Inference and Decision-making with Heterogeneous Information

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (927 download)

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Book Synopsis Inference and Decision-making with Heterogeneous Information by : Jingqi Yu

Download or read book Inference and Decision-making with Heterogeneous Information written by Jingqi Yu and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Every day, people are bombarded with information from various sources, and yet they do not have nearly enough time to process it. How do people sift through information and decide what to use, and what do they rely on to make these decisions? How do people respond to inconsistent or conflicting information? The goal of this dissertation is to investigate these core questions as well as their implications in education and business. To do this, my work takes a highly interdisciplinary approach that combines cognitive science, consumer behavior, information systems, and communication studies, using a blend of behavioral experimentation and computational cognitive modeling. I present three papers that examine the mechanisms people engage in when they integrate information displayed in different forms and from different sources in educational and consumer contexts. The first paper approaches learning statistical inference in an experientially grounded way by developing computer simulations. It reveals people's flexibility to "game" the game, highlighting the importance of ensuring alignment between visual training and learning objectives in educational games. The second paper uses a computational approach to systematically reveal the common ways people ascribe meanings to the five-star rating system when shopping online. The findings suggest two ways to improve the interactions between reputation and feedback systems and their users: normalizing ratings with commentaries and normalizing ratings with clarification and education. The third paper demonstrates how people integrate ratings and reviews into their purchase decisions, and how these decisions can be influenced by the consumers' justifications. It also unveils the role of information relevance and similarity in social cognition. These insights could be leveraged by different players in the market to influence consumer choice. By examining information integration in education and digital economy, this dissertation helps create a more comprehensive picture of how people generate, disseminate, and consume information. It highlights the mechanisms by which people integrate heterogeneous information to make inferences and decisions, as well as cues and heuristics they rely on to facilitate these everyday tasks. This expanded understanding informs the development of systems whose goal is to facilitate user navigation in the era of big data.

Information, Inference and Decision

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401021597
Total Pages : 196 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Information, Inference and Decision by : G. Menges

Download or read book Information, Inference and Decision written by G. Menges and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Under the title 'Information, Inference and Decision' this volume in the Theory and Decision Library presents some papers on issues from the borderland of statistical inference philosophy and epistemology, written by statisticians and decision theorists who belonged or are allied to the former Saarbriicken school of statistical decision theory. In the first part I make an attempt to outline an objective theory of inductive behaviour, on the basis of R. A. Fisher's statistical inference philosophy, on the one hand, and R. Carnap's inductive logic, on the other. A special problem arising in the context of the new theory, viz., the problem of vagueness of concepts (in particular in the social sciences) is treated separately by H. Skala and myself. B. Leiner has contributed some biographical and bibliographical notes on the objective theory of inductive behaviour. Part II is concerned with inference philosophy. D. A. S. Fraser, the founder of structural inference theory, characterizes and compares some inference philosophies, and discusses his own and the arguments of the critics of his structural theory. In my opinion, Fraser's structural infer ence theory is suited to complete Fisher's inference philosophy in some essential points, if not to replace it. An interesting task for future re search work is to establish the connection between Fraser's theory and Carnap's ideas in the framework of an objective theory of inductive behaviour.

Sequential Decision Making for Active Learning and Inference in Online Settings

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 124 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (124 download)

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Book Synopsis Sequential Decision Making for Active Learning and Inference in Online Settings by : Boshuang Huang

