Inflation, Debt, and Default in a Monetary Union

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation, Debt, and Default in a Monetary Union by : Samir Jahjah

Download or read book Inflation, Debt, and Default in a Monetary Union written by Samir Jahjah and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Depending on the preferences of the central bank, countries in a monetary union tend to accumulate less debt. This reduces the need for fiscal criteria such as debt ceilings. In a monetary union with an independent central bank and a sufficiently large number of relatively small members, investors will begin rationing credit to the government more rapidly, and an equilibrium with no inflation and no default exists. However, highly-indebted countries are more likely to default once they join a monetary union.

Inflation, Debt, and Default in a Monetary Union

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (469 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation, Debt, and Default in a Monetary Union by :

Download or read book Inflation, Debt, and Default in a Monetary Union written by and published by . This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) presents the full text of an article entitled "Inflation, Debt, and Default in a Monetary Union," by Samir Jahjah and published November 2000. The article discusses how countries in a monetary union tend to accumulate less debt. This reduces the need for fiscal criteria such as debt ceilings. On the other hand, highly-indebted countries are more likely to default once they join a monetary union.

The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475533241
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts by : Mr.Francisco Roch

Download or read book The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts written by Mr.Francisco Roch and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-09-06 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Motivated by the recent European debt crisis, this paper investigates the scope for a bailout guarantee in a sovereign debt crisis. Defaults may arise from negative income shocks, government impatience or a "sunspot"-coordinated buyers strike. We introduce a bailout agency, and characterize the minimal actuarially fair intervention that guarantees the no-buyers-strike fundamental equilibrium, relying on the market for residual financing. The intervention makes it cheaper for governments to borrow, inducing them borrow more, leaving default probabilities possibly rather unchanged. The maximal backstop will be pulled precisely when fundamentals worsen.

Speculative Attacks Within Or Outside a Monetary Union

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 9 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (772 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Attacks Within Or Outside a Monetary Union by : Daniel Gros

Download or read book Speculative Attacks Within Or Outside a Monetary Union written by Daniel Gros and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 9 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this analytical policy brief, CEPS Director Daniel Gros explores whether there is a fundamental difference between a formal sovereign default with a haircut and debt monetisation, which reduces the purchasing power for investors by the same amount. He argues that there is indeed a difference because a formal sovereign default invariably leads to a banking crisis. Moreover, within a monetary union a sovereign is more exposed to liquidity problems than a country with an independent currency and any of its problems quickly spill over into the banking system, which cannot survive without a reliable source of liquidity given that banks are by nature highly leveraged institutions. In terms of policy prescriptions, one conclusion is that less effort and financing should be devoted to trying to lower yields on peripheral government debt, but a lender of last resort is needed for both sovereigns and the banks. Another policy priority should be to stabilise the banking system in such a way that it can survive even if government debt yields increase.--Publisher description.

Financial Stability and Fiscal Crises in a Monetary Union

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Stability and Fiscal Crises in a Monetary Union by : Samir Jahjah

Download or read book Financial Stability and Fiscal Crises in a Monetary Union written by Samir Jahjah and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2001 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Crisis and Commitment

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (86 download)

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Book Synopsis Crisis and Commitment by : Mark Aguiar

Download or read book Crisis and Commitment written by Mark Aguiar and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a continuous time model of nominal debt and investigate the role of inflation credibility in the potential for self-fulfilling debt crises. Inflation is costly, but reduces the real value of outstanding debt without the full punishment of default. With high inflation credibility, which can be interpreted as joining a monetary union or issuing foreign currency debt, debt is effectively real. By contrast, with low inflation credibility, sovereign debt is nominal and in a debt crisis a government may opt to inflate away a fraction of the debt burden rather than explicitly default. This flexibility potentially reduces the country's exposure to self-fulfilling crises. On the other hand, the government lacks credibility not to inflate in the absence of crisis. This latter channel raises the cost of debt in tranquil periods and makes default more attractive in the event of a crisis, increasing the country's vulnerability. We characterize the interaction of these two forces. We show that there is an intermediate inflation credibility that minimizes the country's exposure to rollover risk. Low inflation credibility brings the worst of both worlds-high inflation in tranquil periods and increased vulnerability to a crisis.

Sustainability of Public Debt in the European Monetary Union. A Case Study of Greece

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 366839346X
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (683 download)

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Book Synopsis Sustainability of Public Debt in the European Monetary Union. A Case Study of Greece by :

