Heuristics and Biases

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521796798
Total Pages : 884 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (967 download)

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Book Synopsis Heuristics and Biases by : Thomas Gilovich

Download or read book Heuristics and Biases written by Thomas Gilovich and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2002-07-08 with total page 884 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, first published in 2002, compiles psychologists' best attempts to answer important questions about intuitive judgment.

The Heuristics Debate

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Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0199755604
Total Pages : 336 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (997 download)

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Book Synopsis The Heuristics Debate by : Mark Kelman

Download or read book The Heuristics Debate written by Mark Kelman and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2011 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: All of use heuristics - that is, we reach conclusions using shorthand cues without utilizing or analyzing all of the available information at hand. Here, Kelman takes a step back from the chaos of competing academic debates to consider the wealth of knowledge that a more expansive use of heuristics can open up.

Simple Heuristics that Make Us Smart

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190286768
Total Pages : 432 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis Simple Heuristics that Make Us Smart by : Gerd Gigerenzer

Download or read book Simple Heuristics that Make Us Smart written by Gerd Gigerenzer and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2000-10-12 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart invites readers to embark on a new journey into a land of rationality that differs from the familiar territory of cognitive science and economics. Traditional views of rationality tend to see decision makers as possessing superhuman powers of reason, limitless knowledge, and all of eternity in which to ponder choices. To understand decisions in the real world, we need a different, more psychologically plausible notion of rationality, and this book provides it. It is about fast and frugal heuristics--simple rules for making decisions when time is pressing and deep thought an unaffordable luxury. These heuristics can enable both living organisms and artificial systems to make smart choices, classifications, and predictions by employing bounded rationality. But when and how can such fast and frugal heuristics work? Can judgments based simply on one good reason be as accurate as those based on many reasons? Could less knowledge even lead to systematically better predictions than more knowledge? Simple Heuristics explores these questions, developing computational models of heuristics and testing them through experiments and analyses. It shows how fast and frugal heuristics can produce adaptive decisions in situations as varied as choosing a mate, dividing resources among offspring, predicting high school drop out rates, and playing the stock market. As an interdisciplinary work that is both useful and engaging, this book will appeal to a wide audience. It is ideal for researchers in cognitive psychology, evolutionary psychology, and cognitive science, as well as in economics and artificial intelligence. It will also inspire anyone interested in simply making good decisions.

Meta-Heuristics

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461313619
Total Pages : 676 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (613 download)

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Book Synopsis Meta-Heuristics by : Ibrahim H. Osman

Download or read book Meta-Heuristics written by Ibrahim H. Osman and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 676 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Meta-heuristics have developed dramatically since their inception in the early 1980s. They have had widespread success in attacking a variety of practical and difficult combinatorial optimization problems. These families of approaches include, but are not limited to greedy random adaptive search procedures, genetic algorithms, problem-space search, neural networks, simulated annealing, tabu search, threshold algorithms, and their hybrids. They incorporate concepts based on biological evolution, intelligent problem solving, mathematical and physical sciences, nervous systems, and statistical mechanics. Since the 1980s, a great deal of effort has been invested in the field of combinatorial optimization theory in which heuristic algorithms have become an important area of research and applications. This volume is drawn from the first conference on Meta-Heuristics and contains 41 papers on the state-of-the-art in heuristic theory and applications. The book treats the following meta-heuristics and applications: Genetic Algorithms, Simulated Annealing, Tabu Search, Networks & Graphs, Scheduling and Control, TSP, and Vehicle Routing Problems. It represents research from the fields of Operations Research, Management Science, Artificial Intelligence and Computer Science.

Design of Modern Heuristics

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540729623
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Design of Modern Heuristics by : Franz Rothlauf

Download or read book Design of Modern Heuristics written by Franz Rothlauf and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-07-17 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most textbooks on modern heuristics provide the reader with detailed descriptions of the functionality of single examples like genetic algorithms, genetic programming, tabu search, simulated annealing, and others, but fail to teach the underlying concepts behind these different approaches. The author takes a different approach in this textbook by focusing on the users' needs and answering three fundamental questions: First, he tells us which problems modern heuristics are expected to perform well on, and which should be left to traditional optimization methods. Second, he teaches us to systematically design the "right" modern heuristic for a particular problem by providing a coherent view on design elements and working principles. Third, he shows how we can make use of problem-specific knowledge for the design of efficient and effective modern heuristics that solve not only small toy problems but also perform well on large real-world problems. This book is written in an easy-to-read style and it is aimed at students and practitioners in computer science, operations research and information systems who want to understand modern heuristics and are interested in a guide to their systematic design and use. This book is written in an easy-to-read style and it is aimed at students and practitioners in computer science, operations research and information systems who want to understand modern heuristics and are interested in a guide to their systematic design and use. This book is written in an easy-to-read style and it is aimed at students and practitioners in computer science, operations research and information systems who want to understand modern heuristics and are interested in a guide to their systematic design and use.

