Gross Inflows Gone Wild

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Gross Inflows Gone Wild by : César Calderón

Download or read book Gross Inflows Gone Wild written by César Calderón and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The main goal of the paper is to examine whether surges in private capital inflows lead to credit booms. The authors built a quarterly database on gross capital inflows, credit to the private sector, and other macro-financial indicators for a sample of 71 countries from 1975q1 to 2010q4. Identifying credit booms is not trivial: they use different criteria implemented in the literature. The estimates suggest that: (i) Surges in gross private capital inflows are overall good predictors of credit booms. (ii) The likelihood of credit booms is higher if the surges in foreign flows are driven by private other investment inflows and, to a lesser extent, portfolio investment inflows. (iii) Surges in gross inflows are also good predictors of credit booms that end up in a financial crisis -- "bad" credit booms. This finding holds even after controlling for the appreciation of the local currency and the build-up of leverage. (iv) Bad credit booms are more likely to occur when surges are driven by other investment inflows. At best, foreign direct investment inflow-driven surges help mitigate the incidence of this type of credit boom. (v) The predictive ability of gross other investment inflows is primarily driven by bank inflows. (vi) Consistent with the literature, the analysis finds that the build-up of leverage and the real overvaluation of the currency help predict credit booms that are followed by a systemic crisis. Controlling for these factors, capital flows are still a significant predictor of credit booms.

Gross Inflows Gone Wild

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (825 download)

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Book Synopsis Gross Inflows Gone Wild by : César Calderón

Download or read book Gross Inflows Gone Wild written by César Calderón and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Taming the Tide of Capital Flows

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262037165
Total Pages : 489 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Taming the Tide of Capital Flows by : Atish R. Ghosh

Download or read book Taming the Tide of Capital Flows written by Atish R. Ghosh and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2018-01-12 with total page 489 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive examination of policy measures intended to help emerging markets contend with large and volatile capital flows. While always episodic in nature, capital flows to emerging market economies have been especially volatile since the global financial crisis. After peaking at $680 billion in 2007, flows to emerging markets turned negative at the onset of crisis in 2008, then rebounded only to recede again during the U.S. sovereign debt downgrade in 2011. Since then, flows have continued to swing wildly, leaving emerging market policy makers wondering whether they can put in place policies during the inflow phase that will soften the blow when flows subsequently recede. This book offers the first comprehensive treatment of policy measures intended to help emerging markets contend with large and volatile capital flows. The authors, all IMF experts, explain that, in the spirit of liberalization and deregulation in the 1980s and 1990s, many emerging market governments eliminated capital inflow controls along with outflow controls. By 2012, however, capital inflow controls were again acknowledged as legitimate policy tools. Focusing on the macroeconomic and financial-stability risks associated with capital flows, the authors combine theoretical and empirical analysis to consider the interaction between monetary, exchange rate, macroprudential, and capital control policies to mitigate these risks. They examine the effectiveness of various policy tools, discuss the practical considerations and multilateral implications of their use, and provide concrete policy advice for dealing with capital inflows.

Real Effects of Capital Inflows in Emerging Markets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475558554
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Effects of Capital Inflows in Emerging Markets by : Ms.Deniz O Igan

Download or read book Real Effects of Capital Inflows in Emerging Markets written by Ms.Deniz O Igan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-12-06 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the association between capital inflows and industry growth in a sample of 22 emerging market economies from 1998 to 2010. We expect more external finance dependent industries in countries that host more capital inflows to grow disproportionately faster. This is indeed the case in the pre-crisis period of 1998–2007, and is driven by debt, rather than equity, inflows. We also observe a reduction in output volatility but this association is more pronounced for equity, rather than debt, inflows. These relationships, however, break down during the crisis, hinting at the importance of an undisrupted global financial system for emerging markets to harness the growth benefits of capital inflows. In line with this observation, we also document that the inflows-growth nexus is stronger in countries with well-functioning banks.

