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Identifying The Effects Of Monetary Policy Shocks On Exchange Rates Using High Frequnecy Data
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Book Synopsis Identifying the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Exchange Rates Using High Frequency Data by : Jon Faust
Download or read book Identifying the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Exchange Rates Using High Frequency Data written by Jon Faust and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes a new approach to identifying the effects of monetary policy shocks in an international vector autoregression. Using high-frequency data on the prices of Fed Funds futures contracts, we measure the impact of the surprise component of the FOMC-day Federal Reserve policy decision on financial variables, such as the exchange rate and the foreign interest rate. We show how this information can be used to achieve identification without having to make the usual strong assumption of a recursive ordering.
Book Synopsis La femme faible, ou l'on représente aux femmes les dangers auxquels elles s'exposent par un commerce fréquent et assidu avec les hommes by :
Download or read book La femme faible, ou l'on représente aux femmes les dangers auxquels elles s'exposent par un commerce fréquent et assidu avec les hommes written by and published by . This book was released on 1755 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Identifying the effects of monetary policy shocks on exchange rates using high frequency data by : Jon Faust
Download or read book Identifying the effects of monetary policy shocks on exchange rates using high frequency data written by Jon Faust and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Identifying the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Exchange Rates Using High Frequnecy Data by :
Download or read book Identifying the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Exchange Rates Using High Frequnecy Data written by and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies by : Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques
Download or read book Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies written by Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-02-21 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Central banks in emerging and developing economies (EMDEs) have been modernizing their monetary policy frameworks, often moving toward inflation targeting (IT). However, questions regarding the strength of monetary policy transmission from interest rates to inflation and output have often stalled progress. We conduct a novel empirical analysis using Jordà’s (2005) approach for 40 EMDEs to shed a light on monetary transmission in these countries. We find that interest rate hikes reduce output growth and inflation, once we explicitly account for the behavior of the exchange rate. Having a modern monetary policy framework—adopting IT and independent and transparent central banks—matters more for monetary transmission than financial development.
Book Synopsis News and Monetary Shocks at a High Frequency by : Mr.Troy Matheson
Download or read book News and Monetary Shocks at a High Frequency written by Mr.Troy Matheson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-09-12 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop a simple approach to identify economic news and monetary shocks at a high frequency. The approach is used to examine financial market developments in the United States following the Federal Reserve’s May 22, 2013 taper talk suggesting that it would begin winding down its quantitative easing program. Our findings show that the sharp rise in 10-year Treasury bond yields immediately after the taper talk was largely due to monetary shocks, with positive economic news becoming increasingly important in subsequent months.
Book Synopsis The Effects of Macroeconomic 'News' on High Frequency Exchange Rate Behavior by : Richard Payne
Download or read book The Effects of Macroeconomic 'News' on High Frequency Exchange Rate Behavior written by Richard Payne and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the high frequency reaction of the DEM/USD exchange rate to publicly announced macroeconomic information emanating from Germany and the U.S. By using data sampled at a five-minute frequency, we are able to identify significant impacts of most announcements on the exchange rate change in the 15 minutes post-announcement, although the significance of these effects decreases rapidly as the interval over which the post-announcement change in exchange rates is increased. The direction of the exchange rate response conforms, in general, with a reaction function interpretation whereby reactions to macroeconomic news are driven by the likely operations of monetary authorities in domestic money markets. Further, we detect influences of German monetary policy decisions on the reaction of the exchange rate, and also differences between U.S. and German announcements in the exchange rate reaction time pattern.
Book Synopsis A Reassessment of Monetary Policy Surprises and High-frequency Identification by : Michael D. Bauer
Download or read book A Reassessment of Monetary Policy Surprises and High-frequency Identification written by Michael D. Bauer and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: High-frequency changes in interest rates around FOMC announcements are an important tool for identifying the effects of monetary policy on asset prices and the macroeconomy. However, some recent studies have questioned both the exogeneity and the relevance of these monetary policy surprises as instruments, especially for estimating the macroeconomic effects of monetary policy shocks. For example, monetary policy surprises are correlated with macroeconomic and financial data that is publicly available prior to the FOMC announcement. We address these concerns in two ways: First, we expand the set of monetary policy announcements to include speeches by the Fed Chair, which essentially doubles the number and importance of announcements in our dataset. Second, we explain the predictability of the monetary policy surprises in terms of the "Fed response to news" channel of Bauer and Swanson (2021) and account for it by orthogonalizing the surprises with respect to macroeconomic and financial data. Our subsequent reassessment of the effects of monetary policy yields two key results: First, estimates of the high-frequency effects on financial markets are largely unchanged. Second, estimates of the macroeconomic effects of monetary policy are substantially larger and more significant than what most previous empirical studies have found.
