Foundations and Applications of Decision Theory

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9400997892
Total Pages : 463 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Foundations and Applications of Decision Theory by : C.A. Hooker

Download or read book Foundations and Applications of Decision Theory written by C.A. Hooker and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 463 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 1. INTRODUCTION In the Spring of 1975 we held an international workshop on the Foundations and Application of Decision Theory at the University of Western Ontario. To help structure the workshop into ordered and manageable sessions we distri buted the following statement of our goals to all invited participants. They in turn responded with useful revisions and suggested their own areas of interest. Since this procedure provided the eventual format of the sessions, we include it here as the most appropriate introduction to these collected papers result ing from the workshop. The reader can readily gauge the approximation to our mutual goals. 2. STATEMENT or OBJECTIVES AND RATIONALE (Attached to this statement is a bibliography; names of persons cited in the statement and writing in this century will be found referenced in the biblio graphy - certain 'classics' aside. ) 2. 1. Preamble We understand in the following the Theory of Decisions in a broader sense than is presently customary, construing it to embrace a general theory of deciSion-making, induding social, political and economic theory and applica tions. Thus, we subsume the Theory of Games under the head of Decision Theory, regarding it as a particularly clearly formulated version of part of the general theory of decision-making.

Uncertainty in Economic Theory

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134344155
Total Pages : 584 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (343 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Economic Theory by : Itzhak Gilboa

Download or read book Uncertainty in Economic Theory written by Itzhak Gilboa and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2004-08-02 with total page 584 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume brings together important papers, coupled with new introductions, in the massively influential area of uncertainty in economic theory. Seminal papers are available together for the first time in book format, with new introductions and under the steely editorship of Itzhak Gilboa - this book is a useful reference tool for economists all over the globe.

Bandit problems

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401537119
Total Pages : 283 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (15 download)

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Book Synopsis Bandit problems by : Donald A. Berry

Download or read book Bandit problems written by Donald A. Berry and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 283 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our purpose in writing this monograph is to give a comprehensive treatment of the subject. We define bandit problems and give the necessary foundations in Chapter 2. Many of the important results that have appeared in the literature are presented in later chapters; these are interspersed with new results. We give proofs unless they are very easy or the result is not used in the sequel. We have simplified a number of arguments so many of the proofs given tend to be conceptual rather than calculational. All results given have been incorporated into our style and notation. The exposition is aimed at a variety of types of readers. Bandit problems and the associated mathematical and technical issues are developed from first principles. Since we have tried to be comprehens ive the mathematical level is sometimes advanced; for example, we use measure-theoretic notions freely in Chapter 2. But the mathema tically uninitiated reader can easily sidestep such discussion when it occurs in Chapter 2 and elsewhere. We have tried to appeal to graduate students and professionals in engineering, biometry, econ omics, management science, and operations research, as well as those in mathematics and statistics. The monograph could serve as a reference for professionals or as a telA in a semester or year-long graduate level course.

Game Theory, Experience, Rationality

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401716544
Total Pages : 476 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Game Theory, Experience, Rationality by : W. Leinfellner

Download or read book Game Theory, Experience, Rationality written by W. Leinfellner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 476 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When von Neumann's and Morgenstern's Theory of Games and Economic Behavior appeared in 1944, one thought that a complete theory of strategic social behavior had appeared out of nowhere. However, game theory has, to this very day, remained a fast-growing assemblage of models which have gradually been united in a new social theory - a theory that is far from being completed even after recent advances in game theory, as evidenced by the work of the three Nobel Prize winners, John F. Nash, John C. Harsanyi, and Reinhard Selten. Two of them, Harsanyi and Selten, have contributed important articles to the present volume. This book leaves no doubt that the game-theoretical models are on the right track to becoming a respectable new theory, just like the great theories of the twentieth century originated from formerly separate models which merged in the course of decades. For social scientists, the age of great discover ies is not over. The recent advances of today's game theory surpass by far the results of traditional game theory. For example, modem game theory has a new empirical and social foundation, namely, societal experiences; this has changed its methods, its "rationality. " Morgenstern (I worked together with him for four years) dreamed of an encompassing theory of social behavior. With the inclusion of the concept of evolution in mathematical form, this dream will become true. Perhaps the new foundation will even lead to a new name, "conflict theory" instead of "game theory.

Newcomb's Problem

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1316853004
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (168 download)

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Book Synopsis Newcomb's Problem by : Arif Ahmed

Download or read book Newcomb's Problem written by Arif Ahmed and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-10-03 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Newcomb's problem is a controversial paradox of decision theory. It is easily explained and easily understood, and there is a strong chance that most of us have actually faced it in some form or other. And yet it has proven as thorny and intractable a puzzle as much older and better-known philosophical problems of consciousness, scepticism and fatalism. It brings into very sharp and focused disagreement several long-standing philosophical theories on practical rationality, on the nature of free will, and on the direction and analysis of causation. This volume introduces readers to the nature of Newcomb's problem, and ten chapters by leading scholars present the most recent debates around the problem and analyse its ramifications for decision theory, metaphysics, philosophical psychology and political science. Their chapters highlight the status of Newcomb's problem as a live and continuing issue in modern philosophy.

