Implicit Volatilities

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Implicit Volatilities

Author : Robert Schott
Publisher : diplom.de
ISBN 13 : 3836621118
Total Pages : 83 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (366 download)

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Book Synopsis Implicit Volatilities by : Robert Schott

Download or read book Implicit Volatilities written by Robert Schott and published by diplom.de. This book was released on 2008-10-23 with total page 83 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inhaltsangabe:Introduction: Volatility is a crucial factor widely followed in the financial world. It is not only the single unknown determinant in the Black & Scholes model to derive a theoretical option price, but also the fact that portfolios can be diversified and hedged with volatility makes it a topic, which is crucial to understand for market participants comprising a wide group of private investors and professional traders as well as issuers of derivative products upon volatility. The year 1973 was in several respects a crucial year for implicit volatility. The breakdown of the Bretton-Wood-System paved the way for derivative instruments, because of the beginning era of floating currencies. Furthermore Fischer Black and Myron Samuel Scholes published in 1973 the ground breaking Black & Scholes (BS) model in the Journal of Political Economy. This model was adopted in 1975 at the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), which also was founded in the year 1973, for pricing options. Especially since 1973 volatility has become a tremendously debated topic in financial literature with continually new insights in short-time periods. Volatility is a central feature of option-pricing models and emerged per se as an independent asset class for investment purposes. The implicit volatility, the topic of the thesis, is a market indicator widely used by all option market practitioners. In the thesis the focus lies on the implicit (implied) volatility (IV). It is the estimation of the volatility that perfectly explains the option price, given all other variables, including the price of the underlying asset in context of the BS model. At the start the BS model, which is the theoretical basic of model-specific IV models, and its variations are discussed. In the concept of volatility IV is defined and the way it is computed is given as well as a look on historical volatility. Afterwards the implied volatility surface (IVS) is presented, which is a non-flat surface, a contradiction to the ideal BS assumptions. Furthermore, reasons of the change of the implied volatility function (IVF) and the term structure are discussed. The model specific IV model is then compared to other possible volatility forecast models. Then the model-free IV methodology is presented with a step-to-step example of the calculation of the widely followed CBOE Volatility Index VIX. Finally the VIX term structure and the relevance of the IV in practice are shown up. To ensure a good [...]

Semiparametric Modeling of Implied Volatility

Author : Matthias R. Fengler
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540305912
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (43 download)

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Book Synopsis Semiparametric Modeling of Implied Volatility by : Matthias R. Fengler

Download or read book Semiparametric Modeling of Implied Volatility written by Matthias R. Fengler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-12-19 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers recent advances in the theory of implied volatility and refined semiparametric estimation strategies and dimension reduction methods for functional surfaces. The first part is devoted to smile-consistent pricing approaches. The second part covers estimation techniques that are natural candidates to meet the challenges in implied volatility surfaces. Empirical investigations, simulations, and pictures illustrate the concepts.

Advanced Fixed Income Analytics

Author : Wesley Phoa
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9781883249342
Total Pages : 242 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (493 download)

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Book Synopsis Advanced Fixed Income Analytics by : Wesley Phoa

Download or read book Advanced Fixed Income Analytics written by Wesley Phoa and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1997-11-09 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advanced Fixed Income Analytics helps fixed income professionals stay abreast of the latest developments in the field by providing a practical account of quantitative methods in the fixed income market. Wesley Phoa covers a variety of important topics within the bond markets, including inflation-indexed bonds, prepayment risk and modeling, term structure models, credit spread and volatility risk, and risk measures and return attribution. The information and guidance of Advanced Fixed Income Analytics has a strong emphasis on empirical analysis and practical applications that will prepare you for anything within the fixed income market.