Book Synopsis U.S. Monetary Policy Shock Spillovers: Evidence from Firm-Level Data by : Ms. Elif C Arbatli Saxegaard
Download or read book U.S. Monetary Policy Shock Spillovers: Evidence from Firm-Level Data written by Ms. Elif C Arbatli Saxegaard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-09-16 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine three main channels through which U.S. monetary policy shocks affect firm investment in foreign countries: (1) the balance sheet channel; (2) the financial channel of the exchange rate; and (3) the trade channel. For this purpose, we use quarterly firm-level data for 63 advanced economies (AEs) and emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) over 1996-2016. Our results suggest an important and independent role for all three key channels. U.S. monetary policy shocks have larger effects on investment for firms that are more leveraged (balance sheet channel), for firms that have a higher share of debt in foreign currency (financial channel of the exchange rate), and for firms that operate in sectors with higher export dependence (trade channel). Back-of-the-envelope calculations suggest that the balance sheet channel is the most important channel of transmission of U.S. monetary policy shocks on aggregate firm investment.
Book Synopsis Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income and Other Developing Countries by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income and Other Developing Countries written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-10-23 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past two decades, many low- and lower-middle income countries (LLMICs) have improved control over fiscal policy, liberalized and deepened financial markets, and stabilized inflation at moderate levels. Monetary policy frameworks that have helped achieve these ends are being challenged by continued financial development and increased exposure to global capital markets. Many policymakers aspire to move beyond the basics of stability to implement monetary policy frameworks that better anchor inflation and promote macroeconomic stability and growth. Many of these LLMICs are thus considering and implementing improvements to their monetary policy frameworks. The recent successes of some LLMICs and the experiences of emerging and advanced economies, both early in their policy modernization process and following the global financial crisis, are valuable in identifying desirable features of such frameworks. This paper draws on those lessons to provide guidance on key elements of effective monetary policy frameworks for LLMICs.
Book Synopsis Some Empirical Evidence on the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Exchange Rates by : Martin S. Eichenbaum
Download or read book Some Empirical Evidence on the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Exchange Rates written by Martin S. Eichenbaum and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents new empirical evidence on the effects of monetary policy shocks on U.S. exchange rates, both nominal and real. Three measures of monetary policy shocks are considered: orthogonalized shocks to the Federal Funds rate, the ratio of Non Borrowed to Total Reserves and the Romer and Romer (1989) index. Using data from the flexible exchange rate era, we find that expansionary shocks to U.S. monetary policy lead to sharp. persistent depreciations in U.S. nominal and real exchange rates as well as to sharp. persistent increases in the spread between various foreign and U.S. interest rates. The temporal pattern of the depreciation in U.S. nominal exchange rates following a positive monetary policy shock is inconsistent with simple overshooting models of the type considered by Dornbusch (1976). We also find that U.S. monetary policy was less volatile under fixed exchange rates than under floating exchange rates. Finally, we find less evidence that monetary policy shocks had a significant impact on U.S. real exchange rates under the Bretton Woods agreement.
Book Synopsis The Impact of Monetary Policyon the Exchange Rate by : Mr.Jeronimo Zettelmeyer
Download or read book The Impact of Monetary Policyon the Exchange Rate written by Mr.Jeronimo Zettelmeyer and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2000-08-01 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the impact effect of monetary policy shocks—identified by the reaction of three month market interest rates to policy announcements—on the exchange rate in Australia, Canada, and New Zealand during the 1990s. The main results are that (1) on average, a 100 basis point contractionary shock will appreciate the exchange rate by 2-3 percent on impact; (ii) seemingly “perverse” reactions of the exchange rate to monetary policy are mainly attributable to reverse causality; (iii) in a few instances, there were true “perverse” reactions of exchange rates to policy— generally, appreciations following expansionary shocks.