Credit Booms and Macroeconomic Dynamics

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498355269
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Credit Booms and Macroeconomic Dynamics by : Mr.Marco Arena

Download or read book Credit Booms and Macroeconomic Dynamics written by Mr.Marco Arena and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-01-22 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a comprehensive database on bank credit, covering 135 developing countries over the period 1960–2011, we identify, document, and compare the macro-economic dynamics of credit booms across low- and middle-income countries. The results suggest that while the duration and magnitude of credit booms is similar across country groups, macro-economic dynamics differ somewhat in low-income countries. We further find that surges in capital inflows are associated with credit booms. Moreover, credit booms associated with banking crises exhibit distinct macroeconomic dynamics, while also reflecting a potentially large deviation of credit from country fundamentals. These results suggest that low-income countries should remain mindful of the inter-linkages between financial liberalization, increased cross-border banking activities, and rapid credit growth.

Increasing Resilience to Large and Volatile Capital Flows—The Role of Macroprudential Policies

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498346693
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Increasing Resilience to Large and Volatile Capital Flows—The Role of Macroprudential Policies by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department

Download or read book Increasing Resilience to Large and Volatile Capital Flows—The Role of Macroprudential Policies written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-05-07 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Capital flows can deliver substantial benefits for countries, but also have the potential to contribute to a buildup of systemic financial risk. Benefits, such as enhanced investment and consumption smoothing, tend to be greater for countries whose financial and institutional development enables them to intermediate capital flows safely. Post-crisis reforms, including the development of macroprudential policies (MPPs), are helping to strengthen the resilience of financial systems including to shocks from capital flows. The Basel III process has improved the quality and level of capital, reduced leverage, and increased liquid asset holdings in financial systems. Drawing on and complementing such international reforms at the national level, robust macroprudential policy frameworks focused on mitigating systemic risk can improve the capacity of a financial system to safely intermediate cross-border flows. Macroprudential frameworks can play an important role over the capital flow cycle, and help members harness the benefits of capital flows. Introducing macroprudential measures (MPMs) preemptively can increase the resilience of the financial system to aggregate shocks, including those arising from capital inflows, and can contain the build-up of systemic vulnerabilities over time, even when such measures are not designed to limit capital flows. While the risks from capital outflows should be handled primarily by macroeconomic policies, a relaxation of MPMs may assist, as long as buffers are in place, in countering financial stresses from outflows. Capital flow liberalization should be supported by broad efforts to strengthen prudential regulation and supervision, including macroprudential policy frameworks. The Fund has two frameworks to help ensure that its advice on MPPs and policies related to capital flows is consistent and tailored to country circumstances. The frameworks (the Macroprudential framework and the Institutional View on capital flows) are consistent in terms of key principles, including avoiding using MPMs and capital flow management measures (CFMs) as a substitute for necessary macroeconomic adjustment. The appropriate classification of measures is important to ensure targeted advice consistent with the two frameworks. The conceptual framework for the assessment of measures laid out in this paper will assist staff in properly identifying MPMs and measures that are designed to limit capital flows and to reduce systemic financial risk stemming from such flows (CFM/MPMs), and thereby ensure the appropriate application of the Fund’s frameworks, so that staff policy advice is consistent and well targeted. The Fund will continue to develop and share expertise in using MPMs, and integrate these findings into its surveillance and technical assistance, which should contribute to building international understanding and experience on these issues.

Macroeconomic Shocks and Unconventional Monetary Policy

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0192575198
Total Pages : 384 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (925 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Shocks and Unconventional Monetary Policy by : Naoyuki Yoshino

Download or read book Macroeconomic Shocks and Unconventional Monetary Policy written by Naoyuki Yoshino and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2019-06-27 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Barely two decades after the Asian financial crisis Asia was suddenly confronted with multiple challenges originating outside the region: the 2008 global financial crisis, the European debt crisis, and finally developed economies' implementation of unconventional monetary policies. The implementation of quantitative easing, ultra-low interest rate policies, and negative interest rate policies by a number of large central banks has given rise to concerns over financial stability and international capital flows. Macroeconomic Shocks and Unconventional Monetary Policy: Impacts on Emerging Markets explains how shocks stemming from the global financial crisis have affected macroeconomic and financial stability in emerging Asia. Macroeconomic Shocks and Unconventional Monetary Policy: Impacts on Emerging Markets brings together the most up-to-date knowledge impacts of recent macroeconomic shocks on Asia's real economy; the spillover effects of macroeconomic shocks on financial markets and flows in Asia; and key challenges for monetary, exchange rate, trade and macro prudential policies of developing Asian economies. It is authored by experts in the field of international macroeconomics from leading academic institutions, central banks, and international organizations including the International Monetary Fund, the Bank for International Settlement, and the Asian Development Bank Institute.

