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House Prices Real Estate Returns And The Business Cycle
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Book Synopsis House Prices, Real Estate Returns, and the Business Cycle by : Ivan Jaccard
Download or read book House Prices, Real Estate Returns, and the Business Cycle written by Ivan Jaccard and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The main objective of this work is to develop a general equilibrium business cycle model linking financial and real estate markets to the macro economy. The ability of a production economy to account simultaneously for asset pricing, business cycle and real estate market facts is then evaluated by comparing the model predictions to the empirical facts. The observed high volatility of house prices, the equity premium and the difference between equity and real estate excess returns can be explained without giving rise to excessive risk-free rate variation.
Download or read book Building Cycles written by Richard Barras and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-08-13 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global economic crisis of 2008 was precipitated by a housing market crash, thus highlighting the destabilizing influence of the property cycle upon the wider economy. This timely book by a world authority explores why cycles occur and how they affect the behaviour of real estate markets. The central argument put forward is that growth and instability are inextricably linked, and that building investment acts both as a key driver of growth and as the source of the most volatile cyclical fluctuations in an economy. The role of building cycles in both economic growth and urban development is explored through a theoretical review and a comparative historical analysis of UK and US national data stretching back to the start of the nineteenth century, together with a case study of the development of London since the start of the eighteenth century. A simulation model of the building cycle is presented and tested using data for the City of London office market. The analysis is then broadened to examine the operation of property cycles in global investment markets during the post-war period, focussing on their contribution to the diffusion of innovation, the accumulation of wealth and the propagation of market instability. Building Cycles: growth & instability concludes by synthesizing the main themes into a theoretical framework, which can guide our understanding of the operation and impact of building cycles on the modern economy. Postgraduate students on courses in property and in urban development as well as professional property researchers, urban economists and planners will find this a stimulating read – demanding but accessible.
Book Synopsis A Global Perspective on Real Estate Cycles by : Stephen J. Brown
Download or read book A Global Perspective on Real Estate Cycles written by Stephen J. Brown and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In March 1999, New York University Salomon Center in assocIatIOn with the Department of Finance at NYU Stern held a one-day conference on the impact of real estate cycles on the real estate industry both from a domestic as well as an international perspective. The conference featured the leading research on this topic in the United States, Europe and Asia. Currendy, the real estate industry is at a critical point. New development projects around the world are being put on hold given recent developments in the international capital markets. The industry is hard hit by the decline in real estate investment trust (REIT) share prices and a shrink ing pool of capital for real estate ventures. This has unfortunately coincided with serious financial problems of very large hedge funds and other institutional investors in the market for commercial mortgage backed securities. There is need for new insights into the implications of U. S. and global real estate cycles on real estate secu rities including REITs and mortgage-backed securities as well as direct real estate investment. This global orientation is important given the high mobility of capital into the real estate, the increasing integration of real estate markets, and the proposed expan sion of real estate investment trusts (REIT) into international real estate. The process of globalization has resulted in increased competition between cities for the attrac tion of investment.
Book Synopsis Econometric Analysis of the Real Estate Market and Investment by : Peijie Wang
Download or read book Econometric Analysis of the Real Estate Market and Investment written by Peijie Wang and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2003-09-02 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an economic and econometric analysis of real estate investment and real estate market behaviour. Peijie Wang examines fluctuations in the real estate business to reveal the mechanisms governing the interactions between the industry and other sectors of the economy.
Book Synopsis The Housing Boom and Bust by : Thomas Sowell
Download or read book The Housing Boom and Bust written by Thomas Sowell and published by Basic Books (AZ). This book was released on 2009-05-12 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explains how we got into the current economic disaster that developed out of the economics and politics of the housing boom and bust. The "creative" financing of home mortgages and "creative" marketing of financial securities based on these mortgages to countries around the world, are part of the story of how a financial house of cards was built up--and then collapsed.
Book Synopsis How to Deal with Real Estate Booms by : Mr.Pau Rabanal
Download or read book How to Deal with Real Estate Booms written by Mr.Pau Rabanal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-04-01 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The financial crisis showed, once again, that neglecting real estate booms can have disastrous consequences. In this paper, we spell out the circumstances under which a more active policy agenda on this front would be justified. Then, we offer tentative insights on the pros and cons as well as implementation challenges of various policy tools that can be used to contain the damage to the financial system and the economy from real estate boom-bust episodes.
Book Synopsis Timing the Real Estate Market by : Craig Hall
Download or read book Timing the Real Estate Market written by Craig Hall and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2004-01-21 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to buy low and sell high in real estate Yes, timing is everything. In the real estate market, that means buying in markets that are ready to take off and cashing out before prices crash. In Timing the Real Estate Market, millionaire real estate entrepreneur Craig Hall reveals to America's 17 million real estate investors his secrets for maximizing profits, by knowing when to buy, when to sell, and what to do in between. Following Hall's savvy advice, real estate investors will learn: The seven major trends affecting real estate prices How to predict when real estate prices are poised to increase How to capture maximum profits by knowing when to sell How to add value to a property while waiting for the real estate market to pick up How to survive during a downturn--until the next market upswing
Book Synopsis How Long Do Housing Cycles Last? a Duration Analysis for 19 OECD Countries by : Mr.Philippe Bracke
Download or read book How Long Do Housing Cycles Last? a Duration Analysis for 19 OECD Countries written by Mr.Philippe Bracke and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-10-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the duration of house price upturns and downturns in the last 40 years for 19 OECD countries. I provide two sets of results, one pertaining to the average length and the other to the length distribution. On average, upturns are longer than downturns, but the difference disappears once the last house price boom is excluded. In terms of length distribution, upturns (but not downturns) are more likely to end as their duration increases. This duration dependence is consistent with a boom-bust view of house price dynamics, where booms represent departures from fundamentals that are increasingly difficult to sustain.
