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Integrating Econometric Analysis With Scenario Analysis For Forecasting In A Rapidly Changing Environment
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Book Synopsis Integrating Econometric Analysis with Scenario Analysis for Forecasting in a Rapidly Changing Environment by : Meeta Punjabi
Download or read book Integrating Econometric Analysis with Scenario Analysis for Forecasting in a Rapidly Changing Environment written by Meeta Punjabi and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Dissertation Abstracts International by :
Download or read book Dissertation Abstracts International written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 516 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Some Thoughts on Making Long-Term Forecasts for the World Economy by : Shahrokh Fardoust
Download or read book Some Thoughts on Making Long-Term Forecasts for the World Economy written by Shahrokh Fardoust and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Countries and international organizations working on longer-range development issues depend on long-term quantitative projections and scenario analysis. Such forecasting has become increasingly challenging, thanks to the rapid pace of globalization, technological progress, the interplay among them, and enhanced connectivity among people. As a result, seemingly isolated events can quickly lead to wide-ranging and lasting regional or even global consequences. This paper examines the problem of long-term economic forecasting in the face of increased complexity and uncertainty. With the benefit of hindsight, it scrutinizes past long-term qualitative and quantitative projections for the 1990s in order to draw lessons on how an institution can and should conduct long-term forecasting and policy analysis. The main conclusions are that policy makers and researchers across the world urgently need to see the big picture if they are to deal with the specific challenges and opportunities they will face over the long term as economies and global linkages undergo major structural changes under conditions of considerable uncertainty and volatility. Global institutions need to have strong research programs that work in close collaboration with other international organizations, academic centers, and independent experts on important long-term development issues ("blue sky" issues) and megatrends. These institutions need to build on their comparative strengths and form teams of in-house researchers and global experts who work on state-of-the-art models related to globalization, technological progress and innovations, climate change, demographic shifts, population, and labor force quality and their policy implications at both the global and country levels. Researchers should be encouraged to consider how global challenges such as financial crises, climate change, and infectious diseases can lead to breaks in economic trends and regime change and how such breaks affect economic activity. Alternative scenarios need to be created that incorporate the views of contrarian forecasters, including forecasts of possible shocks.
Book Synopsis The AI State: Governing in the Age of Disruption and Rapid Technological Change by : Daniel D. Lee
Download or read book The AI State: Governing in the Age of Disruption and Rapid Technological Change written by Daniel D. Lee and published by SkyCuration. This book was released on 2024-05-03 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In "The AI State: Governing in the Age of Disruption and Rapid Technological Change," embark on a captivating journey through the dynamic intersections of artificial intelligence (AI) and governance. This groundbreaking book offers an immersive exploration of how AI is reshaping the landscape of governance, from policy formulation to crisis management, and beyond. Delve into the intricate tapestry of AI governance as you navigate through 35 thought-provoking chapters, each meticulously crafted to unravel the complexities of governing in an era defined by technological innovation and societal transformation. From the inauguration of the first AI president to the philosophical implications of AI leadership, this book traverses a rich tapestry of topics, providing deep insights and illuminating perspectives on the evolving role of AI in shaping the future of governance. Witness the transformative power of AI as it redefines traditional paradigms of governance, offering unprecedented capabilities to address pressing challenges and unlock new opportunities for societal progress. Explore the ethical and legal dimensions of AI leadership, as policymakers grapple with questions of transparency, accountability, and algorithmic bias in the decision-making process. Venture into the realm of legislative processes, where AI-driven innovations promise to enhance transparency, efficiency, and public engagement in the lawmaking process. From predictive analytics for election insights to real-time monitoring of electoral processes, discover how AI is revolutionizing the dynamics of democratic governance, empowering citizens and policymakers alike to navigate the complexities of electoral politics with wisdom and foresight. Engage with cutting-edge discussions on AI's role in economic policy, healthcare governance, environmental conservation, and international diplomacy, as you uncover the far-reaching implications of AI for the future of global governance. From addressing economic disparities to promoting sustainable development, "The AI State" offers a compelling vision for harnessing the transformative potential of AI to build a more inclusive, equitable, and resilient world. Rich in detail, deep in context, and brimming with insights, "The AI State" is a must-read for policymakers, scholars, and citizens alike who seek to understand the profound implications of AI for the future of governance. Prepare to be inspired, challenged, and enlightened as you embark on an unforgettable odyssey through the frontiers of AI governance, where the promise of innovation meets the imperative of responsible leadership.
