both types has grown in recent decades. Combining economic theory and historical narrative, this book offers a new perspective of the housing boom and the financial crisis, concluding with innovative policy proposals to reduce accumulation without compromising the benefits of a market economy.
Book Synopsis Markets with Transaction Costs by : Yuri Kabanov
Download or read book Markets with Transaction Costs written by Yuri Kabanov and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-12-04 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book is the first monograph on this highly important subject.
Book Synopsis Financial Markets in Continuous Time by : Rose-Anne Dana
Download or read book Financial Markets in Continuous Time written by Rose-Anne Dana and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-07-12 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explains key financial concepts, mathematical tools and theories of mathematical finance. It is organized in four parts. The first brings together a number of results from discrete-time models. The second develops stochastic continuous-time models for the valuation of financial assets (the Black-Scholes formula and its extensions), for optimal portfolio and consumption choice, and for obtaining the yield curve and pricing interest rate products. The third part recalls some concepts and results of equilibrium theory and applies this in financial markets. The last part tackles market incompleteness and the valuation of exotic options.
Book Synopsis Interest Rate Models: an Infinite Dimensional Stochastic Analysis Perspective by : René Carmona
Download or read book Interest Rate Models: an Infinite Dimensional Stochastic Analysis Perspective written by René Carmona and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-05-22 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the mathematical issues that arise in modeling the interest rate term structure by casting the interest-rate models as stochastic evolution equations in infinite dimensions. The text includes a crash course on interest rates, a self-contained introduction to infinite dimensional stochastic analysis, and recent results in interest rate theory. From the reviews: "A wonderful book. The authors present some cutting-edge math." --WWW.RISKBOOK.COM
Book Synopsis Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes by : Harold L. Vogel
Download or read book Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes written by Harold L. Vogel and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-12-17 with total page 619 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists broadly define financial asset price bubbles as episodes in which prices rise with notable rapidity and depart from historically established asset valuation multiples and relationships. Financial economists have for decades attempted to study and interpret bubbles through the prisms of rational expectations, efficient markets, equilibrium, arbitrage, and capital asset pricing models, but they have not made much if any progress toward a consistent and reliable theory that explains how and why bubbles (and crashes) evolve and are defined, measured, and compared. This book develops a new and different approach that is based on the central notion that bubbles and crashes reflect urgent short-side rationing, which means that, as such extreme conditions unfold, considerations of quantities owned or not owned begin to displace considerations of price.
Book Synopsis Stochastic Calculus of Variations in Mathematical Finance by : Paul Malliavin
Download or read book Stochastic Calculus of Variations in Mathematical Finance written by Paul Malliavin and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-02-25 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Highly esteemed author Topics covered are relevant and timely
Book Synopsis Binomial Models in Finance by : John van der Hoek
Download or read book Binomial Models in Finance written by John van der Hoek and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-04-18 with total page 309 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes the modelling of prices of ?nancial assets in a simple d- crete time, discrete state, binomial framework. By avoiding the mathematical technicalitiesofcontinuoustime?nancewehopewehavemadethematerial accessible to a wide audience. Some of the developments and formulae appear here for the ?rst time in book form. We hope our book will appeal to various audiences. These include MBA s- dents,upperlevelundergraduatestudents,beginningdoctoralstudents,qu- titative analysts at a basic level and senior executives who seek material on new developments in ?nance at an accessible level. The basic building block in our book is the one-step binomial model where a known price today can take one of two possible values at a future time, which might, for example, be tomorrow, or next month, or next year. In this simple situation “risk neutral pricing” can be de?ned and the model can be applied to price forward contracts, exchange rate contracts and interest rate derivatives. In a few places we discuss multinomial models to explain the notions of incomplete markets and how pricing can be viewed in such a context, where unique prices are no longer available. The simple one-period framework can then be extended to multi-period m- els.TheCox-Ross-RubinsteinapproximationtotheBlackScholesoptionpr- ing formula is an immediate consequence. American, barrier and exotic - tions can all be discussed and priced using binomial models. More precise modelling issues such as implied volatility trees and implied binomial trees are treated, as well as interest rate models like those due to Ho and Lee; and Black, Derman and Toy.