Heuristics

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Author :
Publisher : Addison Wesley Publishing Company
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 406 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Heuristics by : Judea Pearl

Download or read book Heuristics written by Judea Pearl and published by Addison Wesley Publishing Company. This book was released on 1984 with total page 406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Problem-solving strartegies and the nature of Heuristic informatio n.Heuristics and problem representations. Basic Heuristic-Search procedures. Formal properties of Heuristic methods. Heuristics viewed as information provided by simplified models. Performance analysis of Heuristic methods. Abstract models for quantitative performace analysis. Complexity versus precision of admissible Heuristics. Searching with nonadmissible Heuristics. Game-playing programs. Strategies and models for game-playing programs. Performace analysis for game-searching strategies. Decision quality in game searching. Bibliography. Index.

121 Heuristics for Solving Problems

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Publisher : Lulu.com
ISBN 13 : 1411616898
Total Pages : 348 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (116 download)

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Book Synopsis 121 Heuristics for Solving Problems by : Marco Aurelio de Carvalho

Download or read book 121 Heuristics for Solving Problems written by Marco Aurelio de Carvalho and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2004-11-01 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Creative solutions are easily recognizable, after they have been created. But how to attain them? This book is about a promising approach to creative problem solving - the use of heuristics. The main purpose of an heuristic is to make problem solving more efficient, by making past experience - which could guide the generation of new solutions - promptly available. The heuristic approach is widely used in TRIZ (the Theory of Inventive Problem Solving), which is becoming increasingly popular worldwide. Successful results of using heuristics have been reported by companies such as ABB, Bosch, General Motors, Ford, Mitsubishi, Philips, Siemens, among others. With this book, the reader will be able to: - Understand the 121 Heuristics for problem solving, both from their descriptions and from selected examples; - Find the more promising Heuristic(s) for the solution of his/her problems; - Apply the heuristics and find creative solutions to his/her problems.

Hyper-Heuristics: Theory and Applications

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 331996514X
Total Pages : 130 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Hyper-Heuristics: Theory and Applications by : Nelishia Pillay

Download or read book Hyper-Heuristics: Theory and Applications written by Nelishia Pillay and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-10-05 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This introduction to the field of hyper-heuristics presents the required foundations and tools and illustrates some of their applications. The authors organized the 13 chapters into three parts. The first, hyper-heuristic fundamentals and theory, provides an overview of selection constructive, selection perturbative, generation constructive and generation perturbative hyper-heuristics, and then a formal definition of hyper-heuristics. The chapters in the second part of the book examine applications of hyper-heuristics in vehicle routing, nurse rostering, packing and examination timetabling. The third part of the book presents advanced topics and then a summary of the field and future research directions. Finally the appendices offer details of the HyFlex framework and the EvoHyp toolkit, and then the definition, problem model and constraints for the most tested combinatorial optimization problems. The book will be of value to graduate students, researchers, and practitioners.

Judgment Under Uncertainty

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521284141
Total Pages : 574 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (841 download)

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Book Synopsis Judgment Under Uncertainty by : Daniel Kahneman

Download or read book Judgment Under Uncertainty written by Daniel Kahneman and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1982-04-30 with total page 574 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Thirty-five chapters describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments, but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas rather than describing single experimental studies.

Heuristics and the Law

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262072750
Total Pages : 502 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Heuristics and the Law by : Gerd Gigerenzer