Book Synopsis The Art of Forecasting Economic Growth by : Barrett Williams
Download or read book The Art of Forecasting Economic Growth written by Barrett Williams and published by Barrett Williams. This book was released on 2024-08-24 with total page 163 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unlock the Power of Predicting Tomorrow with "The Art of Forecasting Economic Growth"! Are you ready to delve into the intricate world of economic forecasting? Discover the strategies, methods, and tools that shape the way experts predict future economic trends. "The Art of Forecasting Economic Growth" is your comprehensive guide to mastering economic predictions and leveraging them for smarter decision-making. Start your journey with an essential introduction to economic forecasting, exploring its significance, history, and the key players that have set the stage. As you progress, get acquainted with the fundamentals of data analysis in economics – uncover the types of data, collection methods, and basic concepts in economic modeling. Dive deeper into statistical techniques with chapters dedicated to descriptive and inferential statistics, and regression analysis. Grasp the intricacies of time series analysis and learn how to utilize economic indicators for accurate predictions. Build your full understanding of constructing and validating predictive economic models. Venture into advanced econometric techniques and discover the cutting-edge role of machine learning in economic forecasting. Understand the impact of big data, and the nuanced field of behavioral economics, to enhance your forecasting accuracy even further. Explore the significance of economic policy analysis, scenario planning, and stress testing. Enhance your insight on forecasting financial markets and evaluate the accuracy of your predictions with clear, actionable metrics. Learn the best practices for communicating your forecasts, ensuring clarity and impact. Ethics play a critical role in economic forecasting. This eBook provides a mindful exploration of ethical considerations, dilemmas, and solutions, backed by real-world case studies. Utilize forecasts to shape business strategies and align them with market realities. As you reach the final chapters, look ahead to the future of economic forecasting, exploring emerging trends, the transformative influence of AI, and the dynamics of a globalized economy. "The Art of Forecasting Economic Growth" is a must-have for anyone seeking to understand and apply economic forecasting techniques. Equip yourself with the knowledge to predict, plan, and prosper in an ever-changing economic landscape. Your journey into the future of economics starts here!
Book Synopsis Next Generation Supply Chains by : Rosanna Fornasiero
Download or read book Next Generation Supply Chains written by Rosanna Fornasiero and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-12-31 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book explores supply chains strategies to help companies face challenges such as societal emergency, digitalization, climate changes and scarcity of resources. The book identifies industrial scenarios for the next decade based on the analysis of trends at social, economic, environmental technological and political level, and examines how they may impact on supply chain processes and how to design next generation supply chains to answer these challenges. By mapping enabling technologies for supply chain innovation, the book proposes a roadmap for the full implementation of the supply chain strategies based on the integration of production and logistics processes. Case studies from process industry, discrete manufacturing, distribution and logistics, as well as ICT providers are provided, and policy recommendations are put forward to support companies in this transformative process.
Book Synopsis Proceedings of ECSF 2021 by : Dmitry Ivanov
Download or read book Proceedings of ECSF 2021 written by Dmitry Ivanov and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-05-31 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book presents the latest advances, innovations, and applications in the field of innovative medicine facilities, as presented by architects and engineers at the International Scientific and Practical Conference Engineering, Construction and Infrastructure Solutions for Innovative Medicine Facilities, held in St. Petersburg, Russia, on May 19-21, 2021. It covers a wide diversity of topics, including the global challenges of our time and the challenges of developing the infrastructure of innovative medicine; current issues of engineering and construction of medical facilities during the pandemic; current issues of engineering and construction of biomedical research infrastructure; formation and development of a comfortable environment for the protection of public health; biological and environmental safety in the engineering, construction and technical operation of biomedical facilities. The contributions, which were selected by means of a rigorous international peer-review process, highlight numerous exciting ideas that will spur novel research directions and foster multidisciplinary collaborations.
Book Synopsis Scaling in Integrated Assessment by : D.S. Rothman
Download or read book Scaling in Integrated Assessment written by D.S. Rothman and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2005-08-09 with total page 374 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of papers prepared for the European Forum on Integrated Environmental Assessment's (EFIEA) Policy Workshop on Scaling Issues in Integrated Assessment, held from 12-19 July 2000.