Download or read book Sequential Decision Making for Active Learning and Inference in Online Settings written by Boshuang Huang and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation focuses on sequential decision making for active learning and inference in online settings. In particular, we consider the settings where the hypothesis space is large and labeled data are expensive. Examples include unusual activities in surveillance feedings, target search among large areas, frauds in financial transactions, attacks and intrusions in communication and computer networks, anomalies in infrastructures such as bridges, buildings, and the power grid that may indicate catastrophes. All those applications above are involved with two challenges: (1) massive search space leads to high detection delay (2) labeled data are expensive and time consuming. For active inference, the objective is to detect such event as soon as possible, with a constraint on either the detection accuracy. For active learning, the goal is to minimize the label complexity with certain requirement on the cumulative classification error. The key solution to both problems is to utilize active learning approaches that actively choose which samples to be labeled based on the past observations. In active approaches, the decision maker exert control on which data points to learn from with the objective of label efficiency In this dissertation, we first focus on designing active learning algorithms for active inference. We consider an anomaly detection problem among heterogeneous processes. At each time, a subset of processes can be probed. The objective is to design a sequential probing strategy that dynamically determines which processes to observe at each time and when to terminate the search so that the expected detection time is minimized under a constraint on the probability of misclassifying any process. A low-complexity deterministic test is shown to enjoy the same asymptotic optimality while offering significantly better performance in the finite regime and faster convergence to the optimal rate function, especially when the number of processes is large. Furthermore, the proposed test offers considerable reduction in implementation complexity. Then, we consider active learning algorithms for classifying streaming instances within the framework of statistical learning theory in online settings. At each time, the learner decides whether to query the label of the current instance. If the decision is to not query, the learner predicts the label and receives no feedback on the correctness of the prediction. The objective is to minimize the number of queries while constraining the number of prediction errors over a horizon of length $T$. The proposed algorithm is shown to outperform existing online active learning algorithms as well as extensions of representative offline algorithms developed under the PAC setting.

Inference and Decision-making with Partial Knowledge

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 109 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (366 download)

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Book Synopsis Inference and Decision-making with Partial Knowledge by : S. Rasoul Safavian

Download or read book Inference and Decision-making with Partial Knowledge written by S. Rasoul Safavian and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 109 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Reinforcement and Systemic Machine Learning for Decision Making

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118271556
Total Pages : 324 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (182 download)

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Book Synopsis Reinforcement and Systemic Machine Learning for Decision Making by : Parag Kulkarni

Download or read book Reinforcement and Systemic Machine Learning for Decision Making written by Parag Kulkarni and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-07-11 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reinforcement and Systemic Machine Learning for Decision Making There are always difficulties in making machines that learn from experience. Complete information is not always available—or it becomes available in bits and pieces over a period of time. With respect to systemic learning, there is a need to understand the impact of decisions and actions on a system over that period of time. This book takes a holistic approach to addressing that need and presents a new paradigm—creating new learning applications and, ultimately, more intelligent machines. The first book of its kind in this new and growing field, Reinforcement and Systemic Machine Learning for Decision Making focuses on the specialized research area of machine learning and systemic machine learning. It addresses reinforcement learning and its applications, incremental machine learning, repetitive failure-correction mechanisms, and multiperspective decision making. Chapters include: Introduction to Reinforcement and Systemic Machine Learning Fundamentals of Whole-System, Systemic, and Multiperspective Machine Learning Systemic Machine Learning and Model Inference and Information Integration Adaptive Learning Incremental Learning and Knowledge Representation Knowledge Augmentation: A Machine Learning Perspective Building a Learning System With the potential of this paradigm to become one of the more utilized in its field, professionals in the area of machine and systemic learning will find this book to be a valuable resource.

Inference and Decision

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Publisher : University Press of Canada ; Delhi : Hindustan Publishing Corporation
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (97 download)

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Book Synopsis Inference and Decision by : Günter Menges

Download or read book Inference and Decision written by Günter Menges and published by University Press of Canada ; Delhi : Hindustan Publishing Corporation. This book was released on 1973 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Developing a Protocol for Observational Comparative Effectiveness Research: A User's Guide

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Publisher : Government Printing Office
ISBN 13 : 1587634236
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (876 download)

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Book Synopsis Developing a Protocol for Observational Comparative Effectiveness Research: A User's Guide by : Agency for Health Care Research and Quality (U.S.)