The Rise and Fall of Nations: Forces of Change in the Post-Crisis World

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Publisher : W. W. Norton & Company
ISBN 13 : 0393248909
Total Pages : 390 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (932 download)

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Book Synopsis The Rise and Fall of Nations: Forces of Change in the Post-Crisis World by : Ruchir Sharma

Download or read book The Rise and Fall of Nations: Forces of Change in the Post-Crisis World written by Ruchir Sharma and published by W. W. Norton & Company. This book was released on 2016-06-06 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International Bestseller "Quite simply the best guide to the global economy today." —Fareed Zakaria Shaped by his twenty-five years traveling the world, and enlivened by encounters with villagers from Rio to Beijing, tycoons, and presidents, Ruchir Sharma’s The Rise and Fall of Nations rethinks the "dismal science" of economics as a practical art. Narrowing the thousands of factors that can shape a country’s fortunes to ten clear rules, Sharma explains how to spot political, economic, and social changes in real time. He shows how to read political headlines, black markets, the price of onions, and billionaire rankings as signals of booms, busts, and protests. Set in a post-crisis age that has turned the world upside down, replacing fast growth with slow growth and political calm with revolt, Sharma’s pioneering book is an entertaining field guide to understanding change in this era or any era.

Central Bank Policy

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Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1789737516
Total Pages : 592 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (897 download)

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Book Synopsis Central Bank Policy by : Perry Warjiyo

Download or read book Central Bank Policy written by Perry Warjiyo and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2019-07-25 with total page 592 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Central Bank Policy: Theory and Practice analyses various policies, theories and practices adopted by central banks, as well as the institutional arrangements underlying the principles of good governance in policy-making. It is the first book to comprehensively discuss the latest theories and practices of central bank policy.

Inclusive Financial Development

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Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1800376383
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Inclusive Financial Development by : Ahmad, Ahmad H.

Download or read book Inclusive Financial Development written by Ahmad, Ahmad H. and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2021-10-19 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inclusive Financial Development provides theoretical and empirical analyses of the nature of financial inclusion. The contributing authors explore the impediments to inclusion that exist around the world, the macro and stability implications, and the regulation dimension.

Opening Up: Capital Flows and Financial Sector Dynamics in Low-Income Developing Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513597728
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Opening Up: Capital Flows and Financial Sector Dynamics in Low-Income Developing Countries by : Sebastian Horn

Download or read book Opening Up: Capital Flows and Financial Sector Dynamics in Low-Income Developing Countries written by Sebastian Horn and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-09-24 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past two decades, many low-income developing countries have substantially increased openness towards external financing and have received large capital inflows. Using bank-level micro data, this paper finds that capital inflows have been associated with financial deepening through increases in bank loans, deposits, and wholesale funding. Domestic banks increase loans more than foreign banks. There are only modest signs of a build-up in financial vulnerabilities. Causality is examined through an instrumental variable approach and an augmented inverse-probability weighting estimator. These approaches indicate only limited evidence for global push effects, pointing towards the importance of domestic pull factors.

Achieving Financial Stability and Growth in Africa

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317301692
Total Pages : 203 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (173 download)

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Book Synopsis Achieving Financial Stability and Growth in Africa by : Stephany Griffith-Jones