Book Synopsis Methods of Future and Scenario Analysis by : Hannah Kosow
Download or read book Methods of Future and Scenario Analysis written by Hannah Kosow and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Exploring and Shaping International Futures by : Barry B. Hughes
Download or read book Exploring and Shaping International Futures written by Barry B. Hughes and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2015-12-03 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "People who run cities like to play Simcity to find out how impossible their jobs are. Hughes gives everyone a chance to play a kind of Simplanet, with outcomes far more complex and uncertain. In the process, the book and the computer program provide a coherent path to understanding an anarchic world." --Ronald A. Francisco, University of Kansas "What will be the future of human demographic, economic, environmental, and political-social systems throughout the 21st century? Where do current changes appear to be taking us? What kind of future would we prefer? How much leverage do we have to bring about the future we prefer? Do YOU share these interests of the book? If yes, you should study the book and learn how to cope with the future with the International Futures approach (IFs) developed by the authors. This large-scale integrated global simulation modeling system is a user-friendly, professional tool for long-term policy analysis and an educational tool in universities. I had a pleasure to learn it personally by cooperating with Barry Hughes." --Pentti Malaska, Professor of MS, DrTech, futurist Honorary member of the Club of Rome What will be the long-term impact of AIDS in Africa or concentration of global oil production in the Middle East? Exploring and Shaping International Futures helps readers understand such global trends in demographic, economic, energy, food, environmental, and socio-political systems. It allows businesspeople, government officials, and others to think concretely about global futures in each of these areas. It is the only book on the market that allows readers to use a computer simulation to track global trends and to develop alternative scenarios around those trends. It is one of relatively few books that really brings computer technology into the classroom, boardroom, or policy planning commission. The International Futures (IFs) computer simulation, around which the book is built, is now widely used in policy analysis as well as education. It has been instrumental in projects undertaken by such groups as the European Commission, the U.S. National Intelligence Council, and the United Nations. After three decades of development and refinement, the computer model is now easy to access and use. Readers can access the website with the IFs computer model at www.ifs.du.edu
Book Synopsis Economic Forecasting for Management by : Hans G. Graf
Download or read book Economic Forecasting for Management written by Hans G. Graf and published by Bloomsbury Publishing USA. This book was released on 2002-08-30 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Before future-oriented information can be used as a basis for decision making in economics or business administration, it must be understood on a methodological level. This book provides decision makers with a thorough understanding of the possibilities offered by various forecasting methods as well as their limitations. If managers rely on a forecast with a long-term perspective to guide them in making short-term decisions, planning deficiencies will likely result. Likewise, if managers use short-term forecasts to inform their long-term strategic vision, failure could easily ensue. Graf provides the tools necessary to sidestep the common pitfall of using the wrong forecasting technique for the wrong purpose. This is not a detailed examination of the mathematical and statistical tools of empirical economic research. Instead, forecasting methods are explained so that they can be understood by the managers who employ them in their decision making. Graf demonstrates that understanding and—in special cases—cooperation between forecast developers and users is crucial to creating an effective forecast that results in informed management decisions. He discusses traditional, long-term, macroeconomic, and global economic forecasting; the scenario technique as a central instrument of long-term forecasting; and short-term economic and market forecasting.
Book Synopsis Financial Forecasting, Analysis, and Modelling by : Michael Samonas
Download or read book Financial Forecasting, Analysis, and Modelling written by Michael Samonas and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-01-14 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk analysis has become critical to modern financial planning Financial Forecasting, Analysis and Modelling provides a complete framework of long-term financial forecasts in a practical and accessible way, helping finance professionals include uncertainty in their planning and budgeting process. With thorough coverage of financial statement simulation models and clear, concise implementation instruction, this book guides readers step-by-step through the entire projection plan development process. Readers learn the tools, techniques, and special considerations that increase accuracy and smooth the workflow, and develop a more robust analysis process that improves financial strategy. The companion website provides a complete operational model that can be customised to develop financial projections or a range of other key financial measures, giving readers an immediately-applicable tool to facilitate effective decision-making. In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis, the need for experienced financial modelling professionals has steadily increased as organisations rush to adjust to economic volatility and uncertainty. This book provides the deeper level of understanding needed to develop stronger financial planning, with techniques tailored to real-life situations. Develop long-term projection plans using Excel Use appropriate models to develop a more proactive strategy Apply risk and uncertainty projections more accurately Master the Excel Scenario Manager, Sensitivity Analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation, and more Risk plays a larger role in financial planning than ever before, and possible outcomes must be measured before decisions are made. Uncertainty has become a critical component in financial planning, and accuracy demands it be used appropriately. With special focus on uncertainty in modelling and planning, Financial Forecasting, Analysis and Modelling is a comprehensive guide to the mechanics of modern finance.
Book Synopsis Strategic Plan for the U.S. Climate Change Science Program by : Climate Change Science Program (U.S.)
Download or read book Strategic Plan for the U.S. Climate Change Science Program written by Climate Change Science Program (U.S.) and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Policy Options for Stabilizing Global Climate by :
Download or read book Policy Options for Stabilizing Global Climate written by and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 1008 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Alaska Regional Studies Plan written by and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 626 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Assessing the Potentials of Marketing Fair Trade Beans of Central American Origin in the United States by : Lara Marie Mendoza De Villa
Download or read book Assessing the Potentials of Marketing Fair Trade Beans of Central American Origin in the United States written by Lara Marie Mendoza De Villa and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The SAGE Handbook of Tourism Management by : Chris Cooper
Download or read book The SAGE Handbook of Tourism Management written by Chris Cooper and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2018-08-14 with total page 1223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The SAGE Handbook of Tourism Management is a critical, authoritative review of tourism management, written by leading international thinkers and academics in the field. Arranged over two volumes, the chapters are framed as critical synoptic pieces covering key developments, current issues and debates, and emerging trends and future considerations for the field. The two volumes focus in turn on the theories, concepts and disciplines that underpin tourism management in volume one, followed by examinations of how those ideas and concepts have been applied in the second volume. Chapters are structured around twelve key themes: Volume One Part One: Researching Tourism Part Two: Social Analysis Part Three: Economic Analysis Part Four: Technological Analysis Part Five: Environmental Analysis Part Six: Political Analysis Volume Two Part One: Approaching Tourism Part Two: Destination Applications Part Three: Marketing Applications Part Four: Tourism Product Markets Part Five: Technological Applications Part Six: Environmental Applications This handbook offers a fresh, contemporary and definitive look at tourism management, making it an essential resource for academics, researchers and students.