Download or read book Developing a Protocol for Observational Comparative Effectiveness Research: A User's Guide written by Agency for Health Care Research and Quality (U.S.) and published by Government Printing Office. This book was released on 2013-02-21 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This User’s Guide is a resource for investigators and stakeholders who develop and review observational comparative effectiveness research protocols. It explains how to (1) identify key considerations and best practices for research design; (2) build a protocol based on these standards and best practices; and (3) judge the adequacy and completeness of a protocol. Eleven chapters cover all aspects of research design, including: developing study objectives, defining and refining study questions, addressing the heterogeneity of treatment effect, characterizing exposure, selecting a comparator, defining and measuring outcomes, and identifying optimal data sources. Checklists of guidance and key considerations for protocols are provided at the end of each chapter. The User’s Guide was created by researchers affiliated with AHRQ’s Effective Health Care Program, particularly those who participated in AHRQ’s DEcIDE (Developing Evidence to Inform Decisions About Effectiveness) program. Chapters were subject to multiple internal and external independent reviews. More more information, please consult the Agency website: www.effectivehealthcare.ahrq.gov)

Decision Making and Inference Under Limited Information and High Dimensionality

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 342 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (919 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making and Inference Under Limited Information and High Dimensionality by : Stefano Ermon

Download or read book Decision Making and Inference Under Limited Information and High Dimensionality written by Stefano Ermon and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 342 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical inference in high-dimensional probabilistic models is one of the central problems of statistical machine learning and stochastic decision making. To date, only a handful of distinct methods have been developed, most notably (Markov Chain Monte Carlo) sampling, decomposition, and variational methods. In this dissertation, we will introduce a fundamentally new approach based on random projections and combinatorial optimization. Our approach provides provable guarantees on accuracy, and outperforms traditional methods in a range of domains, in particular those involving combinations of probabilistic and causal dependencies (such as those coming from physical laws) among the variables. This allows for a tighter integration between inductive and deductive reasoning, and offers a range of new modeling opportunities. As an example, we will discuss an application in the emerging field of Computational Sustainability aimed at discovering new fuel-cell materials where we greatly improved the quality of the results by incorporating prior background knowledge of the physics of the system into the model.

Topics in Inference and Decision-Making with Partial Knowledge

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781730730337
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Topics in Inference and Decision-Making with Partial Knowledge by : National Aeronautics and Space Adm Nasa

Download or read book Topics in Inference and Decision-Making with Partial Knowledge written by National Aeronautics and Space Adm Nasa and published by . This book was released on 2018-11 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Two essential elements needed in the process of inference and decision-making are prior probabilities and likelihood functions. When both of these components are known accurately and precisely, the Bayesian approach provides a consistent and coherent solution to the problems of inference and decision-making. In many situations, however, either one or both of the above components may not be known, or at least may not be known precisely. This problem of partial knowledge about prior probabilities and likelihood functions is addressed. There are at least two ways to cope with this lack of precise knowledge: robust methods, and interval-valued methods. First, ways of modeling imprecision and indeterminacies in prior probabilities and likelihood functions are examined; then how imprecision in the above components carries over to the posterior probabilities is examined. Finally, the problem of decision making with imprecise posterior probabilities and the consequences of such actions are addressed. Application areas where the above problems may occur are in statistical pattern recognition problems, for example, the problem of classification of high-dimensional multispectral remote sensing image data. Safavian, S. Rasoul and Landgrebe, David Unspecified Center...

Special Issue on Inference and Decision Making

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (247 download)

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Book Synopsis Special Issue on Inference and Decision Making by : J. Geweke

Download or read book Special Issue on Inference and Decision Making written by J. Geweke and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Emerging Methods in Predictive Analytics: Risk Management and Decision-Making

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Publisher : IGI Global
ISBN 13 : 1466650648
Total Pages : 447 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (666 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Methods in Predictive Analytics: Risk Management and Decision-Making by : Hsu, William H.

Download or read book Emerging Methods in Predictive Analytics: Risk Management and Decision-Making written by Hsu, William H. and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2014-01-31 with total page 447 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision making tools are essential for the successful outcome of any organization. Recent advances in predictive analytics have aided in identifying particular points of leverage where critical decisions can be made. Emerging Methods in Predictive Analytics: Risk Management and Decision Making provides an interdisciplinary approach to predictive analytics; bringing together the fields of business, statistics, and information technology for effective decision making. Managers, business professionals, and decision makers in diverse fields will find the applications and cases presented in this text essential in providing new avenues for risk assessment, management, and predicting the future outcomes of their decisions.

Inference and decision making

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (441 download)

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Book Synopsis Inference and decision making by : John Geweke

Download or read book Inference and decision making written by John Geweke and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Information Systems, Technology and Management

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642120342
Total Pages : 431 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (421 download)

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Book Synopsis Information Systems, Technology and Management by : Sushil K. Prasad

Download or read book Information Systems, Technology and Management written by Sushil K. Prasad and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-03-01 with total page 431 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Information Systems, Technology and Management, ICISTM 2010, held in Bangkok, Thailand, in March 2010. The 28 revised full papers presented together with 3 keynote lectures, 9 short papers, and 2 tutorial papers were carefully reviewed and selected from 86 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on information systems, information technology, information management, and applications.

Heterogeneous Information Exchange and Organizational Hubs

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401717699
Total Pages : 253 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Heterogeneous Information Exchange and Organizational Hubs by : H. Bestougeff

Download or read book Heterogeneous Information Exchange and Organizational Hubs written by H. Bestougeff and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Helene Bestougeff, Universite de Marne Ia Vallee, France Jacques-Emile Dubois, Universite Paris VII-Denis Diderot, France Bhavani Thuraisingham, MITRE Corporation, USA The last fifty years promoted the conceptual trio: Knowledge, Information and Data (KID) to the center of our present scientific technological and human activities. The intrusion of the Internet drastically modified the historical cycles of communication between authors, providers and users. Today, information is often the result of the interaction between data and the knowledge based on their comprehension, interpretation and prediction. Nowadays important goals involve the exchange of heterogeneous information, as many real life and even specific scientific and technological problems are all interdisciplinary by nature. For a specific project, this signifies extracting information, data and even knowledge from many different sources that must be addressed by interoperable programs. Another important challenge is that of corporations collaborating with each other and forming coalitions and partnerships. One development towards achieving this challenge is organizational hubs. This concept is new and still evolving. Much like an airport hub serving air traffic needs, organizational hubs are central platforms that provide information and collaboration specific to a group of users' needs. Now companies are creating hubs particular to certain types of industries. The users of hubs are seen as communities for which all related information is directly available without further searching efforts and often with value-added services.

Knowledge Processing and Decision Making in Agent-Based Systems

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540880488
Total Pages : 325 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (48 download)

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Book Synopsis Knowledge Processing and Decision Making in Agent-Based Systems by : Lakhmi C Jain

Download or read book Knowledge Processing and Decision Making in Agent-Based Systems written by Lakhmi C Jain and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-01-17 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Knowledge processing and decision making in agent-based systems constitute the key components of intelligent machines. The contributions included in the book are: Innovations in Knowledge Processing and Decision Making in Agent-Based Systems Towards Real-World HTN Planning Agents Mobile Agent-Based System for Distributed Software Maintenance Software Agents in New Generation Networks: Towards the Automation of Telecom Processes Multi-agent Systems and Paraconsistent Knowledge An Agent-based Negotiation Platform for Collaborative Decision-Making in Construction Supply Chain An Event-Driven Algorithm for Agents at the Web A Generic Mobile Agent Framework Toward Ambient Intelligence Developing Actionable Trading Strategies Agent Uncertainty Model and Quantum Mechanics Representation Agent Transportation Layer Adaptation System Software Agents to Enable Service Composition through Negotiation Advanced Technology Towards Developing Decentralized Autonomous Flexible Manufacturing Systems