Pricing Derivative Securities

Author : Thomas W Epps
Publisher : World Scientific Publishing Company
ISBN 13 : 9814365432
Total Pages : 644 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (143 download)

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Book Synopsis Pricing Derivative Securities by : Thomas W Epps

Download or read book Pricing Derivative Securities written by Thomas W Epps and published by World Scientific Publishing Company. This book was released on 2007-06-04 with total page 644 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents techniques for valuing derivative securities at a level suitable for practitioners, students in doctoral programs in economics and finance, and those in masters-level programs in financial mathematics and computational finance. It provides the necessary mathematical tools from analysis, probability theory, the theory of stochastic processes, and stochastic calculus, making extensive use of examples. It also covers pricing theory, with emphasis on martingale methods. The chapters are organized around the assumptions made about the dynamics of underlying price processes. Readers begin with simple, discrete-time models that require little mathematical sophistication, proceed to the basic Black-Scholes theory, and then advance to continuous-time models with multiple risk sources. The second edition takes account of the major developments in the field since 2000. New topics include the use of simulation to price American-style derivatives, a new one-step approach to pricing options by inverting characteristic functions, and models that allow jumps in volatility and Markov-driven changes in regime. The new chapter on interest-rate derivatives includes extensive coverage of the LIBOR market model and an introduction to the modeling of credit risk. As a supplement to the text, the book contains an accompanying CD-ROM with user-friendly FORTRAN, C++, and VBA program components.

Volatility and Correlation

Author : Riccardo Rebonato
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470091401
Total Pages : 864 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility and Correlation by : Riccardo Rebonato

Download or read book Volatility and Correlation written by Riccardo Rebonato and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-07-08 with total page 864 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Volatility and Correlation 2nd edition: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox, Rebonato looks at derivatives pricing from the angle of volatility and correlation. With both practical and theoretical applications, this is a thorough update of the highly successful Volatility & Correlation – with over 80% new or fully reworked material and is a must have both for practitioners and for students. The new and updated material includes a critical examination of the ‘perfect-replication’ approach to derivatives pricing, with special attention given to exotic options; a thorough analysis of the role of quadratic variation in derivatives pricing and hedging; a discussion of the informational efficiency of markets in commonly-used calibration and hedging practices. Treatment of new models including Variance Gamma, displaced diffusion, stochastic volatility for interest-rate smiles and equity/FX options. The book is split into four parts. Part I deals with a Black world without smiles, sets out the author’s ‘philosophical’ approach and covers deterministic volatility. Part II looks at smiles in equity and FX worlds. It begins with a review of relevant empirical information about smiles, and provides coverage of local-stochastic-volatility, general-stochastic-volatility, jump-diffusion and Variance-Gamma processes. Part II concludes with an important chapter that discusses if and to what extent one can dispense with an explicit specification of a model, and can directly prescribe the dynamics of the smile surface. Part III focusses on interest rates when the volatility is deterministic. Part IV extends this setting in order to account for smiles in a financially motivated and computationally tractable manner. In this final part the author deals with CEV processes, with diffusive stochastic volatility and with Markov-chain processes. Praise for the First Edition: “In this book, Dr Rebonato brings his penetrating eye to bear on option pricing and hedging.... The book is a must-read for those who already know the basics of options and are looking for an edge in applying the more sophisticated approaches that have recently been developed.” —Professor Ian Cooper, London Business School “Volatility and correlation are at the very core of all option pricing and hedging. In this book, Riccardo Rebonato presents the subject in his characteristically elegant and simple fashion...A rare combination of intellectual insight and practical common sense.” —Anthony Neuberger, London Business School

Stochastic Volatility

Author : Neil Shephard
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191531421
Total Pages : 536 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Volatility by : Neil Shephard

Download or read book Stochastic Volatility written by Neil Shephard and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2005-03-10 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic volatility is the main concept used in the fields of financial economics and mathematical finance to deal with time-varying volatility in financial markets. This book brings together some of the main papers that have influenced the field of the econometrics of stochastic volatility, and shows that the development of this subject has been highly multidisciplinary, with results drawn from financial economics, probability theory, and econometrics, blending to produce methods and models that have aided our understanding of the realistic pricing of options, efficient asset allocation, and accurate risk assessment. A lengthy introduction by the editor connects the papers with the literature.

