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Idiosyncratic Risk And The Cross Section Of Expected Stock Returns
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Book Synopsis Idiosyncratic Risk and the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns by : Fangjian Fu
Download or read book Idiosyncratic Risk and the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns written by Fangjian Fu and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Theories such as Merton (1987, Journal of Finance) predict a positive relation between idiosyncratic risk and expected return when investors do not diversify their portfolio. Ang, Hodrick, Xing, and Zhang (2006, Journal of Finance 61, 259-299) however find that monthly stock returns are negatively related to the one-month lagged idiosyncratic volatilities. I show that idiosyncratic volatilities are time-varying and thus their findings should not be used to imply the relation between idiosyncratic risk and expected return. Using the exponential GARCH models to estimate expected idiosyncratic volatilities, I find a significantly positive relation between the estimated conditional idiosyncratic volatilities and expected returns. Further evidence suggests that Ang et al.'s findings are largely explained by the return reversal of a subset of small stocks with high idiosyncratic volatilities.
Book Synopsis The Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns and Components of Idiosyncratic Volatility by : Seyed Reza Tabatabaei Poudeh
Download or read book The Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns and Components of Idiosyncratic Volatility written by Seyed Reza Tabatabaei Poudeh and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the relationship between stock returns and components of idiosyncratic volatility-two volatility and two covariance terms- derived from the decomposition of stock returns variance. The portfolio analysis result shows that volatility terms are negatively related to expected stock returns. On the contrary, covariance terms have positive relationships with expected stock returns at the portfolio level. These relationships are robust to controlling for risk factors such as size, book-to-market ratio, momentum, volume, and turnover. Furthermore, the results of Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regression show that only alpha risk can explain variations in stock returns at the firm level. Another finding is that when volatility and covariance terms are excluded from idiosyncratic volatility, the relation between idiosyncratic volatility and stock returns becomes weak at the portfolio level and disappears at the firm level.
Book Synopsis Idiosyncratic Volatility and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns by : Turan G. Bali
Download or read book Idiosyncratic Volatility and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns written by Turan G. Bali and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the cross-sectional relation between idiosyncratic volatility and expected stock returns. The results indicate that (i) data frequency used to estimate idiosyncratic volatility, (ii) weighting scheme used to compute average portfolio returns, (iii) breakpoints utilized to sort stocks into quintile portfolios, and (iv) using a screen for size, price and liquidity play a critical role in determining the existence and significance of a relation between idiosyncratic risk and the cross-section of expected returns. Portfolio-level analyses based on two different measures of idiosyncratic volatility (estimated using daily and monthly data), three weighting schemes (value-weighted, equal-weighted, inverse-volatility-weighted), three breakpoints (CRSP, NYSE, equal-market-share), and two different samples (NYSE/AMEX/NASDAQ and NYSE) indicate that there is no robust, significant relation between idiosyncratic volatility and expected returns.
Book Synopsis The negative relationship between the cross-section of expected returns and lagged idiosyncratic volatility. The German stock market 1990-2016 by : Lasse Homann
Download or read book The negative relationship between the cross-section of expected returns and lagged idiosyncratic volatility. The German stock market 1990-2016 written by Lasse Homann and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2020-04-23 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2018 in the subject Business economics - Review of Business Studies, grade: 1.0, University of Hannover (Institute of Financial Markets), language: English, abstract: The main goal of this thesis is to examine whether the negative relationship between the cross-section of expected returns and lagged idiosyncratic volatility also can be found for the German stock market for the period of January 1990 through June 2016, by sorting stocks into portfolios on the basis of their idiosyncratic volatility estimates. This procedure follows Ang et al. (2006). Similar to the findings of Ang et al. (2006) for the US stock market this paper shows that there is a significant difference in returns relative to the Fama-French three-factor model, between portfolios of stocks with high and portfolios of stocks with low past idiosyncratic volatility. Although for the period 1990 - 2016 no relationship between lagged idiosyncratic volatility and the cross-section of stock returns has been found, the Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle reveals itself for the sub-period 2003 - 2016, when the respective portfolios of stocks with different levels of idiosyncratic volatility are controlled for size.
Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Turan G. Bali
Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Turan G. Bali and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-02-26 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by every serious student of the field, academic and professional.” Eugene Fama, Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, University of Chicago and 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences “The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research. Both the established facts and the methods used to discover them have subtle complexities that can mislead casual observers and novice researchers. Bali, Engle, and Murray’s clear and careful guide to these issues provides a firm foundation for future discoveries.” John Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University “Bali, Engle, and Murray provide clear and accessible descriptions of many of the most important empirical techniques and results in asset pricing.” Kenneth R. French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College “This exciting new book presents a thorough review of what we know about the cross-section of stock returns. Given its comprehensive nature, systematic approach, and easy-to-understand language, the book is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.” Lubos Pastor, Charles P. McQuaid Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is a comprehensive overview of the most important findings of empirical asset pricing research. The book begins with thorough expositions of the most prevalent econometric techniques with in-depth discussions of the implementation and interpretation of results illustrated through detailed examples. The second half of the book applies these techniques to demonstrate the most salient patterns observed in stock returns. The phenomena documented form the basis for a range of investment strategies as well as the foundations of contemporary empirical asset pricing research. Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns also includes: Discussions on the driving forces behind the patterns observed in the stock market An extensive set of results that serve as a reference for practitioners and academics alike Numerous references to both contemporary and foundational research articles Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses in asset pricing and portfolio management. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in finance and economics. Turan G. Bali, PhD, is the Robert Parker Chair Professor of Finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. The recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize, he is the coauthor of Mathematical Methods for Finance: Tools for Asset and Risk Management, also published by Wiley. Robert F. Engle, PhD, is the Michael Armellino Professor of Finance in the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is the 2003 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Director of the New York University Stern Volatility Institute, and co-founding President of the Society for Financial Econometrics. Scott Murray, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Finance in the J. Mack Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University. He is the recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize.
Book Synopsis Idiosyncratic Risk and the Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns by : Nathida Khanitsub
Download or read book Idiosyncratic Risk and the Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns written by Nathida Khanitsub and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Industry-Specific Human Capital, Idiosyncratic Risk and the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns by : Esther Eiling
Download or read book Industry-Specific Human Capital, Idiosyncratic Risk and the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns written by Esther Eiling and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 73 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Human capital is one of the largest assets in the economy and in theory it may play an important role for asset pricing. Human capital is heterogeneous across investors and one source of heterogeneity is industry affiliation. I show that the cross-section of expected stock returns is primarily affected by industry-level rather than aggregate labor income risk. Furthermore, when human capital is excluded from the asset pricing model, the resulting idiosyncratic risk may appear to be priced. I find that the premium for idiosyncratic risk documented by several empirical studies depends on the covariance between stock and human capital returns.
Book Synopsis Higher Idiosyncratic Moments and the Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns by : John Byong Tek Lee
Download or read book Higher Idiosyncratic Moments and the Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns written by John Byong Tek Lee and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Network Risk and Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns by : Yi-An Chen
Download or read book Network Risk and Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns written by Yi-An Chen and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Current empirical asset pricing research on idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL), negatively related to cross-sectional expected returns, fails to take explicit account of risk that results from a shock to a network of economically related stocks. These stocks move together, and are therefore difficult to hedge. This paper examines the pricing of this "network risk" in the cross section of stock returns. Using the Fama-McBeth regression, I show that a newly-derived network volatility component of IVOL, termed NVOL, was priced with a 1.01 percent monthly premium between Sep. 1967 and Dec. 2012. This finding suggests a risk-based explanation of the equity premium: Stocks are compensated for risk that arises from shocks to networks that contain them.
Book Synopsis Idiosyncratic Risk, Costly Arbitrage, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Jie Cao
Download or read book Idiosyncratic Risk, Costly Arbitrage, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Jie Cao and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We test a new cross-sectional relation between expected stock return and idiosyncratic risk implied by the theory of costly arbitrage. If arbitrageurs find it more difficult to correct the mispricing of stocks with high idiosyncratic risk, there should be a positive (negative) relation between expected return and idiosyncratic risk for undervalued (overvalued) stocks. We combine several well-known anomalies to measure stock mispricing and proxy stock idiosyncratic risk using an exponential GARCH model for stock returns. We confirm that average stock returns monotonically increase (decrease) with idiosyncratic risk for undervalued (overvalued) stocks. Overall, our results support the importance of idiosyncratic risk as an arbitrage cost.