Book Synopsis The Impact of Monetary Policy on the Exchange Rate by : Emanuel Kohlscheen
Download or read book The Impact of Monetary Policy on the Exchange Rate written by Emanuel Kohlscheen and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the impact effect of monetary policy shocks on the exchange rates of Brazil, Mexico and Chile. We find that even a focus on 1 day exchange rate changes following policy events -- which reduces the potential for reverse causality considerably -- fails to lend support for the conventional view that associates unexpected interest rate hikes with appreciations. This lack of empirical backing for the predictions of standard open economy models persists irrespective of whether we use the US Dollar or effective exchange rates, whether interest rate changes are anticipated or not, whether changes in the policy rate that were followed by exchange rate intervention are excluded or whether "contaminated" events are dropped from the analysis. We argue that it is difficult to attribute this stronger version of the exchange rate puzzle to fiscal dominance, as unexpected rate increases are not associated with increases in risk premia, and similar results are obtained in the case of Chile -- a country that has had the highest possible short-term credit rating since 1997 and a debt/GDP ratio below 10%. The weakness of the interest -- exchange rate link has important implications for optimal monetary policy in emerging economies.
Book Synopsis Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes by : Mr.Kenneth Rogoff
Download or read book Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes written by Mr.Kenneth Rogoff and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-12-01 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using recent advances in the classification of exchange rate regimes, this paper finds no support for the popular bipolar view that countries will tend over time to move to the polar extremes of free float or rigid peg. Rather, intermediate regimes have shown remarkable durability. The analysis suggests that as economies mature, the value of exchange rate flexibility rises. For countries at a relatively early stage of financial development and integration, fixed or relatively rigid regimes appear to offer some anti-inflation credibility gain without compromising growth objectives. As countries develop economically and institutionally, there appear to be considerable benefits to more flexible regimes. For developed countries that are not in a currency union, relatively flexible exchange rate regimes appear to offer higher growth without any cost in credibility.
Book Synopsis The Impact of Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates During Financial Crises by : David Gould
Download or read book The Impact of Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates During Financial Crises written by David Gould and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper addresses the impact of monetary policy on exchange rates during financial crises. Some observers have argued that a tightening of monetary policy is necessary to stabilize the exchange rate, restore confidence, and lay the groundwork for an eventual recovery of economic activity. Others have argued that by raising interest rates (which reduces the ability of borrowers to repay loans and thereby weakens the banking system), tightening may further reduce investor confidence and lead to further weakening--not strengthening--of domestic currencies. This debate, which became highly charged during the Asian financial crisis, remains unresolved. A key reason is that, because of the endogeneity of interest rates with respect to exchange rates and investor expectations, it is difficult to use statistical analysis to identify the impact of monetary policy on the exchange rate. In our research, we use measures of international credit spreads and of domestic stock prices as proxies for investor concerns about creditworthiness and country risk in order to better identify the impact of monetary policies on the exchange rate. Using weekly data from Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Mexico, we find that credit spreads and stock prices exert significant impacts on exchange rates during financial crises, but interest rates still are not estimated to have significant effects. We conclude that while monetary policy probably does exert an important influence over exchange rates, this most likely takes place slowly, as central banks attempt to establish credibility, and over longer periods of time than can be captured in our analysis.
Book Synopsis The High-frequency Response of Exchange Rates and Interest Rates to Macroeconomic Announcements by :
Download or read book The High-frequency Response of Exchange Rates and Interest Rates to Macroeconomic Announcements written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis High Frequency Data and Volatility, in Foreign Exchange Rates by : Bin Zhou
Download or read book High Frequency Data and Volatility, in Foreign Exchange Rates written by Bin Zhou and published by Forgotten Books. This book was released on 2015-06-02 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Excerpt from High Frequency Data and Volatility, in Foreign Exchange Rates Exchange rates, like many other financial time series, display substantial heteroscedasticity. This poses obstacles in detecting trends and changes. Understanding volatility becomes extremely important in studying financial time series. Unfortunately, estimating volatility from low frequency data, such as daily, weekly, or monthly observations, is very difficult. The recent availability of ultra-high frequency observations, such as tick-by-tick data, to large financial institutions creates a new possibility for the analysis of volatile time series. This article uses tick-by-tick Deutsche Mark and US Dollar (DM/$) exchange rates to explore this new type of data. Unlike low frequency data, high frequency data have extremely high negative first order autocorrelation in their return. A model explaining the negative autocorrelation and volatility estimators using the high frequency data are proposed. Daily and hourly volatility of the DM/$ exchange rates are estimated and the behaviors of the volatility are discussed. About the Publisher Forgotten Books publishes hundreds of thousands of rare and classic books. Find more at www.forgottenbooks.com This book is a reproduction of an important historical work. Forgotten Books uses state-of-the-art technology to digitally reconstruct the work, preserving the original format whilst repairing imperfections present in the aged copy. In rare cases, an imperfection in the original, such as a blemish or missing page, may be replicated in our edition. We do, however, repair the vast majority of imperfections successfully; any imperfections that remain are intentionally left to preserve the state of such historical works.
