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Author : Don Nakornthab
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 216 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (1 download)
Download or read book Household Indebtedness and Its Implications for Financial Stability written by Don Nakornthab and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 146390360X
Total Pages : 23 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (639 download)
Download or read book Sweden written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-09-16 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As in other advanced economies, there has been a significant run-up of household debt in Sweden during the last two decades accompanied by rising housing prices, prompting concerns about sustainability and the implications for financial stability. The rise in household debt and the banking system’s increased exposure to mortgage debt resulted with the changes in the macroeconomic environment. The note explores implications for financial stability of household indebtedness as well as Sweden's specific institutional features to ensure resilience of the financial system.
Author : Juan Zalduendo
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (787 download)
Download or read book Stress-Testing Croatian Households with Debt-Implications for Financial Stability written by Juan Zalduendo and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Financial Systems Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484308395
Total Pages : 139 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)
Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report, October 2017 written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Financial Systems Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-10-11 with total page 139 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The October 2017 Global Financial Stability Report finds that the global financial system continues to strengthen in response to extraordinary policy support, regulatory enhancements, and the cyclical upturn in growth. It also includes a chapter that examines the short- and medium-term implications for economic growth and financial stability of the past decades’ rise in household debt. It documents large differences in household debt-to-GDP ratios across countries but a common increasing trajectory that was moderated but not reversed by the global financial crisis. Another chapter develops a new macroeconomic measure of financial stability by linking financial conditions to the probability distribution of future GDP growth and applies it to a set of 20 major advanced and emerging market economies. The chapter shows that changes in financial conditions shift the whole distribution of future GDP growth.
Author : M. Ayhan Kose
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464815453
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)
Download or read book Global Waves of Debt written by M. Ayhan Kose and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.
Author : Apostolos Fasianos
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book The Balancing Act written by Apostolos Fasianos and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This article examines household indebtedness immediately after the Global Financial Crisis by comparing Ireland, the UK, the US, and the Euro Area. The article focuses on patterns of indebtedness across age-groups. The paper is the first to carry out this type of cross-country analysis of household debt burdens and its distribution across different household types. Compared to all other countries, Irish borrowers born from the mid-1960s through to the very early-1980s have substantially higher levels of debt - both in absolute terms and relative to their incomes. However, the low interest rate environment that has prevailed since 2008 has been particularly beneficial to these highly indebted Irish households, resulting in a debt-service burden (the ratio of debt repayments to income) that is broadly in line with that in other countries. However, in relative terms, a far greater proportion of Irish borrowers on variable rate loans are also exposed to potential interest rate rises in the future. We show that a 1 to 2% interest rate rise reduces the disposable income after debt repayments of a typical borrower by between 2 and 4%, with larger impacts for younger borrowers. As well as the impact on household spending from lower disposable incomes, there could also be financial stability implications, depending on how increases in the debt service burden affect households' ability to repay debt.
Author : Mr.Fei Han
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513522353
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)
Download or read book Assessing Macro-Financial Risks of Household Debt in China written by Mr.Fei Han and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-11-27 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: High household indebtedness could constrain future consumption growth and increase financial stability risks. This paper uses household survey data to analyze both macroeconomic and finanical stability risks from the rapidly rising household debt in China. We find that rising household indebtedness could boost consumption in the short term, while reducing it in the medium-to-long term. By stress testing households’ debt repayment capacity, we find that low-income households are most vulnerable to adverse income shocks which could lead to signficant defaults. Containing these risks would call for a strengthening of systemic risk assessment and macroprudential policies of the household sector. Other policies include improving the credit registry system and establishing a well-functioning personal insolvency framework.
Author : Adrian Alter
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484349865
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)
Download or read book Understanding the Macro-Financial Effects of Household Debt: A Global Perspective written by Adrian Alter and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-04-06 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We confirm the negative relationship between household debt and future GDP growth documented in Mian, Sufi, and Verner (2017) for a wider set of countries over the period 1950–2016. Three mutually reinforcing mechanisms help explain this relationship. First, debt overhang impairs household consumption when negative shocks hit. Second, increases in household debt heighten the probability of future banking crises, which significantly disrupts financial intermediation. Third, crash risk may be systematically neglected due to investors’ overoptimistic expectations associated with household debt booms. In addition, several institutional factors such as flexible exchange rates, higher financial development and inclusion are found to mitigate this impact. Finally, the tradeoff between financial inclusion and stability nuances downside risks to growth.