Download or read book Sustainability of Public Debt in the European Monetary Union. A Case Study of Greece written by and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2017-02-07 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bachelor Thesis from the year 2015 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 5, University of Zurich, language: English, abstract: This bachelor thesis discusses the sustainability of government debt on a theoretical level with the model of the government budget constraint and its application in a case study. Therefore, the situation of Greece is used as a prime example for the current sovereign debt crisis in the European Monetary Union. It points out with quantitative data, what has led to the high public debt in Greece and what are the consequences of this debt accumulation. For this the sustainability and the development of government debt and its determinants will be analysed. In conclusion, it discusses the options to escape of this sovereign debt crisis for Greece and the European Monetary Union as a whole. In March 2012 Greece received another bailout loan of 144.7 billion euro from the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) and 19.8 billion euro from the IMF in several tranches until 2014 after a worsening recession and the missing implementation of the conditions. In July 2015 the European Commission arranged to mobilise more than 35 billion euro until 2020, while they already paid out up to this point 4.4 billion euro (European Commission 2015). Still the problem has not been solved yet and Greece is still not able to get control of its debt by itself. The government debt is a relevant topic in economics and has become even more relevant since the outbreak of the European sovereign debt crisis. Further research in the issue of government debt could help us to understand how government-debt crisis develop, how the current sovereign debt crisis may be solved as well as how we could prevent from future crises. To understand the problem of high debt, we also need to understand the necessity of public debt, the arithmetic behind it and its implications on the economy of a country and the whole economic system.

International Debt

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137030577
Total Pages : 186 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis International Debt by : Constantine Stephanou

Download or read book International Debt written by Constantine Stephanou and published by Springer. This book was released on 2012-11-29 with total page 186 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by a group of international experts, this book focuses on three interdependent themes: (a) origins and consequences of the current debt crisis; (b) the systemic nature of the crisis; (c) national and international policy efforts to avoid a global collapse and bring about lasting reforms in the Euro zone and in the financial system.

Economics of the Monetary Union

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Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0198849540
Total Pages : 302 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (988 download)

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Book Synopsis Economics of the Monetary Union by : Paul De Grauwe

Download or read book Economics of the Monetary Union written by Paul De Grauwe and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2020-03-19 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The thirteenth edition of this market-leading textbook provides an authoritative and concise analysis of the theories and policies relating to monetary union in which the author helps students to critically think about the sustainability of the Eurozone. Part One examines the implications of adopting a common currency by analysing Europe's experience and the issues faced by the European Central Bank. Part Two of the book looks at the problems of running a monetary union by analysing Europe's experience and the issues faced by the European Central Bank. Each chapter ends with a conclusion recapping the core issues, and a set of questions, which encourages students to test their knowledge and stretch their understanding further. This book is accompanied by the following online resources: For students: - Links to data sources - Essay questions - Web links - Paul De Grauwe on Twitter For Lecturers: - PowerPoint slides - Instructor's manual

Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475505531
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 by : Mr.Udaibir S. Das

Download or read book Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 written by Mr.Udaibir S. Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-01 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a comprehensive survey of pertinent issues on sovereign debt restructurings, based on a newly constructed database. This is the first complete dataset of sovereign restructuring cases, covering the six decades from 1950–2010; it includes 186 debt exchanges with foreign banks and bondholders, and 447 bilateral debt agreements with the Paris Club. We present new stylized facts on the outcome and process of debt restructurings, including on the size of haircuts, creditor participation, and legal aspects. In addition, the paper summarizes the relevant empirical literature, analyzes recent restructuring episodes, and discusses ongoing debates on crisis resolution mechanisms, credit default swaps, and the role of collective action clauses.

The Road to Monetary Union

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 110896205X
Total Pages : 75 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis The Road to Monetary Union by : Richard Pomfret

Download or read book The Road to Monetary Union written by Richard Pomfret and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2021-03-11 with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Road to Monetary Union analyses in non-technical language the process leading to adoption of a common currency for the European Union. The monetary union process involved different issues at different times and the contemporary global background mattered. The Element explains why monetary union was attempted and failed in the 1970s, and why the process was restarted in 1979, accelerated after 1992 and completed for a core group of EU members in 1999. It analyzes connections between eurozone membership and Greece's sovereign debt crisis. It concludes with analysis of how the eurozone works today and with discussion of its prospects for the 2020s. The approach is primarily economic, while acknowledging the role of politics (timing) and history (path dependence). A theme is to challenge simplistic ideas (e.g. that the euro has failed) with fuller analysis of competing pressures to shape the nature of monetary union.

Sovereign Risk and Belief-Driven Fluctuations in the Euro Area

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475516800
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Risk and Belief-Driven Fluctuations in the Euro Area by : Giancarlo Corsetti

Download or read book Sovereign Risk and Belief-Driven Fluctuations in the Euro Area written by Giancarlo Corsetti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-11-06 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sovereign risk premia in several euro area countries have risen markedly since 2008, driving up credit spreads in the private sector as well. We propose a New Keynesian model of a two-region monetary union that accounts for this “sovereign risk channel.” The model is calibrated to the euro area as of mid-2012. We show that a combination of sovereign risk in one region and strongly procyclical fiscal policy at the aggregate level exacerbates the risk of belief-driven deflationary downturns. The model provides an argument in favor of coordinated, asymmetric fiscal stances as a way to prevent selffulfilling debt crises.

