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Implementation Of Subjective Probability Estimates In Army Intelligence Procedures
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Book Synopsis Implementation of Subjective Probability Estimates in Army Intelligence Procedures by :
Download or read book Implementation of Subjective Probability Estimates in Army Intelligence Procedures written by and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Implementation of Subjective Probability Estimates in Army Intelligence Procedures: A Critical Review of Research Findings by :
Download or read book Implementation of Subjective Probability Estimates in Army Intelligence Procedures: A Critical Review of Research Findings written by and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this report is to critically examine the formulation and expression of uncertainty in both the tactical intelligence estimate of enemy threat and the evaluation of information contained in spot reports. A study was made of both the doctrinal procedures for expressing uncertainty (FM 30-5) and the research conducted to detect problems in implementing these procedures. Findings showed that current procedures which focus on the use of terms such as 'probable' and 'unlikely' to express uncertainty are ambiguous communicators for both the user and the recipient. The use of numerical subjective probability estimates as an alternative procedure (e.g., '.70' instead of 'likely') is explored by relating the psychological research on the use of subjective probability estimates with the need of Army intelligence analysts to unambiguously express uncertainty. It is concluded that there is sufficient evidence indicating the superiority of the numerical estimates to recommend a trial implementation of the use of numerical subjective probabilities. General guidelines are discussed for the incorporation of numerical estimates in the analysis and communications of Army intelligence. (Author).
Download or read book Research Report written by and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 954 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Technical Report written by and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 550 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Bibliography, ARI Research on Command and Control (1970-80) by : Edgar M. Johnson
Download or read book Bibliography, ARI Research on Command and Control (1970-80) written by Edgar M. Johnson and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 174 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Government Reports Announcements & Index by :
Download or read book Government Reports Announcements & Index written by and published by . This book was released on 1986-04 with total page 500 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Technical Abstract Bulletin written by and published by . This book was released on with total page 912 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Government Reports Annual Index by :
Download or read book Government Reports Annual Index written by and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 1316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sections 1-2. Keyword Index.--Section 3. Personal author index.--Section 4. Corporate author index.-- Section 5. Contract/grant number index, NTIS order/report number index 1-E.--Section 6. NTIS order/report number index F-Z.
Book Synopsis Monthly Catalog of United States Government Publications by :
Download or read book Monthly Catalog of United States Government Publications written by and published by . This book was released on with total page 912 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Monthly Catalogue, United States Public Documents by :
Download or read book Monthly Catalogue, United States Public Documents written by and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 628 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis R & D Abstracts by : Technology Reports Centre (Great Britain)
Download or read book R & D Abstracts written by Technology Reports Centre (Great Britain) and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 622 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Method for Quantifying Subjective Costs of Large Numbers of Image Interpretation Errors by : Jerrold M. Levine
Download or read book Method for Quantifying Subjective Costs of Large Numbers of Image Interpretation Errors written by Jerrold M. Levine and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports by :
Download or read book Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 896 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Lists citations with abstracts for aerospace related reports obtained from world wide sources and announces documents that have recently been entered into the NASA Scientific and Technical Information Database.
Book Synopsis Government Reports Annual Index: Keyword A-L by :
Download or read book Government Reports Annual Index: Keyword A-L written by and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 976 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Composite Risk Management (FM 5-19) by : Department of the Army
Download or read book Composite Risk Management (FM 5-19) written by Department of the Army and published by Createspace Independent Pub. This book was released on 2012-11-16 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today's Army is challenged by a wide range of threats and operating environments. These challenges, plus new technologies, require our leaders to use creative measures to provide positive protection to our Soldiers and equipment. In April 1998, Field Manual (FM) 100-14 (FM 5-19) introduced to the Army the first doctrinal publication on risk management. It detailed the application of a step-by-step process to conserve combat power and resources. This milestone manual outlined a framework that leaders could use to make force protection a routine part of planning, preparing, and executing operational, training, and garrison missions. Before the outset of the global war on terrorism it became apparent that FM 100-14 would require updating to meet the needs of the future. Army assessments also indicated that the existing manual needed to be expanded to provide clear standards and guidance on how the risk management process was to be applied. This led to this current revision. During development of this revision the Army broadened its understanding of the risk management process to encompass all operations and activities, on and off duty. This holistic approach focuses on the composite risks from all sources rather than the traditional practice of separating accident from tactical hazards and associated risks. This revision has been refocused to clearly reflect the Army's new composite approach, and has been retitled Composite Risk Management (CRM). CRM represents a culture change for the Army. It departs from the past cookie cutter safety and risk management mentality through teaching Soldiers “how to think” rather than telling them “what to think.” This manual expands the context of the original FM by focusing on the application of composite risk management to the military decisionmaking process (MDMP) and the Army training management system. It further assigns the responsibilities for conducting risk management training during initial entry training and professional military education. It is a tool that works in conjunction with the Army's on-going initiative to firmly attach CRM to all Army processes. It is a milestone document for the standardization and institutionalization of the techniques, tools, and procedures that lead to sound decisionmaking and valid risk acceptance by leaders at all levels. This revision is a full rewrite of FM 100-14. It marks a break with the past by integrating the CRM process into Army operations. CRM is not a stand-alone process, a “paper work” drill, or an add-on feature. Rather, it is used as a fully-integrated element of detailed planning. It must be so integrated as to allow it to be executed intuitively in situations that require immediate action. CRM should be viewed as part of the military art interwoven throughout the Army's military decisionmaking and training management cycles.
Book Synopsis Subjective Interpretation of Reliability and Accuracy Scales for Evaluating Military Intelligence by : Michael G. Samet
Download or read book Subjective Interpretation of Reliability and Accuracy Scales for Evaluating Military Intelligence written by Michael G. Samet and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book On War written by Carl von Clausewitz and published by . This book was released on 1908 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: