IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 2

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451974205
Total Pages : 148 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 2 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 2 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-01-01 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the predictability of currency crises. The paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. Two of the models failed to provide useful forecasts. One model provides forecasts that are somewhat informative though still not reliable. Plausible modifications to this model improve its performance, providing some hope that future models may do better. The study suggests, though, that although forecasting models may help indicate vulnerability to crises, the predictive power of even the best of them may be limited.

IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 3

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451973683
Total Pages : 104 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 3 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 3 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-01-01 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines determinants and leading indicators of banking crises. The paper examines episodes of banking system distress and crisis in a large sample of countries to identify which macroeconomic and financial variables can be useful leading indicators. The best warning signs of the recent Asian crises were proxies for the vulnerability of the banking and corporate sector. Full-blown banking crises are shown to be associated more with external developments, and domestic variables are the main leading indicators of severe but contained banking distress.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 46, No. 1

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451974558
Total Pages : 116 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 46, No. 1 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 46, No. 1 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-03-15 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This economic journal contains theoretical and empirical analyses of varous macroeconomic issues. The studies are prepapred by IMF research staff or consultants. Subjects covered inclulde balance of payments and exchange rates, monetary systems and policies, public finances, international trade, economic growth, and some sectoral analyses. The last issue of the year contains an index to the volume. Approximately 200 pages in each issue.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 2

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145197423X
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 2 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 2 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2000-01-01 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes portfolio diversification, leverage, and financial contagion. It studies the extent to which basic principles of portfolio diversification explain “contagious selling” of financial assets when there are purely local shocks. The paper demonstrates that the elementary portfolio theory offers key insights into “contagion.” Most important, portfolio diversification and leverage are sufficient to explain why an investor will find it optimal to significantly reduce all risky asset positions when an adverse shock impacts just one asset.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 2

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589066502
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 2 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 2 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-09-26 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Vol. 54, No. 2 includes three notable contributions from the Seventh Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference (ARC) hosted by the IMF in November 2006. Its lead paper, by Olivier Blanchard of Harvard University, is the 2006 Mundell-Fleming Lecture (delivered at the ARC), which analyzes current-account deficits in the advanced economies. Other papers in this issue look at the relationship between international financial integration and the real economy. Other papers discuss whether (or not): i) the next capital account crisis can be predicted; ii) accepted definitions of debt crises are adequate; iii) the Doha Round of trade talks (if they are ever successfully completed) will lead to preference erosion; and finally iv) there is room for political opportunism in countries deciding between money-based or exchange-rate-based stabilization programs.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 3

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589064755
Total Pages : 193 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 3 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 3 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-12-22 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This last issue for 2005 comprises seven new papers, including a contribution to the journal's occasional Special Data Section about domestic debt markets in Sub-Saharan Africa, and also an in-depth look at the internal job market for entry-level economists at the IMF. The remaining articles cover toics as diverse as: modeling of asset markets, exchange rates in developing countries, international bank claims on Latin America, the effectiveness of "early warning" systems, and the use (by emerging market countries) of the IMF's Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS).

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 51, No. 2

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589063235
Total Pages : 224 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (632 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 51, No. 2 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 51, No. 2 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-07-29 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This second issue for 2004 contains 8 new papers, including notable contributions from: Nancy Brune, Geoffrey Garrett, and Bruce Kogut on the global spread of privatization; and Mark P. Taylor and Elena T. Branson on asymmetric arbitrage and default premiums in the U.S. and Russian markets. Other papers in the issue look at German wage structures, contagion in equity markets, export orientation and productivity in Sub-Saharan Africa, the role of higher vs. basic education in economic development, and issues related to capital account liberalization.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 50, No. 1

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589061248
Total Pages : 168 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (612 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 50, No. 1 by : Mr.Robert P. Flood

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 50, No. 1 written by Mr.Robert P. Flood and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-04-17 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forty years ago, Marcus Fleming and Robert Mundell developed independent models of macroeconomic policy in open economies. Why do we link the two, and why do we call the result the Mundell-Fleming, rather than Fieming-Mundell model?