Causal Inference from Heterogeneous Data with Missing Data

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (128 download)

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Book Synopsis Causal Inference from Heterogeneous Data with Missing Data by : Imke Mayer

Download or read book Causal Inference from Heterogeneous Data with Missing Data written by Imke Mayer and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The problem of missing data is unavoidable in statistical practice, most analysis methods cannot be implemented directly from incomplete data. This domain is expanding rapidly within the statistical community, as the problem of missing data is exacerbated by the multiplicity of data collected, often from different sources of information. It is therefore crucial to identify effective methodologies for carrying out (causal) analyses in the presence of incomplete data, and to know how much confidence can be placed in the results obtained from incomplete data.The subject of this dissertation is to propose new methods in the context of causal inference, adapted to some of the challenges of modern data collection processes, namely missingness and heterogeneity; and to develop practical methodologies suited to assess questions of medical relevance and support decision making in a context of time and resource constraints, as it is the case for instance in critical care management.We take the perspective of causal inference and treatment effect estimation to address these challenges. Theory and methodologies for treatment effect estimation are well understood especially in the experimental study case in randomized controlled trials, the textit{gold standard} to assess treatment and intervention effects. However, for observational data causal inference methods and results are not widely applied, the number of successful and accepted examples in applied domains still remain quite low currently and only cover few domains of science. Because classical statistical frameworks can only derive limited causal knowledge from observational data without access to treatment randomization, observational studies are rarely considered acceptable as a valid tool for analyzing causality. Additionally, other challenges that arise in practice, limit the leveraging of observational data. For instance the presence of missing values does not only lead to violations of underlying data generating assumptions, it also leads to practical limitations that make it difficult to (implicitly) ignore such missing values, especially in the era of ``big data'' and high-dimensional data. The contributions of this thesis consist of three main parts. The first part covers the case of missing values in observational studies and their impact on causal analyses, namely identifiability and estimation issues. We propose to explicitly integrate the missing values in the classical causal inference framework, allowing to define identifiability assumptions of treatment effects in the presence of missing values and we provide a generic and flexible estimation approach leveraging recent results from semi-parametric statistics. In the second part we consider a different set of problems, arising in the case of simultaneous availability of experimental and observational studies for the same question of interest the issue of how to relate, such studies, how to leverage their respective advantages and how to overcome their shortcomings is a relevant research topic studied by various fields, ranging from social and economic sciences, to biomedical and pharmaceutical research, as well as among the broad computer science community. We begin by reviewing the current state of the art addressing the question of how to generalize or transport results from experimental studies to more representative and general populations. We then address the question of how these results and methods are altered by the presence of missing values in either data source. To generalize effects of any treatment in such cases, we propose an estimation strategy that is based on multiple imputations. Finally, the third part of this manuscript focuses on utilization: We describe the concrete application, communication and implementation of the developed methodologies to critical care management and other relevant fields. Necessary code resources and instructional tutorials are made available as open source material.

Proceedings of the 21st International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management 2014

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9462391025
Total Pages : 628 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Proceedings of the 21st International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management 2014 by : Ershi Qi

Download or read book Proceedings of the 21st International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management 2014 written by Ershi Qi and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-01-06 with total page 628 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Being the premier forum for the presentation of new advances and research results in the fields of Industrial Engineering, IEEM 2014 aims to provide a high-level international forum for experts, scholars and entrepreneurs at home and abroad to present the recent advances, new techniques and applications face and face, to promote discussion and interaction among academics, researchers and professionals to promote the developments and applications of the related theories and technologies in universities and enterprises and to establish business or research relations to find global partners for future collaboration in the field of Industrial Engineering. All the goals of the international conference are to fulfill the mission of the series conference which is to review, exchange, summarize and promote the latest achievements in the field of industrial engineering and engineering management over the past year and to propose prospects and vision for the further development.