Lectures In International Finance: Crisis, Coordination, Currency Unions, And Debt

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Publisher : World Scientific Publishing Company
ISBN 13 : 981310175X
Total Pages : 204 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (131 download)

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Book Synopsis Lectures In International Finance: Crisis, Coordination, Currency Unions, And Debt by : Paul R Masson

Download or read book Lectures In International Finance: Crisis, Coordination, Currency Unions, And Debt written by Paul R Masson and published by World Scientific Publishing Company. This book was released on 2007-03-12 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a good basis for a graduate course in international finance. It also serves as a reference source for professional economists. Though other good surveys and handbooks are available, they are too extensive to serve as a graduate textbook. In many cases they are outdated, as there has been an explosion of work on the issues over the last decade, stimulated by events such as the Asian crises of 1997 and 1998, the creation of the Euro zone in 1999, and Argentina's 2001 default. This book covers up-to-date developments on these issues.

The Economics of Monetary Unions

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000036790
Total Pages : 271 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Economics of Monetary Unions by : Juan E. Castañeda

Download or read book The Economics of Monetary Unions written by Juan E. Castañeda and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-03-16 with total page 271 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book, a historical analysis of the precedents of the euro is examined within the context of the current issues affecting the Eurozone and the long-term effects of the institutional changes implemented since 2010. The book begins by placing the Eurozone challenges in the historical context of previous monetary unions, drawing on the experience of the gold standard. It then specifically focuses on the problems arising from the running of permanent trade imbalances within the Eurozone. The authors explore the advantages and disadvantages of being a member of the Eurozone and attempt to measure the optimality of a currency area by the calculation of an index on internal macroeconomic asymmetries. They address the proposals recently made in favour of a fiscal union in the Euro zone; including the economic and political feasibility of fiscal transfers in the Eurozone. The final two papers discuss whether the monetary union is in fact more than just that, and whether it will lead inevitably to some form of political union if it is to survive. With chapters by leading experts from both Europe and the UK, this book will appeal to students in Economics, Finance, Politics, EU integration and European studies; as well as academics and professional economists doing research in EU integration, the Euro zone, monetary history and monetary and banking unions in Europe, the UK and elsewhere.

Essays in International Economics

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (15 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays in International Economics by : Chenxin Liu

Download or read book Essays in International Economics written by Chenxin Liu and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The eurozone fosters economic integration among its member states, but the stringent debt restructuring regulations forbid outright sovereign default. Chapter 1 investigates the effects of the eurozone membership on sovereign debt capacity. We find that a small country benefits not only from free trade but significantly more from increased commitment by joining the eurozone. Counterfactual experiments show that (1) permitting a member state to default within the currency union is ex ante welfare decreasing (2) the Greek debt restructuring was perceived as an unanticipated change to the union-wide debt restructuring stance, which subsequently resulted in peripheral sovereign bonds' repricing in the eurozone. The central bank of a monetary union typically sets the nominal interest rate targeting aggregate variables at the union level. Fundamentals of a small member state carry small weights in monetary policy decisions. Consequently the economic dynamics of the small country are more volatile than its big country counterparts. Chapter 2 evaluates the effectiveness of a countercyclical financial policy for a small country in a monetary union and finds the policy welfare improving. The primary cause of excessive volatility in a small country is the persistent deviation between union-wide nominal rates and fundamentals of the small country. Chapter 3 studies optimal macroprudential policy in a model in which unconventional shocks, in the form of news about future fundamentals and regime changes in world interest rates, interact with collateral constraints in driving the dynamics of financial crises. Quantitatively, macroprudential debt taxes can lower the frequency and magnitude of financial crises, but the policy is complex because it features significant variation across interest-rate regimes and news realizations. Chapter 4 finds strong evidence of an in-sample anomaly from currency market. When we include U.S. inflation in the well-known uncovered interest parity regression, we find that the inflation variable is highly significant and the interest-rate differential is not. We introduce a model in which a Taylor rule determines monetary policy, but in which not only monetary shocks but also liquidity shocks drive nominal interest rates. This model can potentially account for the empirical findings.

The Liquidation of Government Debt

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498338380
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis The Liquidation of Government Debt by : Ms.Carmen Reinhart

Download or read book The Liquidation of Government Debt written by Ms.Carmen Reinhart and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-01-21 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: High public debt often produces the drama of default and restructuring. But debt is also reduced through financial repression, a tax on bondholders and savers via negative or belowmarket real interest rates. After WWII, capital controls and regulatory restrictions created a captive audience for government debt, limiting tax-base erosion. Financial repression is most successful in liquidating debt when accompanied by inflation. For the advanced economies, real interest rates were negative 1⁄2 of the time during 1945–1980. Average annual interest expense savings for a 12—country sample range from about 1 to 5 percent of GDP for the full 1945–1980 period. We suggest that, once again, financial repression may be part of the toolkit deployed to cope with the most recent surge in public debt in advanced economies.

Global Waves of Debt

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464815453
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Waves of Debt by : M. Ayhan Kose

Download or read book Global Waves of Debt written by M. Ayhan Kose and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.