Author : Naotaka Sugawara
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Stress-Testing Croatian Households with Debt -- Implications for Financial Stability written by Naotaka Sugawara and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this paper is to stress test the resilience of Croatian households with debt to economic shocks. The shocks not only impact a household's welfare, but also increase the probability of loan default. As a result, there is a direct link between these stress-testing exercises and financial stability risks. The authors find that very few households are at risk as a result of the shocks experienced over the past few years; new vulnerable households represent about 2 percent of all households, 6 percent of households with debt, and 2-3 percent of aggregate banking system assets. This suggests that household over-indebtedness in Croatia is unlikely to become a drag on aggregate economic activity and that financial stability risks remain manageable. One caveat should be noted. Some 27-31 percent of households with debt, representing 8-9 of banking system assets, are vulnerable even before being subjected to an economic shock. Since NPLs were low before the global financial crisis, it can be argued that banks knew something about some of these households that is not captured by household budget surveys. It follows that the calculations in this paper should primarily focus on the increased vulnerability of households as a result of shocks and are likely to represent an upper bound to the financial stability risks faced by Croatia on account of household indebtedness.
Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498321119
Total Pages : 85 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)
Download or read book Canada written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-06-24 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Financial System Stability Assessment paper discusses that Canada has enjoyed favorable macroeconomic outcomes over the past decades, and its vibrant financial system continues to grow robustly. However, macrofinancial vulnerabilities—notably, elevated household debt and housing market imbalances—remain substantial, posing financial stability concerns. Various parts of the financial system are directly exposed to the housing market and/or linked through housing finance. The financial system would be able to manage severe macrofinancial shocks. Major deposit-taking institutions would remain resilient, but mortgage insurers would need additional capital in a severe adverse scenario. Housing finance is broadly resilient, notwithstanding some weaknesses in the small non-prime mortgage lending segment. Although banks’ overall capital buffers are adequate, additional required capital for mortgage exposures, along with measures to increase risk-based differentiation in mortgage pricing, would be desirable. This would help ensure adequate through-the cycle buffers, improve mortgage risk-pricing, and limit procyclical effects induced by housing market corrections.
Author : Anna Zabai
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Household Debt written by Anna Zabai and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The responsiveness of aggregate expenditure to shocks depends on the level and interest rate sensitivity (duration) of household debt, as well as on the liquidity of the assets it finances. Household-level spending adjustments are more likely to be amplified if debt is concentrated among households with limited access to credit or with less scope for self-insurance. The way in which household indebtedness affects the sensitivity of aggregate expenditure matters for both macroeconomic and financial stability. Financial institutions can suffer balance sheet distress from both direct and indirect exposure to the household sector. From a macroeconomic stability viewpoint, monetary transmission is the key issue. In a high-debt economy, interest rate hikes could be more contractionary than cuts are expansionary. These considerations point to a complementarity between current macroprudential and future monetary policy.
Author : Agnieszka Wałęga
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 100063213X
Total Pages : 209 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (6 download)
Download or read book Economic Well-being and Household Debt written by Agnieszka Wałęga and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2022-08-12 with total page 209 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The growing indebtedness of households reported over the last 30 years and in most developed countries has serious economic and social implications. This book provides insight into the concepts, measures, and determinants of household indebtedness, over-indebtedness, and well-being by integrating theoretical perspectives, adopting recent analytical methods, and using a sample of Polish households. The authors identified the socio-demographic and economic characteristics of indebted and over-indebted households, as well as the basic characteristics of indebtedness and the differences in its subjective perception among over-indebted households and those that are not over-indebted. They determined the spatial differentiation of over-indebtedness, examining the relationship between economic, social and behavioural factors and over-indebtedness and the role of over-indebtedness in shaping the economic well-being of households. The results of a questionnaire conducted on a sample of Polish households and econometric modelling served as the basis for assessing the economic well-being of indebted households. This assessment was conducted with the use of a composite well-being indicator developed by the authors. Given the multidimensional nature of the issues being analysed, the authors offer an approach that accounts for two separate but overlapping dimensions of economic well-being, namely material and financial, and two ways of assessing each of them: objective and subjective. The book holds appeal for researchers, scholars, and students of economics, finance, consumer economics, and economic psychology and offers practical guidance for policymakers and advisors who deal with consumer affairs.
Author : Karen E. Dynan
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)
Download or read book The Rise in U.S. Household Indebtedness written by Karen E. Dynan and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Ramdane Djoudad
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (778 download)
Download or read book A Framework to Assess Vulnerabilities Arising from Household Indebtedness Using Microdata written by Ramdane Djoudad and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Rising levels of household indebtedness have created concerns about the vulnerabilities of households to adverse economic shocks and the impact on financial stability. To assess these risks, the author presents a formal stress-testing framework that uses microdata to simulate how various economic shocks affect the distribution of the debt-service ratio (DSR) for the household sector. Data from an Ipsos Reid Canadian Financial Monitor survey are used to construct the actual DSR distribution for households. Changes in the distribution are then simulated using a macro scenario describing the evolution of some aggregate variables, and micro behavioural relationships; for example, to simulate credit growth for individual households, cross-sectional data are used to estimate debt-growth equations as a function of household income, interest rates and housing prices. The simulated distributions provide information on vulnerabilities in the household sector. The author also describes a combined methodology where changes in the probability of default on household loans are used as a metric to evaluate the quantitative impact of negative employment shocks on the resilience of households and loan losses at financial institutions."- -Abstract.
Author : Mr.Andrea Pescatori
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484301498
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)
Download or read book Financial Stability and Interest-Rate Policy written by Mr.Andrea Pescatori and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-21 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Should monetary policy use its short-term policy rate to stabilize the growth in household credit and housing prices with the aim of promoting financial stability? We ask this question for the case of Canada. We find that to a first approximation, the answer is no— especially when the economy is slowing down.
Author : Atif Mian
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022627750X
Total Pages : 238 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)
Download or read book House of Debt written by Atif Mian and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2015-05-20 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “A concise and powerful account of how the great recession happened and what should be done to avoid another one . . . well-argued and consistently informative.” —Wall Street Journal The Great American Recession of 2007-2009 resulted in the loss of eight million jobs and the loss of four million homes to foreclosures. Is it a coincidence that the United States witnessed a dramatic rise in household debt in the years before the recession—that the total amount of debt for American households doubled between 2000 and 2007 to $14 trillion? Definitely not. Armed with clear and powerful evidence, Atif Mian and Amir Sufi reveal in House of Debt how the Great Recession and Great Depression, as well as less dramatic periods of economic malaise, were caused by a large run-up in household debt followed by a significantly large drop in household spending. Though the banking crisis captured the public’s attention, Mian and Sufi argue strongly with actual data that current policy is too heavily biased toward protecting banks and creditors. Increasing the flow of credit, they show, is disastrously counterproductive when the fundamental problem is too much debt. As their research shows, excessive household debt leads to foreclosures, causing individuals to spend less and save more. Less spending means less demand for goods, followed by declines in production and huge job losses. How do we end such a cycle? With a direct attack on debt, say Mian and Sufi. We can be rid of painful bubble-and-bust episodes only if the financial system moves away from its reliance on inflexible debt contracts. As an example, they propose new mortgage contracts that are built on the principle of risk-sharing, a concept that would have prevented the housing bubble from emerging in the first place. Thoroughly grounded in compelling economic evidence, House of Debt offers convincing answers to some of the most important questions facing today’s economy: Why do severe recessions happen? Could we have prevented the Great Recession and its consequences? And what actions are needed to prevent such crises going forward?
Author : Heikki Hiilamo
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781785369865
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (698 download)
Download or read book Household Debt and Economic Crises written by Heikki Hiilamo and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2018-08-31 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent global recession, preceded by easy access to credit, led to a household debt epidemic. This book examines the causes, consequences and potential public policies related to debt from a social policy perspective, in which over-indebtedness is understood as a social risk. Heikki Hiilamo presents a unique conceptual and theoretical approach to the topic - one of the most pressing social issues of the modern Western world. The trajectories of increasing household debt are studied in the contexts of the US and the UK, Germany, the Netherlands, Finland and Norway. Household Debt and Economic Crises examines remedies to prevent and alleviate the over-indebtedness epidemic, creating a conceptual framework with which to analyse the causes and consequences of debt. Hiilamo argues that social policies are needed to tackle the current borrowing crisis that endangers and prevents the full participation in society of individuals with excessive debts.Academics and students of social policy, economics and social-epidemiology will find this an indispensable and thought-provoking read. With analysis of countries across Europe and the US, policymakers, public officials and NGOs working with household debt problems will find this a timely addition to the literature for highlighting future paths in research and policy.