Differential Topology

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Publisher : American Mathematical Soc.
ISBN 13 : 0821851934
Total Pages : 242 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (218 download)

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Book Synopsis Differential Topology by : Victor Guillemin

Download or read book Differential Topology written by Victor Guillemin and published by American Mathematical Soc.. This book was released on 2010 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Differential Topology provides an elementary and intuitive introduction to the study of smooth manifolds. In the years since its first publication, Guillemin and Pollack's book has become a standard text on the subject. It is a jewel of mathematical exposition, judiciously picking exactly the right mixture of detail and generality to display the richness within. The text is mostly self-contained, requiring only undergraduate analysis and linear algebra. By relying on a unifying idea--transversality--the authors are able to avoid the use of big machinery or ad hoc techniques to establish the main results. In this way, they present intelligent treatments of important theorems, such as the Lefschetz fixed-point theorem, the Poincaré-Hopf index theorem, and Stokes theorem. The book has a wealth of exercises of various types. Some are routine explorations of the main material. In others, the students are guided step-by-step through proofs of fundamental results, such as the Jordan-Brouwer separation theorem. An exercise section in Chapter 4 leads the student through a construction of de Rham cohomology and a proof of its homotopy invariance. The book is suitable for either an introductory graduate course or an advanced undergraduate course.

Ethics, Rationality, and Economic Behaviour

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780198289814
Total Pages : 370 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (898 download)

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Book Synopsis Ethics, Rationality, and Economic Behaviour by : Francesco Farina

Download or read book Ethics, Rationality, and Economic Behaviour written by Francesco Farina and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1996 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The connection between economics and ethics is as old as economics itself, and central to both disciplines. The essays included in the present volume provide an analysis of the connections between ethics and economics as viewed from several different - oft

The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349588024
Total Pages : 7493 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (495 download)

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Book Synopsis The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics by :

Download or read book The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics written by and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-05-18 with total page 7493 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The award-winning The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd edition is now available as a dynamic online resource. Consisting of over 1,900 articles written by leading figures in the field including Nobel prize winners, this is the definitive scholarly reference work for a new generation of economists. Regularly updated! This product is a subscription based product.

Realistic Decision Theory

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0198038232
Total Pages : 278 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis Realistic Decision Theory by : Paul Weirich

Download or read book Realistic Decision Theory written by Paul Weirich and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2004-09-16 with total page 278 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Within traditional decision theory, common decision principles -- e.g. the principle to maximize utility -- generally invoke idealization; they govern ideal agents in ideal circumstances. In Realistic Decision Theory, Paul Weirch adds practicality to decision theory by formulating principles applying to nonideal agents in nonideal circumstances, such as real people coping with complex decisions. Bridging the gap between normative demands and psychological resources, Realistic Decision Theory is essential reading for theorists seeking precise normative decision principles that acknowledge the limits and difficulties of human decision-making.

Decision Processes in Economics

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642456863
Total Pages : 217 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (424 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Processes in Economics by : Gianni Ricci

Download or read book Decision Processes in Economics written by Gianni Ricci and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 217 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains a selection of the papers presented at the symposium on "Decision processes in Economics" which was held in Modena (Italy) on 9-10 October 1989. It coincided with the annual meeting of the italian group on Game Theory; the group is formed by economists, mathematicians, engineers and social scientists. One of the targets of the Meeting, and therefore of the book, is to create an opportunity for having together papers by scientists with an "optimal control" education and papers by theorists on refinement of equilibrium, on repeted games and other topics. These two modes of working on Games are quite different but we think that a unitary approch to Games can be given and this book is an attempt in this direction. Another important and updated issue which is emphisized in the book is the discussion of computation and efficiency of numerical methods in Games. Stochastic differential games are treated in the papers by Basar, Haurie -and Deissemberg. Basar considers a stochastic model of a conflict situation between the monetary policy maker (go vernment) and the responding agent (private sector). Because of asymmetry in the (stochastic) information available the Nash and the Stackelberg games become non standard stochastic diffe rential games. After the discussion of the conditions leading to a solution he provides a numerical example for the proposed game. Haurie considers a game where the observed state changes according to a stochastic jump process.

Handbook of Game Theory with Economic Applications

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 9780444894274
Total Pages : 824 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (942 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Game Theory with Economic Applications by : R.J. Aumann

Download or read book Handbook of Game Theory with Economic Applications written by R.J. Aumann and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1992 with total page 824 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the second of three volumes surveying the state of the art in Game Theory and its applications to many and varied fields, in particular to economics. The chapters in the present volume are contributed by outstanding authorities, and provide comprehensive coverage and precise statements of the main results in each area. The applications include empirical evidence. The following topics are covered: communication and correlated equilibria, coalitional games and coalition structures, utility and subjective probability, common knowledge, bargaining, zero-sum games, differential games, and applications of game theory to signalling, moral hazard, search, evolutionary biology, international relations, voting procedures, social choice, public economics, politics, and cost allocation. This handbook will be of interest to scholars in economics, political science, psychology, mathematics and biology. For more information on the Handbooks in Economics series, please see our home page on http://www.elsevier.nl/locate/hes

Epistemic Game Theory

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107008913
Total Pages : 581 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Epistemic Game Theory by : Andrés Perea

Download or read book Epistemic Game Theory written by Andrés Perea and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-06-07 with total page 581 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first textbook to explain the principles of epistemic game theory.