Download or read book Achieving Financial Stability and Growth in Africa written by Stephany Griffith-Jones and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-03-24 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores how the financial system should be regulated and structured to achieve the twin goals of inclusive growth and financial stability, with a focus on African low-income countries (LICs). The subject and content of this book is original in that it attempts to draw on the lessons and radical rethinking on the financial sector in developed and middle income countries, arising in the wake of the international financial crisis. It includes four in- depth country case studies, of Kenya, Ghana, Nigeria and Ethiopia, but also analyses the empirical evidence for Sub-Saharan Africa as a whole, evaluating the relevance (or not) of such major changes for the very different financial sectors and economies in low income countries. Achieving Financial Stability and Growth in Africa has major academic and policy implications, especially for low income countries, but also more generally, on broader issues. These include the desirable size of the financial sector, as well as more specific issues, such as the high cost of borrowing of small and medium enterprises in LICs, and possible measures to reduce it. Highly topical subjects like the appropriate regulation of the financial sector and management of capital flows are discussed in depth. Though drawing on comprehensive reviews of the literature, this volume has the virtue of the large comparative academic and policy experience of researchers, as well as in-depth case studies, that take account of institutional and economic features of low- income countries. Written by senior academics and policy-makers, this book is a must read for those researching or participating in the financial sectors of low-income countries, as well as in developed economies. It is also suitable for those who study political economy and public finance.

Africa's Pulse, No. 18, October 2018

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464813655
Total Pages : 120 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Africa's Pulse, No. 18, October 2018 by : Cesar Calderon

Download or read book Africa's Pulse, No. 18, October 2018 written by Cesar Calderon and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2018-10-03 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Africa's Pulse is a biannual publication containing an analysis of the near-term macroeconomic outlook for the region. Each issue also includes a section focusing upon a topic that represents a particular development challenge for the continent. It is produced by the Office of the Chief Economist for the Africa Region of the World Bank. Recent data point to a weakening of economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa in 2018, according to the new Africa's Pulse, a bi-annual analysis of the state of African economies conducted by the World Bank. The growth slowdown can be attributed to the lower than expected performance of the large countries in the region (South Africa and Nigeria). The downswing reflects poorer performance in agriculture following droughts and lower performance of commodity sectors."

Monetary Policy in India

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 8132228405
Total Pages : 653 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (322 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy in India by : Chetan Ghate

Download or read book Monetary Policy in India written by Chetan Ghate and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-11-25 with total page 653 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents research that applies contemporary monetary theory and state-of-the-art econometric methods to the analysis of the monetary and financial aspects of the Indian economy and the impact of monetary policy on economic performance. Indian monetary policy has attracted significant attention from Indian and international macroeconomists over the last several years. Interest in how monetary policy influences economic performance and how monetary policy is conducted in India is growing. The prospects for further financial sector reform and ongoing inflation in India have sparked new interest in the role of money and monetary policy in India among economists, policy makers and students alike. The book should also interest economists outside India because it studies monetary economics in a major emerging market economy and makes advances in the analysis of how financial market imperfections and structural constraints influence the effects of monetary policy.

The Constitutional Boundaries of European Fiscal Federalism

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108830099
Total Pages : 565 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (88 download)

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Book Synopsis The Constitutional Boundaries of European Fiscal Federalism by : Brady Gordon

Download or read book The Constitutional Boundaries of European Fiscal Federalism written by Brady Gordon and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2022-04-14 with total page 565 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an authoritative source for which models of fiscal federalism are compatible with the constitutional boundaries of the European legal order. It offers an encompassing guide to the leading constitutional case law in all EU Member States.

One broker gone bad

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis One broker gone bad by : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Financial Services. Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations

Download or read book One broker gone bad written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Financial Services. Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Capital Inflows, Credit Growth, and Financial Systems

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513525638
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Capital Inflows, Credit Growth, and Financial Systems by : Ms.Deniz Igan

Download or read book Capital Inflows, Credit Growth, and Financial Systems written by Ms.Deniz Igan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-08-18 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exploiting a granular panel dataset that breaks down capital inflows into FDI, portfolio and other categories, and distinguishes between credit to the household sector and to the corporate sector, we investigate the association between capital inflows and credit growth. We find that non-FDI capital inflows boost credit growth and increase the likelihood of credit booms in both household and corporate sectors. For household credit growth, the composition of capital inflows appears to be more important than financial system characteristics. In contrast, for corporate credit growth, both the composition and the financial system matter. Regardless of sectors and financial systems, net other inflows are always linked to rapid credit growth. Firm-level data corroborate these findings and hint at a causal link: net other inflows are related to more rapid credit growth for firms that rely more heavily on external financing. Further explorations on how capital flows translate into more credit indicate that both demand and supply side factors play a role.