Book Synopsis The U.S. Housing Market and the Business Cycle by : MeiChi Huang
Download or read book The U.S. Housing Market and the Business Cycle written by MeiChi Huang and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chapter 3 aims to investigate the effect of a potential important driver of the recent housing price boom and bust people's expectations on the U.S. housing asset returns. Particularly, it extends the volatility feedback model proposed in Kim, Morley and Nelson (KMN 2004) to study the relationship between housing volatility and returns during 1963-2007. The analysis considers two alternative breakpoints --1984Q1 and 1999Q1-- to distinguish permanent structural breakpoints from Markov-switching. The results indicate that the relationship between the U.S. housing volatility and the expected returns is significantly positive. Thus, the important role of people's expectation is strongly supported. The current U.S. housing bubble can be explained by the relationship between housing volatility and realized returns, and that between housing volatility and expected returns. Corresponding to Chapter 2, this chapter also indicates a strong association between housing cycles and business cycles, and a remarkable uncertainty in the U.S. housing market during the post-1999.
Download or read book Boom Bust written by Fred Harrison and published by Shepheard-Walwyn Publishers. This book was released on 2007 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work identifies an 18-year property cycle, recurring with remarkable regularity and similarity over the last 200 years, in different countries under different political, economic and cultural conditions.
Book Synopsis Essentials of Real Estate Economics by : Dennis J. McKenzie
Download or read book Essentials of Real Estate Economics written by Dennis J. McKenzie and published by Englewood Cliffs, N.J. : Prentice Hall. This book was released on 1992 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Property Valuation and Market Cycle by : Maurizio d'Amato
Download or read book Property Valuation and Market Cycle written by Maurizio d'Amato and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-09-28 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses the role of the property market cycle in real estate valuation. Challenging traditional property valuation methods that rely on current market conditions and economic trends, this book argues for a re-evaluation of the relationship between property valuation and cycles in property markets. The book is divided into two parts. The first part gathers research on property market cycle analysis and the delicate problems dealing with property market information including the development of the real estate market index, appraisal bias, and the use of time series in plotting the market cycle. The second part proposes several possible modifications to the traditional income approach methodologies, including cyclical capitalization and the hedonic price method. Furthermore, this part also addresses the need for amendments to current s property valuation standards and institutional regulations. Written by an international cross-section of expert voices in market cycles and property valuation, the book is a comprehensive resource for any researcher or upper-level student studying economic volatility.
Book Synopsis Global Housing Cycles by : Ms.Deniz Igan
Download or read book Global Housing Cycles written by Ms.Deniz Igan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-01 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Housing cycles and their impact on the financial system and the macroeconomy have become the center of attention following the global financial crisis. This paper documents the characteristics of housing cycles in a large set of countries, and examines the determinants of house price movements. Empirical analysis shows that house price dynamics are mostly driven by income and demographics but fluctuations in these fundamentals and credit conditions can create deviations from the implied equilibrium path. We conclude with a discussion of the macroeconomic implications of house price corrections.
Book Synopsis Law, Economics and Finance of the Real Estate Market by : Rita Yi Man Li
Download or read book Law, Economics and Finance of the Real Estate Market written by Rita Yi Man Li and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2014-03-10 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The symbiosis between the law, economics and finance is evidenced in our daily lives. This book elucidates the relationship between these factors in Singapore and Hong Kong in direct and indirect real estate market. In Singapore, for example, there is an inseparable relationship between law, economics, finance and the HDB market. The book also showcases the concept of invitation to treat and offer, monetary compensation for environmental externalities under the lens of institutional economics. It also sheds light on the relationship between financial crisis, regulations, housing prices and indirect real estate market.
Download or read book Hot Property written by Rob Nijskens and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-06-14 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book discusses booming housing markets in cities around the globe, and the resulting challenges for policymakers and central banks. Cities are booming everywhere, leading to a growing demand for urban housing. In many cities this demand is out-pacing supply, which causes house prices to soar and increases the pressure on rental markets. These developments are posing major challenges for policymakers, central banks and other authorities responsible for ensuring financial stability, and economic well-being in general.This volume collects views from high-level policymakers and researchers, providing essential insights into these challenges, their impact on society, the economy and financial stability, and possible policy responses. The respective chapters address issues such as the popularity of cities, the question of a credit-fueled housing bubble, the role of housing supply frictions and potential policy solutions. Given its scope, the book offers a revealing read and valuable guide for everyone involved in practical policymaking for housing markets, mortgage credit and financial stability.
Book Synopsis Why House Price Indexes Differ by : Mick Silver
Download or read book Why House Price Indexes Differ written by Mick Silver and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-05-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A key element in the build-up to the global recession and subsequently was the movement in house price indexes (HPIs). These indexes are particularly prone to methodological and coverage differences which can undermine both within-country and cross-country economic analysis. The paper outlines key measurement issues and reports on empirical work using an international panel data set that (i) considers whether differences in HPI measurement matter and, if so, in what way, and (ii) revisits the measurement of global house price inflation and the modeling of the determinants of house price inflation using HPIs corrected for differences in measurement practice.
Book Synopsis The Global Financial Crisis and Housing by : Susan Wachter
Download or read book The Global Financial Crisis and Housing written by Susan Wachter and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2014-02-28 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This innovative book analyses the role played by real estate markets in global financial stability and examines the fragile link between the two. Through what transmission channels do housing market cycles influence broader economic systems? How
