Author : Federal Reserve Federal Reserve Board
Publisher : CreateSpace
ISBN 13 : 9781511918596
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (185 download)
Book Synopsis Habit, Production, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Federal Reserve Federal Reserve Board
Download or read book Habit, Production, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Federal Reserve Federal Reserve Board and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2015-04-27 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Solutions to the equity premium puzzle should inform us about the cross-section of stock returns. An external habit model with heterogeneous firms reproduces numerous stylized facts about both the equity premium and the value premium. The equity premium is large, time-varying, and linked with consumption volatility. The cross-section of expected returns is log-linear in B/M, and the slope matches the data. The explanation for the value pre-mium lies in the interaction between the cross-section of cash flows and the time-varying risk premium. Value firms are temporarily low produc-tivity firms, which will eventually experience high cash flows. The present value of these temporally distant cash flows is sensitive to risk premium movements. The value premium is the reward for bearing this sensitivity. Empirical evidence verifies that value firms have higher cash-flow growth. The data also show that value stock returns are more sensitive to risk premium movements, as measured by consumption volatility shocks.