Noise Trading, Central Bank Interventions, and the Informational Content of Foreign Currency Options

Author : Christian Pierdzioch
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9783540427452
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (274 download)

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Book Synopsis Noise Trading, Central Bank Interventions, and the Informational Content of Foreign Currency Options by : Christian Pierdzioch

Download or read book Noise Trading, Central Bank Interventions, and the Informational Content of Foreign Currency Options written by Christian Pierdzioch and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2001-12-06 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A flexible instrument to insure against adverse exchange rate movements are options on foreign currency. Often a relatively simple foreign currency option valuation model is used to address issues related to the pricing and hedging of such options. The results of many empirical studies document that real-world foreign currency option premia deviate from those predicted by the baseline model. In the first part of the book, it is shown that a noise trader model can help to explain the observed mispricing of the baseline foreign currency option pricing model. In the second part of the book, it is studied how policymakers can exploit the pricing errors of the baseline model. In particular, it is examined how option pricing theory can be applied to assess the effectiveness of central bank interventions in the foreign exchange market. To this end, a model is constructed to analyze the effectiveness of the interventions conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank during the Louvre period.

Empirical Studies on Volatility in International Stock Markets

Author : Eugenie M.J.H. Hol
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 147575129X
Total Pages : 168 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Studies on Volatility in International Stock Markets by : Eugenie M.J.H. Hol

Download or read book Empirical Studies on Volatility in International Stock Markets written by Eugenie M.J.H. Hol and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Empirical Studies on Volatility in International Stock Markets describes the existing techniques for the measurement and estimation of volatility in international stock markets with emphasis on the SV model and its empirical application. Eugenie Hol develops various extensions of the SV model, which allow for additional variables in both the mean and the variance equation. In addition, the forecasting performance of SV models is compared not only to that of the well-established GARCH model but also to implied volatility and so-called realised volatility models which are based on intraday volatility measures. The intended readers are financial professionals who seek to obtain more accurate volatility forecasts and wish to gain insight about state-of-the-art volatility modelling techniques and their empirical value, and academic researchers and students who are interested in financial market volatility and want to obtain an updated overview of the various methods available in this area.

Fixed Income Modelling

Author : Claus Munk
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0191617849
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Fixed Income Modelling by : Claus Munk

Download or read book Fixed Income Modelling written by Claus Munk and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2011-06-30 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fixed Income Modelling offers a unified presentation of dynamic term structure models and their applications to the pricing and risk management of fixed income securities. It explains the basic fixed income securities and their properties and uses as well as the relations between those securities. The book presents and compares the classical affine models, Heath-Jarrow-Morton models, and LIBOR market models, and demonstrates how to apply those models for the pricing of various widely traded fixed income securities. It offers a balanced presentation with both formal mathematical modelling and economic intuition and understanding. The book has a number of distinctive features including a thorough and accessible introduction to stochastic processes and the stochastic calculus needed for the modern financial modelling approach used in the book, as well as a separate chapter that explains how the term structure of interest rates relates to macro-economic variables and to what extent the concrete interest rate models are founded in general economic theory. The book focuses on the most widely used models and the main fixed income securities, instead of trying to cover all the many specialized models and the countless exotic real-life products. The in-depth explanation of the main pricing principles, techniques, and models as well as their application to the most important types of securities will enable the reader to understand and apply other models and price other securities. The book includes chapters on interest rate risk management, credit risk, mortgage-backed securities, and relevant numerical techniques. Each chapter concludes with a number of exercises of varying complexity. Suitable for MSc students specializing in finance and economics, quantitatively oriented MBA students, and first- or second-year PhD students, this book will also be a useful reference for researchers and finance professionals and can be used in specialized courses on fixed income or broader courses on derivatives.

Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets

Author : Stephen Satchell
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080471420
Total Pages : 432 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets by : Stephen Satchell

Download or read book Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets written by Stephen Satchell and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2011-02-24 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This new edition of Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets assumes that the reader has a firm grounding in the key principles and methods of understanding volatility measurement and builds on that knowledge to detail cutting-edge modelling and forecasting techniques. It provides a survey of ways to measure risk and define the different models of volatility and return. Editors John Knight and Stephen Satchell have brought together an impressive array of contributors who present research from their area of specialization related to volatility forecasting. Readers with an understanding of volatility measures and risk management strategies will benefit from this collection of up-to-date chapters on the latest techniques in forecasting volatility. Chapters new to this third edition: * What good is a volatility model? Engle and Patton * Applications for portfolio variety Dan diBartolomeo * A comparison of the properties of realized variance for the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 equity indices Rob Cornish * Volatility modeling and forecasting in finance Xiao and Aydemir * An investigation of the relative performance of GARCH models versus simple rules in forecasting volatility Thomas A. Silvey * Leading thinkers present newest research on volatility forecasting *International authors cover a broad array of subjects related to volatility forecasting *Assumes basic knowledge of volatility, financial mathematics, and modelling

Journal of Economics

Author : Rene Garcia
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 820 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Journal of Economics by : Rene Garcia

Download or read book Journal of Economics written by Rene Garcia and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 820 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Stochastic Volatility Modeling

Author : Lorenzo Bergomi
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1482244071
Total Pages : 520 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (822 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Volatility Modeling by : Lorenzo Bergomi

Download or read book Stochastic Volatility Modeling written by Lorenzo Bergomi and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2015-12-16 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Packed with insights, Lorenzo Bergomi's Stochastic Volatility Modeling explains how stochastic volatility is used to address issues arising in the modeling of derivatives, including:Which trading issues do we tackle with stochastic volatility? How do we design models and assess their relevance? How do we tell which models are usable and when does c

Analysing Intraday Implied Volatility for Pricing Currency Options

Author : Thi Le
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030712427
Total Pages : 350 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis Analysing Intraday Implied Volatility for Pricing Currency Options by : Thi Le

Download or read book Analysing Intraday Implied Volatility for Pricing Currency Options written by Thi Le and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-04-13 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on the impact of high-frequency data in forecasting market volatility and options price. New technologies have created opportunities to obtain better, faster, and more efficient datasets to explore financial market phenomena at the most acceptable data levels. It provides reliable intraday data supporting financial investment decisions across different assets classes and instruments consisting of commodities, derivatives, equities, fixed income and foreign exchange. This book emphasises four key areas, (1) estimating intraday implied volatility using ultra-high frequency (5-minutes frequency) currency options to capture traders' trading behaviour, (2) computing realised volatility based on 5-minute frequency currency price to obtain speculators' speculation attitude, (3) examining the ability of implied volatility to subsume market information through forecasting realised volatility and (4) evaluating the predictive power of implied volatility for pricing currency options. This is a must-read for academics and professionals who want to improve their skills and outcomes in trading options.

Are Option-implied Forecasts of Exchange Rate Volatility Excessively Variable?

Author : Shang-Jin Wei
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Are Option-implied Forecasts of Exchange Rate Volatility Excessively Variable? by : Shang-Jin Wei

Download or read book Are Option-implied Forecasts of Exchange Rate Volatility Excessively Variable? written by Shang-Jin Wei and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Market participants' forecasts of future exchange rate volatility can be recovered from option contracts on foreign currencies. Such implicit volatility forecasts for four currencies are used to test rational expectations jointly with the applicability of the standard Black-Scholes formula. First, we examine the null hypothesis that the market-anticipated one-month-ahead standard deviation is an unbiased estimator of the subsequent realized standard deviation. The parametric regression method rejects this hypothesis overwhelmingly: the implicit forecasts are themselves excessively variable. Simulations indicate that the rejection is not caused by non-normality of the error term. Second, we use a nonparametric method to test a weaker version of market rationality: the market can correctly forecast the direction of the change in exchange rate volatility. This time, the weaker version of rationality is confirmed- Third, we investigate how market forecasts are formed. We find some evidence that market participants put heavy weight on lagged volatility when forecasting future volatility. Finally, results from the Alternating Conditional Expectations algorithm provide further support for the central finding that when the market predicts a large deviation of volatility from its mean, it could do better by moderating its forecast.

