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Implications For Model Validation Of Multiresolution Multiperspective Modeling Mrmpm And Exploratory Analysis
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Book Synopsis Implications for Model Validation of Multiresolution, Multiperspective Modeling (MRMPM) and Exploratory Analysis by : J. H. Bigelow
Download or read book Implications for Model Validation of Multiresolution, Multiperspective Modeling (MRMPM) and Exploratory Analysis written by J. H. Bigelow and published by Minnesota Historical Society. This book was released on 2003 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examples of the use of multiresolution, multiperspective modeling (MRMPM) and exploratory analysis to validate models not based in settled theory or specific empirical testing. A model and its data may not be fully "valid" but may still be useful and good in more-limited ways. MRMPM and exploratory analysis are valuable for extrapolating, generalizing, and abstracting from small sets of analyses done with detailed models; for top-down planning; and for providing broad, synoptic assessments.
Book Synopsis Implications of Modern Decision Science for Military Decision-support Systems by : Paul K. Davis
Download or read book Implications of Modern Decision Science for Military Decision-support Systems written by Paul K. Davis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2005 with total page 181 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A selective review of modern decision science and implications for decision-support systems. The study suggests ways to synthesize lessons from research on heuristics and biases with those from "naturalistic research." It also discusses modern tools, such as increasingly realistic simulations, multiresolution modeling, and exploratory analysis, which can assist decisionmakers in choosing strategies that are flexible, adaptive, and robust.
Book Synopsis Capability Planning and Analysis to Optimize Air Force Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance Investments by : National Research Council
Download or read book Capability Planning and Analysis to Optimize Air Force Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance Investments written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2012-12-07 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) capabilities have expanded situation awareness for U.S. forces, provided for more precise combat effects, and enabled better decision making both during conflicts and in peacetime, and reliance on ISR capabilities is expected to increase in the future. ISR capabilities are critical to 3 of the 12 Service Core Functions of the U.S. Air Force: namely, Global Integrated ISR (GIISR) and the ISR components of Cyberspace Superiority and Space Superiority, and contribute to all others. In response to a request from the Air Force for ISR and the Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Air Force for Science, Technology, and Engineering, the National Research Council formed the Committee on Examination of the Air Force Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) Capability Planning and Analysis (CP&A) Process. In this report, the committee reviews the current approach to the Air Force corporate planning and programming process for ISR capability generation; examines carious analytical methods, processes, and models for large-scale, complex domains like ISR; and identifies the best practices for the Air Force. In Capability Planning and Analysis to Optimize Air Force Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance Investments, the current approach is analyzed and the best practices for the Air Force corporate planning and programming processed for ISR are recommended. This report also recommends improvements and changes to existing analytical tools, methods, roles and responsibilities, and organization and management that would be required to ensure the Air Force corporate planning and programming process for ISR is successful in addressing all Joint, National, and Coalition partner's needs.
Book Synopsis Portfolio-analysis Methods for Assessing Capability Options by : Paul K. Davis
Download or read book Portfolio-analysis Methods for Assessing Capability Options written by Paul K. Davis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2008 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The research reported in this monograph is part of RAND's continuing work on practical theory and methods for capabilities-based planning in the Department of Defense (DoD) and other organizations. Its particular contribution is to describe and illustrate in some detail an analytic framework and methodology for defensewide capability-area reviews including DoD's experimental Concept Decision Reviews and related evaluations of alternatives (Krieg, 2007). The monograph also describes newly developed enabling tools -- one for generating and screening preliminary options and one for evaluating in a portfolio-analysis structure those options that pass screening. Variants of the methods can be applied for analysis across capability areas or for strategic-level defense planning, i.e., force planning to establish the overall mix and balance of capabilities. Finally, the monograph illustrates concepts with applications to the capability areas of Global Strike and Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD).
Book Synopsis Intelligent Decision Making: An AI-Based Approach by : Gloria Phillips-Wren
Download or read book Intelligent Decision Making: An AI-Based Approach written by Gloria Phillips-Wren and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-03-04 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Intelligent Decision Support Systems have the potential to transform human decision making by combining research in artificial intelligence, information technology, and systems engineering. The field of intelligent decision making is expanding rapidly due, in part, to advances in artificial intelligence and network-centric environments that can deliver the technology. Communication and coordination between dispersed systems can deliver just-in-time information, real-time processing, collaborative environments, and globally up-to-date information to a human decision maker. At the same time, artificial intelligence techniques have demonstrated that they have matured sufficiently to provide computational assistance to humans in practical applications. This book includes contributions from leading researchers in the field beginning with the foundations of human decision making and the complexity of the human cognitive system. Researchers contrast human and artificial intelligence, survey computational intelligence, present pragmatic systems, and discuss future trends. This book will be an invaluable resource to anyone interested in the current state of knowledge and key research gaps in the rapidly developing field of intelligent decision support.
Book Synopsis Social Science for Counterterrorism by : Paul K. Davis
Download or read book Social Science for Counterterrorism written by Paul K. Davis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2009 with total page 541 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Employs an interdisciplinary, social science approach to various counterterrorism questions, problems, and policies.
Book Synopsis Selected Rand Abstracts by : Rand Corporation
Download or read book Selected Rand Abstracts written by Rand Corporation and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Includes publications previously listed in the supplements to the Index of selected publications of the Rand Corporation (Oct. 1962-Feb. 1963).