Book Synopsis The Cross-Section of Volatility and Expected Returns by : Andrew Ang
Download or read book The Cross-Section of Volatility and Expected Returns written by Andrew Ang and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine how volatility risk, both at the aggregate market and individual stock level, is priced in the cross-section of expected stock returns. Stocks that have past high sensitivities to innovations in aggregate volatility have low average returns. We also find that stocks with past high idiosyncratic volatility have abysmally low returns, but this cannot be explained by exposure to aggregate volatility risk. The low returns earned by stocks with high exposure to systematic volatility risk and the low returns of stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility cannot be explained by the standard size, book-to-market, or momentum effects, and are not subsumed by liquidity or volume effects.
Book Synopsis Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting by : Halbert White
Download or read book Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting written by Halbert White and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1999 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of essays in honour of Clive Granger. The chapters are by some of the world's leading econometricians, all of whom have collaborated with and/or studied with both) Clive Granger. Central themes of Granger's work are reflected in the book with attention to tests for unit roots and cointegration, tests of misspecification, forecasting models and forecast evaluation, non-linear and non-parametric econometric techniques, and overall, a careful blend of practical empirical work and strong theory. The book shows the scope of Granger's research and the range of the profession that has been influenced by his work.
Book Synopsis Cross-Sectional Variation in Stock Returns by : Matthew I. Spiegel
Download or read book Cross-Sectional Variation in Stock Returns written by Matthew I. Spiegel and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The roles played by idiosyncratic risk and liquidity in determining stock returns have recently received a great deal of attention. However, recent empirical tests have not examined the interaction between these two factors. As others have shown (and this paper confirms) stocks idiosyncratic risk and liquidity are negatively correlated. To what extent then is each variable responsible for the observed cross sectional patterns in stock returns? Overall, using monthly data, the paper finds that stock returns are increasing with the level of idiosyncratic risk and decreasing in a stock's liquidity. However, while both liquidity and idiosyncratic risk play a role in determining returns, the impact of idiosyncratic risk is much stronger and often eliminates liquidity's explanatory power. The point estimates indicate that a one standard deviation change in idiosyncratic risk has between 2.5 and 8 times the impact of a corresponding change in liquidity on cross sectional expected returns.
Book Synopsis Portfolio Preferences of Foreign Institutional Investors by : Reena Aggarwal
Download or read book Portfolio Preferences of Foreign Institutional Investors written by Reena Aggarwal and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2003 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Idiosyncratic Risk and the Cross Section of Stock Returns by : Stanislav Bozhkov
Download or read book Idiosyncratic Risk and the Cross Section of Stock Returns written by Stanislav Bozhkov and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Relation between Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Effects of Idiosyncratic Variance on Stock Returns by : Hui Guo
Download or read book Relation between Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Effects of Idiosyncratic Variance on Stock Returns written by Hui Guo and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Consistent with the post-1962 U.S. evidence by Ang, Hodrick, Xing, and Zhang [Ang, A., Hodrick, R., Xing Y., Zhang, X., 2006. The cross-section of volatility and expected returns. Journal of Finance 51, 259-299.], we find that stocks with high idiosyncratic variance (IV) have low CAPM-adjusted expected returns in both pre-1962 U.S. and modern G7 data. We also test in three ways the conjecture that IV is a proxy of systematic risk. First, the return difference between low and high IV stocks -- that we dub as IVF -- is a priced factor in the cross-section of stock returns. Second, loadings on lagged market variance and lagged average IV account for a significant portion of variation in average returns on portfolios sorted by IV. Third, the variance of IVF correlates closely with average IV, and the two variables have similar explanatory power for the time-series and cross-sectional stock returns.
Book Synopsis A Time-varying Premium for Idiosyncratic Risk by : Daruo Xie
Download or read book A Time-varying Premium for Idiosyncratic Risk written by Daruo Xie and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Merton (1987) predicts that idiosyncratic risk can be priced. I develop a simple equilibrium model of capital markets with information costs in which the idiosyncratic risk premium depends on the average level of idiosyncratic volatility. This dependence suggests that the idiosyncratic risk premium varies over time. I find that in U.S. markets, the covariance between stock-level idiosyncratic volatility and the idiosyncratic risk premium explains future stock returns. Stocks in the highest quintile of the covariance between the volatility and risk premium earn an average 3-factor alpha of 70 bps per month higher than those in the lowest quintile.