Download or read book Heuristics and the Law written by Gerd Gigerenzer and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2006-08-11 with total page 502 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Experts in law, psychology, and economics explore the power of "fast and frugal" heuristics in the creation and implementation of law In recent decades, the economists' concept of rational choice has dominated legal reasoning. And yet, in practical terms, neither the lawbreakers the law addresses nor officers of the law behave as the hyperrational beings postulated by rational choice. Critics of rational choice and believers in "fast and frugal heuristics" propose another approach: using certain formulations or general principles (heuristics) to help navigate in an environment that is not a well-ordered setting with an occasional disturbance, as described in the language of rational choice, but instead is fundamentally uncertain or characterized by an unmanageable degree of complexity. This is the intuition behind behavioral law and economics. In Heuristics and the Law, experts in law, psychology, and economics explore the conceptual and practical power of the heuristics approach in law. They discuss legal theory; modeling and predicting the problems the law purports to solve; the process of making law, in the legislature or in the courtroom; the application of existing law in the courts, particularly regarding the law of evidence; and implementation of the law and the impact of law on behavior. Contributors Ronald J. Allen, Hal R. Arkes, Peter Ayton, Susanne Baer, Martin Beckenkamp, Robert Cooter, Leda Cosmides, Mandeep K. Dhami, Robert C. Ellickson, Christoph Engel, Richard A. Epstein, Wolfgang Fikentscher, Axel Flessner, Robert H. Frank, Bruno S. Frey, Gerd Gigerenzer, Paul W. Glimcher, Daniel G. Goldstein, Chris Guthrie, Jonathan Haidt, Reid Hastie, Ralph Hertwig, Eric J. Johnson, Jonathan J. Koehler, Russell Korobkin, Stephanie Kurzenhäuser, Douglas A. Kysar, Donald C. Langevoort, Richard Lempert, Stefan Magen, Callia Piperides, Jeffrey J. Rachlinski, Clara Sattler de Sousa e Brito, Joachim Schulz, Victoria A. Shaffer, Indra Spiecker genannt Döhmann, John Tooby, Gerhard Wagner, Elke U. Weber, Bernd Wittenbrink

Heuristic Research

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Publisher : SAGE Publications
ISBN 13 : 1452210756
Total Pages : 131 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (522 download)

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Book Synopsis Heuristic Research by : Clark Moustakas

Download or read book Heuristic Research written by Clark Moustakas and published by SAGE Publications. This book was released on 1990-07-01 with total page 131 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Well-organized and well-referenced, this book gives a clear presentation of heuristic methodology as a systematic form of qualitative research. Investigators of human experiences will find this book invaluable as a research guide. The author illustrates how heuristic concepts and processes form components of the research design and become the basis for a methodology. There is a clear explanation of how heuristic inquiry works in practice and the actual process of conducting a human science investigation is described in detail.

Object-oriented Design Heuristics

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Publisher : Addison-Wesley Professional
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 410 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (321 download)

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Book Synopsis Object-oriented Design Heuristics by : Arthur J. Riel

Download or read book Object-oriented Design Heuristics written by Arthur J. Riel and published by Addison-Wesley Professional. This book was released on 1996 with total page 410 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This tutorial-based approach, born out of the author's extensive experience developing software, teaching thousands of students, and critiquing designs in a variety of domains, allows you to apply the guidelines in a personalized manner.

Methods of Discovery

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Publisher : W W Norton & Company Incorporated
ISBN 13 : 9780393978148
Total Pages : 281 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (781 download)

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Book Synopsis Methods of Discovery by : Andrew Delano Abbott

Download or read book Methods of Discovery written by Andrew Delano Abbott and published by W W Norton & Company Incorporated. This book was released on 2004 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abbott helps social science students discover what questions to ask. This exciting book is not about habits and the mechanics of doing social science research, but about habits of thinking that enable students to use those mechanics in new ways, by coming up with new ideas and combining them more effectively with old ones. Abbott organizes his book around general methodological moves, and uses examples from throughout the social sciences to show how these moves can open new lines of thinking. In each chapter, he covers several moves and their reverses (if these exist), discussing particular examples of the move as well as its logical and theoretical structure. Often he goes on to propose applications of the move in a wide variety of empirical settings. The basic aim of Methods of Discovery is to offer readers a new way of thinking about directions for their research and new ways to imagine information relevant to their research problems. Methods of Discovery is part of the Contemporary Societies series.

Handbook of Heuristics

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9783319071237
Total Pages : 3000 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (712 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Heuristics by : Rafael Martí

Download or read book Handbook of Heuristics written by Rafael Martí and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-01-16 with total page 3000 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Heuristics are strategies using readily accessible, loosely applicable information to control problem solving. Algorithms, for example, are a type of heuristic. By contrast, Metaheuristics are methods used to design Heuristics and may coordinate the usage of several Heuristics toward the formulation of a single method. GRASP (Greedy Randomized Adaptive Search Procedures) is an example of a Metaheuristic. To the layman, heuristics may be thought of as ‘rules of thumb’ but despite its imprecision, heuristics is a very rich field that refers to experience-based techniques for problem-solving, learning, and discovery. Any given solution/heuristic is not guaranteed to be optimal but heuristic methodologies are used to speed up the process of finding satisfactory solutions where optimal solutions are impractical. The introduction to this Handbook provides an overview of the history of Heuristics along with main issues regarding the methodologies covered. This is followed by Chapters containing various examples of local searches, search strategies and Metaheuristics, leading to an analyses of Heuristics and search algorithms. The reference concludes with numerous illustrations of the highly applicable nature and implementation of Heuristics in our daily life. Each chapter of this work includes an abstract/introduction with a short description of the methodology. Key words are also necessary as part of top-matter to each chapter to enable maximum search engine optimization. Next, chapters will include discussion of the adaptation of this methodology to solve a difficult optimization problem, and experiments on a set of representative problems.