Advanced Microeconomics for Contract, Institutional, and Organizational Economics

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 026236946X
Total Pages : 417 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Advanced Microeconomics for Contract, Institutional, and Organizational Economics by : W. Bentley MacLeod

Download or read book Advanced Microeconomics for Contract, Institutional, and Organizational Economics written by W. Bentley MacLeod and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2022-04-05 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A graduate textbook on microeconomics, covering decision theory, game theory, and the foundations of contract theory, with a unique focus on the empirical. This graduate-level text on microeconomics, covering such topics as decision theory, game theory, bargaining theory, contract theory, trade under asymmetric information, and relational contract theory, is unique in its emphasis on the interplay between theory and evidence. It reviews the microeconomic theory of exchange “from the ground up,” aiming to produce a set of models and hypotheses amenable to empirical exploration, with particular focus on models that are useful for the study of contracts, institutions, and organizations. It explores research that extends price theory to the exchange of commodities when markets are incomplete, discussing recent developments in the field. Topics covered include the relationship between theory and evidence; decision theory as it is used in contract theory and institutional design; game theory; axiomatic and strategic bargaining theory; agency theory and the class of models that are considered to constitute contract theory, with discussions of moral hazard and trade with asymmetric information; and the theory of relational contracts. The final chapter offers a nontechnical review that provides a guide to which model is the most appropriate for a particular application. End-of-chapter exercises help students expand their understanding of the material, and an appendix provides brief introduction to optimization theory and the welfare theorem of general equilibrium theory. Students are assumed to be familiar with general equilibrium theory and basic constrained optimization theory.

Bayesian Inference in Dynamic Econometric Models

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Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191588466
Total Pages : 370 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Inference in Dynamic Econometric Models by : Luc Bauwens

Download or read book Bayesian Inference in Dynamic Econometric Models written by Luc Bauwens and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2000-01-06 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains an up-to-date coverage of the last twenty years advances in Bayesian inference in econometrics, with an emphasis on dynamic models. It shows how to treat Bayesian inference in non linear models, by integrating the useful developments of numerical integration techniques based on simulations (such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods), and the long available analytical results of Bayesian inference for linear regression models. It thus covers a broad range of rather recent models for economic time series, such as non linear models, autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic regressions, and cointegrated vector autoregressive models. It contains also an extensive chapter on unit root inference from the Bayesian viewpoint. Several examples illustrate the methods.

Economic and Environmental Risk and Uncertainty

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 940171360X
Total Pages : 269 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic and Environmental Risk and Uncertainty by : Robert Nau

Download or read book Economic and Environmental Risk and Uncertainty written by Robert Nau and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 269 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 1980s and 1990s have been a period of exciting new developments in the modelling of decision-making under risk and uncertainty. Extensions of the theory of expected utility and alternative theories of `non-expected utility' have been devised to explain many puzzles and paradoxes of individual and collective choice behaviour. This volume presents some of the best recent work on the modelling of risk and uncertainty, with applications to problems in environmental policy, public health, economics and finance. Eighteen papers by distinguished economists, management scientists, and statisticians shed new light on phenomena such as the Allais and St. Petersburg paradoxes, the equity premium puzzle, the demand for insurance, the valuation of public health and safety, and environmental goods. Audience: This work will be of interest to economists, management scientists, risk and policy analysts, and others who study risky decision-making in economic and environmental contexts.

Methods in Experimental Economics

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319933639
Total Pages : 317 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Methods in Experimental Economics by : Joachim Weimann

Download or read book Methods in Experimental Economics written by Joachim Weimann and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-07-12 with total page 317 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook provides a hands-on and intuitive overview of the methodological foundations of experimental economics. Experimental economic research has been an integral part of economic science for quite some time and is gaining more and more attention in related disciplines. The book addresses the design and execution of experiments, the evaluation of experimental data and the equipment of an experimental laboratory. It illustrates the challenges involved in designing and conducting experiments and helps the reader to address them in practice.

The Logic of Strategy

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 019535365X
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (953 download)

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Book Synopsis The Logic of Strategy by : Cristina Bicchieri

Download or read book The Logic of Strategy written by Cristina Bicchieri and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1999-09-02 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Edited by three leading figures in the field, this exciting volume presents cutting-edge work in decision theory by a distinguished international roster of contributors. These mostly unpublished papers address a host of crucial areas in the contemporary philosophical study of rationality and knowledge. Topics include causal versus evidential decision theory, game theory, backwards induction, bounded rationality, counterfactual reasoning in games and in general, analyses of the famous common knowledge assumptions in game theory, and evaluations of the normal versus extensive form formulations of complex decision problems.