Book Synopsis A Course in Derivative Securities by : Kerry Back
Download or read book A Course in Derivative Securities written by Kerry Back and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-10-11 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Deals with pricing and hedging financial derivatives.... Computational methods are introduced and the text contains the Excel VBA routines corresponding to the formulas and procedures described in the book. This is valuable since computer simulation can help readers understand the theory....The book...succeeds in presenting intuitively advanced derivative modelling... it provides a useful bridge between introductory books and the more advanced literature." --MATHEMATICAL REVIEWS
Book Synopsis A Game Theory Analysis of Options by : Alexandre C. Ziegler
Download or read book A Game Theory Analysis of Options written by Alexandre C. Ziegler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-11-02 with total page 183 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modern option pricing theory was developed in the late sixties and early seventies by F. Black, R. e. Merton and M. Scholes as an analytical tool for pricing and hedging option contracts and over-the-counter warrants. How ever, already in the seminal paper by Black and Scholes, the applicability of the model was regarded as much broader. In the second part of their paper, the authors demonstrated that a levered firm's equity can be regarded as an option on the value of the firm, and thus can be priced by option valuation techniques. A year later, Merton showed how the default risk structure of cor porate bonds can be determined by option pricing techniques. Option pricing models are now used to price virtually the full range of financial instruments and financial guarantees such as deposit insurance and collateral, and to quantify the associated risks. Over the years, option pricing has evolved from a set of specific models to a general analytical framework for analyzing the production process of financial contracts and their function in the financial intermediation process in a continuous time framework. However, very few attempts have been made in the literature to integrate game theory aspects, i. e. strategic financial decisions of the agents, into the continuous time framework. This is the unique contribution of the thesis of Dr. Alexandre Ziegler. Benefiting from the analytical tractability of contin uous time models and the closed form valuation models for derivatives, Dr.
Book Synopsis Empirical Techniques in Finance by : Ramaprasad Bhar
Download or read book Empirical Techniques in Finance written by Ramaprasad Bhar and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-05-09 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Includes traditional elements of financial econometrics but is not yet another volume in econometrics. Discusses statistical and probability techniques commonly used in quantitative finance. The reader will be able to explore more complex structures without getting inundated with the underlying mathematics.
Book Synopsis Interest Rate Models - Theory and Practice by : Damiano Brigo
Download or read book Interest Rate Models - Theory and Practice written by Damiano Brigo and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-09-26 with total page 1016 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 2nd edition of this successful book has several new features. The calibration discussion of the basic LIBOR market model has been enriched considerably, with an analysis of the impact of the swaptions interpolation technique and of the exogenous instantaneous correlation on the calibration outputs. A discussion of historical estimation of the instantaneous correlation matrix and of rank reduction has been added, and a LIBOR-model consistent swaption-volatility interpolation technique has been introduced. The old sections devoted to the smile issue in the LIBOR market model have been enlarged into a new chapter. New sections on local-volatility dynamics, and on stochastic volatility models have been added, with a thorough treatment of the recently developed uncertain-volatility approach. Examples of calibrations to real market data are now considered. The fast-growing interest for hybrid products has led to a new chapter. A special focus here is devoted to the pricing of inflation-linked derivatives. The three final new chapters of this second edition are devoted to credit. Since Credit Derivatives are increasingly fundamental, and since in the reduced-form modeling framework much of the technique involved is analogous to interest-rate modeling, Credit Derivatives -- mostly Credit Default Swaps (CDS), CDS Options and Constant Maturity CDS - are discussed, building on the basic short rate-models and market models introduced earlier for the default-free market. Counterparty risk in interest rate payoff valuation is also considered, motivated by the recent Basel II framework developments.
Book Synopsis Risk and Asset Allocation by : Attilio Meucci
Download or read book Risk and Asset Allocation written by Attilio Meucci and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-05-22 with total page 547 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discusses in the practical and theoretical aspects of one-period asset allocation, i.e. market Modeling, invariants estimation, portfolia evaluation, and portfolio optimization in the prexence of estimation risk The book is software based, many of the exercises simulate in Matlab the solution to practical problems and can be downloaded from the book's web-site