Simple Heuristics in a Social World

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0195388437
Total Pages : 662 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (953 download)

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Book Synopsis Simple Heuristics in a Social World by : Ralph Hertwig

Download or read book Simple Heuristics in a Social World written by Ralph Hertwig and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2013 with total page 662 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title invites readers to discover the simple heuristics that people use to navigate the complexities and surprises of environments populated with others.

Heuristics in Analytics

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118347609
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (183 download)

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Book Synopsis Heuristics in Analytics by : Carlos Andre Reis Pinheiro

Download or read book Heuristics in Analytics written by Carlos Andre Reis Pinheiro and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-03-03 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Employ heuristic adjustments for truly accurate analysis Heuristics in Analytics presents an approach to analysis that accounts for the randomness of business and the competitive marketplace, creating a model that more accurately reflects the scenario at hand. With an emphasis on the importance of proper analytical tools, the book describes the analytical process from exploratory analysis through model developments, to deployments and possible outcomes. Beginning with an introduction to heuristic concepts, readers will find heuristics applied to statistics and probability, mathematics, stochastic, and artificial intelligence models, ending with the knowledge applications that solve business problems. Case studies illustrate the everyday application and implication of the techniques presented, while the heuristic approach is integrated into analytical modeling, graph analysis, text analytics, and more. Robust analytics has become crucial in the corporate environment, and randomness plays an enormous role in business and the competitive marketplace. Failing to account for randomness can steer a model in an entirely wrong direction, negatively affecting the final outcome and potentially devastating the bottom line. Heuristics in Analytics describes how the heuristic characteristics of analysis can be overcome with problem design, math and statistics, helping readers to: Realize just how random the world is, and how unplanned events can affect analysis Integrate heuristic and analytical approaches to modeling and problem solving Discover how graph analysis is applied in real-world scenarios around the globe Apply analytical knowledge to customer behavior, insolvency prevention, fraud detection, and more Understand how text analytics can be applied to increase the business knowledge Every single factor, no matter how large or how small, must be taken into account when modeling a scenario or event—even the unknowns. The presence or absence of even a single detail can dramatically alter eventual outcomes. From raw data to final report, Heuristics in Analytics contains the information analysts need to improve accuracy, and ultimately, predictive, and descriptive power.

BIASES and HEURISTICS

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Author :
Publisher : Independently Published
ISBN 13 : 9781078432313
Total Pages : 173 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (323 download)

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Book Synopsis BIASES and HEURISTICS by : Henry Priest

Download or read book BIASES and HEURISTICS written by Henry Priest and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2019-07-06 with total page 173 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Powerful Hidden Forces (Biases) Impair Our Decisions. Here is a Comprehensive Collection Biases to Help You Understand How They Work and How to Overcome Them Are you a manager in the financial services sector, and wish to avoid a situation like the recent financial crisis? Do you know that all of us have mental blind spots which prevent us from being rational? If you have seen or read about the recent financial crisis that straddled across the globe and brought down some of the oldest and most venerated financial institutions in the world, then you need this book! In this book, I share authentic research findings on cognitive biases and how they impact our judgment. These are powerful biases that you must avoid in order to succeed. Improve Your Judgment by Knowing How Biases Work This book is a comprehensive guide on cognitive biases, with inputs from real academic research with full references. If you are a financial sector executive and want to learn how to improve decisions, then this book is for you. In this book you will: * Identify the most powerful cognitive biases that impair business and financial decisions * Understand how cognitive biases work * Learn techniques to overcome them Here are the answers to some questions you might have about this book: Q: What is this book about? A: This book is a guide on how to identify cognitive biases. In this book, you learn about powerful biases which afflict the world of business and banking. Understanding how biases work (Bias-in-Action) can help avoid these biases, and at times even use the presence of biases in our competitors to our advantage. Q: What kind of techniques will I get to learn in this book? A: This is a comprehensive collection of all empirically proven cognitive biases that impair our decisions. In this book, I bring out the most powerful cognitive biases that impair judgment. You will also get to learn about more biases that impair decisions in business and banking. Q: Do I need to have prior qualifications before I read this book? A: The only thing that is required is your keenness to learn. Some experience in the financial sector or knowledge of basic economics can make the grasping faster, but it is not a prerequisite. Every day that you delay is another day that you stagnate in your growth as a manager-leader. Take action now and buy this book by clicking the 'Buy now with 1-click' button