Download or read book Philosophy of Complex Systems written by and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2011-05-23 with total page 951 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The domain of nonlinear dynamical systems and its mathematical underpinnings has been developing exponentially for a century, the last 35 years seeing an outpouring of new ideas and applications and a concomitant confluence with ideas of complex systems and their applications from irreversible thermodynamics. A few examples are in meteorology, ecological dynamics, and social and economic dynamics. These new ideas have profound implications for our understanding and practice in domains involving complexity, predictability and determinism, equilibrium, control, planning, individuality, responsibility and so on.Our intention is to draw together in this volume, we believe for the first time, a comprehensive picture of the manifold philosophically interesting impacts of recent developments in understanding nonlinear systems and the unique aspects of their complexity. The book will focus specifically on the philosophical concepts, principles, judgments and problems distinctly raised by work in the domain of complex nonlinear dynamical systems, especially in recent years.-Comprehensive coverage of all main theories in the philosophy of Complex Systems -Clearly written expositions of fundamental ideas and concepts -Definitive discussions by leading researchers in the field -Summaries of leading-edge research in related fields are also included
Author :Dawn A. Trevisani Publisher :SPIE-International Society for Optical Engineering ISBN 13 :9780819453464 Total Pages :502 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (534 download)
Book Synopsis Enabling Technologies for Simulation Science VIII by : Dawn A. Trevisani
Download or read book Enabling Technologies for Simulation Science VIII written by Dawn A. Trevisani and published by SPIE-International Society for Optical Engineering. This book was released on 2004 with total page 502 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Proceedings of SPIE present the original research papers presented at SPIE conferences and other high-quality conferences in the broad-ranging fields of optics and photonics. These books provide prompt access to the latest innovations in research and technology in their respective fields. Proceedings of SPIE are among the most cited references in patent literature.
Book Synopsis High Performance Computing Opportunities and Challenges for Army R&D by : Robert Helms Anderson
Download or read book High Performance Computing Opportunities and Challenges for Army R&D written by Robert Helms Anderson and published by Technical Report. This book was released on 2006 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this study was to identify key potential users of high-performance computing (HPC) within the Army science and technology community and any barriers that prevent full use of current and planned HPC resources. A main study goal was to help develop an Army HPC strategy and build an HPC initiative that facilitates that strategy, thereby allowing the Army to compete effectively for Department of Defense HPC resources and to ensure that they are used for maximum effect in attacking the most difficult and computationally intensive research problems critical to future force and future combat systems achievement. Particular attention was given to applications of HPC in biotechnology and biomedicine and modeling and simulation of complex battlefield wireless network communication systems.
Book Synopsis American Book Publishing Record by :
Download or read book American Book Publishing Record written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 932 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The British National Bibliography by : Arthur James Wells
Download or read book The British National Bibliography written by Arthur James Wells and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 1664 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Annual Report written by Rand Corporation and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Exploratory Modeling and Analysis by : Buyung Agusdinata
Download or read book Exploratory Modeling and Analysis written by Buyung Agusdinata and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Portfolio-Analysis Methods for Assessing Capability Options by : Paul K. Davis
Download or read book Portfolio-Analysis Methods for Assessing Capability Options written by Paul K. Davis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2008-02-19 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An analytical framework and methodology for capability-area reviews is described, along with new tools to support capabilities analysis and strategic-level defense planning in the Defense Department and the Services. BCOT generates and screens preliminary options, and the Portfolio-Analysis Tool (PAT) is used to evaluate options that pass screening. The concepts are illustrated with applications to Global Strike and Ballistic Missile Defense. Recommendations are made for further defense-planning research.
Book Synopsis Efficient Aviation Security by : Brian A. Jackson
Download or read book Efficient Aviation Security written by Brian A. Jackson and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2012-08-21 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Making aviation security more cost-effective is hampered by considerable uncertainty about the terrorist threat, security system performance, and the costs of security measures. This volume focuses on exploring ways to inform decisionmaking despite such uncertainties, providing a set of analyses that help fill some of the current gaps in the assessment of the costs, benefits, and efficiency of aviation security measures and strategies.
Book Synopsis Theory and Methods for Supporting High Level Military Decisionmaking by : Paul K. Davis
Download or read book Theory and Methods for Supporting High Level Military Decisionmaking written by Paul K. Davis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2007 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report describes an approach to high-level decision support for a Joint Forces Air Component Commander in combat operations or a Chief of Staff in defense planning. Its central theme is the fundamental importance of dealing effectively with uncertainty, whether in effects-based operations, building the Air Force's Commander's Predictive Environment, or planning future forces with the methods of capabilities-based planning. Because many features of the future cannot be predicted with reasonable confidence, it is better to proceed with the expectation of surprise developments and to have skill in recognizing adaptations and making them than it is to treat uncertainty merely as an annoyance. This report sketches the framework of a high-level decision-support environment that is top-down, expresses concepts in simple and intuitive language, deals explicitly with risk and uncertainty, and provides the capability for decisionmakers to readily discover and question the bases for key assumptions and assessments. It can accommodate both "rational-analytic" and "naturalistic" decisionmakers, allowing them to produce strategies that are flexible, adaptive, and robust (FAR). Two explicit methods and their related tools are described. The first involves portfolio-style thinking and analysis, a good mechanism for balancing risks and other considerations in choosing a course of action. The second is a novel modification of foresight exercises that addresses the need to include humans effectively in dealing with uncertainty. A more extensive discussion of available methods and enabling technologies is also presented, along with some recommendations about investment priorities.