Working Paper Series

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 542 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Working Paper Series by :

Download or read book Working Paper Series written by and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 542 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Volatility Surface

Author : Jim Gatheral
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118046455
Total Pages : 204 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis The Volatility Surface by : Jim Gatheral

Download or read book The Volatility Surface written by Jim Gatheral and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-03-10 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for The Volatility Surface "I'm thrilled by the appearance of Jim Gatheral's new book The Volatility Surface. The literature on stochastic volatility is vast, but difficult to penetrate and use. Gatheral's book, by contrast, is accessible and practical. It successfully charts a middle ground between specific examples and general models--achieving remarkable clarity without giving up sophistication, depth, or breadth." --Robert V. Kohn, Professor of Mathematics and Chair, Mathematical Finance Committee, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York University "Concise yet comprehensive, equally attentive to both theory and phenomena, this book provides an unsurpassed account of the peculiarities of the implied volatility surface, its consequences for pricing and hedging, and the theories that struggle to explain it." --Emanuel Derman, author of My Life as a Quant "Jim Gatheral is the wiliest practitioner in the business. This very fine book is an outgrowth of the lecture notes prepared for one of the most popular classes at NYU's esteemed Courant Institute. The topics covered are at the forefront of research in mathematical finance and the author's treatment of them is simply the best available in this form." --Peter Carr, PhD, head of Quantitative Financial Research, Bloomberg LP Director of the Masters Program in Mathematical Finance, New York University "Jim Gatheral is an acknowledged master of advanced modeling for derivatives. In The Volatility Surface he reveals the secrets of dealing with the most important but most elusive of financial quantities, volatility." --Paul Wilmott, author and mathematician "As a teacher in the field of mathematical finance, I welcome Jim Gatheral's book as a significant development. Written by a Wall Street practitioner with extensive market and teaching experience, The Volatility Surface gives students access to a level of knowledge on derivatives which was not previously available. I strongly recommend it." --Marco Avellaneda, Director, Division of Mathematical Finance Courant Institute, New York University "Jim Gatheral could not have written a better book." --Bruno Dupire, winner of the 2006 Wilmott Cutting Edge Research Award Quantitative Research, Bloomberg LP

Righting Software

Author : Juval Löwy
Publisher : Addison-Wesley Professional
ISBN 13 : 0136524028
Total Pages : 586 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (365 download)

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Book Synopsis Righting Software by : Juval Löwy

Download or read book Righting Software written by Juval Löwy and published by Addison-Wesley Professional. This book was released on 2019-11-27 with total page 586 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Right Your Software and Transform Your Career Righting Software presents the proven, structured, and highly engineered approach to software design that renowned architect Juval Löwy has practiced and taught around the world. Although companies of every kind have successfully implemented his original design ideas across hundreds of systems, these insights have never before appeared in print. Based on first principles in software engineering and a comprehensive set of matching tools and techniques, Löwy’s methodology integrates system design and project design. First, he describes the primary area where many software architects fail and shows how to decompose a system into smaller building blocks or services, based on volatility. Next, he shows how to flow an effective project design from the system design; how to accurately calculate the project duration, cost, and risk; and how to devise multiple execution options. The method and principles in Righting Software apply regardless of your project and company size, technology, platform, or industry. Löwy starts the reader on a journey that addresses the critical challenges of software development today by righting software systems and projects as well as careers—and possibly the software industry as a whole. Software professionals, architects, project leads, or managers at any stage of their career will benefit greatly from this book, which provides guidance and knowledge that would otherwise take decades and many projects to acquire. Register your book for convenient access to downloads, updates, and/or corrections as they become available. See inside book for details.