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 1

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589067940
Total Pages : 248 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 1 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 1 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-06-01 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This special issue brings together world-renowned experts to provide a systematic and critical analysis of the costs and benefits of financial globalization. Contributors include Kenneth Rogoff, Maurice Obstfeld, Dani Rodrik, and Frederic S. Mishkin.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 57, No. 1

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589069110
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 57, No. 1 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 57, No. 1 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-03-26 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Do highly indebted countries suffer from a debt overhang? Can debt relief foster their growth rates? To answer these important questions, this article looks at how the debt-growth relation varies with indebtedness levels, as well as with the quality of policies and institutions, in a panel of developing countries. The main findings are that, in countries with good policies and institutions, there is evidence of debt overhang when the net present value of debt rises above 20–25 percent of GDP; however, debt becomes irrelevant above 70–80 percent. In countries with bad policies and institutions, thresholds appear to be lower, but the evidence of debt overhang is weaker and we cannot rule out that debt is always irrelevant. Indeed, in such countries, as well as in countries with high indebtedness levels, investment does not depend on debt levels. The analysis suggests that not all countries are likely to profit from debt relief, and thus that a one-size-fits-all debt relief approach might not be the most appropriate one.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 57, No. 2

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589069129
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 57, No. 2 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 57, No. 2 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-06-29 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper introduces a new database of financial reforms covering 91 economies over 1973-2005. It describes the content of the database, the information sources utilized, and the coding rules used to create an index of financial reform. It also compares the database with other measures of financial liberalization, provides descriptive statistics, and discusses some possible applications. The database provides a multifaceted measure of reform, covering seven aspects of financial sector policy. Along each dimension the database provides a graded (rather than a binary) score, and allows for reversals.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 50, No. 2

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589062023
Total Pages : 172 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 50, No. 2 by : Mr.Robert P. Flood

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 50, No. 2 written by Mr.Robert P. Flood and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-07-11 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines sources of economic growth in East Asia. The conventional growth-accounting approach to estimating the sources of economic growth requires unrealistically strong assumptions about either competitiveness of factor markets or the form of the underlying aggregate production function. The paper outlines a new approach utilizing nonparametric derivative estimation techniques that does not require imposing these restrictive assumptions. The results for East Asian countries show that output elasticities of capital and labor tend to be different from the income shares of these factors. The paper also explores the compensating potential of private intergenerational transfers.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, No. 2

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589065178
Total Pages : 166 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (651 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, No. 2 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, No. 2 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-06-29 with total page 166 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Noteworthy among the six papers appearing in this latest issue of the IMF's peer-reviewed journal is another installment in the Special Data Section. Anthony Pellechio and John Cady from the IMF's Statistics Department take a close look at differences in IMF data; how and when they could occur; and what the implications of such differences might be for end-users of the IMF's data.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 4

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589069102
Total Pages : 296 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 4 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 4 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-11-04 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper empirically evaluates four types of costs that may result from an international sovereign default: reputational costs, international trade exclusion costs, costs to the domestic economy through the financial system, and political costs to the authorities. It finds that the economic costs are generally significant but short-lived, and sometimes do not operate through conventional channels. The political consequences of a debt crisis, by contrast, seem to be particularly dire for incumbent governments and finance ministers, broadly in line with what happens in currency crises.

IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 2

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451974167
Total Pages : 204 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 2 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 2 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-01-01 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes contagion and volatility with imperfect credit markets. The paper interprets contagion effects as an increase in the volatility of shocks impinging on the economy. The implications of this approach are analyzed in a model in which domestic banks borrow at a premium on world capital markets, and domestic producers borrow at a premium from domestic banks. Financial spreads depend on a markup that compensates lenders, in particular, for the expected cost of contract enforcement. Higher volatility increases financial spreads and the producers’ cost of capital.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 2

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589067959
Total Pages : 216 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 2 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 2 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-06-03 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China’s growth performance since the start of economic reforms in 1978 has been impressive, but the gains have not been distributed equally across provinces. We use a nonparametric approach to analyze the variation in labor productivity growth across China’s provinces. This approach imposes less structure on the data than the standard growth accounting framework and allows for a breakdown of labor productivity into efficiency gains, technological progress, and capital deepening. We have the following results. First, we find that on average capital deepening accounts for about 75 percent of total labor productivity growth, while efficiency and technological improvements account for about 7 and 18 percent, respectively. Second, technical change is not neutral. Third, whereas improvement in efficiency contributes to convergence in labor productivity between provinces, technical change contributes to productivity disparity across provinces. Finally, we find that foreign direct investment has a positive and significant effect on efficiency growth and technical progress.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 48, No. 2

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451974256
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 48, No. 2 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 48, No. 2 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2001-12-12 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the link between product variety and economic growth. It finds support for the hypothesis that a greater degree of product variety relative to the United States helps to explain relative per capita GDP levels. The paper presents an empirical study for South Africa, which indicates that there exists a stable money demand type of relationship among domestic prices, broad money, real income, and interest rates, as well as a long-term relationship among domestic prices, foreign prices, and the nominal exchange rate.